帝王说币

Family, who understands! I was jolted awake by my phone’s pop-up at dawn, thinking it was junk news. I opened it and burst out laughing. The ZORA we quietly laid out on Wednesday has hit the target profit point!
I guess some of you brothers remember, last week I mentioned in the community that I’m keeping an eye on a few emerging coins that are 'quietly making big moves', and ZORA is one of them. At that time, someone privately asked me, 'Could it be a pitfall?' 'Should we go all in?' Now looking at this profit curve, don’t you instantly feel that the hesitation back then cost you a lot?
Here’s a piece of solid advice, and it's the core logic I use to filter these types of coins. Newbies, make sure to take notes:

Who understands, family! Yesterday, the new CEO of ASML, the giant in Dutch lithography, had an interview that left the on-site reporters dumbfounded, resulting in a collective silence. Even the American reporters, who usually press for answers, were stumped. This guy actually openly challenged the EU's technology restriction policies, even shouting about selling lithography machines to us 'in a controlled manner,' and bluntly stating that 'Chinese lithography machines will eventually catch up with the West!' As someone who has been deeply involved in the crypto circle for many years, my first reaction to this news was: this move is a top-level industrial game, reminiscent of the tactics used by our crypto project teams to throttle computing power and limit circulation!

Who understands! When I first entered the trading circle, I was holding 1500 yuan in capital to place orders, my hands trembled like I had Parkinson's, fearing that I would accidentally hit the wrong button and lose everything! Later, I realized that with a small capital, the worst thing you can do is to be 'eager to turn things around'; the more you lack money, the more you need to engrave the word 'stability' in your mind—this is the core secret that helped me grow from 1500 to six figures without ever losing my capital.
Now there are too many newcomers in the circle, wanting to 'turn things around in one go' with just a few thousand yuan, but the result is either getting stuck by chasing the price or losing everything on their positions. Some people say I succeeded because I was lucky? Come on, there's no lasting luck in the trading circle; it's all based on the three iron rules I summarized by stepping on the traps with real money. Today, I’m sharing my heartfelt thoughts with struggling small capital players.

Brothers, don't rush to cut losses or blindly buy the dip! Recently, Bitcoin has dropped from 126000 to 87000, which is not a minor technical adjustment, but rather the global central banks are 'playing tug of war' behind the scenes, directly seizing control of the market! On one side, the 'siphon' of interest rate hikes in Tokyo has just started, and on the other side, the internal chaos of the Federal Reserve over 'easing expectations' is creating a twisted mess, pressing all risk assets down to the ground. Today, I'll explain in plain language what this storm is really about and how to respond next, as understanding trends in this market is 100 times more important than blindly guessing price fluctuations!

Family! Who understands! Last night the crypto circle just exploded, and today the macro circle dropped a heavy bomb, the Bank of England directly fired the first shot of global interest rate cuts, and Citibank quickly predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at least three times next year! This wave of global liquidity is simply shoving the 'money-sending signal' right in our faces! Brothers who missed the Bitcoin surge of 5000 points last night, don't panic, today this article is full of dry goods. I will share my 10 years of crypto analysis experience with you: why this wave of liquidity is a battleground for the crypto circle, and which opportunities to keep an eye on next!

Family! This morning when I opened my eyes, my backend was full of messages asking, 'Japan raised interest rates, is the crypto market going to cool down?' Some even sent me a bunch of panic screenshots, which almost made me laugh!
First, the conclusion: don't let the emotional crowd in the market set the pace! This round of interest rate hikes in Japan seems like a 'big event,' but in reality, the market has already understood it thoroughly. If you think this will lead to a massive crash, you're probably overthinking it. Today, I'll use plain language to clarify the ins and outs of this situation and the core cards behind it. After reading, you'll definitely have a clear understanding!
First, let's lay out the core viewpoint: interest rate hikes are not a 'black swan'; they are a 'routine operation' that has long been anticipated.

Brothers! Has this recent Bitcoin movement left you confused? The 85000 level is bouncing back and forth, one moment it looks like it’s about to break down, but then it’s pulled back hard; the next moment, it seems it wants to break upwards, but it’s held down. Watching this sideways movement makes me anxious for the main forces! But honestly, the more I watch this movement, the more convinced I am that an opportunity is coming! This article contains all my exclusive judgments; even beginners will grasp the core of the operation after reading it. Hurry up and take note!
First, let me break down the key signals behind this wave of sideways movement. This is the essence I’ve gathered from watching the market for three days. Once you understand this, you’ll know why I confidently say the short-term decline has ended. Firstly, the most critical point is the support level around 85000, which is as strong as a 'copper wall and iron roof'! Bitcoin has tested this range multiple times, and even when it briefly broke below, there was no accelerated decline. What does this indicate? It’s not that the bears are weak; rather, there’s a lot of capital 'secretly buying' on the downside. The main forces simply do not want the price to go down any further. To put it in simpler terms, it’s like someone has set up a 'heavy defense line' at the 85000 position, and every time the bears try to attack, they get pushed back. The strength of this support, I give it a perfect score!

Last night's financial market was simply a large-scale scene of schizophrenia! On one side, the NASDAQ 100 index rose over 1.38%, Tesla surged 3% in a single day, and tech blue chips partied together; on the other side, Bitcoin plummeted from $85608 to $83800, down 2.8%, and Ethereum was even harsher, crashing to $2833, a 4.46% drop that wiped out two months' gains, even the stock prices of compliant trading platforms fell by over 2%.
I dare say that the mindset of every cryptocurrency investor is teetering on the edge of collapse, jumping back and forth. When the U.S. stock market rises, they hope the crypto market will rise too, but what they get is a waterfall; they want to cut losses but are afraid of missing the rebound, and stubbornly hold on while watching their account balance plummet. Don't panic! As someone who has been immersed in the crypto space for 8 years, today I will break down the underlying logic of this fragmented market and provide you with three survival strategies that you can directly copy.

Family! It's chaotic! This morning, the Bank of Japan released a significant signal, basically confirming an interest rate hike to 0.75%, a move not seen in 30 years! Don't think this is just Japan's little game; this interest rate hike blade has long been aimed at the global financial market, especially at us who are struggling in the cryptocurrency market, both old and new players! Should we enter the market or run away? Don't rush to make a decision; let me, an analyst with 8 years of experience, clarify this for you!
Some may ask: how does the interest rate hike in Japan relate to my cryptocurrency assets? Don't rush; let me break down a core logic for you. If you understand it, you'll know why you should be anxious but not panic. For the past few decades, the global financial circle has been playing a game of 'using empty hands to catch a wolf', borrowing yen, buying US Treasuries, trading stocks, and hoarding cryptocurrency assets. Why play like this? Because yen interest rates were previously so low that it was almost free; borrowing 1 million yen cost hardly anything, and then investing it in higher-yield markets easily netted the interest spread.

For those brothers who celebrated the ETH surge with the CPI last night, did the market hit you back with a big slap this morning?! Did you think you had found the key to doubling your money, only to realize you were standing on the peak feeling the cold wind? Don't panic, I am K, your veteran crypto guide who specializes in curing various traps of temptation. Today, I will help you uncover the underlying tricks of this market trend; the script has already been written by the main forces, just waiting for retail investors to jump in!
Let's first talk about the news front. The 'reversal code' of this market trend has actually been foreshadowed for a while. Last night, as soon as the US CPI data came out, the market surged for ETH as if it had been injected with adrenaline, and many brothers rushed in, thinking a new bull market was on the way. But have you forgotten? The 'speed of digesting good news' in the crypto market is faster than you eating instant noodles; within an hour, this wave of sentiment had completely deflated. More importantly, this surge is not a signal of a bull market at all, but purely a 'retreat cover' sought by the main forces, as there are even more deadly 'black swans' waiting behind, beyond the CPI!

Who hasn't seen a few new entrants in the crypto market with their 'grand dreams'? After reading a few lines of 'ten years a hundredfold' inspirational quotes, they enter the market with 10,000 yuan, collapsing on the sofa: 'Whatever, whatever, I'll sell when it rises to one million in ten years, and then retire and chill!' Wake up, brother! What you think the crypto market is, is a piggy bank; in reality, it's an 'emotional rollercoaster' that can leave people balding. This is the true survival status of a newbie!
As an analyst who has been deeply involved in the crypto market for eight years, I've seen too many magical operations by newcomers. Take the most typical example: they excitedly enter the market with 10,000 yuan, and the next day, they open the market software and are directly stunned; 5,000 yuan is gone, half of the principal evaporates faster than summer ice cream. That night, you definitely lie in bed tossing and turning, your mind filled with thoughts of 'Should I cut losses?' 'Will it bounce back?' At three in the morning, you're woken up by a full bladder, and your first reaction isn't to go to the bathroom but to grab your phone and open the market app, your eyes wide as saucers, nearly drilling a hole in the screen.

Does anyone understand this?! Right now, the most exciting thing in the global financial circle isn't the back-and-forth of BTC, nor is it a certain project suddenly surging; it's the interest rate decision from the Bank of Japan that has yet to be revealed. This thing is practically a 'blind box' filled with explosives. If you open it right, you feast; if you open it wrong, it blows up your account! As someone who has been in the crypto circle for eight years, let me lay down the conclusion: In this wave of uncertainty, what the crypto circle should do is not to bet on the direction, but to 'survive'!
First, let me give new followers some background; old followers can skip straight to the key points: Currently, major central banks around the world have completed the main rhythm of interest rate hikes and entered the 'high interest rate watch period'. Only the Bank of Japan is still 'dragging its feet' and has not truly taken steps to raise interest rates. Don't think that its inaction means stability; the 'silent ones' in the financial markets are the most dangerous. After all, everyone knows it will have to act sooner or later. The current 'inaction' is just a stage for funds to engage in a crazy game behind the scenes.

Folks! Today’s hottest gossip in the crypto circle isn’t about some coin suddenly surging, but about the 'interest rate hike drama' from the Bank of Japan next door, which is set to be revealed tonight. How many people are nervously holding their positions, fearing a negative news could crash the market?
First, let's clarify the timing to avoid you missing the key window: Japan time from 11:00 to 14:00 (which corresponds to our Beijing time from 10:00 to 13:00), the interest rate hike results will be officially announced. The market has already overanalyzed this, with a 94% probability betting on a '25 basis point rate hike'; this is not even speculation, it's just outright telling you 'I am going to raise it'.

Last night's market rebound was a 'trap for the bulls', and many veterans around me considered cutting their losses, myself included. When I finished liquidating my last cryptocurrency position, the loss displayed on the calculator was in seven figures. To say it didn't hurt would be a lie, but more than that, it was a sense of relief. After all, in this crazy market this year, 'surviving to exit' has become more like the ultimate goal than 'how much to earn'.
Let me share a heartbreaking cold fact that will shake long-term holders: Ethereum in 2024 has become a 'reverse model worker', barely turning a profit in only May, July, and August out of the 12 months, with the remaining 9 months repeatedly sliding down a bearish channel. It’s worth noting that this is still a core asset backed by compliant Wall Street funds; if it were other small to mid-cap cryptocurrencies, the situation would be even worse. Many coins have directly fallen into a 'liquidity exhaustion' deadlock, making them unsellable, truly the worst investment of the year.

The cryptocurrency market is buzzing! The news this morning jolted me awake from my sleep; the Bank of Japan is getting serious! This morning, they are likely to officially announce an interest rate hike from 0.50% to 0.75%! Folks, this is not a small matter; it’s the first time since 1995 that the 30-year era of zero interest rates is coming to an end! Those in the know understand, global funds are about to start a big 'relocation'; should your Bitcoin and Ethereum stay put or be cut? Let me share my heartfelt insights; it’s all practical information, don’t miss out!
First, let’s give some context for newcomers: why can this news make Wall Street restless? Japan is the largest overseas 'creditor' of U.S. debt, holding $1.2 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds! Simply put, when Japan raises interest rates, domestic bond yields go up, and the funds that previously went to the U.S. to make money are likely to 'come back home'. When the funds withdraw, U.S. Treasury yields must rise, and the Federal Reserve's planned interest rate cuts may be delayed.

Family, who understands! Recently, the circle is either crazily speculating on new coins or arguing about the small fluctuations of old mainstream ones, yet no one mentions the XRP reaching 60,000. Does this number sound like a fantasy? Hold on! Today we won't engage in emotional speculation; let's talk purely based on mathematics and the underlying logic of finance, and I'll tell you why this seems absurd, yet hides the most underestimated possibilities!
First, let me complain: the atmosphere in the circle is too restless! Everyone loves to chase short-term surges in hotspots, who is willing to calm down and look at long-term value? But as someone who has been immersed in the crypto space for eight years, I firmly believe: the assets that can truly change the landscape are never built on speculation but are supported by underlying value. Take XRP for example, why is no one speculating on it reaching 60,000? Because most people simply don't understand its core positioning; it's not for retail investors to engage in short-term speculation, but for settling in the global financial system!

Family! This morning's global financial scene is comparable to a major stakeout! From 10 AM to 1 PM Beijing time, all eyes in the market are firmly locked on Japan. Did the 'interest rate hike shoe' that has been hanging for over half a year finally drop?
You might not believe it, but the market has already priced in a 94% probability of an 'interest rate hike', comparable to knowing the exam questions in advance and repeatedly studying them, just waiting for the proctor (Bank of Japan) to announce the start. What’s really causing the uproar in the circle is not about 'whether to hike or not', but 'after this hike, will there be a series of rapid increases?' As someone who has been watching the crypto market for 8 years, I can directly conclude this: Is it difficult to make the crypto market crash in the short term? Yes!

Family! As soon as the non-farm payroll data from the U.S. was released last night, the crypto community went from 'lying flat waiting for interest rate cuts' to 'everyone guessing game.' November added 64,000 jobs, smashing the 50,000 expectation. Is this going to douse the liquidity of the crypto market? Or is the data itself a 'watered-down package'? Don't rush to go long or short; let me, an old crypto analyst who has stepped into countless pits, share some insights. This wave of non-farm data is full of tricks; those who understand have already started to quietly position themselves!
First, the core conclusion (warning of important information): This wave of non-farm data exceeding expectations is just a 'flash in the pan rebound.' The job market looks strong but is actually at the end of its tether. The short-term impact on the crypto market is more about emotional disturbance, while the long-term still depends on the 'face' of the Federal Reserve. A rate cut in January is highly unlikely, but interest rate hikes are definitely off the table. The overall direction of liquidity easing hasn't changed; don't let short-term data throw you off rhythm!

Family! As soon as the non-farm data came out yesterday, it turned into a market scene on X, and in the crypto circle, both bulls and bears stayed up all night arguing. Some shouted 'the bull is back quickly,' while others cried and cut their losses to leave. As a veteran who has been in the circle for 8 years, after gathering all the first-hand information, I won't beat around the bush today. I'll directly give you the most core judgment: this wave of data seems like a 'surprisingly strong performance,' but in fact, it's a 'stress test for the crypto market + a forecast for the buying window.' Those who understand have already started to quietly position themselves!
Let me give new followers a lesson first, don't be scared off by the 'terminology bombardment' in the group. The most critical contradiction in this non-farm data is the reverse divergence between 'strong private employment' and 'rising unemployment rate,' which has directly split the market into two factions:

Family, who understands! As soon as the non-farm data came out last night, I was staring at the screen and laughed out loud like a pig. This thing is more exciting than our market's long and short explosions. On the surface, it looks cheerful and talks about economic resilience, but peeling back the layers reveals traces of a 'soft landing' script. It’s no exaggeration to say that understanding this 'schizophrenic' report is more important than closely watching mainstream coin K-lines, as the Federal Reserve's next moves will directly determine whether we can get a share of the soup with the chips we hold!
First, let me give a lesson to the brothers who didn't stay up late: This non-farm payroll report is like a 'drama queen' in a suit, and at first glance, it seems to be all highlights. The headline data is blinding, with 199,000 new jobs added, slightly exceeding market expectations, and many macro influencers immediately jumped out to shout, 'The U.S. economy is stable as a rock.' If you only look at this headline, you might think, 'It's over, the Federal Reserve is going hawkish again, the crypto market is going to correct.' But I advise you not to panic; this is all surface-level show for the outsiders. We insiders need to peel back the skin to see the tricks inside the meat.