Does karma really exist? What is wealth ultimately related to? #BTC #ETH
The concept of karma and reincarnation in Taoism is one of its core doctrines, emphasizing that good and evil actions inevitably lead to corresponding rewards and punishments. Beings cycle through the “Five Realms” (or paths), and the ultimate goal of cultivation is to break free from this cycle and unite with the Dao. This system is based on the principle of “the cycle of heavenly order” as a natural law, focusing on the impact of present actions on destiny rather than fatalism.
The Five Realms of reincarnation embody the inevitability of good and evil karma, with specific classifications as follows:
Divine Realm: Those who do good and accumulate virtue ascend to the realm of gods, enjoying the blessings of tranquility.
Human Realm: Those with a mix of good and evil are reborn as humans and need to continue their cultivation.
Animal Realm: Those who commit fewer wrongdoings are reduced to beasts, driven by instincts.
Hungry Ghost Realm: Those who engage in greed and stinginess fall into the realm of hungry ghosts, often suffering from hunger and thirst.
Hell Realm: Those with heavy sins fall into hell and endure punishment and purgation.
The accumulation of wealth requires actively planting good causes. Whether through hard work, accumulating good deeds, or maintaining a proactive mindset, these positive actions are like sowing seeds, laying the foundation for future wealth. As the ancients said, "Plant melons to get melons, plant beans to get beans," emphasizing the importance of sustained positive input. At the same time, the effects of karma may take time to manifest, so patience and perseverance are key.
Therefore, one must firmly hold onto their beliefs, change their thoughts and cultivation, enter a positive cycle of karma, and naturally be able to earn money.
#ETH In the short term, institutions like Fundstrat believe that there may be a pullback in the first half of next year, with ETH possibly dipping to between 1800 and 2000 USD, mainly influenced by macro policies and market sentiment. The technical aspect also shows that the current price is fluctuating around 3000 USD, with clear resistance above. Attention should be paid to the support at 2940 USD and the resistance at 3175–3200 USD. However, the long-term outlook remains optimistic. Fundstrat predicts that by the end of the year, ETH could rise to 4500 USD, with some even forecasting it to reach 15,000 USD by the end of 2025. Supporting factors include the continuous development of the Ethereum ecosystem, technological upgrades (such as the Pectra upgrade), and the popularization of Layer2.
The 'war' between Bitcoin and gold is actually a contest between new and old safe-haven assets, with the core difference being: gold is the traditional safe-haven 'ballast', while Bitcoin relies more on market sentiment, exhibiting high volatility but also significant potential.
Here are the key points: 1. Market Performance and Capital Flows Gold: Outstanding performance in 2025, with an annual increase of 68%, and prices breaking through 1403 yuan per gram. Global central banks continue to increase their holdings, with the People's Bank of China having purchased for 16 consecutive months, and BlackRock's gold ETF seeing a net inflow of $4.7 billion.
Bitcoin: Soared 230% within the year, but with extreme volatility, 8 times that of gold. BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF attracted $8.9 billion, but Federal Reserve Chairman Powell warned that it 'lacks fundamental monetary functions'.
2. Regulation and Liquidity Gold: Supported by global central banks, it has strong liquidity, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange's daily trading volume exceeding 120 billion yuan. Bitcoin: Although the U.S. SEC approved the Bitcoin ETF, the regulatory environment is complex; trading volume is large (totaling $80 billion across the network), but price discrepancies fluctuate greatly, reaching 3% during exchange outages.
3. Inflation Resistance Gold: Negatively correlated with U.S. real interest rates (-0.82), with every 1% increase in inflation expectations leading to a 2.3% rise in gold prices. Bitcoin: Positively correlated with inflation (0.15), with Bitcoin declining by 12% during Turkey's 85% inflation period.
4. Investment Recommendations Conservative Investors: UBS recommends allocating 15% to gold, selecting the Shanghai Gold Exchange Au99.99 contracts or bank physical gold bars. Aggressive Investors: May consider a 5% Bitcoin position, but should pair it with CME Bitcoin futures for risk hedging.
5. Future Outlook Gold: Peter Schiff predicts gold prices could reach $3,800, benefiting from geopolitical conflicts and inflationary pressures. Bitcoin: Bitwise analysis states its correlation with gold has dropped to a historical low, with potential for an independent trend in the fourth quarter. In summary, gold is stable, Bitcoin is wild; how to choose depends on your risk preference.
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates to save the market! On December 25, five major news stories have emerged! #美联储回购协议计划
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has caused a split in the market: gold and U.S. stocks are both rising, while consumer confidence has fallen for five consecutive months. Internal divisions have reached a five-year high, with Trump pressuring the Federal Reserve; emerging markets are seeing capital inflows, but the $305 trillion global debt risk lurks below the surface. Tech stocks and precious metals are partying together, with monthly mortgage payments potentially saving up to 140 yuan—this round of interest rate cuts hides a more complex economic game than it appears on the surface.
This interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is not simple; just last December, it announced its third interest rate cut of the year, yet the market seems unconvinced, showing various signs of division. Isn’t it strange? Logically, a rate cut is a good thing, but why is gold continuously rising, U.S. stocks setting new highs, yet consumer confidence has been declining for five months? This contradictory phenomenon actually hides a much more complex economic truth than it seems on the surface.
What’s even more confusing is that the U.S. economic data itself seems to be telling two completely different stories. On one hand, the GDP growth for the third quarter is 4.3%, the fastest growth rate in two years; on the other hand, consumer confidence has declined for five consecutive months, tying the longest consecutive decline record since 2008. Business equipment investment looks good, but durable goods orders have fallen far short of expectations. This split economic signal makes the Federal Reserve's decision-making even more difficult, leaving us ordinary investors feeling perplexed.
The Bank of Japan announced a rate hike of 25 basis points on Friday! A black swan has unexpectedly landed, and the market script for Thursday, December 25, may have already been set! #BTC
The largest rate hike by the Bank of Japan in 30 years has failed to boost the yen, compounded by Trump's old posts triggering a massive shock in cryptocurrency, as global markets face dual blows of "policy shift" and "black swan" during the Christmas week. Be alert to the holiday liquidity trap; the curtain for 2026 may begin with a dance between the gray rhino and the black swan.
On December 19, Beijing time (Friday), after concluding a two-day monetary policy meeting, the Bank of Japan announced a policy rate hike of 25 basis points, increasing from 0.5% to 0.75%. This is the second rate hike since January 2025 and brings the country's policy rate to its highest level in 30 years since 1995.
This rate hike, commonly referred to as "historic" by the market, is set against the backdrop of persistently high inflation pressures within Japan. As of November, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), excluding fresh food, has seen a year-on-year increase for 51 consecutive months, reaching 3.0%. The main purpose of the rate hike is to combat stubborn inflation and attempt to stabilize the persistently weak yen exchange rate.
Overall, in the last trading week of 2025, global markets will have to navigate a difficult balance between the "long-term pressure of monetary policy shift" and the "short-term shocks of unexpected risk events." For investors, maintaining vigilance, controlling leverage, and focusing on liquidity during seemingly calm holiday trading may be the most prudent strategy to cope with this "set script." The "gray rhino" of the global economy and the "black swan" of financial markets will dance together, and the opening of 2026 is destined not to be calm.
After breaking the 4500 mark, is gold still in the 'early' stage of a bull market? Wall Street prophet Yardeni: Aiming to hit 10,000 dollars in 2029! #BTC
Against the backdrop of continuously rising gold prices hitting historical highs and long-term outperforming U.S. stocks, veteran Wall Street market strategist Ed Yardeni has thrown out an astonishing long-term prediction: Gold prices are expected to soar to 10,000 dollars per ounce by the end of this decade.
Driven by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a weakening dollar, the spot price of gold reached an all-time high of 4500 dollars per ounce on the 24th. As a safe-haven asset, gold has performed strongly in 2025, with an annual increase of about 67%. Market funds continue to pour in, driving this traditional asset to show remarkable resilience in a turbulent market environment.
Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, recently pointed out that gold continues to play a crucial role in portfolio diversification, and historical experience shows that gold's upward trends often exceed market expectations. He predicts that by the end of 2029, gold prices will reach the 10,000 dollar mark, which aligns with his target level for the S&P 500 index during the same period. This means that in the coming years, gold will not only serve as a defensive tool but may also become a growth engine on par with equity assets.
Current price trends and key resistance levels: As of December 2025, BTC prices fluctuate between $89,000 and $94,000, recently rebounding to around $89,600. Technical indicators show short-term momentum improvement, but it needs to break through $94,251 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement level) and $95,414 (200-day moving average) to confirm an upward trend. If it falls below the support level of $89,006, it may dip to $85,000 or even a low of $80,527.
Core driving factors for hitting $94,000: Macroeconomic risk alleviation: CPI data and initial interest rate hikes in Japan have defused risks, temporarily easing liquidity strain and providing a foundation for the rebound.
Selling pressure reduction: The 30-day rolling scale of exchange sell-offs has decreased, the peak phase of short-term selling has passed, but the long-term holders continue to reduce their holdings, with this week's sell-off reaching 174,000 BTC.
Institutional capital trends: ETF channel capital inflow is a key variable; if funds flow back next week, it may push prices to challenge $94,000; conversely, continued outflows will suppress the rebound.
Regarding the latest situation of BTC hitting $94,000, there is indeed such an expectation in the market, but the bulls and bears are still fiercely battling it out. The key is whether it can break through the resistance in the next few weeks.
Core Conclusion: A short-term rebound is possible, but the risk of a pullback should be noted. It is recommended that you closely monitor the performance of the $90,000-$91,000 support level.
I. Market Status and Price Trends
Current Price Range: BTC is currently mainly fluctuating between $85,000 and $90,000, without a clear trend.
Key Support and Resistance:
Support Level: $90,000-$91,000 is an important defense line. If it is breached, it may further decline.
Resistance Level: $94,000 is the short-term target. A break above this level could challenge the $96,000-$102,432 area.
II. Bullish and Bearish Views
Bullish Reasons: The macro liquidity crisis has eased, reducing selling pressure, large investors are increasing their holdings, and market sentiment has recovered somewhat.
On-chain data shows reduced selling pressure; if the trend continues, BTC may rebound to $99,000 or even $112,000.
Bearish Reasons: Bearish forces remain strong; some analysts are shorting at $92,700 with a target of $87,700.
Bloomberg analysts warn that a "Santa Claus rally" may not materialize, and the price may fall below $84,000 by the end of the year.
III. Analysis of Influencing Factors
Macroeconomic Factors: Expectations of a soft landing for the US economy have strengthened, but the number of interest rate cuts may decrease, limiting market support.
Policy and Regulation: Attention should be paid to the progress of cryptocurrency legislation in the US and Europe; stricter regulations may suppress price increases.
Market Sentiment: A surge in high-leverage contract positions may exacerbate short-term volatility.
What patterns exist for cryptocurrencies by the end of the year? #美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作
Macroeconomic events and liquidity: Year-end monetary policy (such as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts) and the end of quantitative tightening will affect the market. In December 2025, the FOMC ended with hawkish interest rate cuts, the end of quantitative tightening but a slowing path for rate cuts, leading to heightened risk aversion and price fluctuations in crypto assets; historical patterns indicate that liquidity may tend to calm due to reduced holiday activity at the end of the year, lowering market activity, making prices susceptible to 'pump and dump' phenomena.
Seasonality and market behavior: At the end of the year, funds flowing out of exchanges often signal bottoming signals, such as in November 2025 when exchange BTC reserves fell below 2.6 million (the lowest since 2018), with stablecoin reserves remaining stable, reflecting a shift towards long-term holding; on-chain indicators such as SOPR below 1 and MVRV Z-Score entering the green zone historically show that Bitcoin may find a temporary bottom within 1-3 months after such deep capitulation.
Regulatory progress and market structure: Year-end often sees breakthroughs in crypto regulation, such as the approval of Solana and XRP spot ETFs for trading in 2025, with increased product supply driving structural changes in the market; however, the pace of regulatory approvals often progresses in batches rather than all at once, affecting market expectations.
What patterns are there in cryptocurrency by the end of the year? #BTC #ETH
Cryptocurrency often exhibits specific patterns at the end of the year, mainly influenced by halving cycles, institutional behavior, macro events, and seasonal factors. Below are key patterns summarized in the context of the situation at the end of 2025.
Impact of halving cycles: The Bitcoin halving event (such as in December 2024) usually leads the market to enter an active phase in the fourth quarter, with historical data showing that the fourth quarter after halving is often the most frenzied stage of the four-year cycle, potentially driving prices upward; however, the actual trend in 2025 indicates that despite the volatility brought by the halving effect, the price peaked at about $126,000 before retreating to around $88,000, not reaching some predicted highs, suggesting that halving patterns may be disrupted by other factors.
Institutional activity and ETF effects: The inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs is an important driver, with net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs in the second quarter of 2025 increasing by 270% year-on-year, and increased institutional participation supporting liquidity; traditional financial institutions continuously entering the market by the end of the year may provide medium- to long-term support, but in the short term, caution is needed regarding the volatility brought by leveraged liquidations and crowded positions, as seen when leveraged players massively capitulated after the 2025 FOMC decision, triggering liquidations of billions of dollars.
Tonight at 20:30, GM Guo Xiaomiao's live stream, don't miss it! Many blockchain experts will discuss market trends and developments with you! Come and join us! @GM_Labs
Tonight at 20:30, GM will be live in the Xiao Miao studio, don't miss it! Many blockchain experts will discuss market trends and developments with you! Come join us! #BTC #ETH