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The crypto market is entering a decisive phase as the ETH/BTC ratio drops to the key support zone of 0.032–0.034, sparking intense debate among analysts about the imminent arrival of Altseason. This historically significant level has previously triggered powerful rebounds, signaling a potential turning point that could define the direction for altcoins in the months ahead.

1. Key Factor: The Altseason Debate and Support Test

The primary signal for the next Altseason is the price action of the ETH/BTC ratio, which is currently testing a critical historical level:
Crucial 0.032 Support: The ETH/BTC ratio is testing the 0.032–0.034 support zone. This range is historically significant, as powerful rebounds in previous market cycles have originated from this level, leading to broad altcoin rallies.The BTC Dominance Debate: Analysts are split on the trigger for Altseason:BTC First (Cowen's View): Analyst Benjamin Cowen argues that Bitcoin (BTC) must first break new all-time highs, causing BTC Dominance (BTC.D) to rise. Altseason only begins after BTC has made its move and ETH breaks and sustains support above $5,000.ETH Can Lead (CryptoBullet's View): Other analysts challenge this, citing historical data where Ethereum (ETH) rallied significantly (+79% to +88%) shortly after BTC topped out, proving ETH can drive market momentum independently.

2. Technical Patterns and Bullish Macro Factors

While the market is awaiting confirmation, there are several technical signs suggesting a turn may be near:
Potential Higher Low (Pattern): Some analysts note that ETH/BTC may be forming a higher low as it tests this key support, which would be a bullish reversal pattern for the ratio.Macro Factor (Fed Liquidity): A notable macro factor is the signal from the US Federal Reserve hinting at potentially ending its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program. This injection of optimism and liquidity into risk assets, like altcoins, could serve as an external catalyst for the next rally.

3. Price Target and Altseason Confirmation

The start of a confirmed Altseason hinges entirely on Ethereum's ability to drive a decisive move against Bitcoin:
Confirmation Target: The full confirmation of Altseason, according to analysts like Cowen, requires Ethereum (ETH) to break above $5,000 and sustain that level as support. While the article doesn't specify a precise target for the ETH/BTC ratio itself, a successful bounce from the 0.032 support is necessary to drive the momentum for ETH to reach this price target.Altcoin Market Cap: Currently, the altcoin market capitalization (excluding stablecoins) remains 20% below its all-time high, further underscoring that a major move in the ETH/BTC ratio is required before a true, broad Altseason begins.

Conclusion

The ETH/BTC ratio is at a make-or-break juncture, testing the historically crucial 0.032–0.034 support zone. This test, coupled with hints of improving global liquidity from the Fed, creates a high-stakes environment for altcoins. While experts debate whether BTC or ETH will lead, the general consensus is that a rebound from this support zone is essential. For the market to officially enter Altseason, Ethereum must reclaim and hold above the psychological and technical barrier of $5,000.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves high risks, and you should always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.