predictionmarket

Kalshi’s $5B volume story is getting harder to ignore.

Beni spotted thousands of $ETH perpetual trades clustered around the same ~$5,500 size.

Then the story got bigger.

More than $5B in recent volume came from trades around that size.

Kalshi says it was driven by market-making incentives and denies wash trading.

The CFTC is reportedly examining the activity.

But this is where @Polymarket becomes an interesting comparison.

Most people look at prediction markets through one number.

Volume.

Traders look deeper.

How much liquidity is actually available?

How wide are the spreads?

How many participants are behind the activity?

And most importantly, is the market producing useful price discovery?

That is why Polymarket deserves attention in this conversation.

The prediction market race is not simply about who can show the biggest volume.

It is about the quality of the market behind the number.

And that is a much harder metric to fake.

#Polymarket #kalshi #predictionmarket

11 Democratic senators team up to pressure the government to hold a hearing on the prediction market—just after the Republicans wrapped up a closed-door roundtable, the Democrats immediately said no, we want in too.🪑 Good news: the prediction market arena has officially moved onto Washington’s chessboard, and a leading player like Polymarket will inevitably be repeatedly pulled out for discussion. Once regulators take it seriously, the risk-reward picture becomes clearer.

$POLY #PredictionMarket

CFTC Warns of Manipulation Risk in Prediction Markets

- The CFTC warns that the 'mention market' prediction contract carries a high risk of manipulation
- Manipulative risk is strongly emphasized for the cryptocurrency market
- This affects transparency and protects investors
#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #PredictionMarket #CFTC #Regulation

$btc $eth

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Source: The Block

CFTC warns about high-risk prediction market "mention" contracts! Someone previously made over $100k trading prediction contracts based on Trump speech content. Regulators have swung the big stick at prediction markets—DeFi players beware! #DeFi #PredictionMarket $UMA

CFTC just issued a warning over risky prediction market 'mention' contracts! This comes after someone made over $100k trading Trump speech prediction contracts. Regulatory crackdown on prediction markets is heating up! #DeFi #PredictionMarket $UMA

The financial prediction market is expected to reach $10 trillion by 2035

- Bernstein forecasts that the global prediction market volume will reach $10 trillion by 2035.
- The key driver is the expansion of financial assets in the prediction market.
- The financial market is expected to surpass the traditional sports market in the future.
#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #PredictionMarket

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Source: The Block

🚨 JUST IN: Polymarket traders are pricing in an 83% chance of a Trump–Greenland deal being signed by September 23. 🇺🇸🇬🇱

Markets are watching closely. 👀📊

#Trump #Greenland #Polymarket #PredictionMarket #Crypto #BinanceSquare

#yahoofinanceendspolymarketpartnership
💔 Is there anything more heartbreaking than a high-profile breakup? Yahoo Finance has swept Polymarket to the left! 😢📉
The exclusive partnership they built last November to showcase prediction data has officially ended. In fact, Yahoo quietly removed Polymarket’s tool in April! Yahoo says they’re “just friends” now (they’re still ad partners), but Polymarket is completely silent. Alexa, play “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together”! 🎶
Even with the stumble between Web2 and Web3, Polymarket remains king of prediction markets. Breakups are tough, but blockchain keeps moving forward! 🏃‍♂️💨
🛒 What should traders do?
Don’t rush to sell your prediction tokens out of fear! Bet on the technology, not corporate drama. Use this dip as a strategic intervention if you believe in the sector! 🧠
⚠️ This is not financial advice! Always do your own independent research DYOR.

Please follow up

$UMA
$LINK
$POL
#Polymarket #predictionmarket

Another crypto exchange is calling it quits. 😔

CoinEx just announced it’s shutting down after nine years.

Meanwhile, there’s still this Sad Market sitting on Fuyo:
Will 2+ of these exchanges cease operations before 2027?
Toobit/ XT.com/ CoinW/ DigiFinex/ LBank

Suddenly worth another look. 👀

🔗 Predict here: https://predict.fuyo.markets/market/will-2-or-more-of-these-high-risk-exchanges-cease-operations-before-2027-toobit--2026-07-28-0000-utc-f53c3d26-d184-4e0f-b34c-38080ff2420a

#SadMarkets #CoinEX #predictionmarket

🚨 $USDT 100K PREDICTION MARKET: AL AIN VS AL NASSR STRUCTURE TEST! 🦈

📌 The holders meet the side they eliminated last season, creating a clean narrative retest: can Al Nassr reclaim structure, or does Al Ain’s momentum hold? 🌊 The live prediction market and PnL Trading Competition put a 100,000 USDT prize pool into play, turning sports context into a real-time sentiment gauge.

💡 Treat this like an order-flow experiment: crowd positioning, risk appetite, and event volatility are all visible before the match. 💬 Which side is the smarter liquidity play: Al Ain’s continuity or Al Nassr’s revenge swing?

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #USDT #PredictionMarket #TradingCompetition #Sports #Crypto

🎯 🚀

POLYMARKET JUST GOT HIT WITH 3 MORE INSIDER TRADING PROBES.

The CFTC previously quietly approved three investigations related to suspicious transactions on Polymarket, according to FOIA documents WIRED collected.

• Biden pardons: A trader who made more than $300K from contracts predicting Biden’s pardon orders.

• Iran war: A group of accounts achieved a win rate of about 98%, earning a total of roughly $2.4M from Iran-related contracts.

• Google: The CFTC investigated people who may have used non-public information about Google’s 2025 Year in Search to trade.

Notably, the Google case also has a parallel investigation by the SDNY. It’s tied to the case involving former Google engineer Michele Spagnuolo, who is accused of earning more than $1.2M on Polymarket using insider information.

Polymarket says it will cooperate with authorities and turn over related matters to law enforcement.

Polymarket: “Prediction market.”
CFTC: “Cool. Show me your wallet history.” 💀

The bigger the prediction market, the more insider trading becomes a matter of survival. And blockchain, meanwhile, logs the entire trading history right on the table.

The question is: Is Polymarket becoming the prediction market of the future—or accidentally turning into a public marketplace for insider information?

#Polymarket #predictionmarket #CFTC

🚀 $SOL SURGES WITH 1M USERS ON WORLD PREDICTION MARKET! 🦈

📊 The World prediction market on Solana just smashed 1 million active visits, a clear signal that smart money is flocking to the ecosystem’s fastest‑growing on‑chain venue. 🦈 With deposits locked and transactions flowing smooth, liquidity pools are being primed for the next wave of bets.

🌊 Continuous UI tweaks are sharpening the user experience, but the backend remains rock‑solid, setting the stage for a potential price rally as demand spikes. 💡 Expect order flow to tilt bullish as more traders chase the expanding volume.

💬 Is the surge in on‑chain traffic the catalyst you’ve been waiting for to load up on $SOL ? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #SOL #SmartMoney #PredictionMarket #Crypto

🔥 💎

DoubleZero adds Kalshi market data ahead of the US midterm

- DoubleZero integrates real-time Kalshi market data for institutional traders and automation.
- Provides data for US election prediction markets ahead of the midterm.
- Supports the growing election betting landscape.

#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #PredictionMarket #Kalshi #DoubleZero

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Source: CoinTelegraph

💥 PREDICT.FUN OPENS DAILY PRICE MARKETS FOR $SHEIN E-COMMERCE GIANT! 🚀

Real-world retail juggernauts are officially clashing with decentralized prediction markets. Predict.fun just rolled out live daily price tracking for $SHEIN , unlocking a brand-new arena for momentum traders to monetize volatility before traditional equity listings hit the tape. 📊

Order flow in these prediction markets shifts at lightspeed as traders front-run sentiment and real-time shifts. 💡 Watching odds flip on daily candles gives sharp eyes a unique edge when positioning around macro trends. 🔍

💬 Will you be trading daily price action on $SHEIN or sticking strictly to native crypto pairs? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #SHEIN #PredictionMarket #Crypto #Trading

⚡ 💎

🚨 HYPERLIQUID $HYPE PREDICTION VOLUME SURGES 400% FOLLOWING HIP-4 DEPLOYMENT! ⚡

Permissionless prediction markets are unlocking massive volume expansion as daily trading activity exploded from $545K to $2.75M in days. 📊 Active trader counts surged 46% while early liquidity incentives captured nearly 85% of volume share, proving the appetite for on-chain risk.

💡 The structural edge lies in the unified account system, letting traders seamlessly hedge perps against prediction contracts in a shared collateral pool. While regulatory friction remains the main hurdle, this architectural shift is positioning prediction layers to challenge legacy platforms directly. 🌊

💬 Will unified account architecture swallow market share from legacy prediction protocols this cycle? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #HYPE #PredictionMarket #DeFi #Crypto

🔥 💎

New Jersey sues U.S. Supreme Court: Who determines the rules for sports betting on prediction markets?

- New Jersey asks the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve a dispute over the authority to regulate sports betting on prediction markets.
- The lawsuit aims to obtain a final ruling, clarifying which agency has jurisdiction to oversee this betting activity.
- Directly tied to the legal framework for sports prediction platforms, it could affect the Web3 environment and related cryptocurrency markets.
#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #Web3 #PredictionMarket

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Source: The Block

🚨 EXCLUSIVE US OPEN DEAL SECURED AS PREDICTION MARKETS DISRUPT TRADITIONAL SPORTS BETTING! $POL 💥

Legal clarity just unlocked massive mainstream adoption for prediction protocols faster than the market expected. 💡 A federal court labeling these contracts as sports betting immediately paved the runway for exclusive institutional partnerships at major sports events like the US Open. 🌊

Rival platforms are completely locked out of ESPN broadcasts, shifting high-volume liquidity into single dominant channels. 📊 This regulatory pivot marks a massive land grab for real-world event trading across traditional and decentralized venues. ⚡

💬 Will this regulatory momentum drive liquidity straight into decentralized prediction protocols next? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #POL #PredictionMarket #CryptoNews #Web3

🔥 ⚡

Kalshi becomes US Open’s exclusive market prediction partner

- Kalshi signs an exclusive agreement with US Open.
- Other market prediction platforms are barred from advertising at the event and on ESPN.

#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #PredictionMarket

$btc $eth

#vlikevn #Titanbot

Source: The Block

Connecticut sues Kalshi, legal battle over prediction market escalates

- Connecticut files a new lawsuit against Kalshi, increasing the legal battle surrounding the prediction market.
- Lawsuits in state and federal courts are currently split almost evenly, suggesting the Supreme Court may have to step in.
- The RSS source has not provided any additional details about the specific content of the lawsuit.

#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #PredictionMarket

$btc $eth

#vlikevn #Titanbot

Source: CoinDesk

Football Prediction Markets & Web3 Betting

🔥 $USDT PRIZE POOL SHIFTS AS FOOTBALL PREDICTION MARKET OPENS

Powered by decentralized oracles for real-time match data verification, prediction markets allow football fans to participate in global pools with instant on-chain settlements and zero geographic barriers.
Trading views on match outcomes creates structural liquidity flows that mirror asset markets. Have you used Web3 prediction markets for football matches yet? Share your experience!
$USDT $LINK

#Web3 #PredictionMarket #Crypto #Football

Gemini teams up to liquidate crypto giant Apex, directly plugging the prediction market into brokerage brokerage channels—so US retail investors can also make serious, legitimate bets on things like rate cuts and elections. The gameplay Polymarket has already validated is starting to move toward regulatory compliance and scale up—this narrative has only just gotten warmed up. Don’t just stare at the odds and watch the show; the real focus is the industry itself 👀 #predictionmarket #PredictionMarket $BTC