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26% increase, but the funding rate is negative?

FLOCK rose to 0.05071 today, with trading volume of 44.2 million U, but the funding rate is -0.0125%.
This means shorts are still paying longs—the price is surging, yet no one believes it can last.

The hourly chart has closed green for three straight candles, with longs accounting for 57%, but the negative funding rate shows shorts are still holding on.
This kind of divergence usually appears in the early stage of a move: some traders are already in, while others insist it "will drop back."

The key is whether trading volume can be sustained. If volume keeps expanding, shorts may be forced to cover, accelerating the rally.

$FLOCK #资金费率背离 #26%
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🟢 New trade on our real account: LONG $XAG @ 60.81 · size 148 USDT (3.0 % of the account) · master #26 of 27

Market read: bearish — price below falling 20/50h averages (downtrend); RSI 62: neutral.

Indicators (1h): RSI14 62, EMA20 60.8655 vs EMA50 60.9104, ATR 0.51 % per hour, 24h volume 1.10× the 3-day average, price at 41 % of the 3-day range.

Order book (Binance, ±5 %): biggest bid 60.54 at -0.4 % with $1,173,393; biggest ask 61.06 at +0.4 % with $1,180,771. Binance crowd: 89 % of accounts long, top traders 79 % long, open interest 24h +2.6 %, funding +0.000 %; Hyperliquid OI n/a, 24h volume n/a.

Our masters in $XAG : 1 long / 0 short. The entry is with the majority of Binance accounts.

Read it as a snapshot, not a forecast: the trader decided, we mirrored.

#copytrading #hyperliquid #binancefutures $XAG

If you copy by API like we do, or just want these entries and exits as they happen, we keep a small group on Binance: https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/DpuA7yYD

GRASS This move has a bit of something.

On the 15m timeframe, it’s up 1.79%—volume reached 1.79x, the Z-value is 3.83, and it directly broke through the upper edge of nearly 20 consecutive 5m candles. The key is the active trade imbalance +15.8% and the buy/sell ratio of 1.38—not propping it up with resting orders; there really are people eating upward.

OI is also following through continuously: 15m +0.18%, 1h +0.31%. The cumulative notional change adds up to nearly 900k U. Price is rising while OI is rising—this is the classic new-leverage long entry structure, not some “short covering” fluff.

The abnormal percentile is 84.7%, the whole pool is #17, and the notional change rank is #26, with multiple consecutive cycles showing continuation. In the last 24h, turnover is 76M; the pool isn’t that deep, so volume like this can push it and make it easier to sustain.

First, let’s see whether it can hold above and stand firmly at the top of this range. If it holds, there won’t be much trapped supply above.

LTC This move feels a bit off. On the 15m chart it dropped directly by 1.02%; volume surged to 3.68x, the Z value is 2.92. It broke below the recent 20 five-minute range lows; the active buy/sell ratio is 0.49 and sell pressure is clearly strong. More importantly, OI on the 15m is +0.34%, but the notional is -663K. Price is down while open interest is up—this is a classic case of new leveraged short positions being added, not a liquidation-driven long unwind. With the 88.7% abnormal percentile, on the whole pool #26, depth has been confirmed; the execution direction shows a bias. The 24h turnover is only 118M, and the pool isn’t deep. At this level, if the longs can’t hold, it’s easy for the move to accelerate. Watch the downside—don’t rush to catch it.

$INIT This drop is a bit too decisive.

On the 15m chart, it directly smashed down 3.35%, with volume hitting 1.65x of the normal level, Z value at 2.04—this isn’t that slow, drifting kind of decline; it’s volume pushing price down. The close has already broken below the lower edge of the last ~20 5m K lines. Active trade imbalance is -15.2%, buy/sell ratio 0.74, and sell pressure is in control.

But what really caught my attention is the OI.

On the 15m contract: -1.35%, nominal -282K; on the 1h: -0.83%, nominal -252K. Price is falling while OI is also declining. This doesn’t look like shorts are opening new positions to press it down—it looks more like longs deleveraging, taking stops, or passively shrinking their positions. In other words, this selloff is clearing out some longs, not someone actively adding to short exposure.

The OI percentile is abnormal at 98.4%, the whole pool anomaly is #2, nominal change is #26, and it’s been continuing across multiple consecutive periods. Funding rate is also still in a high percentile recently—this combination is pretty interesting. A higher fee implies longs were crowded beforehand; once price breaks down, deleveraging is quite natural.

24h turnover is 26.58M, and depth is sufficient—so this isn’t a liquidity incident; it’s a genuine position adjustment.

My personal take: with this kind of structure, don’t rush to pick the bottom. Longs deleveraging often isn’t a one-off. Wait for OI to stabilize and for the active trade imbalance to return toward neutral before acting. After breaking the lower boundary of the range, first see whether it can quickly reclaim. If it can’t, then it becomes the start of a new round of pricing.

$INIT

$Q This move on the 15m: up 2.47%. Volume directly went to 5x, and OI is rising along with it. In the last 1h, it’s already +3.7%, with nominal change ranking the whole pool down to #26.

From the order book, it looks more like fresh leveraged long positions are coming in. The aggressive buy/sell ratio is 1.39, and the trade imbalance is +16.3%—this doesn’t look like it’s just spot being pushed. The percentile anomaly is 80.8%, not yet at an extreme, but combined with this volume and the growth in open interest, short-term sentiment has already turned hot.

Over the past 24h, turnover is a bit over 160M. Liquidity depth is sufficient, and lots of people are chasing. With this kind of structure, either it keeps accelerating, or when longs crowd in too much, it’s easy for them to get a quick spike-wick “shakeout” to flush positions. Decide based on your position size—whether to follow or wait for a pullback.

The strangest thing about $HBAR is not the +22.87%, but the $723M in trading volume colliding with a $5.10B market cap.

Over the past month, its daily trading volume was mostly between $50M and $110M. From September 21 to 23, it jumped above $200M for three days, pushing the price from $0.081 to $0.099. Then volume fell back to $80M, and the price also hovered around $0.09. Today it suddenly put up $723M, seven to eight times the previous average, and its market cap climbed to #26.

There are two ways to read it. One is a catch-up move plus narrative rotation: +55.85% in 30 days, still -44.28% over 1 year, and -79.52% from ATH. In the market, it was the one that got left behind, and when liquidity rotates in, it has strong elasticity. The confirmation signal would be a pullback that does not break the previous high zone of $0.095-$0.10, with volume holding above $300M.

The other is a one-day impulse of a pump-and-dump: a low of $0.093, a high of $0.1179, and an intraday range of 26%. Such huge volume looks more like turnover than new capital flowing in. The confirmation signal would be volume quickly shrinking below $150M over the next two days, and the price falling back below $0.10.

I lean toward the former, but I wouldn’t chase it now. What I really want to confirm is not the price, but how much of this $723M is sustained buy orders and how much is the same batch of chips being passed around. Which explanation do you trust more — if it can still hold above $0.10 on lower volume tomorrow, which side would you choose?

$SUI Now at this position, saying it is still in a bear market is no longer accurate. After crawling up from around 0.71 at the end of August, it surged 66% over 30 days, added another 29% over the next 7 days, and today is up 6% to reclaim 1.23. Trading volume has expanded from over $200 million to $1.4 billion. This is not the kind of scale that retail investors doing sporadic bottom-fishing could produce. Its market cap ranks at #26, a little over $5B, which suggests that capital is lifting it out of the "previous-cycle L1 narrative" and re-pricing it.

What’s truly worth watching isn’t the magnitude of the move, but the two long bullish candles with heavy volume on September 22 and September 26—single-day turnover breaking $2.0B and $1.8B. Turnover surged dramatically, yet it didn’t immediately collapse. Instead, it rebuilt a base between 1.0 and 1.26. This kind of structure usually means there is capital absorbing the earlier trapped positions, not just a pure emotional impulse.

However, it is still -77% away from the ATH, and on a one-year basis it remains -61%. These two sets of numbers, placed alongside the short-term strength, are what make the situation feel most awkward right now: it could be the early stage of a trend reversal, or it could simply be a sharp rebound deep within a bear market. What I care about most is the intraday low at 1.16—if a pullback does not break it, and volume stays above $1B, then this round still has room to test upward toward 1.3. If it retracts on shrinking volume back below 1.0, that would indicate the buyers are only short-term momentum funds.

The contradiction hanging in the air now is this: Sui’s fundamentals have not simultaneously produced a fresh narrative capable of matching a 66% surge. So what, exactly, is this repricing trading ahead of time?

$LSK This 15m move is pretty vicious.

The volume can go directly to 2.75x, the Z value is 3.77, and the price has broken below the lower edge of the past 20 5m candles. The aggressive trade imbalance is -36.2%, and the buy-sell ratio is 0.47—clearly someone is smashing downward, and they’re doing it quite decisively.

But what’s interesting is the OI: 15m -0.53%, 1h -0.46%. The nominal changes are all on the order of hundreds of thousands of U. Price is down, open interest is shrinking—this isn’t fresh shorts entering. It looks more like longs are cutting losses or unwinding leverage. In other words, this drop is more like “our own side running,” not a shorts-driven offensive.

The OI abnormal percentile is 97.4%, the abnormal bucket in the whole pool is #4, and the nominal change is #26—what does this combination imply? It suggests LSK’s position shift intensity in this time window is already near its own historical extreme range, and it also ranks highly in comparison to the whole pool horizontally. 24h trading volume is 58.68M; the volume isn’t small. The order book depth confirms that the trades are higher than normal.

My take: At this level, if longs continue deleveraging, there’s tail-risk of a wave of forced liquidations. But if OI shrinks to a certain point and stabilizes, it’s easier for a corrective move in the opposite direction to appear. The key is whether the 15m aggressive trade imbalance can narrow next—don’t keep it pinned at a one-sided pressure of -30% or more.

Watch it first. No need to act immediately.

TAKE — This 15m drop of 2.29% came with volume only 0.65x. It doesn’t look like panic selling; it looks more like the bulls pulled back on their own first.

OI (15m) is -1.71%, with a notional decrease of 354K. Along with price moving lower, this is a typical de-leveraging script—not a short attack, but leveraged long positions stopping out or voluntarily shrinking. What’s interesting is that OI on the 1h timeframe is still +2.80%, which suggests this washout may be targeting short-term chasers who bought high; the mid-term positions haven’t really moved much.

Funding rates are still in the high percentile range recently. At this level, the bulls’ cost isn’t low. Passive/active trade imbalance is 0.0% and the buy/sell ratio is 1.00—so longs and shorts are basically stuck here; nobody is really willing to push hard.

24h trading volume is 257M, and the pool has an unusually high percentile of 82.5%. The change in notional across the whole pool ranks #26, and the heat isn’t low.

My take: with this kind of structure, don’t rush to pick the bottom. Wait for OI to stabilize a bit and funding rates to cool down before deciding—otherwise you risk catching the knife in mid-slope. $TAKE

$AVAX 15m It rose 0.98%, with volume at 1.48x. The candlestick closed above the upper boundary of the range formed by the past ~20 5-minute candles. But what’s really interesting is the OI: over 15m it’s -0.03%, yet the price is still going up. This combination feels more like shorts are being forced to close rather than new longs actively initiating a push.

On the 1h timeframe, OI is still +0.45%, suggesting that positions are indeed being rebuilt gradually over longer horizons—not just a single impulsive wave. Active trades are up +2.8%, with the buy/sell ratio at 1.06: bids are slightly dominant, but not to the point of a one-sided squeeze.

The abnormal status for the whole pool ranks #26, with nominal change #11, and 24h trading volume of 568M. The numbers aren’t exploding, but being able to get listed around that time (a little past 5) indicates there’s clearly capital watching and reacting at the edges of this range.

Shiny Coins #26 – Warsh Hikes, Zcash Prints $1,500, Uniswap Gets the Stock Tape

The first rate hike in three years clipped $75k, then Bitcoin tagged $81k anyway. Privacy printed a new high. The SEC handed AMMs a five-year hall pass for tokenized stocks. The post Shiny Coins #26 – Warsh Hikes, Zcash Prints $1,500, Uniswap Gets the Stock Tape appeared first on Cryptopress .

$HYPE This 15m chart is kind of interesting.

The price is up 0.85%, and the volume immediately shot up to 3.38x. The Z value is 2.15. The 5m closing price has broken above the top of the recent ~20-candle range—so the technical breakout is confirmed.

But looking at OI: the 15m contract is -0.25%, and 1h is -0.76%. Price is rising while OI is falling. This isn’t new longs entering—it’s shorts getting squeezed. Active trading volume is down 7.7%, the buy/sell ratio is 1.17, and buy orders are eating the trades.

The funding rate is still in a high percentile recently, suggesting longs were crowded earlier. Now this move looks more like a short-covering push. The anomaly in the whole pool is #26, nominal change is #5—not the very top-tier signal, but combined with this volume multiple and the breakout above the range, in the short term it still leans toward the bulls.

In the last 24h, trading value is 942M. Liquidity depth is sufficient, so slippage shouldn’t be a big issue.

The only thing is: if OI keeps falling, be careful that this could be the final wave of the squeeze. First, see whether it can hold above this range top.