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fed
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said inflation is still running well above the Fed's target — and the latest hot reading is no one-off. He warned the Fed should watch closely for signs the economy is overheating. #fed #inflation $BTC $ETH
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said inflation is still running well above the Fed's target — and the latest hot reading is no one-off. He warned the Fed should watch closely for signs the economy is overheating. #fed #inflation $BTC $ETH
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#USJoblessClaimsRise
🤔 Jobless Claims Rose to 200K. Why Does It Still Read Hawkish?
Claims beat forecast, yet sit near 57-year lows, so the December Fed hike case barely moves.
📊 Initial claims +9K to 200K vs 195K forecast (Labor Dept)
📉 Continuing claims -20K to 1.697M
📅 At or below 200K since mid-Sept; July's 189K lowest since 1969
🏦 Dec hike odds ~87% for 25bp, ~13% for 50bp (Mudrex)
⚠️ BTC near $73.3K, down ~8.5% in a week
My read: one 200K print won't revive cut hopes; it takes weeks of 230K+ to move the Fed.
$BTC holds $72K or breaks $70K before the Dec 9 Fed? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#USJoblessClaimsRise #Fed #Bitcoin
#USJoblessClaimsRise
🤔 Jobless Claims Rose to 200K. Why Does It Still Read Hawkish?
Claims beat forecast, yet sit near 57-year lows, so the December Fed hike case barely moves.
📊 Initial claims +9K to 200K vs 195K forecast (Labor Dept)
📉 Continuing claims -20K to 1.697M
📅 At or below 200K since mid-Sept; July's 189K lowest since 1969
🏦 Dec hike odds ~87% for 25bp, ~13% for 50bp (Mudrex)
⚠️ BTC near $73.3K, down ~8.5% in a week
My read: one 200K print won't revive cut hopes; it takes weeks of 230K+ to move the Fed.
$BTC holds $72K or breaks $70K before the Dec 9 Fed? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#USJoblessClaimsRise #Fed #Bitcoin
🤔 Jobless Claims Rose to 200K. Why Does It Still Read Hawkish?
Claims beat forecast, yet sit near 57-year lows, so the December Fed hike case barely moves.
📊 Initial claims +9K to 200K vs 195K forecast (Labor Dept)
📉 Continuing claims -20K to 1.697M
📅 At or below 200K since mid-Sept; July's 189K lowest since 1969
🏦 Dec hike odds ~87% for 25bp, ~13% for 50bp (Mudrex)
⚠️ BTC near $73.3K, down ~8.5% in a week
My read: one 200K print won't revive cut hopes; it takes weeks of 230K+ to move the Fed.
$BTC holds $72K or breaks $70K before the Dec 9 Fed? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#USJoblessClaimsRise #Fed #Bitcoin
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🚨 HOT CPI: +0.4% VS +0.3% EXPECTED: DECEMBER HIKE ODDS NOW 87% 📈
October CPI just landed hotter than Wall Street wanted. Headline inflation rose +0.4% month over month vs +0.3% expected, and core CPI came in at +0.3% vs +0.2% expected (TradingKey).
Traders moved fast. Markets now price ~87% odds of a 25bp hike in December, with ~13% on a 50bp move. Deutsche Bank is even calling for three hikes in a row.
$BTC barely flinched at first, holding near $73,475, down 0.4% on the day. But that calm is the story. Bitcoin already sat out the Nasdaq's +1.60% rally, and it is parked just above its 200-day average of $73,173. The short-term holder cost basis at $75,600 is the ceiling it still cannot reclaim.
🤔 Why it matters
Markets trade the surprise, not the number. A 0.1 point beat sounds small, but it cements the December meeting as a hike meeting, not a pause. A hike is no longer a tail risk. It is the base case.
And a hot CPI does not automatically mean Bitcoin dumps on the spot. The transmission runs through rate expectations and liquidity, and that takes a session or two to price in. The first candle is noise. The close is the signal.
👀 What to watch
• $73,000 support and the 200-day average at $73,173
• $75,600, the level bulls must reclaim
• Jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET and PPI ahead
• The 2-year yield once the bond market reopens
Bottom line: inflation just took the Fed's easiest excuse off the table, and Bitcoin is defending the line that matters most. Does the December hike get fully priced in from here, or does BTC have another leg down if yields keep climbing? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed
🚨 HOT CPI: +0.4% VS +0.3% EXPECTED: DECEMBER HIKE ODDS NOW 87% 📈
October CPI just landed hotter than Wall Street wanted. Headline inflation rose +0.4% month over month vs +0.3% expected, and core CPI came in at +0.3% vs +0.2% expected (TradingKey).
Traders moved fast. Markets now price ~87% odds of a 25bp hike in December, with ~13% on a 50bp move. Deutsche Bank is even calling for three hikes in a row.
$BTC barely flinched at first, holding near $73,475, down 0.4% on the day. But that calm is the story. Bitcoin already sat out the Nasdaq's +1.60% rally, and it is parked just above its 200-day average of $73,173. The short-term holder cost basis at $75,600 is the ceiling it still cannot reclaim.
🤔 Why it matters
Markets trade the surprise, not the number. A 0.1 point beat sounds small, but it cements the December meeting as a hike meeting, not a pause. A hike is no longer a tail risk. It is the base case.
And a hot CPI does not automatically mean Bitcoin dumps on the spot. The transmission runs through rate expectations and liquidity, and that takes a session or two to price in. The first candle is noise. The close is the signal.
👀 What to watch
• $73,000 support and the 200-day average at $73,173
• $75,600, the level bulls must reclaim
• Jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET and PPI ahead
• The 2-year yield once the bond market reopens
Bottom line: inflation just took the Fed's easiest excuse off the table, and Bitcoin is defending the line that matters most. Does the December hike get fully priced in from here, or does BTC have another leg down if yields keep climbing? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed
October CPI just landed hotter than Wall Street wanted. Headline inflation rose +0.4% month over month vs +0.3% expected, and core CPI came in at +0.3% vs +0.2% expected (TradingKey).
Traders moved fast. Markets now price ~87% odds of a 25bp hike in December, with ~13% on a 50bp move. Deutsche Bank is even calling for three hikes in a row.
$BTC barely flinched at first, holding near $73,475, down 0.4% on the day. But that calm is the story. Bitcoin already sat out the Nasdaq's +1.60% rally, and it is parked just above its 200-day average of $73,173. The short-term holder cost basis at $75,600 is the ceiling it still cannot reclaim.
🤔 Why it matters
Markets trade the surprise, not the number. A 0.1 point beat sounds small, but it cements the December meeting as a hike meeting, not a pause. A hike is no longer a tail risk. It is the base case.
And a hot CPI does not automatically mean Bitcoin dumps on the spot. The transmission runs through rate expectations and liquidity, and that takes a session or two to price in. The first candle is noise. The close is the signal.
👀 What to watch
• $73,000 support and the 200-day average at $73,173
• $75,600, the level bulls must reclaim
• Jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET and PPI ahead
• The 2-year yield once the bond market reopens
Bottom line: inflation just took the Fed's easiest excuse off the table, and Bitcoin is defending the line that matters most. Does the December hike get fully priced in from here, or does BTC have another leg down if yields keep climbing? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed
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🔴 Bearish
🚨 Hotter-than-Expected CPI Fuels Fed Rate Hike Fears!
October CPI came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, sending shivers through the markets. Fed officials are now openly discussing a potential 50 basis point hike in December.
📊 Market Impact: This inflation data strengthens the case for aggressive monetary tightening, which is typically bearish for risk assets like crypto. Expect continued volatility as investors brace for higher borrowing costs. We've already seen $BTC dip below $73K.
#CPI #Fed
🔴 Bearish
🚨 Hotter-than-Expected CPI Fuels Fed Rate Hike Fears!
October CPI came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, sending shivers through the markets. Fed officials are now openly discussing a potential 50 basis point hike in December.
📊 Market Impact: This inflation data strengthens the case for aggressive monetary tightening, which is typically bearish for risk assets like crypto. Expect continued volatility as investors brace for higher borrowing costs. We've already seen $BTC dip below $73K.
#CPI #Fed
🚨 Hotter-than-Expected CPI Fuels Fed Rate Hike Fears!
October CPI came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, sending shivers through the markets. Fed officials are now openly discussing a potential 50 basis point hike in December.
📊 Market Impact: This inflation data strengthens the case for aggressive monetary tightening, which is typically bearish for risk assets like crypto. Expect continued volatility as investors brace for higher borrowing costs. We've already seen $BTC dip below $73K.
#CPI #Fed
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📉 Fed Hike Fear Hits Gold & Crypto
US CPI came in hot: +0.4% m/m, and core rose 0.3% for the 3rd month in a row.
What's moving the market:
• Fed's Waller: a 50bp hike should be considered at the Dec 8–9 meeting
• Dollar Index near 103
• Gold slipped under $4,000, about 29% below its January record
• $BTC
{spot}(XAUTUSDT)
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
hovering around $73–74K
Why it matters: higher rates and a stronger USD reduce appetite for non-yielding assets like gold and crypto.
Meanwhile AI stocks bounced (Nasdaq +2.3%), so money is rotating, not disappearing.
👀 Watch today: Fed speeches and US jobless claims.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #Gold #Fed #BinanceSquare
📉 Fed Hike Fear Hits Gold & Crypto
US CPI came in hot: +0.4% m/m, and core rose 0.3% for the 3rd month in a row.
What's moving the market:
• Fed's Waller: a 50bp hike should be considered at the Dec 8–9 meeting
• Dollar Index near 103
• Gold slipped under $4,000, about 29% below its January record
• $BTC
hovering around $73–74K
Why it matters: higher rates and a stronger USD reduce appetite for non-yielding assets like gold and crypto.
Meanwhile AI stocks bounced (Nasdaq +2.3%), so money is rotating, not disappearing.
👀 Watch today: Fed speeches and US jobless claims.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #Gold #Fed #BinanceSquare
US CPI came in hot: +0.4% m/m, and core rose 0.3% for the 3rd month in a row.
What's moving the market:
• Fed's Waller: a 50bp hike should be considered at the Dec 8–9 meeting
• Dollar Index near 103
• Gold slipped under $4,000, about 29% below its January record
• $BTC
hovering around $73–74K
Why it matters: higher rates and a stronger USD reduce appetite for non-yielding assets like gold and crypto.
Meanwhile AI stocks bounced (Nasdaq +2.3%), so money is rotating, not disappearing.
👀 Watch today: Fed speeches and US jobless claims.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #Gold #Fed #BinanceSquare
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#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced
🧭 Not One Hike, Three? Banks Redraw the Fed Path
After the hot October CPI, big banks now see December as the start of a hiking run.
🏦 Deutsche Bank: hikes in December, January and March (CNBC)
📊 Goldman Sachs: hikes in December and March
⚠️ Dallas Fed's Logan: at least two more quarter-point hikes needed
📅 Next tests: PPI Nov 13, PCE Nov 25, jobs Dec 4, Fed Dec 9
My read: one hike is priced; a March follow-up is what crypto hasn't priced yet.
One Fed hike or two-plus by end of March? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Fed #Bitcoin
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced
🧭 Not One Hike, Three? Banks Redraw the Fed Path
After the hot October CPI, big banks now see December as the start of a hiking run.
🏦 Deutsche Bank: hikes in December, January and March (CNBC)
📊 Goldman Sachs: hikes in December and March
⚠️ Dallas Fed's Logan: at least two more quarter-point hikes needed
📅 Next tests: PPI Nov 13, PCE Nov 25, jobs Dec 4, Fed Dec 9
My read: one hike is priced; a March follow-up is what crypto hasn't priced yet.
One Fed hike or two-plus by end of March? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Fed #Bitcoin
🧭 Not One Hike, Three? Banks Redraw the Fed Path
After the hot October CPI, big banks now see December as the start of a hiking run.
🏦 Deutsche Bank: hikes in December, January and March (CNBC)
📊 Goldman Sachs: hikes in December and March
⚠️ Dallas Fed's Logan: at least two more quarter-point hikes needed
📅 Next tests: PPI Nov 13, PCE Nov 25, jobs Dec 4, Fed Dec 9
My read: one hike is priced; a March follow-up is what crypto hasn't priced yet.
One Fed hike or two-plus by end of March? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Fed #Bitcoin
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🏛️ Macro Watch: Hot $CPIX.US Data Shakes Risk Assets
October's U.S. CPI came in hotter than expected at 0.4%, pushing market odds for a December Federal Reserve rate hike toward 90%. Higher-for-longer rates are creating short-term headwinds for crypto while U.S. equities attempt a rebound. Stay disciplined with your leverage and always manage your downside risk! 🛡️
$BTC $BNB
#Macro #Inflation #Fed #CryptoNewss #dyor
{stock_us}(CPIX.US)
🏛️ Macro Watch: Hot $CPIX.US Data Shakes Risk Assets
October's U.S. CPI came in hotter than expected at 0.4%, pushing market odds for a December Federal Reserve rate hike toward 90%. Higher-for-longer rates are creating short-term headwinds for crypto while U.S. equities attempt a rebound. Stay disciplined with your leverage and always manage your downside risk! 🛡️
$BTC $BNB
#Macro #Inflation #Fed #CryptoNewss #dyor
October's U.S. CPI came in hotter than expected at 0.4%, pushing market odds for a December Federal Reserve rate hike toward 90%. Higher-for-longer rates are creating short-term headwinds for crypto while U.S. equities attempt a rebound. Stay disciplined with your leverage and always manage your downside risk! 🛡️
$BTC $BNB
#Macro #Inflation #Fed #CryptoNewss #dyor
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🔥 CPI came in HOT — and now the Fed is talking about a 50-point hike!
October CPI rose 0.4% (expected 0.3%). Core CPI rose 0.3% for the third month in a row.
Fed Governor Waller said a core reading like this means a 50-point hike "should be considered" in December. Traders now fully expect a hike — the only question is 25 or 50.
$BTC fell to $72,727 after the news — its lowest since August. $ETH fell to ~$2,050 too.
Is the Fed about to go bigger than everyone thought? 👇
#bitcoin #BTC #Fed
(Info only, not financial advice)
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
🔥 CPI came in HOT — and now the Fed is talking about a 50-point hike!
October CPI rose 0.4% (expected 0.3%). Core CPI rose 0.3% for the third month in a row.
Fed Governor Waller said a core reading like this means a 50-point hike "should be considered" in December. Traders now fully expect a hike — the only question is 25 or 50.
$BTC fell to $72,727 after the news — its lowest since August. $ETH fell to ~$2,050 too.
Is the Fed about to go bigger than everyone thought? 👇
#bitcoin #BTC #Fed
(Info only, not financial advice)
October CPI rose 0.4% (expected 0.3%). Core CPI rose 0.3% for the third month in a row.
Fed Governor Waller said a core reading like this means a 50-point hike "should be considered" in December. Traders now fully expect a hike — the only question is 25 or 50.
$BTC fell to $72,727 after the news — its lowest since August. $ETH fell to ~$2,050 too.
Is the Fed about to go bigger than everyone thought? 👇
#bitcoin #BTC #Fed
(Info only, not financial advice)
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🚨 SHOCKING: FED RATE HIKE FEARS EXPLODE! MARKETS BRACE FOR A MAJOR MOVE IN DECEMBER!
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!
Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
🚨 SHOCKING: FED RATE HIKE FEARS EXPLODE! MARKETS BRACE FOR A MAJOR MOVE IN DECEMBER!
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!
Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!
Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
KYFKON:
SUBHAN ALLAH 🌟
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8k
Bitcoin at $73K, fear at 31, and the Fed back in the spotlight. Here's what I'm watching.
$BTC is trading around $73,800 after sliding from the $81K area last week. It's now roughly 42% below its all-time high, and the Fear & Greed Index sits at 31.
Three things are driving the market right now:
1. Inflation came in hot. October CPI beat expectations, and BTC dropped right after. The Fed already raised rates in September, and the next meeting is December 8-9. Rate hike talk is pressure on every risk asset, crypto included.
2. ETF money is leaving. Spot Bitcoin ETFs keep seeing outflows. Until institutional demand returns, rallies may struggle to hold.
3. Stocks are shaky too. Wall Street bounced hard on Monday, but Nvidia, the face of the AI trade, is near its 2026 low after its board opened an investigation into its CEO. When tech wobbles, crypto usually feels it.
The levels: $75K is the first line bulls need to reclaim. Losing $72K-73K would open the door to a deeper correction.
Fear doesn't mean buy and it doesn't mean sell. It means slow down, size smaller, and let the market show its hand.
Are you accumulating here or waiting for December's Fed decision?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #Fed #Nvidia #BinanceSquare
Bitcoin at $73K, fear at 31, and the Fed back in the spotlight. Here's what I'm watching.
$BTC is trading around $73,800 after sliding from the $81K area last week. It's now roughly 42% below its all-time high, and the Fear & Greed Index sits at 31.
Three things are driving the market right now:
1. Inflation came in hot. October CPI beat expectations, and BTC dropped right after. The Fed already raised rates in September, and the next meeting is December 8-9. Rate hike talk is pressure on every risk asset, crypto included.
2. ETF money is leaving. Spot Bitcoin ETFs keep seeing outflows. Until institutional demand returns, rallies may struggle to hold.
3. Stocks are shaky too. Wall Street bounced hard on Monday, but Nvidia, the face of the AI trade, is near its 2026 low after its board opened an investigation into its CEO. When tech wobbles, crypto usually feels it.
The levels: $75K is the first line bulls need to reclaim. Losing $72K-73K would open the door to a deeper correction.
Fear doesn't mean buy and it doesn't mean sell. It means slow down, size smaller, and let the market show its hand.
Are you accumulating here or waiting for December's Fed decision?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #Fed #Nvidia #BinanceSquare
$BTC is trading around $73,800 after sliding from the $81K area last week. It's now roughly 42% below its all-time high, and the Fear & Greed Index sits at 31.
Three things are driving the market right now:
1. Inflation came in hot. October CPI beat expectations, and BTC dropped right after. The Fed already raised rates in September, and the next meeting is December 8-9. Rate hike talk is pressure on every risk asset, crypto included.
2. ETF money is leaving. Spot Bitcoin ETFs keep seeing outflows. Until institutional demand returns, rallies may struggle to hold.
3. Stocks are shaky too. Wall Street bounced hard on Monday, but Nvidia, the face of the AI trade, is near its 2026 low after its board opened an investigation into its CEO. When tech wobbles, crypto usually feels it.
The levels: $75K is the first line bulls need to reclaim. Losing $72K-73K would open the door to a deeper correction.
Fear doesn't mean buy and it doesn't mean sell. It means slow down, size smaller, and let the market show its hand.
Are you accumulating here or waiting for December's Fed decision?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #Fed #Nvidia #BinanceSquare
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🔴 Bearish
🚨 CPI Hotter Than Expected - Fed Rate Hikes Incoming! 🚨
US consumer prices jumped 0.4% in October, fueling fears of the Fed getting more aggressive. This sticky inflation likely means further interest rate hikes are on the table for December.
📊 Market Impact: $BTC already slipped below $74k, and broader crypto markets are feeling the pressure. Higher rates make non-yielding assets less attractive. Brace for continued volatility.
#CPI #Fed #CryptoNews
🔴 Bearish
🚨 CPI Hotter Than Expected - Fed Rate Hikes Incoming! 🚨
US consumer prices jumped 0.4% in October, fueling fears of the Fed getting more aggressive. This sticky inflation likely means further interest rate hikes are on the table for December.
📊 Market Impact: $BTC already slipped below $74k, and broader crypto markets are feeling the pressure. Higher rates make non-yielding assets less attractive. Brace for continued volatility.
#CPI #Fed #CryptoNews
🚨 CPI Hotter Than Expected - Fed Rate Hikes Incoming! 🚨
US consumer prices jumped 0.4% in October, fueling fears of the Fed getting more aggressive. This sticky inflation likely means further interest rate hikes are on the table for December.
📊 Market Impact: $BTC already slipped below $74k, and broader crypto markets are feeling the pressure. Higher rates make non-yielding assets less attractive. Brace for continued volatility.
#CPI #Fed #CryptoNews
13
HOT U.S. CPI SHOCKS MARKETS — IS A DECEMBER FED RATE HIKE NOW ALMOST CERTAIN?The latest U.S. inflation report has delivered another warning to global markets!
October CPI came in hotter than economists expected, increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve and triggering fresh selling across cryptocurrency markets.
The big question now: Will the Fed deliver another rate hike in December?
📊 INFLATION NUMBERS THAT MATTER:
• Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM (0.3% expected)
• Core CPI: +0.3% MoM (0.2% expected)
• September Headline CPI: +0.6% MoM
• October Year-over-Year comparison: Unavailable due to missing October 2025 data following the government shutdown.
$ETH — FED HAWKISHNESS CREATES PRESSURE
Ethereum faces renewed pressure as higher interest-rate expectations reduce appetite for risk assets.
If Treasury yields continue climbing, ETH could struggle to attract fresh buying momentum.
$ZEC — VOLATILITY RETURNS
Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies are also exposed to broader market weakness. A stronger dollar and tighter liquidity could increase selling pressure on ZEC.
$XRP — MACRO UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES
XRP traders are watching the Fed closely. A more hawkish policy outlook could limit short-term recovery attempts across the altcoin market.
🏦 DECEMBER FED RATE EXPECTATIONS
According to the latest CME FedWatch figures:
• 88.8% probability of a 25 bps rate hike.
• 11.2% probability of a 50 bps rate hike.
• Expectations of a December rate hold have virtually disappeared.
📉 BITCOIN REACTION:
Bitcoin dropped below $74,000 following the inflation release.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
• Major Support: $73,000–$73,200
• Downside Risk: $70,000–$69,000
• Recovery Watch: $74,000–$75,000
Liquidations have also surged, with reports indicating more than $700 million in leveraged positions wiped out across crypto markets.
⚠️ WHAT COULD HAPPEN NEXT?
🐻 Bearish Scenario:
Inflation remains stubborn.Treasury yields continue rising.The Fed delivers a larger-than-expected hike.Bitcoin loses its important support zone.
🐂 Bullish Scenario:
Upcoming inflation data starts cooling.Treasury yields stabilize.The Fed signals a less aggressive approach.Bitcoin regains momentum above $75K.
🔥 BOTTOM LINE:
The October CPI report has significantly strengthened expectations of another December rate hike.
But one important point remains: A 25 bps hike is the current market favorite, not a guaranteed decision. The Fed's next move will depend on incoming inflation, employment and economic data.
👀 YOUR TURN:
Will Bitcoin recover before the December Fed meeting, or are we heading toward another major crypto correction?
🚀 BULLISH or 🐻 BEARISH?
#BitmineReports$6.3BFiscal2026Loss #AnthropicRejectsIPODelayValuationinQuestion #CPI数据 #Fed
Not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
{spot}(ZECUSDT)
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
HOT U.S. CPI SHOCKS MARKETS — IS A DECEMBER FED RATE HIKE NOW ALMOST CERTAIN?
The latest U.S. inflation report has delivered another warning to global markets!
October CPI came in hotter than economists expected, increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve and triggering fresh selling across cryptocurrency markets.
The big question now: Will the Fed deliver another rate hike in December?
📊 INFLATION NUMBERS THAT MATTER:
• Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM (0.3% expected)
• Core CPI: +0.3% MoM (0.2% expected)
• September Headline CPI: +0.6% MoM
• October Year-over-Year comparison: Unavailable due to missing October 2025 data following the government shutdown.
$ETH — FED HAWKISHNESS CREATES PRESSURE
Ethereum faces renewed pressure as higher interest-rate expectations reduce appetite for risk assets.
If Treasury yields continue climbing, ETH could struggle to attract fresh buying momentum.
$ZEC — VOLATILITY RETURNS
Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies are also exposed to broader market weakness. A stronger dollar and tighter liquidity could increase selling pressure on ZEC.
$XRP — MACRO UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES
XRP traders are watching the Fed closely. A more hawkish policy outlook could limit short-term recovery attempts across the altcoin market.
🏦 DECEMBER FED RATE EXPECTATIONS
According to the latest CME FedWatch figures:
• 88.8% probability of a 25 bps rate hike.
• 11.2% probability of a 50 bps rate hike.
• Expectations of a December rate hold have virtually disappeared.
📉 BITCOIN REACTION:
Bitcoin dropped below $74,000 following the inflation release.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
• Major Support: $73,000–$73,200
• Downside Risk: $70,000–$69,000
• Recovery Watch: $74,000–$75,000
Liquidations have also surged, with reports indicating more than $700 million in leveraged positions wiped out across crypto markets.
⚠️ WHAT COULD HAPPEN NEXT?
🐻 Bearish Scenario:
Inflation remains stubborn.Treasury yields continue rising.The Fed delivers a larger-than-expected hike.Bitcoin loses its important support zone.
🐂 Bullish Scenario:
Upcoming inflation data starts cooling.Treasury yields stabilize.The Fed signals a less aggressive approach.Bitcoin regains momentum above $75K.
🔥 BOTTOM LINE:
The October CPI report has significantly strengthened expectations of another December rate hike.
But one important point remains: A 25 bps hike is the current market favorite, not a guaranteed decision. The Fed's next move will depend on incoming inflation, employment and economic data.
👀 YOUR TURN:
Will Bitcoin recover before the December Fed meeting, or are we heading toward another major crypto correction?
🚀 BULLISH or 🐻 BEARISH?
#BitmineReports$6.3BFiscal2026Loss #AnthropicRejectsIPODelayValuationinQuestion #CPI数据 #Fed
Not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
October CPI came in hotter than economists expected, increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve and triggering fresh selling across cryptocurrency markets.
The big question now: Will the Fed deliver another rate hike in December?
📊 INFLATION NUMBERS THAT MATTER:
• Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM (0.3% expected)
• Core CPI: +0.3% MoM (0.2% expected)
• September Headline CPI: +0.6% MoM
• October Year-over-Year comparison: Unavailable due to missing October 2025 data following the government shutdown.
$ETH — FED HAWKISHNESS CREATES PRESSURE
Ethereum faces renewed pressure as higher interest-rate expectations reduce appetite for risk assets.
If Treasury yields continue climbing, ETH could struggle to attract fresh buying momentum.
$ZEC — VOLATILITY RETURNS
Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies are also exposed to broader market weakness. A stronger dollar and tighter liquidity could increase selling pressure on ZEC.
$XRP — MACRO UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES
XRP traders are watching the Fed closely. A more hawkish policy outlook could limit short-term recovery attempts across the altcoin market.
🏦 DECEMBER FED RATE EXPECTATIONS
According to the latest CME FedWatch figures:
• 88.8% probability of a 25 bps rate hike.
• 11.2% probability of a 50 bps rate hike.
• Expectations of a December rate hold have virtually disappeared.
📉 BITCOIN REACTION:
Bitcoin dropped below $74,000 following the inflation release.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
• Major Support: $73,000–$73,200
• Downside Risk: $70,000–$69,000
• Recovery Watch: $74,000–$75,000
Liquidations have also surged, with reports indicating more than $700 million in leveraged positions wiped out across crypto markets.
⚠️ WHAT COULD HAPPEN NEXT?
🐻 Bearish Scenario:
Inflation remains stubborn.Treasury yields continue rising.The Fed delivers a larger-than-expected hike.Bitcoin loses its important support zone.
🐂 Bullish Scenario:
Upcoming inflation data starts cooling.Treasury yields stabilize.The Fed signals a less aggressive approach.Bitcoin regains momentum above $75K.
🔥 BOTTOM LINE:
The October CPI report has significantly strengthened expectations of another December rate hike.
But one important point remains: A 25 bps hike is the current market favorite, not a guaranteed decision. The Fed's next move will depend on incoming inflation, employment and economic data.
👀 YOUR TURN:
Will Bitcoin recover before the December Fed meeting, or are we heading toward another major crypto correction?
🚀 BULLISH or 🐻 BEARISH?
#BitmineReports$6.3BFiscal2026Loss #AnthropicRejectsIPODelayValuationinQuestion #CPI数据 #Fed
Not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
282
BTC $73,842 - AFTER HOT CPI CRASH! Will $72,727 HOLD? 😱
👉 Binance: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=1044484134
BTC: $73,842 (-0.77%)
ETH: $2,058
SOL: $83
Fear & Greed: 29 - FEAR
Total Market: $2.5T
Kya Hua?
CPI HOT: +0.4% aaya, expect tha 0.3%
Core CPI: +0.3%, expect tha 0.2%
Dec Fed Hike: 90% - 99% priced!
BTC $74,898 se $72,727 tak gira - 11 weeks LOW
$723M liquidated, $570M sirf LONGS
ETF: IBIT se 7 din me $1.66B nikal gaya
Levels:
Support: $72,727 / $72,600 / $70,000
Resistance: $74,898 / $75,500
BTC 200-day MA $73,200 pe hai - isko hold karna ZAROORI hai
Lesson: CPI se pehle leverage = washout.
Ab NO FOMO. Trade REACTION, not PREDICTION.
Vote 👇
A) BUY DIP B) SELL C) WAIT
Comment A / B / C + WHY
Follow - No Fake Signals!
$BTC $ETH #CPI #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #Bitcoin #Fed
BTC $73,842 - AFTER HOT CPI CRASH! Will $72,727 HOLD? 😱
👉 Binance: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=1044484134
BTC: $73,842 (-0.77%)
ETH: $2,058
SOL: $83
Fear & Greed: 29 - FEAR
Total Market: $2.5T
Kya Hua?
CPI HOT: +0.4% aaya, expect tha 0.3%
Core CPI: +0.3%, expect tha 0.2%
Dec Fed Hike: 90% - 99% priced!
BTC $74,898 se $72,727 tak gira - 11 weeks LOW
$723M liquidated, $570M sirf LONGS
ETF: IBIT se 7 din me $1.66B nikal gaya
Levels:
Support: $72,727 / $72,600 / $70,000
Resistance: $74,898 / $75,500
BTC 200-day MA $73,200 pe hai - isko hold karna ZAROORI hai
Lesson: CPI se pehle leverage = washout.
Ab NO FOMO. Trade REACTION, not PREDICTION.
Vote 👇
A) BUY DIP B) SELL C) WAIT
Comment A / B / C + WHY
Follow - No Fake Signals!
$BTC $ETH #CPI #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #Bitcoin #Fed
👉 Binance: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=1044484134
BTC: $73,842 (-0.77%)
ETH: $2,058
SOL: $83
Fear & Greed: 29 - FEAR
Total Market: $2.5T
Kya Hua?
CPI HOT: +0.4% aaya, expect tha 0.3%
Core CPI: +0.3%, expect tha 0.2%
Dec Fed Hike: 90% - 99% priced!
BTC $74,898 se $72,727 tak gira - 11 weeks LOW
$723M liquidated, $570M sirf LONGS
ETF: IBIT se 7 din me $1.66B nikal gaya
Levels:
Support: $72,727 / $72,600 / $70,000
Resistance: $74,898 / $75,500
BTC 200-day MA $73,200 pe hai - isko hold karna ZAROORI hai
Lesson: CPI se pehle leverage = washout.
Ab NO FOMO. Trade REACTION, not PREDICTION.
Vote 👇
A) BUY DIP B) SELL C) WAIT
Comment A / B / C + WHY
Follow - No Fake Signals!
$BTC $ETH #CPI #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #Bitcoin #Fed
1
93
·
--
🚨 The inflation shock just blindsided the markets.. and the trap for traders is fully set!
A shockingly hot CPI print!
Headline inflation jumps beyond consensus.
A December rate hike is now completely priced in.
Did the market absorb the blow, or is the worst still ahead?
📉 What’s happening behind the scenes?
📊 Core and headline CPI beating forecasts.
⚡ Hundreds of millions in long positions wiped out.
🛑 Massive pressure hitting high-risk assets.
💡 The smart trader’s roadmap:
🎯 Monitor critical support levels closely.
🛡️ Avoid excessive leverage in this volatile window.
⏳ Patience is your best edge while liquidity settles.
💬 Join the conversation:
Do you think trading platforms have fully priced in the December hike, or are we heading for a new bottom before the year ends?
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Crypto #Trading #Fed #MarketUpdate
$AGT
{future}(AGTUSDT)
$ARIA
{future}(ARIAUSDT)
$ERA
{future}(ERAUSDT)
🚨 The inflation shock just blindsided the markets.. and the trap for traders is fully set!
A shockingly hot CPI print!
Headline inflation jumps beyond consensus.
A December rate hike is now completely priced in.
Did the market absorb the blow, or is the worst still ahead?
📉 What’s happening behind the scenes?
📊 Core and headline CPI beating forecasts.
⚡ Hundreds of millions in long positions wiped out.
🛑 Massive pressure hitting high-risk assets.
💡 The smart trader’s roadmap:
🎯 Monitor critical support levels closely.
🛡️ Avoid excessive leverage in this volatile window.
⏳ Patience is your best edge while liquidity settles.
💬 Join the conversation:
Do you think trading platforms have fully priced in the December hike, or are we heading for a new bottom before the year ends?
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Crypto #Trading #Fed #MarketUpdate
$AGT
$ARIA
$ERA
A shockingly hot CPI print!
Headline inflation jumps beyond consensus.
A December rate hike is now completely priced in.
Did the market absorb the blow, or is the worst still ahead?
📉 What’s happening behind the scenes?
📊 Core and headline CPI beating forecasts.
⚡ Hundreds of millions in long positions wiped out.
🛑 Massive pressure hitting high-risk assets.
💡 The smart trader’s roadmap:
🎯 Monitor critical support levels closely.
🛡️ Avoid excessive leverage in this volatile window.
⏳ Patience is your best edge while liquidity settles.
💬 Join the conversation:
Do you think trading platforms have fully priced in the December hike, or are we heading for a new bottom before the year ends?
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Crypto #Trading #Fed #MarketUpdate
$AGT
$ARIA
$ERA
361
The 50-point hike panic lasted about a day.
Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.
And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%
But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.
So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.
Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.
Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI
Not financial advice.
The 50-point hike panic lasted about a day.
Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.
And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%
But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.
So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.
Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.
Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.
And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%
But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.
So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.
Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.
Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI
Not financial advice.
4
·
--
Bullish
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:
the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening
Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump
But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes
$UNI
{spot}(UNIUSDT)
#Fed
$XRP
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:
the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening
Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth
$BTC
Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump
But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes
$UNI
#Fed
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:
the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening
Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth
$BTC
Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump
But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes
$UNI
#Fed
1
2
6k
·
--
🔥 Hot CPI = December Hike Almost Confirmed. But Is The Fear Already Priced In?
October CPI just changed everything.
Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.
Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.
For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.
That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.
But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:
Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.
The real question is NOT December. The real question is:
Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?
If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.
So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:
1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes
Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.
Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?
Drop your view 👇
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
🔥 Hot CPI = December Hike Almost Confirmed. But Is The Fear Already Priced In?
October CPI just changed everything.
Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.
Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.
For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.
That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.
But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:
Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.
The real question is NOT December. The real question is:
Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?
If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.
So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:
1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes
Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.
Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?
Drop your view 👇
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
October CPI just changed everything.
Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.
Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.
For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.
That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.
But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:
Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.
The real question is NOT December. The real question is:
Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?
If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.
So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:
1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes
Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.
Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?
Drop your view 👇
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
1
1
180
·
--
🚨 BREAKING: 90% CHANCE OF A FED RATE HIKE IN DECEMBER!
A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.
1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.
2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.
3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.
So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.
Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed
Educational only, not financial advice.
🚨 BREAKING: 90% CHANCE OF A FED RATE HIKE IN DECEMBER!
A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.
1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.
2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.
3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.
So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.
Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed
Educational only, not financial advice.
A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.
1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.
2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.
3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.
So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.
Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed
Educational only, not financial advice.
121
·
--
🚨 CORE CPI HIT WALLER'S 0.3% LINE, 50BP NOW ON THE TABLE
October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.
Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).
Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.
Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.
🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.
My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.
👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.
Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.
December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI
🚨 CORE CPI HIT WALLER'S 0.3% LINE, 50BP NOW ON THE TABLE
October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.
Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).
Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.
Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.
🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.
My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.
👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.
Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.
December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI
October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.
Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).
Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.
Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.
🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.
My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.
👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.
Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.
December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI
69
The CPI number that shook the market — in plain words.
Bitcoin now $73,350 (-2.0% in 24h), day low $72,727 — an 11-week low.
US inflation for October came in at +0.4%. Markets expected +0.3%. Core inflation was +0.3% vs +0.2% expected.
Small miss, big reaction:
• Over $632M in crypto positions got liquidated, most of them longs
• A December Fed hike is now priced as certain — the only question is 25 or 50 points
• Odds of a 50-point hike jumped from 1% to 15% after the number
• There was no yearly inflation number at all — the shutdown stopped the data collection
Why 50 is even on the table: Fed governor Waller said before the release that core at +0.3% or more could justify it. Core came in at exactly +0.3%.
This is also the last CPI the Fed sees before its December 8–9 meeting. So the market went from hoping for rate cuts to pricing a hike. That is the whole story of this week in one number.
Do you think the Fed really hikes in December — and by how much?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #CPI #Fed
Not financial advice.
The CPI number that shook the market — in plain words.
Bitcoin now $73,350 (-2.0% in 24h), day low $72,727 — an 11-week low.
US inflation for October came in at +0.4%. Markets expected +0.3%. Core inflation was +0.3% vs +0.2% expected.
Small miss, big reaction:
• Over $632M in crypto positions got liquidated, most of them longs
• A December Fed hike is now priced as certain — the only question is 25 or 50 points
• Odds of a 50-point hike jumped from 1% to 15% after the number
• There was no yearly inflation number at all — the shutdown stopped the data collection
Why 50 is even on the table: Fed governor Waller said before the release that core at +0.3% or more could justify it. Core came in at exactly +0.3%.
This is also the last CPI the Fed sees before its December 8–9 meeting. So the market went from hoping for rate cuts to pricing a hike. That is the whole story of this week in one number.
Do you think the Fed really hikes in December — and by how much?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #CPI #Fed
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin now $73,350 (-2.0% in 24h), day low $72,727 — an 11-week low.
US inflation for October came in at +0.4%. Markets expected +0.3%. Core inflation was +0.3% vs +0.2% expected.
Small miss, big reaction:
• Over $632M in crypto positions got liquidated, most of them longs
• A December Fed hike is now priced as certain — the only question is 25 or 50 points
• Odds of a 50-point hike jumped from 1% to 15% after the number
• There was no yearly inflation number at all — the shutdown stopped the data collection
Why 50 is even on the table: Fed governor Waller said before the release that core at +0.3% or more could justify it. Core came in at exactly +0.3%.
This is also the last CPI the Fed sees before its December 8–9 meeting. So the market went from hoping for rate cuts to pricing a hike. That is the whole story of this week in one number.
Do you think the Fed really hikes in December — and by how much?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #CPI #Fed
Not financial advice.
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