$DOT 0.817。24h down 2.1%, 7 days down 3.4%. 4h RSI 30 indicates severe oversold, and MACD has a dead cross. Fee -0.02% — shorts dominate.
4h candlestick breakdown
0.852→0.844, 5.06M volume starts to weaken.
0.838→0.832, 9.65M volume kills 0.830. First wave of selloff on heavy volume.
0.836→0.839, 7.64M weak rebound.
0.838→0.831, 3.93M smashes 0.830.
0.83→0.825, 1.84M cuts from 0.831 to 0.821. Panic release.
0.825→0.817, 1.85M giant volume dumps from 0.826 to 0.806. 3–4x average volume; concentrated panic liquidation. Small-bodied candle with a lower wick.
Recently 0.817→0.817, 0.60M extremely low volume tightens to 0.812–0.821. Volume down by 1/3 — the market loses direction.
Daily: 0.874→0.806→0.817. The low is 0.806. Today’s volume is 5.8M, the highest of the week.
Technical indicators
4h: EMA9=0.829, EMA21=0.838. Price is below both moving averages; shorts accelerate.
Daily: EMA9=0.842, EMA21=0.853, EMA50=0.860. Bearish alignment is complete.
RSI: 4h=30 severe oversold; daily=34 oversold.
MACD: -0.00682 / signal -0.00468 / histogram -0.00213. Dead cross, but the histogram hasn’t expanded; shorts may be nearing the end.
Support & resistance
0.806 (low) → 0.795 (prior low) → 0.780 (round-number level)
0.829 (EMA9 4h) → 0.842 → 0.853 → 0.860
Fund flows
24h成交 68.53M, net outflow 0.67M. Open interest 37.24M DOT. Fee -0.02% slightly bearish. Panic index 28.
Whales & news
DOT cross-chain protocol. 1.85M panic volume released. The ecosystem is good, but the market isn’t buying it; 0.979→0.817 down 16.5%.
Nini’s plan
Current price: 0.817
Direction: slightly bullish
RSI at 30 is extremely low — a violent rebound could happen at any moment.
Long: enter on 4h candle closes in the 0.806–0.812 range. Stop loss: 0.790. Target: 0.842. Risk/reward: 2.1:1. If it breaks 0.790, exit immediately.
Short: enter on a rebound stalling in 0.842–0.853. Stop loss: 0.870. Target: 0.806. Risk/reward: 2.9:1.
My take: severe oversold + MACD bearish histogram not expanding = rebound at any moment. Slightly bullish — fast in, fast out.
A long-standing chain down 16.5% — rebounds can be brutal too. Keep your stop-loss tight.
#DOT #Polkadot #跨链 #公链