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๐บ๐ธ US economic forecast 2026 by financial institutions ๐ Goldman Sachs ๐ JP Morgan ๐ Morgan Stanley ๐บ๐ธ
Major financial institutions project moderate U.S. economic growth in 2026, generally above 2% GDP, supported by potential interest rate cuts, fiscal stimulus, and AI-driven productivity gains. However, persistent inflation and labor market conditions present key risks to the outlook.
Growth Drivers: The primary drivers of growth include significant investment in AI technology, the lagged effects of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and various forms of fiscal stimulus (e.g., the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act").
Inflation: Most institutions expect inflation to remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target throughout 2026, though moderating from 2025 levels.
Monetary Policy: The Fed is broadly expected to continue a gradual series of rate cuts, likely two or three times throughout the year, to a target range of approximately 3.0%-3.5%.
Risks: Key risks include persistent affordability issues for consumers, geopolitical and trade tensions (tariffs), and the potential for a "harder" landing if the labor market deteriorates more rapidly than anticipated.
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LEVERAGE 3x - 10x
LONG 0.02628 - 0.025
TP 0.03 - 0.05 - 0.07 - 0.1++ OPEN
SL5%
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