📍#BNB Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/17)
【Core Viewpoint】: The golden shovel aura is no longer, the 900 iron bottom has turned into a ceiling, bulls have abandoned, and the air force has fully taken over the battlefield.
BNB is currently priced around 859, unable to hold the 900 barrier. This is a very dangerous signal, indicating that the long-term support structure has collapsed. From the 12H KD and MACD death cross, the main force has already retreated, leaving only retail investors still fantasizing about bottom fishing. The current market condition is 'as long as the bulls are not dead, the downward trend will not stop', with each rebound aimed at giving the air force a better price to enter.
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📊 Long-term trend: Medium bearish (12H)
Current situation interpretation:
The closing price of 859.58 is far below the key resistance level of 921.01, RSI has entered the bearish zone, and KD and MACD have synchronized death crosses diverging downwards. This indicates strong downward momentum, not an ordinary wash-out. Once market panic spreads, prices starting from 600 are not alarmist.
[12H Band Strategy]
• Key operation: A rebound to around 900 is the last escape wave and also the air force's assembly call.
• Defense/Bull-Bear boundary: 921.01 (only when it returns here can we say the crisis is averted)
🛑 Short position layout:
• Rebound short (limit order): 888.27 ～ 921.01 (recommended capital 70% ambush)
• Breakout chasing: 745.09 (recommended capital 30%)
• Take profit target (TP): 614.87 (depth unseeable)
• Stop loss (SL): 952.63
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📊 Medium-term trend: Medium bearish (4H)
Current situation interpretation:
The 4-hour level ADX momentum indicator is greater than 20 and continues to rise, indicating that the downward trend is 'extending'. Prices are suppressed below 888.27, and the rebound strength is extremely weak, indicating low buying willingness, and the bears are ready to launch the next wave of selling at any time.
[4H Band Strategy]
• Key operation: Trend-following short, any rebound above 888 is a gift.
• Defense/Bull-Bear boundary: 917.00
🛑 Short position layout:
• Rebound short (limit order): 888.27 ～ 917.00 (recommended capital 60%)
• Breakout chasing: 848.54 (recommended capital 40%)
• Take profit target (TP): 819.81
• Stop loss (SL): 931.49
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📊 Short-term trend: Small bearish (1H)
Current situation interpretation:
The hourly line can't even stabilize at 867, RSI is sluggish, and the rebound volume is shrinking. This is a typical 'downward trend', like boiling frogs in warm water, trapping bulls unknowingly. If it breaks below 855, the short-term will accelerate the bottom exploration.
[1H Day Trading Strategy]
• Key operation: Do not randomly chase rebounds; patiently wait for high short opportunities.
• Capital suggestion: Patiently place limit orders 70% + shorting on breaks 30%
🛑 Short position layout:
• Rebound short (limit order): 867.02 ～ 887.05
• Breakout chasing: 855.61
• Take profit target (TP): 835.58
• Stop loss (SL): 894.68
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📝 Summary and operational suggestions
• To holders: Wake up, BNB is no longer the unshakable one from back in the days. The current technical outlook is fully bearish, and reducing positions during rebounds is the only correct choice; don't wait until you see prices in the 600s to regret.
• To those without positions: Wait patiently for prices to rebound to the 880-920 range to lay out short positions, this will be a trade with an excellent risk-reward ratio. If the market crashes directly below 745, then close your eyes and short, enjoy the feeling of free falling.
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