The 2008 Recession Signal Just Flashed Red
The quiet indicator nobody tracks is screaming 2008 levels.
The ratio of US Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) to Coincident Economic Indicators (CEI) just hit 0.85, a low not seen since the Great Financial Crisis. This decline has persisted for four consecutive years, signaling profound structural weakness.
This is critical: LEI tracks future expectations (like consumer sentiment and manufacturing orders) while CEI measures current reality (like nonfarm payrolls). When the future outlook collapses relative to the present—as documented by this $ACE metric—history suggests a recession is unavoidable.
The data confirms that non-asset owners are already struggling severely. While $BTC and $ETH have shown remarkable resilience, deep macro weakness will inevitably create systemic stress. This stress, however, often provides the generational opportunity for those prepared to deploy capital during peak volatility.
This is not financial advice.
#Macro #Recession #Economy #Bitcoin #Crypto
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