巨杉区块说

Every strategy starts from the arrangement of moving averages, changes in volume, and indicator signals, picking out the details. The entry point, target position, and defense position are all clear. Still struggling to catch the market? Keep up with the rhythm, and you can also pocket the strategy gains!

Feel free to chat with me👀
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Cryptocurrency Market Weekly Assessment: Signs of Bottom Formation, Short-term Long Positions Need Timing

BTC weekly MACD volume continues to contract, and the market is gradually entering a significant bottoming phase. On the daily level, despite the release of bearish forces, the price has reversed against the trend, forming a golden cross divergence pattern, which indicates that the short-term trend is likely to complete its bottoming and turn bullish.

From the wave structure perspective, the current trend aligns more closely with the logic of a fourth wave rebound; the previous sequence has completed the rhythm of "first wave down - second wave rebound - third wave sell-off," and next, we need to closely monitor the breakout situation of the rebound target range.

ETH's trend shows a strong correlation with BTC; the weekly chart also records a contraction feature, and the daily pattern is also infinitely approaching a golden cross divergence. As long as the subsequent daily chart can continue to show positive closing, the W-bottom formation will be declared complete, and the rebound height is expected to challenge higher levels.

Comprehensive Assessment: The overall market sentiment is gradually becoming bullish, but it is not advisable to blindly place orders. The intraday high point has not yet been clarified, and long strategies should rely on the 15-minute tunnel indicators or short-term pattern signals to time the entry, avoiding chasing price increases.

Don't want to watch the market 🤔 Don't know when to enter
Bamboo Leaves
$BTC $ETH
#美联储回购协议计划

Recently, the backend has been bombarded with questions from my brothers: some are persistently asking about the timing for bottom fishing, wanting to follow my lead to build positions; some are fixated on the support level of BTC's decline, hoping for a precise bottom; and others are grappling with whether to hold or sell the chips in hand, wanting to sell high and buy low to profit from the difference.

To be honest, I really can't provide answers to these questions.

Suddenly, I understand why most people can't make money in the crypto market— they haven't even crossed the first threshold of trading. It's important to know that no matter whose analysis, opinions, or predictions it is, they are merely reference information for your decision-making, not a standard answer. What truly allows you to stand firm is to disregard others' noise, combine it with your own situation, formulate a trading plan that belongs to you, and develop the ability to make independent judgments.

Investing has never been about following trends or betting sizes, but rather a system engineering process that is interlinked. I can only tell you from a macro perspective that the current trend is likely bearish, but I really don't know at which point it will drop, or whether the market will rise or fall tomorrow. Even my own judgments could be wrong and may face losses.

There are no gods in the market. Lowering return expectations can actually help you navigate more steadily in a volatile market.
$BTC $ETH

Trump will deliver a televised speech at the White House at 9 PM Eastern Time on Wednesday (10 AM Beijing Time on Thursday), reviewing the achievements of his first year in office as he returns to power, against the backdrop of public economic anxiety and the Republican Party's preparations for the 2026 midterm elections. The speech will focus on border control, price suppression, and other accomplishments.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin's daily price has failed to breach the 85000 mark for the third time, remaining in a low range of fluctuations, and yesterday's gains in the US stock market have been completely wiped out. On the technical side, both KDJ and MACD have formed dead crosses, market liquidity is tightening, and bullish momentum is insufficient. The economic policy signals released during this speech may become a key variable affecting sentiment in the cryptocurrency market and breaking the current stalemate in fluctuations.

Giant Sequoia's direction today remains to buy low with a target of 87000, 87500
$BTC #美国非农数据超预期

Strategy implementation is precise, BTC and ETH target points have been perfectly reached!

The BTC and ETH strategies provided in the evening have been precisely fulfilled, all target points have been reached, ETH has gained over 100 points in profit, and BTC has secured over 3000 points of space, demonstrating the accuracy of the analysis!
$BTC $ETH
#巨鲸动向

The big pie shrinks and oscillates in anticipation of a major test! The 87500 level becomes a decisive factor in the short term.

The big pie consolidated with reduced volume over the weekend, and on Monday it directly broke through the critical support level of 87500. Although there was a slight rebound afterwards, the strength was weak, and market sentiment was highly cautious.

Micro-level funding has a strong risk-averse sentiment; everyone is holding cash waiting for clear signals. This week is a key turning point that will determine the short-term direction—November non-farm payrolls, CPI, and retail data will be unveiled in succession, further compounded by speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Each item points directly to the rationale for a rate-cutting cycle, setting the tone for the January monetary policy meeting.

Before the data is released, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears enters a stalemate, and uncertainty directly limits the rebound potential. In the short term, the big pie is likely to weakly test the bottom around the 87500 line, repeatedly probing the strength of support.

This week’s market is destined to be tumultuous, with both risks and opportunities coexisting. By preparing layouts in advance, one can accurately capture their own opportunities amidst the market fluctuations after the data is released!
$BTC $ETH #巨鲸动向

Monday Evening BTC&ETH Strategy Analysis

Evening Market Interpretation: BTC hit the key resistance level of 94588 during the day and then fell back under pressure, with bullish momentum quickly fading. The price not only lost the support of the Bollinger Band's middle track but also dipped to a stage low of 87500 in the early morning. From a technical perspective, BTC is currently operating between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Band, with clear signals of upper band pressure and weaker support from the lower band. The opening of the Bollinger Band shows a downward turning trend, and if there is a rebound in the short term that cannot stabilize at the middle track, the downward trend may continue.

The corresponding trading strategies are as follows:

Big Pie: It is recommended to set up short positions in the range of 90500-91000, with the first target at 88000 and the second target at 86500.

Auntie: It is recommended to set up short positions in the range of 3180-3220, with the first target at 3100 and the second target at 3050.

Not sure when to enter 🤔 Bamboo Leaf
$BTC $ETH
#巨鲸动向

The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in the early morning, but BTC did not take the opportunity to break through. Instead, it staged a 'buy the expectation, sell the facts' high and low trading pattern. The core issue lies in the hawkish guidance on the future interest rate cut path—the market expects the next easing window may be postponed to mid-next year, and short-term liquidity benefits have been overdrawn in advance, making it difficult for news to form sustained momentum.

From a technical perspective, the previous ascending triangle structure has not been broken, but the trend shows obvious weakness characteristics, with prices once again testing key support areas. Compared to the initial plan of entering below 90,000, current focus should be on the defensive effectiveness of the core range between 88,000 and 89,000. This area is both a previously dense trading zone and the last defensive lifeline for bulls in the short term.

Operational strategy:
For existing long positions, it is recommended to take profits first to avoid the risk of pullbacks in weak fluctuations; those who have not entered the market need not rush to catch the bottom, but should patiently wait for prices to confirm support by retracing to the 88,000-89,000 range. If a volume contraction stabilization signal appears, long positions can be directly arranged. From a trend logic perspective, despite short-term pressure, the macro backdrop of easing remains unchanged, and a rebound trend is still expected to brew later, with the key point being the quality of support defense.
$BTC $ETH #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储降息

Tonight, the cryptocurrency market is destined to be turbulent! At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision + at 9:30 PM, the initial jobless claims, these two "big bombs" are marked with full stars, truly the "double whammy" of the market tonight 🔥

However, looking back at past patterns, it is certainly "expectations fully priced in, and then we see the reality unfolds". The futures market is likely already betting on a rate cut, just afraid of "buying the expectation and selling the fact", as the data comes out it might spike and then pull back.

It is advisable not to go heavy tonight, save some bullets and clearly see the direction before moving — after all, the Federal Reserve's "rhetoric" and the data's "facial expressions" are the "heart-pounding memories" of veteran players in the crypto world 😂

Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night, everyone keep an eye on the market and remember to stay warm!
Not sure when to enter 🤔, bamboo leaf
#美联储FOMC会议

The current market for 12-8 pancakes shows a clear differentiation:
The daily-level small cup and handle pattern has established a solid support foundation, with a double defense line formed in the 89200-90300 range, preparing for a new round of upward momentum; however, looking at the short-term volatility rhythm, the characteristics of large candlesticks dominating the rise and fall still exist, and the scarcity of structural details leads to increased operational difficulty.

Today's trading core needs to closely follow the pattern signals and key price levels: if the support at 89200/90300 is solid, one can layout for an upward move, with the first target set at 92200; subsequently, pay close attention to the effectiveness of the 92500 breakthrough—if it stabilizes, then the right-side chase for longs aims for 95500; if it cannot break through after prolonged attempts, then switch to a bearish mindset.

It is important to note that when there are no clear signals on the left side, do not enter blindly; right-side chasing orders must strictly control stop losses to avoid being caught in a passive situation amid an imbalance in the risk-reward ratio, and solid basic skills are essential to grasp the core opportunities of the pattern market.
$BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐

Didn’t make a profit on your contract? Don’t worry! The next wave is your chance for a comeback.

Who hasn’t stumbled into the pitfalls of contracts? Missing the peak to take profits or getting stuck halfway, these aren’t the end!

The market never lacks opportunities, and trends keep cycling— as long as you haven’t exited, temporary losses are just a prelude. Once the next trend signal appears, it’s the moment for a dramatic turnaround; all previous regrets can be made up for!

【In Progress】A new week is about to begin, should you keep up with the rhythm and follow this wave of recovery?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#美SEC推动加密创新监管

Tonight at 11 PM, the U.S. Core PCE data for September is coming, with an expectation of 2.9%, unchanged from the previous value—but don't think that "if the data doesn't change, it will be stable"; this could be a carefully designed psychological battle!

Don't forget last year's similar plot, right? The data met expectations, and the market immediately dropped by 5%, retail investors panicking and selling off, while the big players quietly bought the dip. Mild data + violent fluctuations are essentially the expectation management of washing out positions: using "unexciting" numbers to create panic, clearing out the weak hands.

Retail investors shouldn't fixate on the data itself; the market reaction is key:

• If the data meets expectations but the price suddenly plummets, don’t rush to sell; that could be the last drop;

• If the price is unusually quiet after the data release, it’s time to be alert—often, silence precedes a big move.

Remember: data is a decoy; market sentiment is the scythe. Tonight, don't be the leeks "placing orders based on numbers"; be the hunter "reading the sentiment to survive."

Not sure when to enter, bamboo leaf😘
$BTC $ETH

Stable profits never rely on "gambling on the market"—experts focus on key intervals for decision-making: anchoring entry timing on support levels to ensure every purchase has a safety margin; closely monitoring resistance levels to plan profit-taking rhythm, securing floating profits steadily. This is the core difference between ordinary traders and professionals.

Refuse to engage in empty theoretical discussions, only provide actionable plans that can be directly implemented, clearly marking key points and operational boundaries!
🎁 During market fluctuations, I provide full support:
✅ Analyze core volume and price signals
✅ Provide precise position ratios
✅ Offer real-time response plans to ensure trading is orderly and calm!
$BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐

【Protecting the principal is the ticket to market entry】

The market is never short of waves of trends; what it lacks is the clarity of 'preserving the green mountains.' By safeguarding core capital and not dissipating trading energy, one can precisely enter the market when trends ignite. Accept small short-term pullbacks, use stop-losses to gain vitality, and patiently wait for turning points; this is the hardcore survival rule to navigate through bull and bear markets.

I have seen too many traders' fatal misconceptions:

—Trusting the 'bottom-fishing myth,' buying more as prices drop, turning their accounts into 'bag holders.'

—Being swayed by emotions, taking profits impulsively after a small gain, and stubbornly holding on after losses.

—Blindly following trends and chasing hotspots, letting others feast while they end up holding the bag, and after being trapped, still comforting themselves with 'just wait, it will rise.'

Now ask yourself, struggling:

✅Will you continue to be swept by 'wishful thinking,' allowing losses to expand infinitely?

✅Or will you frame your actions with my guidance using 1500U, ensuring every operation has logical support?

【This is not gambler-style speculation, but a certainty that allows profits to be traceable】
$BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐

The key to trading is not 'guessing' — the candlestick trajectory and changes in volume are straightforward expressions of the market, without much mystery.

What truly widens the gap in profits is the internal struggle of 'opportunities right in front of you yet hesitating': wanting to wait for a more stable point, fearing small fluctuations leading to stop losses, ultimately missing out on the main market.

Decisiveness and execution are the core logic of profit. Lacking direction and decisive confidence? Not knowing when to enter 🤔 Bamboo Leaf
$BTC $ETH

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December is coming, but this round of easing may lack 'momentum'

After the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December, the 'easing cycle' is likely to hit the brakes — this round of seven consecutive rate cuts has already brought the rate down to 3.75%-4.0%, just a 'step away' from the neutral rate of 3%.

More importantly: inflation is still stuck at 3% and has not landed, far from the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. This means that the December rate cut is very likely to be a 'mid-to-late stage wrap-up', and the decision in January 2026 is unlikely to have any action; the next rate cut will have to wait until at least March or even April, and during this process, we will have to see if inflation and employment data hold up.

The market created by continuous easing, when interest rates are close to neutral and inflation is not up to par, can easily enter a phase of 'lack of momentum'. Next year, the market is likely to switch from 'easing frenzy' to a turbulent mode of 'data validation', and it won't be so easy to just coast along.
$BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Good news, the big pancake is rising again, bad news $U has started to fall, have we made a profit or a loss?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#币安区块链周

The exchange rate of USDT and offshore RMB has shown a significant inversion, with the off-market exchange rate for RMB continuing to weaken to around 6.94, more than 2% lower than the previous cash-out price of 7.07. The short-term liquidity tension combined with market sentiment has amplified the discount range.
$BTC $ETH
#美联储重启降息步伐

12-4BNB Layout
Current price around 917 has started a slight pullback. Although the short-term momentum is slowing down, the upward trend framework remains unchanged. This pullback is a normal correction within the trend, so there is no need for excessive panic.

Key focus on the effectiveness of the 910 support level: if it can successfully stabilize at this position, bullish momentum is expected to quickly return, and there is a high probability of another attack towards the 920-929 range; if it unexpectedly breaks below the 910 support, the market may further dip near 900 to confirm the bottom.

Operational Strategy:
BNB can be bought in the 898-910 range opportunistically, relying on trend support to seize low-buy opportunities. The initial target above is set at the 938-948 range, following the trend rhythm to capture profit space and avoiding disruption from short-term pullbacks.~
$BNB #美联储重启降息步伐

12.4 BTC: High-Level Volatility Decision, A Pullback Still Presents a Bullish Opportunity!

Currently, Bitcoin is caught in a range of fluctuations with EMA144 holding and EMA169 encountering resistance, representing a typical high-level decision phase. From the trend perspective, the price is making gradual upward progress, and while bullish momentum has not yet exploded, it remains strong, with the overall trend still upward.

Operational Strategy is Clear:
Prioritize seizing pullback layout opportunities, focusing on the key support levels of 91300 and 92300 below. If stability can be achieved within this range, one can enter long positions accordingly. Watch for the upper target of 95500 as the first resistance level, and profit by following the trend rhythm!
$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐