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公众号《烤红薯77》:在币圈近十年从业者,三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊,自有投研团队,顶级一二级资源,擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作,以及短线合约策略入场布局!
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Babies, come to chat on Binance Seize future layout opportunities Share swing and long-term strategies in real time! #主流币轮动上涨
Babies, come to chat on Binance

Seize future layout opportunities

Share swing and long-term strategies in real time! #主流币轮动上涨
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Who is suppressing the potential of Chinese tokens, preventing them from fluctuating significantly? "It seems that some people behind the scenes do not want Chinese to spread like this" $BinanceLife, $Hakimi, $EvilPenguin ​​​
Who is suppressing the potential of Chinese tokens, preventing them from fluctuating significantly?

"It seems that some people behind the scenes do not want Chinese to spread like this"

$BinanceLife, $Hakimi, $EvilPenguin ​​​
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链上关注的币: bsc和sol机会没仓位了,已经差不多到了上回说的1-2周时间 想做反弹的币: $luna 再跟踪下看看 $fhe 很可惜,当初挂的低了一点。到目前反弹了4倍,跌下来还要持续跟踪 $Pinpin 不知道什么到顶,等一波暴跌 $Beat 挂个了月线的针的位置 $Aster 先等个0.5的位置看看,到价格买点归零仓位放着 $Bob 挂了个0.01的价格看看 其实行情差的时候反而更好做,因为热点就这么点,暴涨的就这么点币。盯着反弹,找性价比点位接就行。远比牛市都是各种乱飞简单多了。#加密市场观察
链上关注的币:

bsc和sol机会没仓位了,已经差不多到了上回说的1-2周时间

想做反弹的币:

$luna 再跟踪下看看

$fhe 很可惜,当初挂的低了一点。到目前反弹了4倍,跌下来还要持续跟踪

$Pinpin 不知道什么到顶,等一波暴跌

$Beat 挂个了月线的针的位置

$Aster 先等个0.5的位置看看,到价格买点归零仓位放着

$Bob 挂了个0.01的价格看看

其实行情差的时候反而更好做,因为热点就这么点,暴涨的就这么点币。盯着反弹,找性价比点位接就行。远比牛市都是各种乱飞简单多了。#加密市场观察
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$MERL After a rapid increase of 17%, it has been consolidating in the range of 0.46-0.47, indicating low liquidity to entice buyers. Subsequently, it may move towards "selling pressure → bottoming out → crashing". It is recommended to short at highs in the range of 0.46-0.48, with a short-term target below 0.4, and further down to 0.35.
$MERL

After a rapid increase of 17%, it has been consolidating in the range of 0.46-0.47, indicating low liquidity to entice buyers.

Subsequently, it may move towards "selling pressure → bottoming out → crashing".

It is recommended to short at highs in the range of 0.46-0.48, with a short-term target below 0.4, and further down to 0.35.
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BTC今天最低跌至8.5万附近,止跌企稳了? 1)订单薄上,委托买盘金额较小,并未出现超大额买盘; 2)四小时:价格跌至斐波拉契下降通道0.236位置,这里并非强引力区;多头量能较弱,虽然出现两根下影线K线,但最多向上反弹挣扎一下; 3)日线:仍然处于下跌趋势; 预估跌至8万附近才会迎来一波反弹。
BTC今天最低跌至8.5万附近,止跌企稳了?

1)订单薄上,委托买盘金额较小,并未出现超大额买盘;
2)四小时:价格跌至斐波拉契下降通道0.236位置,这里并非强引力区;多头量能较弱,虽然出现两根下影线K线,但最多向上反弹挣扎一下;
3)日线:仍然处于下跌趋势;

预估跌至8万附近才会迎来一波反弹。
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Do you think 898 Can we get to this position And stand firm?
Do you think 898
Can we get to this position
And stand firm?
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$eth 从目前的排列形态来看,接下来会走出反弹行情,多空比也可以看的出来资金还是更倾向于押注多头。 $btc 最近流动性薄弱,虽然没有脱离市场但是也保持了一些距离,思考的时间也更多了,站在局外看局内。 可以明确的是 1.下跌的概率远大于上涨,所以参考引用,不抄底 2.上涨也仅是 $btc 和个别庄币,难抓难找 3.赔率不够,目前不加100倍以上的杠杠都没有赔率 答案简单了,上涨了就不赚了算了,下跌了就好了,全推
$eth 从目前的排列形态来看,接下来会走出反弹行情,多空比也可以看的出来资金还是更倾向于押注多头。

$btc 最近流动性薄弱,虽然没有脱离市场但是也保持了一些距离,思考的时间也更多了,站在局外看局内。

可以明确的是

1.下跌的概率远大于上涨,所以参考引用,不抄底
2.上涨也仅是 $btc 和个别庄币,难抓难找
3.赔率不够,目前不加100倍以上的杠杠都没有赔率

答案简单了,上涨了就不赚了算了,下跌了就好了,全推
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以太坊(ETH)目前跌至3020附近,价格来回震荡,走势仍很复杂。但我还是看好它会反弹触及3580上方。短期压力位在3157,同时ETH/BTC汇率也到了关键阻力,只有突破这里才能迎来更强的上涨。 下方支持关注3080-3050区间,如果守住可以考虑做多;更保守的策略是等到2820附近再进场。
以太坊(ETH)目前跌至3020附近,价格来回震荡,走势仍很复杂。但我还是看好它会反弹触及3580上方。短期压力位在3157,同时ETH/BTC汇率也到了关键阻力,只有突破这里才能迎来更强的上涨。

下方支持关注3080-3050区间,如果守住可以考虑做多;更保守的策略是等到2820附近再进场。
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BTC actually doesn't have much to analyze, last time I judged there would be a wave of decline, and now it has basically been realized as expected, having broken the support zone of 89,000-90,000 USD, directly dipped to around 87,000. The current pattern is still an ascending wedge, which is a clear bearish signal. Next, there will be a small-level rebound, but it's highly likely that after the rebound ends, it will continue to decline, the overall trend is very weak. I have basically judged the recent trends correctly, you can look back at my analyses in the past few days. The expected high point for the small-level rebound is in the range of 90,500-91,000 USD, I suggest placing orders around 90,550 USD if you want to short, if filled, it will be relatively stable. If it drops again, it might go near the last major crash low point. If this ascending wedge pattern completes, the target is roughly in the range of 80,000-75,000 USD. Recently, there hasn't been any positive news to drive a strong rebound, this month is likely to continue to oscillate downwards. Unless it can stabilize above 93,000 USD, any rebound would be a great shorting opportunity, with a very high cost-performance ratio. #加密市场观察
BTC actually doesn't have much to analyze, last time I judged there would be a wave of decline, and now it has basically been realized as expected, having broken the support zone of 89,000-90,000 USD, directly dipped to around 87,000. The current pattern is still an ascending wedge, which is a clear bearish signal.

Next, there will be a small-level rebound, but it's highly likely that after the rebound ends, it will continue to decline, the overall trend is very weak. I have basically judged the recent trends correctly, you can look back at my analyses in the past few days. The expected high point for the small-level rebound is in the range of 90,500-91,000 USD, I suggest placing orders around 90,550 USD if you want to short, if filled, it will be relatively stable. If it drops again, it might go near the last major crash low point.

If this ascending wedge pattern completes, the target is roughly in the range of 80,000-75,000 USD. Recently, there hasn't been any positive news to drive a strong rebound, this month is likely to continue to oscillate downwards. Unless it can stabilize above 93,000 USD, any rebound would be a great shorting opportunity, with a very high cost-performance ratio. #加密市场观察
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狗狗币 (DOGE) 跌势加剧,底部是否即将到来?狗狗币兑美元汇率近日跌破0.1400关键支撑,启动新一轮下跌行情。目前价格持续低于0.1380及100小时简单移动平均线,整体走势偏弱。 在小时图上,DOGE正形成一条关键下降趋势线,阻力位于0.1375附近。 若价格无法有效收复0.1400和0.1420关口,下跌趋势或将延续。此前狗狗币已跟随比特币、以太坊同步回落,最低探至0.1326,随后小幅反弹至近期跌势的23.6%斐波那契回撤位附近。 目前上方初步阻力位于0.1380,随后是趋势线阻力0.1375。若能突破0.1400,下一阻力可关注0.1425(50%斐波那契回撤位)。站稳该位置上方有望进一步测试0.1450及0.1500阻力区间,关键阻力位于0.1550。 若反弹乏力,未能突破0.1400,价格可能再度回落。下方支撑依次关注0.1340、0.1325及0.1300关键位置。若0.1300失守,短期可能下探0.1250–0.1240区域。 技术指标方面,小时MACD仍处于看跌区域并持续走弱,而RSI则略高于50水平,显示短期或有震荡整理需求。 关键点位 主要支撑:0.1340、0.1300;主要阻力:0.1400、0.1420;

狗狗币 (DOGE) 跌势加剧,底部是否即将到来?

狗狗币兑美元汇率近日跌破0.1400关键支撑,启动新一轮下跌行情。目前价格持续低于0.1380及100小时简单移动平均线,整体走势偏弱。

在小时图上,DOGE正形成一条关键下降趋势线,阻力位于0.1375附近。

若价格无法有效收复0.1400和0.1420关口,下跌趋势或将延续。此前狗狗币已跟随比特币、以太坊同步回落,最低探至0.1326,随后小幅反弹至近期跌势的23.6%斐波那契回撤位附近。

目前上方初步阻力位于0.1380,随后是趋势线阻力0.1375。若能突破0.1400,下一阻力可关注0.1425(50%斐波那契回撤位)。站稳该位置上方有望进一步测试0.1450及0.1500阻力区间,关键阻力位于0.1550。

若反弹乏力,未能突破0.1400,价格可能再度回落。下方支撑依次关注0.1340、0.1325及0.1300关键位置。若0.1300失守,短期可能下探0.1250–0.1240区域。

技术指标方面,小时MACD仍处于看跌区域并持续走弱,而RSI则略高于50水平,显示短期或有震荡整理需求。

关键点位
主要支撑:0.1340、0.1300;主要阻力:0.1400、0.1420;
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最近比特币回调,多单被清算了不少,短期即便比特币跌到78000,也只能跌爆7.5亿美元多军;但涨到97000,可以拉爆16亿美元空军;最近两个月都是震荡行情, 狗庄来回收割,接下来要收割哪边了?
最近比特币回调,多单被清算了不少,短期即便比特币跌到78000,也只能跌爆7.5亿美元多军;但涨到97000,可以拉爆16亿美元空军;最近两个月都是震荡行情, 狗庄来回收割,接下来要收割哪边了?
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I believe that the real stabilization and major rebound area may be around $69,000 to $70,000, which is a key position derived from my analysis of multiple technical indicators. Before that, $80,000 to $82,000 can be regarded as strong short-term support. Currently, I will continue to hold some short positions established around $94,000 and plan to hold until the target area; however, if there is a significant rebound driven by the main funds in the meantime, I will also follow up promptly and take partial profits. All analysis is still based on the current market structure, and I will adjust flexibly according to market changes.
I believe that the real stabilization and major rebound area may be around $69,000 to $70,000, which is a key position derived from my analysis of multiple technical indicators. Before that, $80,000 to $82,000 can be regarded as strong short-term support.

Currently, I will continue to hold some short positions established around $94,000 and plan to hold until the target area; however, if there is a significant rebound driven by the main funds in the meantime, I will also follow up promptly and take partial profits. All analysis is still based on the current market structure, and I will adjust flexibly according to market changes.
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Is Dogecoin (DOGE) about to make a big move? Ultimate target of $0.6 + short-term surge to $0.21, with hidden signals on the chain!Brothers, Dogecoin (DOGE) is quietly building momentum for something big! Although the crypto market has been volatile recently, and the meme coin sector has also seen a collective pullback, DOGE has quietly released a bunch of bullish signals. Two top analysts have given explosive predictions – a long-term target aimed at $0.6, and in the short term, it's expected to surge to $0.21, igniting market enthusiasm! First, let's look at the latest market situation: In the past 24 hours, DOGE has rebounded strongly by 3.5%, currently stabilizing around the $0.14 mark. Interestingly, while the price is recovering, trading volume has plummeted by 41% to $696,000,000, and the overall decline over the past 30 days has reached 19%, oscillating between the $0.1324 and $0.1657 range.

Is Dogecoin (DOGE) about to make a big move? Ultimate target of $0.6 + short-term surge to $0.21, with hidden signals on the chain!

Brothers, Dogecoin (DOGE) is quietly building momentum for something big! Although the crypto market has been volatile recently, and the meme coin sector has also seen a collective pullback, DOGE has quietly released a bunch of bullish signals. Two top analysts have given explosive predictions – a long-term target aimed at $0.6, and in the short term, it's expected to surge to $0.21, igniting market enthusiasm!
First, let's look at the latest market situation:
In the past 24 hours, DOGE has rebounded strongly by 3.5%, currently stabilizing around the $0.14 mark. Interestingly, while the price is recovering, trading volume has plummeted by 41% to $696,000,000, and the overall decline over the past 30 days has reached 19%, oscillating between the $0.1324 and $0.1657 range.
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12.12 Today's Market: Why is it Rising? BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB, ZEC, PIEVERSE, Shiba Inu, Hakimi, and Ugly Penguin Operation Analysis!🌍In the past 24 hours, a total of 98,736 people globally were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $257 million. The largest single liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid - BTC-USD worth $4.6389 million. 🔥Has the short-term bullish sentiment been exhausted? Who is bottoming out below 90,000? From the data, although the turnover rate has decreased compared to before, it is still very high. The trading in the last 24 hours has mainly been by short-term investors who are betting on whether the Federal Reserve will send dovish signals tonight. The result of Powell's speech did not turn more dovish, and the market feels that the short-term bullish sentiment has ended. Next, it may face the bearish impact of interest rate hikes, so those who bottomed out below 90,000 in the past few days have become the main force in trading.

12.12 Today's Market: Why is it Rising? BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB, ZEC, PIEVERSE, Shiba Inu, Hakimi, and Ugly Penguin Operation Analysis!

🌍In the past 24 hours, a total of 98,736 people globally were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $257 million. The largest single liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid - BTC-USD worth $4.6389 million.

🔥Has the short-term bullish sentiment been exhausted? Who is bottoming out below 90,000?

From the data, although the turnover rate has decreased compared to before, it is still very high. The trading in the last 24 hours has mainly been by short-term investors who are betting on whether the Federal Reserve will send dovish signals tonight.
The result of Powell's speech did not turn more dovish, and the market feels that the short-term bullish sentiment has ended. Next, it may face the bearish impact of interest rate hikes, so those who bottomed out below 90,000 in the past few days have become the main force in trading.
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From the daily perspective, Ethereum has recently shown明显比比特币强, and has formed a W-bottom pattern. The K-line has now broken through the 30-day moving average, and the MACD is about to rise above the zero axis again. Once it stabilizes above the zero axis, it is very likely that the market will continue to push towards $3400—$3500. In the short term, if ETH can pull back to around $3000, friends who like to trade in waves can boldly buy the dip in spot, and it's fine to sell in batches once they reach above $3400. eth
From the daily perspective, Ethereum has recently shown明显比比特币强, and has formed a W-bottom pattern. The K-line has now broken through the 30-day moving average, and the MACD is about to rise above the zero axis again. Once it stabilizes above the zero axis, it is very likely that the market will continue to push towards $3400—$3500.

In the short term, if ETH can pull back to around $3000, friends who like to trade in waves can boldly buy the dip in spot, and it's fine to sell in batches once they reach above $3400. eth
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12.11 Today's market: Why is it falling? BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB, ASTER, LUNA, AVAX, ENA, FIL operation analysis!🌍 In the past 24 hours, a total of 155,332 people worldwide have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $514 million. The largest single liquidation occurred in Hyperliquid - BTC-USD worth $23.185 million. 🔥 Market sentiment is stable, and the next trend will be dominated by data and interest rate cut expectations. The current turnover rate is at a high level, mainly reflecting that investors are engaging in trading games at a critical stage. It is expected that the turnover rate will gradually decline after today. Data also shows that recent turnover mainly comes from short-term investors who bought at low levels, especially those whose costs are below 90,000 are reducing their holdings relatively significantly.

12.11 Today's market: Why is it falling? BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB, ASTER, LUNA, AVAX, ENA, FIL operation analysis!

🌍 In the past 24 hours, a total of 155,332 people worldwide have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $514 million. The largest single liquidation occurred in Hyperliquid - BTC-USD worth $23.185 million.

🔥 Market sentiment is stable, and the next trend will be dominated by data and interest rate cut expectations.

The current turnover rate is at a high level, mainly reflecting that investors are engaging in trading games at a critical stage. It is expected that the turnover rate will gradually decline after today. Data also shows that recent turnover mainly comes from short-term investors who bought at low levels, especially those whose costs are below 90,000 are reducing their holdings relatively significantly.
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$BTC has broken above 94000 with the interest rate cut, and has now fallen back to erase all gains; let's see how it goes today; $ETH has broken through 3500 with the interest rate cut, and has also erased all gains, so we can only wait and see; $SOL has a small gain and a moderate loss, and has now created a new daily low; let's see how it goes;
$BTC has broken above 94000 with the interest rate cut, and has now fallen back to erase all gains; let's see how it goes today;

$ETH has broken through 3500 with the interest rate cut, and has also erased all gains, so we can only wait and see;

$SOL has a small gain and a moderate loss, and has now created a new daily low; let's see how it goes;
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This picture is being spread all over the internet I don't know if it's true or false But if anyone can get this address You can try your luck at the wealth mailbox I haven't seen this address But I saw a KOL's address At the same time, there are similar operations in both $palu and $doyr Don't say that the increase on Alpha is not significant Because we can only chase after it has risen Others can ambush in advance How can we say we can't make a profit?
This picture is being spread all over the internet
I don't know if it's true or false
But if anyone can get this address
You can try your luck at the wealth mailbox
I haven't seen this address
But I saw a KOL's address
At the same time, there are similar operations in both $palu and $doyr
Don't say that the increase on Alpha is not significant
Because we can only chase after it has risen
Others can ambush in advance
How can we say we can't make a profit?
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I don't know if you all have this feeling, back when Sol was very popular, I always felt like I couldn't keep up and couldn't see the hope of making money. Since the beginning of this year, on BSC, although there have been losses and gains, and some shortcomings, BSC has always given people a sense of hope that we can make money, and indeed we can make money. Instead, now no matter how strong the Sol or ETH chains are, I can't muster any interest; I still love BSC the most.
I don't know if you all have this feeling, back when Sol was very popular, I always felt like I couldn't keep up and couldn't see the hope of making money.

Since the beginning of this year, on BSC, although there have been losses and gains, and some shortcomings, BSC has always given people a sense of hope that we can make money, and indeed we can make money.

Instead, now no matter how strong the Sol or ETH chains are, I can't muster any interest; I still love BSC the most.
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The real way to make big money is through long-term trend tracking, not chasing moving average golden crosses and death crosses, but rather value investing! If you understand AI and blockchain, you should have invested heavily in Nvidia, BTC, ETH, and BNB early on—these are fundamentally strong assets that can last for ten years. Their price increases are not due to beautiful candlestick charts, but rather due to value realization, with long-term moving averages naturally trending upwards. Most people lose money by only following candlesticks instead of assets, chasing high prices and cutting losses at the bottom, repeatedly giving profits to the market makers. The only reliable technical method is "value regression"—when good assets rise too quickly and drift far from long-term moving averages, reduce your holdings, and buy back when they drop closer to the moving averages. This way, you can hold onto the major trend while also taking advantage of short-term fluctuations. Ultimately, no matter how fancy the charts are, the profits come from real-world value. Only focusing on candlesticks without studying assets means you're always giving money to others.
The real way to make big money is through long-term trend tracking, not chasing moving average golden crosses and death crosses, but rather value investing!

If you understand AI and blockchain, you should have invested heavily in Nvidia, BTC, ETH, and BNB early on—these are fundamentally strong assets that can last for ten years. Their price increases are not due to beautiful candlestick charts, but rather due to value realization, with long-term moving averages naturally trending upwards. Most people lose money by only following candlesticks instead of assets, chasing high prices and cutting losses at the bottom, repeatedly giving profits to the market makers.

The only reliable technical method is "value regression"—when good assets rise too quickly and drift far from long-term moving averages, reduce your holdings, and buy back when they drop closer to the moving averages. This way, you can hold onto the major trend while also taking advantage of short-term fluctuations. Ultimately, no matter how fancy the charts are, the profits come from real-world value. Only focusing on candlesticks without studying assets means you're always giving money to others.
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