analisispasar

BTC is sitting right on top of the $76K shelf it built for itself in September—and this shelf will determine the October close.

Context: after falling from around $80K, BTC touched $76,500 on Oct. 30, then edged back up to around $77,100 this morning. What’s interesting isn’t the bounce, but the floor: three supports converge in a narrow band of about $125—the 100-day SMA at $76,190, the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $76,066, and the September low near $76,066. This is the first time price has returned to that September low in more than five weeks, with the daily RSI at 33.07, its lowest since the June–July bottom.

Bullish scenario: holding above $76,066 opens the way for a bounce to the Oct. 30 high of $78,804, followed by a retest of $80,403 and the 50-day SMA at $81,942.
Bearish scenario: a daily close below $76,066 weakens the uptrend structure; the next support is the 200-day SMA, with selling pressure at risk of intensifying as stop-losses cluster below this support.

My conclusion: I’m not entering here; I’ll wait for the daily close to provide an answer. This is my analysis, not financial advice—always DYOR.

What do you think: will this $76K shelf hold through the October close, or will it break?

#Bitcoin #AnalisisPasar $BTC

BTC just swept its nearest low at 79,350 — and what’s interesting isn’t the sweep, but the bounce.

Overnight, BTC fell from 80,920 to 79,350, and ETH followed to 2,298. The context: the market is waiting for the FOMC (Oct 29, 01:00 WIB), while U.S. Bitcoin ETFs are still seeing outflows — $635.6 million on Oct 22 and $137.9 million on Oct 23. Sentiment is neutral (Fear & Greed 45): neither euphoric nor panicked.

Bullish scenario: BTC reclaims 80,240, then 80,600 — opening the way back to 80,920.
Bearish scenario: it fails to hold above 79,350, then moves to 79,180, followed by the 79,000 area.

My conclusion: while it’s below 80,240, I’m leaning cautious and waiting — a 1H close above 80,240 or a breakdown below 79,350 will determine my next move. This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.

Which level do you think gets hit first: a reclaim of 80,240 or a breakdown below 79,350?

#TradingSignals #AnalisisPasar $BTC $ETH
$BTC

☀️ This Morning’s Watchlist: $ONDO

This morning, the crypto market is showing fairly selective capital rotation. Here are three coins worth watching based on the data:

1. $ONDO surged +12.45% over the past 24 hours to $0.4209, amid a positive trend in the RWA sector. The daily price range to watch is between the lower bound of $0.3672 and the upper bound of $0.4227.

2. $BTC , acting as a market anchor, moved steadily with a 0.5% gain to $77,606. The daily reference points currently being tested range from $76,326 to $78,804.

3. $AAVE posted strong momentum, gaining +10.57% in 24 hours to reach $131.85. The key daily levels worth watching are the lower bound of $117.61 and the upper bound of $131.86.

Tap $ONDO to see firsthand whether its upward trend is holding.

Follow these daily updates so you don’t miss tonight’s market review.

Not financial advice. DYOR.
#ONDO #AltcoinIndonesia #MarketAnalysis

BTC broke below $79,000 in two 15-minute candles—and BNB took the hardest hit, briefly touching $679.

Context: Last night, BTC was still holding around $80,360, then the 03:30 and 03:45 WIB 15m candles took it to a low of $78,224 and a close at $78,819. This wasn’t an ordinary wobble: BTC broke below the Oct. 29 low ($79,667) and fell back under $79,000, while BNB dropped from $733 to a low of $679 and closed at $699.1—below $700. ETH also fell to a low of $2,230. As I write this, there’s no verified news catalyst for the move, so I’m reading it as continued post-FOMC pressure, combined with position adjustments ahead of today’s $11 billion BTC options expiry at 15:00 WIB—the max pain is $78,000, very close to the current price.

Bullish scenario: BTC reclaims and closes the 1H back above $80,000—pressure eases; watch the reaction at $80,000–$80,800.
Bearish scenario: BTC holds below $78,700 or closes a 15m candle below the $78,224 low—there’s room to move toward $78,000, then the $75,000–$78,000 zone.

My conclusion: I’m not entering in the middle of a move like this. I’ll wait for confirmation—a reclaim for the upside, or a follow-through close below the low for the downside. The next events I’m watching: Tokyo CPI at 06:30 WIB and the BOJ decision at 09:30 WIB.

This is my analysis, not financial advice—always DYOR.

Do you think BTC will bounce first from $78,000 or head straight lower?

#AnalisisPasar #Crypto $BTC $BNB $ETH

Bitcoin Returns to $81K! A New Bullish Signal or Just a Temporary Rebound? 🚀
The crypto market is buzzing again! After facing corrective pressure over the past few days, $BTC
successfully rebounded and is trading around $81,100.
What’s the main catalyst behind today’s move? Let’s break down the key points!
1. Fed Decision Keeps the Market Stable
The main driver of today’s price recovery was the US Federal Reserve’s (the Fed’s) decision to officially keep interest rates unchanged. This immediately eased macroeconomic concerns among investors, restored risk appetite (risk-on sentiment), and gave crypto assets some breathing room to recover from short-term pressure.
2. Battle at a Key Level ($81,000)
Technically, the $81,000 level is now a crucial line of defense for the bulls.
If $BTC can maintain momentum above this moving average, the door is wide open to target higher resistance levels again.
Conversely, traders should remain alert to daily volatility driven by institutional fund flows and global liquidity dynamics.
3. Long-Term Holder Sentiment Remains Strong
Although the market is facing various external headwinds—from concerns in the tech sector to macroeconomic dynamics—on-chain data shows that institutional investors and whales remain selective about maintaining their exposure, indicating that their long-term conviction remains intact.
Conclusion & Discussion
Today’s rebound proves that Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to, and quick to respond to, global macroeconomic policies.
What’s your analysis? Will $BTC consolidate above $81K this week before continuing its rally, or is it preparing to test lower levels?
👇 Share your predictions and opinions in the comments, and don’t forget to track its movements using the widget below!
$BTC
#BinanceSquare #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #AnalisisPasar

#EarningsSeason
📊🔥 EARNINGS SEASON: PROFITS ARE UP, BUT WILL STOCK PRICES FOLLOW?

Earnings season is once again in the spotlight for global investors. Companies are starting to announce their revenue, net income, and business outlook for the third quarter of 2026. These results can influence market sentiment, especially toward tech stocks and AI-related companies. 🇺🇸📈

But here’s an interesting point that’s often overlooked: a company can post strong profits without its stock price necessarily rising!

Why might that happen? 🤔

🔹 Market expectations: Strong results can still disappoint if they fall short of analysts’ estimates.
🔹 Future outlook: Investors also pay attention to business guidance and potential future growth.
🔹 Market reaction: Prices can fall even as profits rise if the good news was already priced in.
🔹 Impact on crypto: Shifts in sentiment toward tech and AI stocks can also influence crypto investors’ risk appetite, although the relationship isn’t always consistent.

💬 Now it’s your turn to join the discussion!

What do you think has the biggest impact on stock price movements during #EarningsSeason?

1️⃣ Company earnings growth 📊
2️⃣ Analyst and investor expectations 🎯
3️⃣ Future business outlook 🚀
4️⃣ Economic conditions and market sentiment 🌍

Share your choice and reasoning in the comments! 👇 Let’s exchange perspectives and learn how to read the market together.

#EarningsSeason #BinanceSquare #Stocks #Crypto #Investing #AnalisisPasar