#BTC when this nightmare ends 😎 according to volume profile analysis this is the most liquidation price levels, stay tuned ,For long term investment, manage your entries 😉 fulfill all expectations ( DYOR )$BTC
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On December 19, the Bank of Japan announced on Friday an interest rate hike of 25 basis points, raising the uncollateralized overnight call rate to 0.75%, the highest level since 1995. The decision was announced after a two-day policy meeting and was passed with a unanimous 9-0 vote, fully in line with market expectations. After the news broke, Bitcoin led the cryptocurrency market in a rebound, briefly rising over 2%.
Accompanying the market rebound, many well-known analysts and traders expressed bullish views immediately, as the market welcomed a long-awaited improvement in sentiment.
Trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio, who had been silent for nearly a month, posted on his personal channel that most altcoins have entered the final stages of decline, stating, "It's time to start making a watchlist and placing buy orders." Meanwhile, mainstream coins may still have room for decline.
Chinese crypto analyst Ban Mu Xia continued his recent bullish outlook, suggesting that Bitcoin's key resistance level lies between $98,600 and $107,000, with $112,500 being a strong resistance level.
Arthur Hayes boldly proclaimed once again: "Don't go against the Bank of Japan; negative real interest rates are their clear policy. The yen will fall to 200 against the dollar, and Bitcoin will rise to one million dollars."
Even the usually "low-key and taciturn" agent Garrett Jin of the "BTC OG insider whale" quickly posted a call: "Bitcoin and ETH will see a surge, with the first target: Bitcoin at $106,000 and Ethereum at $4,500."
Staying true to his consistent style, he remains bullish on crypto: Following the rate hike in Japan, this is the last major negative factor out of the way. For investment rather than trading, it is still the best spot for investment. Next year, the crypto industry will see significant positive factors, especially in crypto policy, interest rate cuts, and financial on-chain developments, which are three decisive factors. If you want to achieve thousands of dollars in returns, you must endure fluctuations of hundreds of dollars, as the winner in the financial market must first overcome human weaknesses. $AT {future}(ATUSDT)
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Federal Reserve's Policy Shift in 2025: Balancing Interest Rate Cuts and Balance Sheet Expansion for Growth and Inflation
In 2025, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy completed a crucial shift, responding to the dual challenges of the economy with a combination of "interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion," while adhering to the dual mandate of "full employment + price stability." During the year, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times, totaling 75 basis points, with the December closing decision lowering the target federal funds rate range to 3.50%-3.75%, marking a transition from the "anti-inflation priority" to a policy paradigm focused on "preventing unemployment."
This adjustment is driven by complex changes in the economic fundamentals: U.S. job growth has slowed, and the unemployment rate has risen to 4.5%, a nearly four-year high, while inflation, although dropping to 2.9%, remains above the long-term target of 2%, creating a pattern of "slowing growth and sticky inflation." Significant internal divisions among decision-makers were evident, with the December decision recording three dissenting votes for the first time in six years, reflecting intense debates over the pace of interest rate cuts.
Policy tools have been upgraded simultaneously, with the Federal Reserve restarting balance sheet expansion in December, purchasing $40 billion in short-term government bonds each month to replenish bank reserves. Although it emphasizes that this is a technical liquidity management rather than quantitative easing, it has effectively ended the quantitative tightening cycle. This operation has effectively alleviated fluctuations in money market interest rates and stabilized liquidity in the financial system.
On a global scale, interest rate cuts have driven marginal improvements in global liquidity, benefiting gold, growth stocks, and emerging market assets. The narrowing of the China-U.S. interest rate differential has also eased the pressure on the depreciation of the renminbi. Looking ahead to 2026, the interest rate dot plot suggests only one potential rate cut, with the long-term neutral rate maintaining a new normal of 3.0%. The Federal Reserve will continue to seek a balance between employment protection and inflation control under the principle of "data dependence," and its policy path will continue to dominate the direction of global financial markets. #美国非农数据超预期