middleeasttensions

$EUR /USD Wöchentliche Prognose: Der Krieg stiehlt weiterhin die Schau, und das nicht zum Guten
Die großen Zentralbanken haben von Maßnahmen abgesehen, sind jedoch hinsichtlich der Inflation hawkish wachsam geworden.
Der Krieg im Nahen Osten stört weiterhin die Energieversorgung, ohne dass ein Ende in Sicht ist.
Der bärische Fall für EUR/USD bleibt trotz des jüngsten Anstiegs fest.
Das EUR/USD-Paar hat sich in den letzten Tagen erholt und liegt für die Woche bei etwa 1.1530. Der Iran-Krieg und die Ankündigungen der Geldpolitik der Zentralbanken standen im Mittelpunkt, doch keiner konnte das spekulative Interesse beeindrucken.

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​This article is being presented after extensive research, offering a perspective that differs fundamentally from the mainstream narrative surrounding the current Iran-US conflict. The reality is quite the opposite of what is being portrayed globally. The world is being misled by a lack of understanding, and even seasoned analysts are merely echoing what appears on the surface. Beyond a few experts, most are stuck following the same repetitive line of thought.
​Every platform repeats the same clichés: that America is trapped, that its think tanks are under extreme pressure, and that Donald Trump is in a state of panic. These claims come from those who fail to realize that the United States remains a superpower that has consistently outmaneuvered other global powers like Spain, Britain, Russia, and China. To think that America is "stuck" or "clueless" is to underestimate a power that knows exactly how to light the match it holds.
​The Core Objective: Control of the Seas
To understand the true motive, we must look at the proxies. Iran seeks dominance over trade and transit in the Arabian Peninsula. America, however, refuses to relinquish this control. In the Red Sea, the United States has positioned Israel as a guardian of these vital corridors. Meanwhile, Egypt remains vulnerable to Israeli influence, and Sudan is crippled by internal conflict fueled by regional interventions. Then there is Djibouti, a global military hub with the highest concentration of foreign bases, yet it lacks the local power to close the Red Sea.
​From Cyprus and Djibouti to the UAE and Israel, the US-led proxy network dominates one side of the Red Sea, while Saudi Arabia secures the other. Iran has spent thirty years trying to undermine this secure commercial passage, achieving significant success.
​The Historical Blueprint
This conflict was ignited decades ago, specifically on June 10, 1967, when Israel decisively defeated regional Arab forces. Another piece of the puzzle was the 1978 Camp David Accords, where land was traded for diplomatic recognition, solidifying US influence. Over the years, the United States has utilized Israel not just as a shield, but as a primary tool to achieve its strategic goals. More recently, the UAE has been positioned as a second "Israel" to safeguard American interests, monitor Iranian military movements, and weaken Iranian allies.
​The Regime Change Formula
The persistent "regime change" efforts in Libya, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen, Sudan, and Iran are not coincidental. The goal is to maintain a state of managed instability. Since World War II, the global doctrine has been simple: whoever controls the warm water trade routes rules the world. This is why the United States maintains more military bases in the Middle East than anywhere else.
​The Iranian Counter-Proxy Network
After the 1982 revolution, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) set a goal to become a regional kingmaker and challenge American hegemony. To end US dominance over these waterways, Iran built its own extensive network:
​Bahrain: Al-Ashtar Brigades and Saraya al-Mukhtar to protect Iranian interests.
​Yemen: Ansar Allah (Houthis) were developed over decades to control the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
​Syria: Zainebiyoun and Fatemiyoun brigades were established to protect Shia interests and create a buffer zone against Israel.
​Lebanon: Hezbollah, founded in 1982, serves as the primary Iranian proxy to eliminate Israeli influence and provide military leverage.
​Iraq: Numerous wings like Kata'ib Hezbollah, Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq, and the Badr Organization work to challenge US presence and gather intelligence.
​Palestine: Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad serve as the frontline against Israel.
​The Ultimate Goal: Total Incapacitation
The three maritime "choke points" in the Middle East are the oxygen of global trade. Since 1945, the United States has maintained its superpower status by controlling the supply, demand, and tariffs of petroleum. Iran’s rise is an intolerable threat to this status.
​The American target is not just the Iranian leadership or nuclear program; it is the total incapacitation of the Iranian state. Through economic sanctions, targeted assassinations, and diplomatic isolation, the US aims to push Iran into such a state of collapse that it can never again challenge American interests or influence oil prices.
​Conclusion
This is a war for American global supremacy and the preservation of the Dollar. It is a personal war for the United States, which is why many other nations are hesitant to join. While the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was often seen as a pragmatist who prioritized policy over direct confrontation, the future leadership is likely to be far more defiant and aggressive toward American power.
​Written & by: TEAM YSJ
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Der Nahe Osten durchläuft eine der ehrgeizigsten wirtschaftlichen Transformationen in der modernen Geschichte. Von Saudi-Arabiens Vision 2030 bis zur nationalen Strategie der VAE für künstliche Intelligenz 2031 diversifiziert sich die Region aggressiv über Öl hinaus in Technologie, Finanzen und digitale Innovation. Aber diese schnelle Digitalisierung bringt eine entscheidende Herausforderung mit sich: Wie können Nationen die Souveränität über ihre digitale Infrastruktur wahren, während sie dezentrale Innovationen annehmen?
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In einer dramatischen Eskalation der Spannungen im Nahen Osten hat der Irak offiziell bestätigt, dass die Gaslieferungen aus dem Iran nach verheerenden Angriffen auf das South Pars-Gasfeld – das größte Erdgasreservat der Erde – vollständig eingestellt wurden.
Dies ist nicht nur ein weiterer regionaler Konflikt. Dies ist ein Energieschock mit globalen Konsequenzen.
⚡ Was ist passiert?
Die Krise brach aus, nachdem israelische Angriffe auf das South Pars-Gasfeld im Iran zielten, einem kritischen Energiezentrum, das für einen massiven Anteil an der Gasproduktion des Iran verantwortlich ist. �