In Japan now, aside from Tokyo Broadcasting System, all television stations are reporting that China has deployed over 100 various warships in Japan's adjacent waters. They are questioning what this is all about?
What it's about needs to be asked of Sanae Takaichi, what does she want to do? If it weren't for her wanting to do something, we wouldn't be thinking of doing anything either. Since Sanae Takaichi knows what she wants to do, we can't be blamed for what we want to do. What we do won’t be told to her, what she does is already known worldwide.
A large flotilla of 103 vessels from the Chinese navy has crossed the Osumi Strait and entered the western Pacific for routine training. This action, described by Japanese media as the "largest maritime presence demonstration of the 21st century," has plunged Japanese society into collective anxiety—from Okinawan fishermen to high-ranking officials in the Ministry of Defense, everyone is asking: What exactly does China want to do?
Fishermen in Kanagawa Prefecture complain at the fishing port: "In the past, when Chinese warships passed, the television stations would analyze the course, but now they don’t even report the news anymore."
What’s more intriguing is that the official website of Japan's Ministry of Defense has yet to release any official announcement regarding the Chinese fleet, which is unprecedented in the history of the Self-Defense Forces.
Pushing Japan toward the cliff is Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's parliamentary defense on November 7. When she claimed, "If there is trouble in Taiwan, there will be trouble in Japan," the assembly hall erupted in chaos. Former Liberal Democratic Party Secretary-General Toshihiro Nikai privately revealed to reporters: "She hasn’t communicated with the party at all; this is a personal political show."
This risky maneuver has triggered a chain reaction. On December 1, Masakazu Tokura, President of the Japan Business Federation, urgently met with Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa, bluntly stating, "The business community cannot bear the deterioration of Japan-China relations."
A more direct impact comes from people's livelihoods—Chinese tourists at Naha Airport in Okinawa have plummeted by 47%, and local guesthouse owner Miho Nakamura lamented, "Ms. Takaichi’s remarks have ruined our entire winter."
The transparency of this action by the Chinese navy far exceeds the norm. On December 3, the Ministry of Defense's official website released navigation notices, clearly marking the coordinates of four training sea areas.
Wang Haitao, political commissar of a certain destroyer flotilla from the East Sea Fleet, stated in an interview: "We’ve uploaded our daily sailing routes to the official website of the International Maritime Organization."
This open stance contrasts sharply with Japan’s secrecy. While the Ministry of Defense admits to monitoring the fleet, it refuses to disclose specific numbers.
It wasn't until a Chinese fisheries law enforcement vessel live-streamed its operations in the Diaoyu Islands waters that Japanese netizens discovered from the background of the footage—the Chinese Coast Guard ship number in the upper right corner perfectly matched the 1307 formation reported by the East Sea Fleet on December 1.
Among Takaichi's supporters, two fatal misjudgments are circulating. The first is that "the United States will intervene directly," but U.S. Forces Japan Commander Kevin Schneider clearly stated on December 2: "We focus on the resource allocation of the Indo-Pacific strategy and do not comment on regional military activities."
The second is that "Taiwan will cooperate automatically," although the Taiwan authorities' Ministry of National Defense issued a statement of support, a report from the civilian think tank "Taiwan Strategic Research Society" shows that if cross-strait conflict erupts, Taiwan’s existing ammunition stock is only sufficient to support two weeks.
A more tangible blow comes from the economic field. Toyota Motor Corporation President Akio Toyoda warned in an internal meeting: "China accounts for 22% of our global sales; any deterioration in relations will lead to supply chain disruptions." Japan's three major banks announced a suspension of financing related to military sales to Taiwan, which is seen as a clear signal from the capital market.
The normalization of the Chinese navy's patrols is rewriting the rules of the game. On December 5, Coast Guard vessel 2502 intercepted a Japanese fishing boat in the Diaoyu Islands waters, using a new electronic fence system for the first time.
By using satellite positioning and sonar buoys, the target sea area was accurately divided into 128 electronic grids. This "surgical-type control" has rendered the traditional evasion tactics of Japanese fishing boats completely ineffective.
In Kagoshima Prefecture, fishermen have spontaneously organized a "maritime observation group," using civilian radar to record the movements of Chinese vessels. The chart presented by observation group representative Kenichi Suzuki shows that the Chinese fleet maintains continuous patrols 24 hours a day, with activity ranging from Kyushu Island to the Ogasawara Islands, creating a "circular blockade" around Japan's southwestern islands.
This standoff reminds one of the scene before the signing of the 1972 "Sino-Japanese Joint Statement." At that time, Japanese Prime Minister Kakuei Tanaka secretly visited China 15 times to restore diplomatic relations.
However, Sanae Takaichi today is going in the opposite direction—on November 28, she suddenly canceled her planned Southeast Asia visit and instead visited the Yasukuni Shrine. This shortsighted behavior has prompted the warning from the Japanese think tank "Japan Institute of International Affairs": "Historical revisionism is undermining the foundation of Japan-China relations."
But hope is still budding. On December 3, former Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda wrote in the Yomiuri Shimbun: "What the Chinese navy is demonstrating is a defensive presence, similar to the U.S. military's presence in Guam." This article unexpectedly received 12,000 reader comments, with 38% of Japanese netizens expressing agreement.
As the mast of the Chinese 055 destroyer cuts through the sea fog before dawn, Japanese society stands at a historical crossroads. On one side is the war frenzy stirred up by right-wing forces, and on the other is the economic reality demanding Japan-China cooperation. As Okinawan fishermen say: "When we catch octopus, we need to watch the tides; nations must also consider the long term in their relations."
This voyage of 100 warships is both a response to provocation and a call for rationality. After all, in today’s tide of globalization receding, the collision of these two economic giants, China and Japan, has no real winners.
As leaked internal documents from the Ministry of Defense reveal, "We are prepared for war, but not prepared to bear the cost of peace."
