Barclays: Fed Likely to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points in December, but May Pause in January

News on December 1: Barclays economists predict:

The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's December 12-13 meeting exceeds 80%. Powell will support it, and officials like Waller and Bowman will also agree.

There are at least 2 hawkish dissenting votes (Schmidt, Musalam) + 1 moderate dissenting vote, and some officials do not support a significant rate cut.

In January, the Fed's statement and press conference will lean hawkish, indicating a high probability of pausing actions in January unless the labor market deteriorates worse than expected. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹