Web3姑姑
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【金标会】币安第一公会共建者 Gold Standard Club, the Founding Co-builder of Binance's Top Guild！｜干活的女侠，不吵不闹，挖矿、撸毛、低吸，一天都不落，看过牛市的疯狂，也吃过熊市的灰。韭菜？不，我是割自己的手艺人，挖的是积分，炼的是心态。
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Today, have you become a ping shen ma again:
When the demand comes, you nod; when the task comes, you work overtime.
What Yi Ma Dang Xian wants to say is just one sentence——
Slow down, the world will not collapse. #一马当仙 #MEME #memecoin🚀🚀🚀
When the demand comes, you nod; when the task comes, you work overtime.
What Yi Ma Dang Xian wants to say is just one sentence——
Slow down, the world will not collapse. #一马当仙 #MEME #memecoin🚀🚀🚀
Let's chat together
赵英俊a
·
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[Ended] 🎙️ What did CZ talk about yesterday, and what information was revealed?
You're sending too fast, please wait a moment and try again
🔥 Still looking at K lines? This round of market trends has long been written in the White House.
Recently, a signal that is easily overlooked but actually affects the overall situation has emerged —
According to recent reports, Trump has hinted in public that he will nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, and he himself expects Warsh to be more inclined to cut interest rates than Powell.
This information sounds like a 'sleight of hand',
but what is truly worth pondering is not the names, but the direction of market expectations regarding monetary policy changes.
Let's first break down a layer of logic:
Current Chairman Powell has no inclination to cut interest rates.
In the past few meetings, the Federal Reserve has been very cautious regarding interest rates, and 'no rate cuts' has become the norm. Market expectations for rate cuts have also been suppressed to very low levels.
According to recent reports, Trump has hinted in public that he will nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, and he himself expects Warsh to be more inclined to cut interest rates than Powell.
This information sounds like a 'sleight of hand',
but what is truly worth pondering is not the names, but the direction of market expectations regarding monetary policy changes.
Let's first break down a layer of logic:
Current Chairman Powell has no inclination to cut interest rates.
In the past few meetings, the Federal Reserve has been very cautious regarding interest rates, and 'no rate cuts' has become the norm. Market expectations for rate cuts have also been suppressed to very low levels.
I actually resonated quite a bit when I first saw CZ's words
"Believe in yourself > Be swayed by others
Be responsible for your actions > Blame others"
These two sentences, when placed in the cryptocurrency circle, are almost a blood-and-tears summary.
In the first few years after entering the circle, to be honest, who wasn’t led by others?
A KOL's words, a chart from a community, a message in TG saying "we're taking off now",
my hand was already clicking to buy,
then it dropped——
I started looking for reasons, looking for someone to blame, looking for "who harmed me".
Later, I slowly discovered,
what truly turns people from retail investors into seasoned players,
wasn't how many times they made profits,
but the day you no longer need others to place orders for you.
Communities are originally meant for exchanging information and verifying understanding,
but too many people treat it as a "responsibility transfer device".
As long as it’s something seen in the group, said by the blogger, shouted by friends,
when losing money, one can casually say:
"It's not that I judged incorrectly, it's that he misled me."
But the market never buys this.
The confirmation button you click is you;
your drawdown is also your own.
I later found myself chasing "the hottest emotional communities" less and less,
it's not that they are useless,
but the higher the emotional density, the easier it is for them to make decisions for you.
A truly healthy community,
is not one that calls trades every day or creates idols every day,
but one where after you finish reading,
you can return more calmly to your own positions and your own logic.
As trading progresses, psychological changes become quite obvious:
Before:
👉 I hoped someone would tell me what to buy
Now:
👉 I hope someone can help me verify "Am I thinking wrong?"
What has changed in between is not the skills, but the sense of responsibility.
CZ's words are quite realistic in the current context——
When the market is bad,
the most dangerous thing is not the decline,
but when people begin to give up control over their own decisions.
Once you get used to being "swayed",
it becomes very difficult to stay steady when real opportunities arise.
Communities are important,
but they can only help you see yourself,
cannot walk for you.
Ultimately, the money you earn and the money you lose,
will become a part of your character.
This may be the most brutal,
but also the fairest aspect of the cryptocurrency world. #贵金属巨震 #美联储维持利率不变
"Believe in yourself > Be swayed by others
Be responsible for your actions > Blame others"
These two sentences, when placed in the cryptocurrency circle, are almost a blood-and-tears summary.
In the first few years after entering the circle, to be honest, who wasn’t led by others?
A KOL's words, a chart from a community, a message in TG saying "we're taking off now",
my hand was already clicking to buy,
then it dropped——
I started looking for reasons, looking for someone to blame, looking for "who harmed me".
Later, I slowly discovered,
what truly turns people from retail investors into seasoned players,
wasn't how many times they made profits,
but the day you no longer need others to place orders for you.
Communities are originally meant for exchanging information and verifying understanding,
but too many people treat it as a "responsibility transfer device".
As long as it’s something seen in the group, said by the blogger, shouted by friends,
when losing money, one can casually say:
"It's not that I judged incorrectly, it's that he misled me."
But the market never buys this.
The confirmation button you click is you;
your drawdown is also your own.
I later found myself chasing "the hottest emotional communities" less and less,
it's not that they are useless,
but the higher the emotional density, the easier it is for them to make decisions for you.
A truly healthy community,
is not one that calls trades every day or creates idols every day,
but one where after you finish reading,
you can return more calmly to your own positions and your own logic.
As trading progresses, psychological changes become quite obvious:
Before:
👉 I hoped someone would tell me what to buy
Now:
👉 I hope someone can help me verify "Am I thinking wrong?"
What has changed in between is not the skills, but the sense of responsibility.
CZ's words are quite realistic in the current context——
When the market is bad,
the most dangerous thing is not the decline,
but when people begin to give up control over their own decisions.
Once you get used to being "swayed",
it becomes very difficult to stay steady when real opportunities arise.
Communities are important,
but they can only help you see yourself,
cannot walk for you.
Ultimately, the money you earn and the money you lose,
will become a part of your character.
This may be the most brutal,
but also the fairest aspect of the cryptocurrency world. #贵金属巨震 #美联储维持利率不变
矿工托马斯
·
--
🔥Building Binance Square is everyone's responsibility. Tonight, my brother will be live streaming. @All brothers from the Yima Dangxian community, go support the first hand.#一马当仙
🚨 The Federal Reserve is about to change leadership, but no matter who takes over, the crypto circle will find it hard to maintain dignity.
The market in the past couple of days feels somewhat familiar yet a bit off.
The panic index has dropped to a very low range, with $BTC repeatedly testing around $82,000. It's not a kind of emotional meltdown, but rather a state of being 'held underwater, slowly exhausting oxygen.'
To be honest, this no longer feels like a market adjustment; it feels more like the system is preparing to restart.
January 30th is already a sensitive time—
On one side, Trump is set to announce a new Federal Reserve chair candidate.
On the other hand, Powell himself is entangled in a Department of Justice investigation, and the Federal Reserve for the first time seems so unlike an 'independent institution.'
The panic index has dropped to a very low range, with $BTC repeatedly testing around $82,000. It's not a kind of emotional meltdown, but rather a state of being 'held underwater, slowly exhausting oxygen.'
To be honest, this no longer feels like a market adjustment; it feels more like the system is preparing to restart.
January 30th is already a sensitive time—
On one side, Trump is set to announce a new Federal Reserve chair candidate.
On the other hand, Powell himself is entangled in a Department of Justice investigation, and the Federal Reserve for the first time seems so unlike an 'independent institution.'
⚠️ Gold and silver have stalled at high levels, and BTC has been dragged down: The market is transitioning from trend trading to short-term chaos.
Last night's market conditions were difficult to describe as "normal fluctuations."
Gold quickly plummeted from high levels, with an intraday volatility exceeding 400 dollars at one point, before being forcibly pulled back by capital; silver was even more extreme, with a maximum single-day decline close to 8%. Such a level of volatility would be considered fierce even in altcoins.
Meanwhile, $BTC also couldn't escape, momentarily breaking through the key support of 85,000+ during trading, with a clear damage to the short-term structure.
The issue isn't how much it has dropped, but rather that the behaviors of all assets are starting to converge.
Whether it's precious metals or cryptocurrencies, they are being rapidly sold off at the same time and then quickly bought back, indicating a shift in the market's dominant logic.
The previous market felt more like "patient capital slowly gambling,"
now it has clearly transformed into a short-term battlefield where it's fast in and out; those who are slow get hit.
Such market conditions usually indicate one thing:
Capital is no longer trying to bet on long-term directions but is instead responding to highly uncertain external variables. Geopolitical risks, policy expectations, and concentrated statements from influential figures have led to any asset that rises to a "sellable" level being preemptively cashed out.
So you will see a very counterintuitive picture:
Theoretically safe-haven assets are instead being used as liquidity tools.
In this structure, it is not surprising that Bitcoin is being dragged down.
When the market enters a stage of "exchanging speed for safety," BTC is no longer a hedging tool but resembles an emotion amplifier—kicked when it falls and quickly snatched away during rebounds.
This is not a failure of a particular asset,
but rather a typical signal that the market as a whole is retreating from a "trend phase" back to a "defensive phase."
In such an environment, the most important thing is not to judge long or short correctness but to recognize one point:
What matters now is not the direction but whether you can survive this wave of volatility.
When gold and silver experience 400 dollar-level fluctuations, silver has an 8% daily volatility, and BTC simultaneously loses key levels, it indicates that the market is no longer telling stories but is instead conducting a stress test.
#贵金属巨震 #下任美联储主席会是谁？ #加密市场回调
Last night's market conditions were difficult to describe as "normal fluctuations."
Gold quickly plummeted from high levels, with an intraday volatility exceeding 400 dollars at one point, before being forcibly pulled back by capital; silver was even more extreme, with a maximum single-day decline close to 8%. Such a level of volatility would be considered fierce even in altcoins.
Meanwhile, $BTC also couldn't escape, momentarily breaking through the key support of 85,000+ during trading, with a clear damage to the short-term structure.
The issue isn't how much it has dropped, but rather that the behaviors of all assets are starting to converge.
Whether it's precious metals or cryptocurrencies, they are being rapidly sold off at the same time and then quickly bought back, indicating a shift in the market's dominant logic.
The previous market felt more like "patient capital slowly gambling,"
now it has clearly transformed into a short-term battlefield where it's fast in and out; those who are slow get hit.
Such market conditions usually indicate one thing:
Capital is no longer trying to bet on long-term directions but is instead responding to highly uncertain external variables. Geopolitical risks, policy expectations, and concentrated statements from influential figures have led to any asset that rises to a "sellable" level being preemptively cashed out.
So you will see a very counterintuitive picture:
Theoretically safe-haven assets are instead being used as liquidity tools.
In this structure, it is not surprising that Bitcoin is being dragged down.
When the market enters a stage of "exchanging speed for safety," BTC is no longer a hedging tool but resembles an emotion amplifier—kicked when it falls and quickly snatched away during rebounds.
This is not a failure of a particular asset,
but rather a typical signal that the market as a whole is retreating from a "trend phase" back to a "defensive phase."
In such an environment, the most important thing is not to judge long or short correctness but to recognize one point:
What matters now is not the direction but whether you can survive this wave of volatility.
When gold and silver experience 400 dollar-level fluctuations, silver has an 8% daily volatility, and BTC simultaneously loses key levels, it indicates that the market is no longer telling stories but is instead conducting a stress test.
#贵金属巨震 #下任美联储主席会是谁？ #加密市场回调
Bitcoin has been scared into a plunge: 85K support has broken, geopolitical tension + Fed hawkishness have all come into play!
Just saw the latest market situation, BTC suddenly dropped straight down from close to 90K, losing the 85,000 USD mark in one go, setting a new low in recent weeks. Other mainstream coins also fell along with it, not an isolated phenomenon.
This drop, while simple, is not so simple; it is the result of multiple pressures stacking:
First, geopolitical risks are on the rise.
The U.S. is increasing troops in the Middle East, and the situation in Iran is tense; such events often lead to funds retreating from risk assets and flowing into traditional safe havens like gold and bonds. This pressure directly reflects on the crypto market.
Second, the Federal Reserve continues to maintain a hawkish stance.
The FOMC did not give any dovish signals, meaning expectations for easing continue to be suppressed. Coupled with the fact that employment and inflation have not shown obvious softening, the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates has further compressed risk appetite.
Third, long positions are being liquidated, amplifying the drop.
Trading volume surged, and leveraged positions were rapidly cleared. The pullback is not without logic; it occurs under conditions of no support levels + capital leaving the market.
In summary, market sentiment is:
It is not that BTC has lost value, but rather that "risk assets have perished under safe-haven sentiment."
It is important to note that Bitcoin sometimes does not act as "digital gold" during extreme risk aversion periods, and instead is sold off first because it still belongs to high-risk assets. Many times, the true safe-haven entry is not BTC, but gold, U.S. dollar bonds, and physical assets.
Structurally, this pullback also exposes one thing:
The short-term market is actually very sensitive to macro rhythms.
Risk events stacking + liquidity expectations shrinking = liquidity fleeing.
BTC is also uncomfortable when it does not drop, as short-term funds retreat first.
So what needs to be focused on now is not "how much it has dropped,"
but rather the next two things:
Will macro safe-haven sentiment continue to rise?
When and how will the Fed truly change monetary policy expectations?
This drop is not the "end of the world,"
but rather a panic correction after the market fluctuated at high levels.
Whether the market can stabilize depends on the repricing of macro liquidity and risk appetite.
BTC has not been defeated,
but it is simply not its time to "speak."
#BTC #加密市场观察 #美国伊朗对峙
Just saw the latest market situation, BTC suddenly dropped straight down from close to 90K, losing the 85,000 USD mark in one go, setting a new low in recent weeks. Other mainstream coins also fell along with it, not an isolated phenomenon.
This drop, while simple, is not so simple; it is the result of multiple pressures stacking:
First, geopolitical risks are on the rise.
The U.S. is increasing troops in the Middle East, and the situation in Iran is tense; such events often lead to funds retreating from risk assets and flowing into traditional safe havens like gold and bonds. This pressure directly reflects on the crypto market.
Second, the Federal Reserve continues to maintain a hawkish stance.
The FOMC did not give any dovish signals, meaning expectations for easing continue to be suppressed. Coupled with the fact that employment and inflation have not shown obvious softening, the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates has further compressed risk appetite.
Third, long positions are being liquidated, amplifying the drop.
Trading volume surged, and leveraged positions were rapidly cleared. The pullback is not without logic; it occurs under conditions of no support levels + capital leaving the market.
In summary, market sentiment is:
It is not that BTC has lost value, but rather that "risk assets have perished under safe-haven sentiment."
It is important to note that Bitcoin sometimes does not act as "digital gold" during extreme risk aversion periods, and instead is sold off first because it still belongs to high-risk assets. Many times, the true safe-haven entry is not BTC, but gold, U.S. dollar bonds, and physical assets.
Structurally, this pullback also exposes one thing:
The short-term market is actually very sensitive to macro rhythms.
Risk events stacking + liquidity expectations shrinking = liquidity fleeing.
BTC is also uncomfortable when it does not drop, as short-term funds retreat first.
So what needs to be focused on now is not "how much it has dropped,"
but rather the next two things:
Will macro safe-haven sentiment continue to rise?
When and how will the Fed truly change monetary policy expectations?
This drop is not the "end of the world,"
but rather a panic correction after the market fluctuated at high levels.
Whether the market can stabilize depends on the repricing of macro liquidity and risk appetite.
BTC has not been defeated,
but it is simply not its time to "speak."
#BTC #加密市场观察 #美国伊朗对峙
🚨 Trump challenges the Federal Reserve: Cut rates immediately! Powell is not appreciative, and the crypto market has to wait?
The recent Federal Reserve meeting was as expected——the interest rate remains unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, and Powell did not provide a clear signal for further rate cuts. This outcome was almost a certainty in market pricing, but the subsequent political dynamics exploded: Trump publicly called on the Federal Reserve to “cut rates immediately,” and stated that Powell was “moving too slowly,” believing that rate cuts are the way to revive the economy and the market.
This scene is a bit like this👇
The Federal Reserve said:
“We are observing, and there is no urgency to change interest rates.”
And Trump said:
“Cut! Cut immediately! Don't wait any longer!”
This scene is a bit like this👇
The Federal Reserve said:
“We are observing, and there is no urgency to change interest rates.”
And Trump said:
“Cut! Cut immediately! Don't wait any longer!”
🚨 The US employment signal has raised a "question mark", but Bitcoin remains unmoved? This is the true test of market patience!\n\nThe recently released data on initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US shows—\n209,000 people, higher than the market expectation of 205,000 people, with the previous value also revised up.\nThis indicates that the labor market is actually not weaker than expected, but rather shows slight signs of being tight. \n\nIn the macro context, this is significant:\nStronger-than-expected employment data usually weakens market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.\nIn other words— the possibility of interest rates continuing to consolidate at high levels has been further amplified. \n\nBut what is more intriguing is not the data itself, but the market's reaction:\n\nBitcoin's price has shown almost no significant reaction.\nAfter the data was released, BTC fluctuated slightly around $88,000, but did not rise sharply nor was it scared into a sell-off. \n\nWhat does this indicate?\nIt's simple:\nWhat truly determines the market is not a single piece of data, but rather the "expectations and psychological boundaries".\n\nThe market now seems to be saying—\nThe report hitting back is not bad news\nThe linkage between stocks and bonds is unclear\nThose so-called "bullish/bearish" sentiments have been over-discussed\n\nIn this state, BTC has become a "patience tester":\nAs long as capital does not have a clear direction or intense emotions, the price will not fluctuate wildly.\nThe inability to rise is because the market is waiting for a "more certain rhythm",\nThe inability to drop indicates that "short-term panic is still being digested".\n\nTo be honest, this situation is something seasoned traders often encounter:\nBig data events themselves do not determine the market, but rather how the market interprets them.\n\nThis time, stronger employment data indicates that the labor market does not urgently need policy easing;\nIt essentially pushes back the expectations for interest rate cuts a bit further.\nAnd since the macro context is not responsive, capital naturally is not in a hurry to bet on high-volatility assets—\nBTC/crypto has become the kind of **field that requires "more critical catalysts" to truly mobilize.\n\nMore job positions ≠ Bitcoin about to explode,\nBTC is a patience game, not a fast commentary tool shouting directions every day.\n\nThis week, don't rush to focus on prices; paying attention to changes in expectations will be much more useful than watching candlestick charts.\n\n#美联储维持利率不变 #加密市场观察 #金价再冲高位 \n\n
🐳 Whale doesn't look at price? XRP 'Millionaire Wallet' counter-trend signal is here
To put it bluntly: prices are falling, but smart money is quietly buying. This is not a sensational headline, but a genuine signal from on-chain data.
The latest Santiment data shows:
The number of wallets holding at least 1 million XRP has seen its first increase at the beginning of 2026—marking the first recovery since last September.
Since January 1, this category of 'big holders' has net increased by 42 wallets, ending the previous four-month declining trend.
Even though the XRP price has slightly dropped by about 4% since the beginning of the year, large holdings are flowing back against the trend.
What’s the rhythm here?
It's simple: when mainstream retail investors and emotional traders are scared by the drop, the truly strong players are “scooping up chips” at low prices.
What’s even more interesting is that the 'smart money' is not only the number of wallets returning but also the data showing sustained accumulation actions over the past period is increasing. In other words, it’s not a coincidence, but a rhythm of long-term layout.
Many people focus on price when they are bearish,
but truly seasoned individuals look at:
👉 Who is acting?
👉 Where is the money going?
And today on-chain data shows:
Prices are struggling, but powerful players have not given up.
It’s like the market is quietly doing two things:
Retail investors are running out first to shake off positions
Big holders are slowly rebuilding their positions when prices are not high
This type of structure often appears in the 'bottom accumulation phase' of many assets:
When price is no longer the only signal, capital flow and big holder behavior are the real signals.
Overall, prices may be grinding down, but the behavior of strong players is the true power comparison worth paying attention to.
The short-term weakness of XRP does not equate to long-term denial,
rather it may be a phase of accumulation and rebuilding chips.
This signal is not 'bragging',
but rather real substantial data from on-chain is speaking. #美联储维持利率不变 #加密市场观察 #黄金比特币联动行情能走多远？
To put it bluntly: prices are falling, but smart money is quietly buying. This is not a sensational headline, but a genuine signal from on-chain data.
The latest Santiment data shows:
The number of wallets holding at least 1 million XRP has seen its first increase at the beginning of 2026—marking the first recovery since last September.
Since January 1, this category of 'big holders' has net increased by 42 wallets, ending the previous four-month declining trend.
Even though the XRP price has slightly dropped by about 4% since the beginning of the year, large holdings are flowing back against the trend.
What’s the rhythm here?
It's simple: when mainstream retail investors and emotional traders are scared by the drop, the truly strong players are “scooping up chips” at low prices.
What’s even more interesting is that the 'smart money' is not only the number of wallets returning but also the data showing sustained accumulation actions over the past period is increasing. In other words, it’s not a coincidence, but a rhythm of long-term layout.
Many people focus on price when they are bearish,
but truly seasoned individuals look at:
👉 Who is acting?
👉 Where is the money going?
And today on-chain data shows:
Prices are struggling, but powerful players have not given up.
It’s like the market is quietly doing two things:
Retail investors are running out first to shake off positions
Big holders are slowly rebuilding their positions when prices are not high
This type of structure often appears in the 'bottom accumulation phase' of many assets:
When price is no longer the only signal, capital flow and big holder behavior are the real signals.
Overall, prices may be grinding down, but the behavior of strong players is the true power comparison worth paying attention to.
The short-term weakness of XRP does not equate to long-term denial,
rather it may be a phase of accumulation and rebuilding chips.
This signal is not 'bragging',
but rather real substantial data from on-chain is speaking. #美联储维持利率不变 #加密市场观察 #黄金比特币联动行情能走多远？
Interest rates remain unchanged, but the pattern has changed: Gold is popping champagne, while crypto is waiting for a lifebuoy
The Federal Reserve chose to 'do nothing' this time, keeping interest rates at 3.75%. The market has actually digested this long ago.
But the interesting thing is — after the decision was announced, the direction of the money became even clearer.
To put it simply about the current situation:
Hot money did not enter the crypto circle, but went directly to precious metals.
Recently, the trends of gold and silver are very telling:
It’s not a pulse, it’s continuity;
It’s not emotion, it’s a choice at the funding level.
The logic behind this is not complicated — when uncertainty rises, funds will first seek the 'least need for explanation' destinations.
But the interesting thing is — after the decision was announced, the direction of the money became even clearer.
To put it simply about the current situation:
Hot money did not enter the crypto circle, but went directly to precious metals.
Recently, the trends of gold and silver are very telling:
It’s not a pulse, it’s continuity;
It’s not emotion, it’s a choice at the funding level.
The logic behind this is not complicated — when uncertainty rises, funds will first seek the 'least need for explanation' destinations.
🚨 Is Bitcoin being dragged into the geopolitical storm again? Trump issues a stern warning to Iran, what will happen to the crypto market?
U.S. President Trump warned Iran: "Time is running out," or they may face a military action more severe than ever before, while gathering a large military presence in the Middle East, creating a tense atmosphere. Although actual negotiations between the two sides are not smooth, this heightened rhetoric risk has undoubtedly been transmitted through market sentiment to risk assets, including Bitcoin.
We have to say this directly, it's not a question of whether it should logically affect the market, but rather a resonance amplification at the psychological level of the market:
When tensions between major powers are escalating, risk-averse sentiment will first gravitate towards traditional gold and emerging safe-haven assets, while BTC/risk assets are often the first to be 'priced in fear.' In the past few geopolitical pressure periods, we have also seen a similar structure—prices fall first, and then hot news comes to explain.
We have to say this directly, it's not a question of whether it should logically affect the market, but rather a resonance amplification at the psychological level of the market:
When tensions between major powers are escalating, risk-averse sentiment will first gravitate towards traditional gold and emerging safe-haven assets, while BTC/risk assets are often the first to be 'priced in fear.' In the past few geopolitical pressure periods, we have also seen a similar structure—prices fall first, and then hot news comes to explain.
🔥Powell's appearance tomorrow: will it ignite the market or will there be another "big showdown"?
The key event for the Federal Reserve this week is no longer about the "interest rate numbers themselves", but rather how Powell will speak!
Just when everyone thought there wasn't much to anticipate from this Fed meeting, the Chairman's speech became the market's most sensitive trigger. The market is not only focused on the policy itself but is also waiting for that invisible directional cue.
Why is this speech worth paying attention to?
Everyone has basically factored in unchanged interest rates, and currently, the market's probability of a rate cut is very low; more people are waiting for a hint of "rate cuts/no rate cuts in the coming months". This kind of "directional expectation signal" may even have a greater impact on BTC/crypto market sentiment than the interest rate decision itself.
From past experiences, a single word from Powell can cause the market direction to swing drastically —
📉 Sometimes, a hawkish tone can directly push risk assets down;
📈 Mentioning "monitoring inflation progress and possibly being more flexible in the future" could instantaneously strengthen risk assets.
Such scenarios have occurred before:
When Powell hinted at a potential rate cut, BTC/ETH experienced noticeable rebounds; conversely, cautious wording can lead to a swift retracement in market sentiment.
Key points to note:
Market sentiment is sensitive — it's not just about the outcome, but how he "says it".
U.S. stocks, bond markets, and the dollar index are all waiting for this signal;
BTC/ETH is consolidating at critical price levels, and a shift in sentiment could amplify quickly.
Overall, this is not just an ordinary speech but an opportunity for "surfing on short-term market sentiment".
It could determine whether the next phase is "quiet consolidation" or "a large volatility driven by emotional release".
So in the coming days, don’t just focus on the price; paying attention to changes in expectations and wording is more important than just watching price levels.
When Powell's words come out, it’s very likely that a new rhythm will emerge. #美联储利率决议 #加密市场观察
The key event for the Federal Reserve this week is no longer about the "interest rate numbers themselves", but rather how Powell will speak!
Just when everyone thought there wasn't much to anticipate from this Fed meeting, the Chairman's speech became the market's most sensitive trigger. The market is not only focused on the policy itself but is also waiting for that invisible directional cue.
Why is this speech worth paying attention to?
Everyone has basically factored in unchanged interest rates, and currently, the market's probability of a rate cut is very low; more people are waiting for a hint of "rate cuts/no rate cuts in the coming months". This kind of "directional expectation signal" may even have a greater impact on BTC/crypto market sentiment than the interest rate decision itself.
From past experiences, a single word from Powell can cause the market direction to swing drastically —
📉 Sometimes, a hawkish tone can directly push risk assets down;
📈 Mentioning "monitoring inflation progress and possibly being more flexible in the future" could instantaneously strengthen risk assets.
Such scenarios have occurred before:
When Powell hinted at a potential rate cut, BTC/ETH experienced noticeable rebounds; conversely, cautious wording can lead to a swift retracement in market sentiment.
Key points to note:
Market sentiment is sensitive — it's not just about the outcome, but how he "says it".
U.S. stocks, bond markets, and the dollar index are all waiting for this signal;
BTC/ETH is consolidating at critical price levels, and a shift in sentiment could amplify quickly.
Overall, this is not just an ordinary speech but an opportunity for "surfing on short-term market sentiment".
It could determine whether the next phase is "quiet consolidation" or "a large volatility driven by emotional release".
So in the coming days, don’t just focus on the price; paying attention to changes in expectations and wording is more important than just watching price levels.
When Powell's words come out, it’s very likely that a new rhythm will emerge. #美联储利率决议 #加密市场观察
📉 The US dollar hits a four-year low, gold surges past historical records - has Bitcoin been sidelined to "puberty"? 🔥
The latest macro trends are quite exciting: the dollar index has fallen to its lowest point in four years, while gold has skyrocketed to historic highs, often exceeding $5,000/ounce. This scenario of "hard currency frenzy" is strongly impacting market fund preferences.
Typically, when the dollar weakens and safe-haven demand surges, BTC, as the "digital gold," should step up. However, recently its price has been fluctuating within a narrow range, even underperforming gold, giving the impression that:
Gold has directly boarded the lifeboat, while Bitcoin is still on shore tying its shoelaces.
The logic behind this is quite realistic:
US debt/fiscal risks and expectations of a government shutdown have led many funds to rush towards "safer assets";
Institutions and traditional investors are more accustomed to using physical gold and precious metals for hedging rather than high-volatility assets;
BTC, in the face of such extreme risk-averse sentiment, may be temporarily marginalized rather than immediately surging.
Interestingly, analysts like Tom Lee point out that:
👉 Historically, a significant rise in gold often signals a rebound opportunity for risk assets - this also applies to Bitcoin.
This means that when funds first rush towards precious metals for safety, after the panic sentiment gradually dissipates, BTC is likely to experience a true "rebound".
In simple terms, the current gold surge doesn't imply that Bitcoin lacks value; rather, it might be "resetting" market sentiment first. Once the risk-averse sentiment decreases, Bitcoin may truly regain the initiative in the "digital gold" narrative.
🔥 This structure is more worth observing than just focusing on prices:
Is the dollar weak or not? It directly affects fund flows.
Is gold rising or not? It represents market panic levels.
How is BTC moving in between? That's the real market signal.
This isn't about "BTC losing to gold,"
but rather the changing logic of fund preferences under extreme uncertainty.
When the dollar falls below multi-year lows and gold skyrockets, Bitcoin being marginalized in the short term is not unusual -
The real story is not the short-term performance, but the shift in the logic of fund layering.
#黄金行情 #比特币 #加密市场观察
The latest macro trends are quite exciting: the dollar index has fallen to its lowest point in four years, while gold has skyrocketed to historic highs, often exceeding $5,000/ounce. This scenario of "hard currency frenzy" is strongly impacting market fund preferences.
Typically, when the dollar weakens and safe-haven demand surges, BTC, as the "digital gold," should step up. However, recently its price has been fluctuating within a narrow range, even underperforming gold, giving the impression that:
Gold has directly boarded the lifeboat, while Bitcoin is still on shore tying its shoelaces.
The logic behind this is quite realistic:
US debt/fiscal risks and expectations of a government shutdown have led many funds to rush towards "safer assets";
Institutions and traditional investors are more accustomed to using physical gold and precious metals for hedging rather than high-volatility assets;
BTC, in the face of such extreme risk-averse sentiment, may be temporarily marginalized rather than immediately surging.
Interestingly, analysts like Tom Lee point out that:
👉 Historically, a significant rise in gold often signals a rebound opportunity for risk assets - this also applies to Bitcoin.
This means that when funds first rush towards precious metals for safety, after the panic sentiment gradually dissipates, BTC is likely to experience a true "rebound".
In simple terms, the current gold surge doesn't imply that Bitcoin lacks value; rather, it might be "resetting" market sentiment first. Once the risk-averse sentiment decreases, Bitcoin may truly regain the initiative in the "digital gold" narrative.
🔥 This structure is more worth observing than just focusing on prices:
Is the dollar weak or not? It directly affects fund flows.
Is gold rising or not? It represents market panic levels.
How is BTC moving in between? That's the real market signal.
This isn't about "BTC losing to gold,"
but rather the changing logic of fund preferences under extreme uncertainty.
When the dollar falls below multi-year lows and gold skyrockets, Bitcoin being marginalized in the short term is not unusual -
The real story is not the short-term performance, but the shift in the logic of fund layering.
#黄金行情 #比特币 #加密市场观察
🔥This week is not an ordinary 'market week' — it is a real risk game week!
There are two things in the market that cannot be avoided:
Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on January 29
Earnings reports from the 'big seven' in U.S. stocks are being released intensively.
What will happen when these two events are squeezed into the same week?
It's not just a simple price rebound or correction, but rather the pace at which risk appetite is being completely 'repriced' in the short term.
To put it simply, the current market is like walking a tightrope.
On one side, macro liquidity expectations need to be recalibrated - the market has almost pushed the probability of a rate cut in January to a low level, and the Federal Reserve is more likely to maintain interest rates unchanged, or even convey hawkish signals, which would directly undermine the valuation basis of risk assets.
Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on January 29
Earnings reports from the 'big seven' in U.S. stocks are being released intensively.
What will happen when these two events are squeezed into the same week?
It's not just a simple price rebound or correction, but rather the pace at which risk appetite is being completely 'repriced' in the short term.
To put it simply, the current market is like walking a tightrope.
On one side, macro liquidity expectations need to be recalibrated - the market has almost pushed the probability of a rate cut in January to a low level, and the Federal Reserve is more likely to maintain interest rates unchanged, or even convey hawkish signals, which would directly undermine the valuation basis of risk assets.
🔥 Trump had a spark of genius: using cryptocurrency to "revive the American economy"? Is Bitcoin set to take the U.S. to new heights? 🚀🚀
This is no joke; it's a series of public statements and actions from Trump regarding cryptocurrency strategy over the past period—he even suggested including Bitcoin and Ethereum in the national strategic reserves, aiming to make the U.S. the "global crypto capital." Such imagination is explosive.
According to the officially released executive order, the U.S. is indeed advancing its strategic Bitcoin reserve and digital asset reserves, retaining confiscated Bitcoin as reserve assets instead of selling them, and plans to make BTC and ETH part of the national digital asset inventory.
Once this was announced, Bitcoin surged over 10%, and the entire crypto market was collectively boosted in a short time—even with subsequent price pullbacks.
🤔 More interestingly, the Trump team has clearly positioned these views and policies in opposition to the last administration: during that old guy Biden's time, there was more scrutiny and crackdown on crypto, whereas now these "new toys" are to be treated as strategic assets. Many have remarked that this idea at least represents a trend—moving digital assets from being marginal speculative tools to the macro decision-making level.
Of course, there are many controversies surrounding this proposition.
Some doubt whether this is wishful thinking; others are concerned about how to link Bitcoin to national debt; some feel this is more of a political slogan... But regardless, this wave of signals has already sufficiently stimulated the market's imaginative space.
🚩 Bitcoin is not a 'private plaything'—if policy truly treats it as a national strategy reserve, that would be a transformative signal for the entire crypto ecosystem.
Will this really come to fruition?
Can BTC genuinely help the U.S. "take off"?
Stay tuned, keep discussing, and follow the rhythm! 😂😂
#特朗普立场 #加密市场观察
This is no joke; it's a series of public statements and actions from Trump regarding cryptocurrency strategy over the past period—he even suggested including Bitcoin and Ethereum in the national strategic reserves, aiming to make the U.S. the "global crypto capital." Such imagination is explosive.
According to the officially released executive order, the U.S. is indeed advancing its strategic Bitcoin reserve and digital asset reserves, retaining confiscated Bitcoin as reserve assets instead of selling them, and plans to make BTC and ETH part of the national digital asset inventory.
Once this was announced, Bitcoin surged over 10%, and the entire crypto market was collectively boosted in a short time—even with subsequent price pullbacks.
🤔 More interestingly, the Trump team has clearly positioned these views and policies in opposition to the last administration: during that old guy Biden's time, there was more scrutiny and crackdown on crypto, whereas now these "new toys" are to be treated as strategic assets. Many have remarked that this idea at least represents a trend—moving digital assets from being marginal speculative tools to the macro decision-making level.
Of course, there are many controversies surrounding this proposition.
Some doubt whether this is wishful thinking; others are concerned about how to link Bitcoin to national debt; some feel this is more of a political slogan... But regardless, this wave of signals has already sufficiently stimulated the market's imaginative space.
🚩 Bitcoin is not a 'private plaything'—if policy truly treats it as a national strategy reserve, that would be a transformative signal for the entire crypto ecosystem.
Will this really come to fruition?
Can BTC genuinely help the U.S. "take off"?
Stay tuned, keep discussing, and follow the rhythm! 😂😂
#特朗普立场 #加密市场观察
The familiar plot has returned: As the encryption bill is about to advance, political issues have already derailed it.
The U.S. Senate is working on the encryption bill again, but this time the rhythm is somewhat 'mixed feelings'.
The originally planned early review of the encryption market structure bill (markup) has been pushed to January 29 due to the impending risk of government shutdown. This means the anticipated progress has been slowed down.
This situation sounds like 'political routine', but for the crypto world, there are actually two obvious layers of logic behind it:
The regulatory process is still moving — but the rhythm is fragmented.
The framework known as the 'Digital Asset Market Clarity Act' has been discussed and revised multiple times. It attempts to clarify who regulates the spot market, how to define 'digital commodities', and how to allocate roles between the CFTC and SEC. Over the past few weeks, other Senate committees have actually been advancing revision hearings, but have repeatedly delayed due to politics, weather, or procedures.
The risk of government shutdown is still a looming threat.
With the government funding deadline approaching, if a shutdown occurs, many tasks of U.S. regulatory agencies will be temporarily frozen. For legislation like crypto that requires inter-departmental collaboration, the uncertainty brought by a shutdown directly impacts the pace of advancement.
In plain terms, this situation is somewhat like two extreme forces in the market pulling in opposite directions:
👉 Mainstream political forces hope to incorporate crypto into a clearer institutional framework,
👉 But political deadlock, shutdown risks, and procedural delays are slowing down the pace.
For those of us who watch the market daily, there are a few practical impacts:
Short-term sentiment is unstable — legislation being delayed makes the market uncomfortable with an 'uncertain future'.
But the long-term logic hasn’t changed — a clear regulatory direction is much stronger than 'no regulation'.
Funds always feel uncertainty first — before pricing the future.
Overall, the good news is that the bill hasn’t been scrapped; the not-so-good news is that it’s not yet ready to be approved.
It’s like 'high position fluctuations' in the market — the trend direction hasn’t changed, but the short-term rhythm is still being tossed around.
At this stage, rather than focusing on short-term ups and downs, it’s more worthwhile to observe: Who is pushing towards a clear system? Who is delaying? Sometimes, this can determine how funds flow more than simply saying 'the bill is advancing'. #加密市场观察 #加密法案
The U.S. Senate is working on the encryption bill again, but this time the rhythm is somewhat 'mixed feelings'.
The originally planned early review of the encryption market structure bill (markup) has been pushed to January 29 due to the impending risk of government shutdown. This means the anticipated progress has been slowed down.
This situation sounds like 'political routine', but for the crypto world, there are actually two obvious layers of logic behind it:
The regulatory process is still moving — but the rhythm is fragmented.
The framework known as the 'Digital Asset Market Clarity Act' has been discussed and revised multiple times. It attempts to clarify who regulates the spot market, how to define 'digital commodities', and how to allocate roles between the CFTC and SEC. Over the past few weeks, other Senate committees have actually been advancing revision hearings, but have repeatedly delayed due to politics, weather, or procedures.
The risk of government shutdown is still a looming threat.
With the government funding deadline approaching, if a shutdown occurs, many tasks of U.S. regulatory agencies will be temporarily frozen. For legislation like crypto that requires inter-departmental collaboration, the uncertainty brought by a shutdown directly impacts the pace of advancement.
In plain terms, this situation is somewhat like two extreme forces in the market pulling in opposite directions:
👉 Mainstream political forces hope to incorporate crypto into a clearer institutional framework,
👉 But political deadlock, shutdown risks, and procedural delays are slowing down the pace.
For those of us who watch the market daily, there are a few practical impacts:
Short-term sentiment is unstable — legislation being delayed makes the market uncomfortable with an 'uncertain future'.
But the long-term logic hasn’t changed — a clear regulatory direction is much stronger than 'no regulation'.
Funds always feel uncertainty first — before pricing the future.
Overall, the good news is that the bill hasn’t been scrapped; the not-so-good news is that it’s not yet ready to be approved.
It’s like 'high position fluctuations' in the market — the trend direction hasn’t changed, but the short-term rhythm is still being tossed around.
At this stage, rather than focusing on short-term ups and downs, it’s more worthwhile to observe: Who is pushing towards a clear system? Who is delaying? Sometimes, this can determine how funds flow more than simply saying 'the bill is advancing'. #加密市场观察 #加密法案
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