usyield

The US 10-year yield just crossed 5.3%. The last time it paid this much, Bitcoin did not exist. 📉

On September 30 the 10-year broke through 5.3%, and on Thursday it touched 5.34%, its highest level since 2002. It has now passed even the 2007 peak that came right before the financial crisis. The 30-year is above 5.6%.

The cause is simple: the government is issuing enormous amounts of debt, inflation is sticky, and the Fed hiked on September 16 for the first time since 2023.

When the safest asset on earth pays 5.3%, every risky asset has to justify its price. Crypto is rallying straight into that headwind, and October will show whether that is conviction or a stress test.

DYOR 🚀

#USYield #Treasury #Bitcoin #Sulaiman零号猎人
#us10yearyieldnears5.3%

**US 10Y yield at 4.4%.** ☠️

6 basis points from the level
that has forced Trump's hand 4 times. ⚡

The pattern is undeniable — 💣

**April 2025 → 4.5%**
Trump announces 90-day tariff pause.
"Bond market getting a little yippy."
Yields drop. Stocks explode. 🎯

**May 2025 → 4.5%**
Trump announces China trade deal framework.
Yields drop. Market rips higher. 🌍

**July 2025 → 4.5%**
US-China tariff extension announced.
Yields drop. Market rallies. 💣

**March 2026 → 4.5%**
US-Iran ceasefire announced.
Yields drop. S&P hits ATH. 🎯

Four times. Same level. Same outcome.
Every single time. 🌍

Traders call it the **TACO trade.**
Trump Always Chickens Out. ☠️

Now at 4.40%.
6 basis points away. 📉

BOJ intervening. Selling Treasuries.
Iran nuclear deadlock continuing.
Bond market stressed. 💣

The question isn't IF something gets announced.
**It's WHAT gets announced this time.** 🎯

Iran deal? 🕊️
Trade concession? 📋
New ceasefire extension? 🔄

Something is coming.
It always does at 4.5%. 🌍

Watch the 10Y.
Not the headlines.
**The yield tells you first.** 📈

Positioned for the announcement? 👇

#Bonds #USYield #TACO #Trump #Macro #BreakingNews #Markets #Bitcoin #SP500 #Geopolitics