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The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has decreased by 14.5% in the last 16 days, pulling the Crypto Fear & Greed Index down to 16 points (Extreme Fear) — the lowest since the beginning of the year.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index | Source: alternative.me
Although selling pressure has dominated over the past two weeks, derivatives market data suggests how traders are positioning themselves could set the stage for a recovery. Analysts are currently assessing whether the recent sell-off has been sufficient to create conditions for a 'relief rally'.

January has been a volatile month for cryptocurrency, with early month gains followed by a strong late-month sell-off. Some large tokens have wiped out gains accrued over weeks in just a few days. In this context of instability, cryptocurrency 'whales' in February are focusing on three assets showing early reversal signals.
On-chain data indicates increasing accumulation as selling pressure eases and bullish divergence patterns are forming or about to be confirmed. This suggests large wallets are preparing for selective recoveries rather than chasing short-term momentum.

Gold and silver prices plummeted sharply on Friday after President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, a move seen as easing concerns about the independence of the central bank and pushing the USD to soar.
Spot silver fell about 28% to 83.45 USD/ounce, fluctuating near the day's lowest levels. Silver futures dropped 31.4% and closed at 78.53 USD, marking the deepest decline since March 1980.

Bitcoin (BTC) has sharply declined to its lowest level in over two months, as the price returned to test the support level of $84,000. This sell-off occurred amid widespread risk-averse sentiment, after Microsoft (MSFT US) shares dropped 11% due to reports of increased capital spending and cloud server service revenue falling short of expectations.
Investors are currently investigating the reasons behind the increased demand for long margin positions reaching a two-year high, despite the fact that BTC prices have dropped by up to 26% in the past 90 days. Some traders are concerned that excessive leverage could lead to forced liquidations, especially when $360 million worth of BTC futures positions were wiped out on Thursday.

The year 2025 witnessed the flourishing of privacy coins, but entering 2026, the market has become much harsher. The major names that once led are now facing strong corrections, while new projects show unstable recoveries. As February approaches, the 'whales' have abandoned their habit of uncontrolled betting, shifting to a selective trading strategy.

Amnesty International warned on Tuesday that the wave of escapes and releases from online scam complexes in Cambodia has created a humanitarian crisis, leaving thousands stranded on the streets without state support.
“The mass exodus from the scam zones has created a humanitarian crisis on the streets but is being ignored by the Cambodian government,” said Montse Ferrer, Regional Research Director of Amnesty International. She described the situation as chaotic and painful, where “thousands of trauma victims are struggling to cope without any support from the authorities.”

The cryptocurrency market just marked an important milestone this week as the VanEck Avalanche ETF (AVAX) was officially listed for trading.
This event provides investors with a safe and compliant channel to access AVAX, alleviating concerns about managing private keys or risks from traditional cryptocurrency exchanges.
Avalanche ETF (AVAX) – Leading the market trend

Bitcoin (BTC) only recorded modest growth of 2.2% last month, however, February may open a new positive phase. Statistics from 2016 show that the week ending on February 21 often yields the highest median profit, reaching 8.4%, with a probability of Bitcoin closing higher up to 60%.
The seasonal advantage of February and its impact on BTC
Economist Timothy Peterson of Network Economist notes that February is always one of the most stable growth months for Bitcoin, even outperforming the famous "Uptober" effect in Q4. According to Peterson, the primary cause stems from macroeconomic factors rather than the specifics of the cryptocurrency market.

XRP is expected to record a strong price increase to double digits in the near future. However, similar market patterns in 2017 and 2022 both indicate that before achieving this leap, XRP will undergo an extended accumulation phase.
Accumulation phase: A necessary condition for XRP to recover strongly
Since December 2024, XRP has firmly maintained the support zone from $1.78 to $2. According to technical charts, each time this support zone is retested, the XRP/USD pair has surged from 35% to 90%. If this trend continues, XRP could potentially rise another 57% before the end of the year.

When the Solana maintenance team requested validators to quickly upgrade to Agave v3.0.14, the message was delivered with a higher degree of urgency and technical detail.
The Solana Status account referred to this as an 'emergency' release, including 'a series of critical patches' for validators on Mainnet Beta.
Within just one day, the public discussion shifted to a harder question: if a PoS network needs to coordinate upgrades in a short time, what happens when operators do not act in sync?

Arthur Hayes, the founder of BitMEX, has just given a new reason to believe that the price of Bitcoin still has a chance for a strong rally in 2026. This is a bold statement, especially in the context of recent price movements and market sentiment that does not truly support the possibility of a breakthrough.
However, according to Hayes, the real story of Bitcoin lies beyond the short-term fluctuations on the chart. He believes that macro factors are quietly shifting in favor of Bitcoin, and this change could be much more significant than the short-term fluctuations.

The price action of MYX Finance (MYX) is reflecting a notable shift in trader behavior. Buying power is gradually absorbing supply above, pushing the price up to $6.38 on January 24 and maintaining stability above the 7-day and 30-day simple moving averages (SMA) — a signal that the short-term trend is gradually leaning towards the bulls.
As the market structure improves, bears lose their advantage and no longer have enough strength to trigger deep corrections. This weakening has paved the way for bottom-fishing capital to enter, thereby reinforcing the current bullish momentum.

The cryptocurrency market is recovering: PUMP (Pump.fun) reinforces bullish prospects thanks to strong accumulation from 'whales'
As the cryptocurrency market gradually recovers, Pump.fun (PUMP) stands out with strong bullish expectations. This optimism comes not only from the potential price increase but is also reinforced by the large-scale accumulation moves from institutional investors (whales), adding confidence to the community.

After several weeks of sluggish trading, Zcash (ZEC) has just recorded a significant development. Since January 19, ZEC has increased nearly 15%, recovering from the bottom of $336 to around $362. Notably, this increase occurred just days after the bearish model was confirmed, which is often a time that traps short sellers.
On the surface, the price structure still harbors many risks. However, underneath, accumulation activity is quietly occurring strongly. Currently, the market's focus is on an important price threshold: Zcash is about 9% away from a key Fibonacci level, while also approaching the 100-day EMA. Whether the price can surpass this area will determine if this recovery is merely a technical bounce or the beginning of a real bullish trend.

The price of Cardano continues to rise, but the familiar scenario repeats. Since January 20, ADA has risen about 7%, at one point exceeding higher but then quickly stalled around $0.35. This is not a trend break; rather, it is just a brief recovery, lacking the momentum to maintain the upward trend.
There are three main reasons explaining why Cardano's price increases consistently fail, causing the market context to still not show many positive changes.

In theory, bitcoin is expected to benefit during periods of instability due to its characteristics as a scarce and hard-to-censor form of currency. However, in practice, this is the asset that investors sell first as pressures mount.
In the past week, as geopolitical tensions escalated following President Donald Trump's statements about the potential imposition of tariffs on NATO allies related to Greenland, along with speculation about military action in the Arctic region, financial markets collectively adjusted and volatility increased.

AI tokens in the cryptocurrency market have experienced a volatile week with a sharp downward trend. According to data from CoinMarketCap, most leading tokens in this group recorded significant declines in the past week.
Except for Story (IP) with a slight decrease of (-7.53%), all other tokens in the top 10 have dropped by double digits, with Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) recording the lowest decline of -16.84%.

The Nietzschean Penguin (PENGUIN) token, a memecoin launched on the Solana layer-1 blockchain, has recorded an impressive growth of about 564% after the White House posted a message on social media.
On Friday, the White House shared a photo on platform X of U.S. President Donald Trump holding hands with a penguin walking through the white snow, causing a stir in the online community and spreading rapidly.

Ethena (ENA) is facing strong downward pressure, falling to its lowest price range since the market crash on 10/10. After being resisted at the $0.25 mark, this altcoin continued to drop sharply to $0.17, reflecting immense selling pressure.
At the current time, ENA is trading around $0.17, down 20% compared to last week, extending a continuous decline over the past month. As ENA hit a new low, large investors — especially whales — quickly seized the opportunity to buy in.