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🇰🇿 Kazakhstan Central Bank enters the market! Is BNB getting a shot in the arm?

As the crypto market plummets, national capital is quietly positioning itself

The National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) is considering investing up to $300 million in crypto assets, with Chairman Timur Suleimenov stating that they will cautiously enter the market after the dust settles. This funding will come from the central bank's foreign exchange reserves, rather than the national fund.

It is worth noting that Kazakhstan has previously established a national-level crypto fund, Alem Crypto Fund, and completed its first BNB investment. This marks the first time that national-level capital is entering the cryptocurrency space in the capacity of a central bank.

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· Bollinger Bands: BNB remains below the middle band ($922), indicating that bears are still dominant

· MACD: Deep in negative territory, showing that the downward momentum remains strong

· RSI: Hovering around 51, indicating market indecisiveness

🏦 The cautious stance of the Kazakhstan Central Bank represents the prevailing sentiment among institutional investors. The NBK chairman clearly stated that they will wait for the market to "settle down" before cautiously entering.

The trend of open interest (OI) shows a decline in market participation, with traders preferring to close positions rather than build them, indicating limited market confidence. Even if BNB attempts a rebound, open interest has not increased concurrently, suggesting that these rebounds are primarily driven by short-term spot buying, lacking sustained bullish participation.

💡 Risk factors: High wallet concentration—45% of the supply is concentrated in the top 100 wallets, posing volatility risks

The moves of the Kazakhstan Central Bank clearly convey the message that institutional capital is waiting to enter after the crypto market stabilizes. For BNB, whether it can hold the key support area of $840-$850 is not only related to technical trends but may also influence the entry decisions of these cautious capital.

With national-level capital first entering the cryptocurrency space through central bank channels, BNB is facing a dual test of technical and fundamental aspects.

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