btc吧
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btc吧
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SPACEX mania is spiraling out of control
SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 today, with its IPO still less than a month old.
That means hundreds of ETFs and index funds now have to automatically buy the stock.
More than $800 billion tracks the Nasdaq 100 index.
JPMorgan estimates that even a single index inclusion could bring about $4.3 billion in passive inflows into SpaceX shares.
Nasdaq even recently changed its rules to allow mega-IPO like SpaceX to enter the index faster.
Previously, companies typically had to wait at least 3 months.
SpaceX was added within weeks.
Meanwhile, Wall Street banks are rolling out extremely bullish coverage:
• Morgan Stanley calls it the “ultimate frontier for AI”
• Goldman says several of SpaceX’s businesses could become trillion-dollar markets
• Analysts predict thousands of Starship launches per year by 2030
And all of this is happening while SpaceX’s market value is already above $2 trillion.
The biggest risk is that passive money doesn’t care about valuation.
Index funds buy because they have to buy.
That’s why, during a hype cycle, a stock can fully detach from fundamentals.
Even bearish analysts are warning that valuation depends largely on:
• Starship’s success at scale.
• delivering on the AI dream.
• and years of near-flawless execution.
That’s how the main bubble usually forms:
Forced buying. Extreme optimism. Investors chase momentum at any cost.
Once that momentum starts to reverse, massive wealth destruction follows.
SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 today, with its IPO still less than a month old.
That means hundreds of ETFs and index funds now have to automatically buy the stock.
More than $800 billion tracks the Nasdaq 100 index.
JPMorgan estimates that even a single index inclusion could bring about $4.3 billion in passive inflows into SpaceX shares.
Nasdaq even recently changed its rules to allow mega-IPO like SpaceX to enter the index faster.
Previously, companies typically had to wait at least 3 months.
SpaceX was added within weeks.
Meanwhile, Wall Street banks are rolling out extremely bullish coverage:
• Morgan Stanley calls it the “ultimate frontier for AI”
• Goldman says several of SpaceX’s businesses could become trillion-dollar markets
• Analysts predict thousands of Starship launches per year by 2030
And all of this is happening while SpaceX’s market value is already above $2 trillion.
The biggest risk is that passive money doesn’t care about valuation.
Index funds buy because they have to buy.
That’s why, during a hype cycle, a stock can fully detach from fundamentals.
Even bearish analysts are warning that valuation depends largely on:
• Starship’s success at scale.
• delivering on the AI dream.
• and years of near-flawless execution.
That’s how the main bubble usually forms:
Forced buying. Extreme optimism. Investors chase momentum at any cost.
Once that momentum starts to reverse, massive wealth destruction follows.
SPCX-4.32%
SPCXUS+0.51%
Why am I bullish on the next cycle for $ETH?
It’s simple.
Ethereum controls 87% of the stablecoin supply.
Do the math yourself.
Once the CLARITY Act passes, what happens?
The answer is obvious.
It’s simple.
Ethereum controls 87% of the stablecoin supply.
Do the math yourself.
Once the CLARITY Act passes, what happens?
The answer is obvious.
Within the past 30 minutes, the U.S. stock market has wiped out $330 billion, because Iran attacked two merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
When I was in college, LTC’s trading price was $44.
When I found work, LTC’s trading price was $44.
When I got married, LTC’s trading price was $44.
Now I have children, and LTC is still $44.
Absolutely a farce.
When I found work, LTC’s trading price was $44.
When I got married, LTC’s trading price was $44.
Now I have children, and LTC is still $44.
Absolutely a farce.
For the first time in nine months, $SOL has recorded a green monthly candlestick.
SOL has now risen +38% from its $60 low, increasing its market cap by $14 billion.
SOL has now risen +38% from its $60 low, increasing its market cap by $14 billion.
Big News:
Japan's 10-year yield has reached the highest level in 30 years.
It has now hit 2.83%.😱
This is a major shock to financial markets, because we have already seen the unwind of Japan's yen carry trade.
In a few years, this will be reflected in the market.
Japan's 10-year yield has reached the highest level in 30 years.
It has now hit 2.83%.😱
This is a major shock to financial markets, because we have already seen the unwind of Japan's yen carry trade.
In a few years, this will be reflected in the market.
I never go all-in at once with my Bitcoin position.
I always use a gradual approach.
No one can catch the exact bottom.
Instead, I spread my orders across a range.
100 BTC at 55.5K.
50 at 52K.
70 at 50K.
And lower.
If the price drops, I can fill at a lower price, improving my average cost.
That’s how to buy fearlessly without fear.
I always use a gradual approach.
No one can catch the exact bottom.
Instead, I spread my orders across a range.
100 BTC at 55.5K.
50 at 52K.
70 at 50K.
And lower.
If the price drops, I can fill at a lower price, improving my average cost.
That’s how to buy fearlessly without fear.
This could be the most important Bitcoin chart of the current cycle.
2018–2019: 12-month correction → 3-year bull market.
2022–2023: 9-month correction → 3–4 year bull market.
Now Bitcoin may be entering the next expansion phase.
If this structure repeats again, BTC could head for $150,000+ in the coming years.
Most people are still waiting for a bear market that may already be over.
2018–2019: 12-month correction → 3-year bull market.
2022–2023: 9-month correction → 3–4 year bull market.
Now Bitcoin may be entering the next expansion phase.
If this structure repeats again, BTC could head for $150,000+ in the coming years.
Most people are still waiting for a bear market that may already be over.
Bitcoin falls below $62,000 because Michael Saylor sold $225 million worth of Bitcoin…
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis
Bitcoin rose +7% this week, regaining the 200-week moving average. After a brief dip below that line, this is a positive signal.
Bullish factors:
- Regaining the 200-week moving average
- A bullish RSI divergence is forming
- The U.S. economy remains strong
- ISM is approaching 54 (a 4-year high) + the Russell 2000 index hitting an all-time high
- As progress is made in the U.S.-Iran peace talks, geopolitical risks are easing
Bearish factors:
- The 4-year cycle suggests new lows will occur in Q4
- Still below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages
- The weekly death cross remains in effect
Key levels to watch:
Support: $58K
Resistance: $67K and $83K
Bottom line:
Bitcoin is showing early signs of recovery, but it still needs to break above $67K to confirm a stronger trend reversal.
Bitcoin rose +7% this week, regaining the 200-week moving average. After a brief dip below that line, this is a positive signal.
Bullish factors:
- Regaining the 200-week moving average
- A bullish RSI divergence is forming
- The U.S. economy remains strong
- ISM is approaching 54 (a 4-year high) + the Russell 2000 index hitting an all-time high
- As progress is made in the U.S.-Iran peace talks, geopolitical risks are easing
Bearish factors:
- The 4-year cycle suggests new lows will occur in Q4
- Still below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages
- The weekly death cross remains in effect
Key levels to watch:
Support: $58K
Resistance: $67K and $83K
Bottom line:
Bitcoin is showing early signs of recovery, but it still needs to break above $67K to confirm a stronger trend reversal.
Do we live in a Bitcoin simulation world?
Because Summer 2026 looks exactly like
Summer 2022—the price fell below this line in the summer and formed a base.
Now we’re back here again.
Because Summer 2026 looks exactly like
Summer 2022—the price fell below this line in the summer and formed a base.
Now we’re back here again.
Once the 《Clarity Act》 is passed, what is your target price for Bitcoin?
My goal is
$BTC $150,000.
My goal is
$BTC $150,000.
Bitcoin has just flashed the same signal that triggered the 2022 crash
🚨
In 2021 and 2025, BTC hit its peak immediately after massively breaking above the 200W MA.
Then came a ruthless rejection.
Now Bitcoin is again at exactly the same level where the previous bull-trap started forming.
This chart suggests that the next big move may not be upward.
It could be the final shakeout before the real bottom arrives.
🚨
In 2021 and 2025, BTC hit its peak immediately after massively breaking above the 200W MA.
Then came a ruthless rejection.
Now Bitcoin is again at exactly the same level where the previous bull-trap started forming.
This chart suggests that the next big move may not be upward.
It could be the final shakeout before the real bottom arrives.
Wow!! This is too crazy
This meme coin is creating life-changing wealth.
$905 became $159K.
$905 became $102K.
$9.5K became $133K, and there's still $283K not cashed out yet.
This is the power of crypto!
This meme coin is creating life-changing wealth.
$905 became $159K.
$905 became $102K.
$9.5K became $133K, and there's still $283K not cashed out yet.
This is the power of crypto!
Insane: A small gambler on <CZ>
is up now 490x.
A $436.76 investment is now worth over $211,000.
is up now 490x.
A $436.76 investment is now worth over $211,000.
Bitcoin is retaking the lower end of the range.
Price has touched a demand area near 59K and bounced sharply.
This is the first sign that buyers are defending the bottom of the range.
The next test is the midpoint of the range near 67K, followed by the top near 75K.
Once these levels are reclaimed, the structure will flip.
If it fails here, the risk of a sweep remains.
This is the relief signal I’ve been waiting for.
Price has touched a demand area near 59K and bounced sharply.
This is the first sign that buyers are defending the bottom of the range.
The next test is the midpoint of the range near 67K, followed by the top near 75K.
Once these levels are reclaimed, the structure will flip.
If it fails here, the risk of a sweep remains.
This is the relief signal I’ve been waiting for.
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