龙门谈币

Here comes the brothers！！！

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#ETH巨鲸增持

Two empty orders, easily netting over 10,000 U.

Some say the market is too fierce to dare to act, but I actually like this kind of volatility.

Once the direction is grasped, profits come faster than emotions.

Before this wave of decline, I had already predicted the market's top divergence in advance,

Along with the continuous increase in funding and reduction in energy, I know very well: this is a no-brainer, it's not a crash, it's an opportunity.


Many people are repeatedly harvested in chasing highs and cutting lows, but those who can truly make money only do two things

Understand the structure

Execute properly

Don't ask if the market is difficult, the difficulty lies in your lack of strategy.

In the upcoming waves of volatility, there will be no shortage, and I will still only bring those with strong execution to feast.
#加密市场观察

Only what you eat is called meat, what you miss is called 'seen'!

A bunch of people are watching the market, following big accounts, reading articles, but they don't dare to get on board.

Then they watch others make profits while they can only hope to break even?

Bro, stop talking nonsense! Losing this much, don't you just want someone to help you turn things around?

Follow me, one sentence: I'll set the direction, control the rhythm, and monitor the risk!
You just need to get on board, execute, and make money!

While others fear volatility, I profit from it; while others greedily chase upward trends, I take profits and retreat early.
I'm not just giving signals; I'm paving the way.

Have you seen anyone do it this way? A novice turned 800U into 6200U, stable like it's not a contract.
A liquidated brother went from 3000U to 1000U, and with me, tripled in 22 days.

A full-time mom, stayed with me for 60 days, withdrew 20K U in a single month and left; these people aren't exceptionally gifted, they just trust me and follow me.

Don't hesitate, if you want to turn things around, just do it this way! #隐私币生态普涨
#比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

Now most of the shanzhai are in a downward trend, even though something like the once popular #pipp is no longer in its prime. However, there are still quite a few people stuck with this coin, whether long or short.

Like the currently somewhat promising #TRADOOR , it is also playing tricks, going up and then directly consolidating, leaving both bulls and bears feeling uneasy.

#RECALL has been pulled up after multiple rounds of retracement and consolidation. Normally, I would chase it, but today, with the monthly line closing, I held back #隐私币生态普涨 .

The current market situation, to put it simply, is waiting for another "monthly level reshuffle."

Before and after the monthly update, the most common action is not to pull trends, but to—liquidate liquidity through spikes.
From a structural perspective, the real accumulation area is not in front of us, but concentrated in the range of 2800—2880. In this range, stop losses, panic selling, and margin calls are all squeezed together.

Therefore, one of the simplest and most brutal methods cannot be ruled out: one spike down to wash out everything that needs to be washed.
But note one thing: washing out does not mean turning bearish; often, after washing out, one is qualified to discuss direction.

If the subsequent action is just a small dip to sweep a leg, quickly stabilize, decrease in volume, and slowly be caught, then this kind of dip is essentially paving the way for medium-term layout.

What really needs to be vigilant about is the kind of "pain-free and numb" false breakouts, which are neither up nor down, making them most likely to repeatedly sweep losses and wear down people's confidence.

At the beginning of the month, as long as there is no deep dip to the line of 2730, the entire structure has not been broken.
What is truly worth focusing on later is the attitude around 3050.

Why do I say this? Because the major coin is already close to the upper track of the downward channel, and ETH has already stood up once, but has not yet completed confirmation.

As always: the confirmation of the major coin is always more valuable than that of the second coin.

If the major coin can complete a breakthrough and stabilize at a key position, then the second coin standing firmly above 3100 will not be a single point trend, but a resonant oscillation upward structure.

Returning to the operational level, the most important thing here is not the direction, but whether "it is worth taking action."
Currently, the box trading idea remains unchanged,
But I must emphasize: the range is meant for capturing volatility, not for forcing trades.

At time nodes like the beginning and end of the month, the probability of spikes is much greater than steady pushes.

If there is a need to provide a deeper position, it may be better to consider extending the cycle a bit.

A market that can still move up after a spike will not be small in level.

On the short position side, it is also not about betting on direction, but about hitting extremes. The range of 3040—3080 belongs to the upper edge of the box trading area; if a position is provided, then consider a short.

But if there is a volume breakout and stabilization at 3050, then don't hesitate, directly abandon the short position strategy.
For those who have already taken profits, they can take partial profits, leaving a bit of a base position to see if there is spike space; if there is, profit; if not, consider it a convenient trade.
#ETH走势分析

Set a small goal for yourself: for example, 500 USDT capital, earning 50–100 USDT every day.
Don't think it's too little.

This kind of stable small wins is what can truly compound into big money.

You need to understand one thing: in any mature financial market, a monthly return of 20%–40% is already top-level.

Those who think about doubling every day often end up not being able to protect their capital.

Many people blame the problem on leverage, but to say something heartfelt, leverage is just a magnifying glass.

What it magnifies is not only the profits but also your greed, emotions, execution ability, and discipline gap.
Experienced traders know very well: liquidation is almost never the fault of the market but rather a collapse of mindset first.
Those who can control their losses, even using 100 times leverage, are much safer than a 5 times player who lacks discipline and randomly increases their positions.

So stop getting tangled up in the question of "how much leverage should I use".

Leverage has no standard answer; there is only one premise: whether it matches your understanding and ability.
In the cryptocurrency circle, leverage has never been the real devil; greed is.

What you need to do is not to get rich overnight, but to be able to survive at the table every day.

Live long, and money will naturally come.#山寨季将至？

Finally took profit, oh my, fortunately it remains as steady as ever
#ETH（二饼）

$ETH, give me a break, it's about to escalate! Just one point away from triggering, that's enough already! #ETH（二饼）

This wave of Ethereum, the market makers are really ruthless.

From morning until now, they have directly pushed up more than a hundred points. To be honest, I didn't anticipate this extent.
I originally thought it could move about 50 points and that would be about it, but it went straight up in one go.

But now the problem is not how much it has risen, but that the volume has not kept up at all.

The end of the month is approaching, you should take a look at the trading volume. With this level of volume, it's obvious that the market makers are in strong control.
This type of market has a characteristic: the trend chart is basically useless.

It looks very strong, but it is completely being manipulated by someone.

So my attitude is very clear now: no trading during the day.

The market makers are controlling it too tightly, neither allowing it to drop nor providing a comfortable bullish structure.

Wait until the afternoon or evening when liquidity returns, then you can consider participating with small trades,

just to earn a little pocket money, don’t get attached, don’t get too excited.

In this kind of market, it’s not about who can predict better, it’s about who can endure.

At the end of the month, being able to minimize losses or not lose at all is already a win.
#巨鲸动向

Here it comes, here it comes, stand firm at 3050, the trend will turn around.

Whether it's a bull or a bear, the number of people playing with coins decreases day by day. They all say it's hard to make money in the crypto world,

but you guys have worked these years and haven't gotten rich, right? I have to thank Binance for this job,

after all, I can earn money while sipping tea, there's no reason to criticize the crypto world as being worthless.
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

This shot is too early, I haven't gotten up yet. Has anyone opened the warehouse?

It really proves the old saying, the early bird catches the worm,

Those who were able to enter the market at this position of 2950-2960 will be very comfortable all day today! #ETH走势分析

There's no need to rush the market on Sunday.

Wait for the liquidity to return in the afternoon or evening, and then consider entering the market.

Unless there are unexpected events during the day, it will still be a very narrow range of fluctuations, basically leaving no room for operation.

Such fluctuations of only a few dozen points have a risk-reward ratio close to 1:1,

essentially exchanging luck for transaction fees, with a very high probability of loss.

If you insist on trying to catch fluctuations in this type of market, then I won't say anything. #BTC
#ETH（二饼）

#ETH（二饼） Now what we see as three "double bottoms" can actually be understood from a trading perspective as follows:
The first two: a false bullish structure, while the last one: may actually be the real bottom.
But the prerequisite is that it must be confirmed.

Why is there a "repeated drawing of double bottoms"? In a bearish or sideways market, the main players like to do three things:
Repeatedly probe the same area (making you think "this is very strong")
Each time give a little rebound (making you believe that "double bottom is established")
Wait until the chips are sufficiently gathered, then choose a direction.

So you will see: it looks like a double bottom, but each rebound gets lower and weaker.

This is not a trend reversal, this is a chip exchange + emotional consumption.

A real "double bottom" only looks at three points (missing any one does not count):
These three conditions can directly filter out 90% of false double bottoms.

① The second bottom cannot be weaker; preferably, it should not break the previous low, or if it does, it quickly recovers. If the second probe shows obvious increased volume and the body breaks down, then it’s not a double bottom, but a false signal before a breakdown.

② The rebound must "stand firm"; it cannot just spike and crash. It should at least hold the 2930–2950 range, rather than currently: spiking up → then completely giving back the gains, not holding = funds do not recognize.

③ The key neck line must be “confirmed by the closing price,” for the pattern to truly establish itself, not relying on shadow lines,
but rather on the closing price.
If the 4-hour or daily candlestick closes above the neck line and retests without breaking, without this step, what you see is only “looking like a double bottom.”

How to understand the current ETH market? Spiked 100 points → completely retraced, high points and low points overall shifted down, momentum weakened.

This is more like: the shape of a double bottom + a bearish consolidation structure.
In other words: the shape is there, but the conditions are not met.

A more stable approach is: in the bottom area 2885–2835, you can try a small position long, just betting on a rebound, not betting on a reversal. If you really want to trend long, wait until it stabilizes above 2950 before chasing.
$#ETH走势分析

#ETH（二饼） The current upward momentum is continuously diminishing, and the price structure shows a characteristic of synchronous decline in peaks and troughs. The bullish rebound lacks continuity, and the bearish trend has been preliminarily confirmed. In the short term, the focus is on defense and high short positions.

Observe the support levels for pullbacks (speculative long positions)

This round focuses on the key support range below:
2885
2835
2800 (psychological level)

Operation principle: Only small positions can be taken at each support level, with short stop losses and quick in-and-out trades. Do not expect a trend reversal, only aim for a technical rebound with a large risk-reward ratio. Once the support is broken, do not harbor illusions and withdraw immediately.

The main idea for short positions is 2950 – 3050, which is the primary area for bearish layout.

After each rally, consider high shorts first when there is a pullback, primarily focusing on short positions without holding onto positions or being greedy. Take profit targets in batches:
2920
2885
2835
2800

During the profit-taking process, dynamically adjust the stop loss downwards to lock in profits and prevent drawdowns from eroding gains.

Before the structure weakens, the bulls rely on faith;
After the structure weakens, only look at positions, not emotions.

At this stage, high shorts are the main line, and pullbacks for long positions are merely technical speculation. Anyone who mindlessly chases long positions at this level will be taught a lesson by the market. #比特币流动性
#BTC☀ #ETH走势分析

To be honest, the current market is boring.

It's choppy, exhausting, and tests patience, but the real opportunities often lie just behind these phases.
The key point is only one: after the options expiration on the 26th.

Why say the turning point is after expiration? The biggest issue in the market right now is not lack of direction,

but that the hedging funds are tightly suppressing liquidity.

Once the options expiration ends: the hedging positions will be released, liquidity will flow, and positions will start to concentrate again; this kind of structure is never meant for sideways movement. It's just a matter of time.

In a nutshell: a major trend is brewing, it's just not ignited yet.

In this round of market, who is taking the baton?

Interestingly, the strongest performer recently has been silver.

To some extent, it is taking over the previous “emotional anchor” position of ETH.

The so-called “digital silver” indeed seems to be taking a backseat now.

But brothers, don't misunderstand, ETH is not out, it's just waiting for a signal.

As long as the key level is truly broken, it still qualifies to return to the center stage.

And this signal may very well be given after the 26th.

Speaking of real trades, yesterday’s short position in ETH once again paid off precisely.

2990 support/resistance swap level, directly betting on the short:

First target hit, second target gained another segment, a total of 90 points, clean and tidy.

Brothers who followed along made an average of a few hundred U, steadily putting the profits in their pockets.

It’s not luck, it’s position + structure + execution.

What to do next?
For those who have positions: reduce positions as needed, move up the cost, and lock in profits first.

For those who want to enter: don’t rush, the real rhythm may unfold after the expiration.

Are you ready to stand on the vehicle? I’m already waiting for the signal.
#ETH走势分析

Simple things, repeated, are the real profit

Many people think that experts rely on advanced techniques and complex models. To put it bluntly: it's all nonsense.
The real veterans who can survive in the cryptocurrency space do extremely simple things,

So simple that you might doubt: "Is this it? Can I really get rich?"

But the reality is they rely on this kind of model, making their way from 2000u to 500,000u.

It's not because they are smart, but because they don't take unnecessary risks.

First, let's clarify the truth about high leverage: high leverage essentially comes down to two points, there is no third option.

First: Spikes, specifically for those who don't comply. Who does the exchange prefer?

It's you brave ones who dare to use 50x, 100x leverage.

They won't move against you during the day, but at midnight, one spike, and your principal is directly reclaimed.

Second: Your mentality will explode.

Using 100x, with a 1% price fluctuation, your heart rate skyrockets.

In this state, how can you talk about discipline? About execution? About being an expert?

Remember a few iron rules:

The lower the leverage,
The more you dare to invest;
The more you dare to invest, the more qualified you are to ride the trend.

Counter-trend positions usually end in three types of failures.

First type: Stubborn type
"I don't believe it won't drop." What happens? It not only doesn’t drop, but it also buries your account.

Second type: Averaging down type
"If it drops again, I will average down." By the end, it’s not a rebound, it’s running out of funds.

Third type: Mystical type
"Golden cross! It’s going to reverse!" The market maker swiftly responds with a big bearish line: teaching you to start over.

So one thing: better to miss out than to lose everything.

The truly correct approach: split positions + low leverage
Splitting positions is not mystical, it’s a life-saving talisman.

Let’s take the simplest example. You have 30,000 U:

Don’t put it all at risk, split it directly into 3 parts,
Each part 10,000 U.
Only use 1 part to open a position each time, treat the remaining two parts as if they don’t exist.

If you use 10x leverage on 10,000 U, a 10% drop will evaporate your account directly.

But if you only use 5x, it will only blow up at a 20% drop, directly doubling your margin of error.

Splitting positions also has a hidden bonus: it helps manage emotions.

When someone loses money, what do they tend to do? Revenge trading.

The result is often: the more urgent, the bigger the loss; the bigger the loss, the more they want to turn it around; ultimately it leads to a complete wipeout.

You can continue to chase high leverage and gamble, or you can choose a steadier path, slowly building your account.
Simple things, repeated, the path is right here, whether you walk it or not, is up to you.
#PIPP #ETH（二饼）

The previous high has been broken, give me a like if you're following along. #folksusdt

Callback completed, go long. Target surpassed previous high
#folksusdt

A fan contacted me privately and said that the recent fluctuations in the market have been too intense, and his account has been drained, leaving only 1300U.
He is not a novice and has seen the market before, but his trading is mostly based on intuition,

When the price goes up, he chases it; when it goes down, he cuts losses. When emotions run high, he can lose two to three thousand U in a day,

By the end, he felt numb about his account while he himself felt overwhelmed.

He told me one thing that left a deep impression: "If I can't turn it around again, I might really have to quit."
At that point, he wasn’t looking for solutions anymore but was searching for a last straw.
I first doused him with cold water. If you still expect to rely on one explosive trade, one heavy investment, or catching a 'gem coin' to turn things around, you will only exit faster.

A real turnaround is never about acceleration; it’s about a sudden stop.

His previous problem was obvious: as soon as he opened the trading software, he wanted to participate. If he didn’t act, he felt anxious, and the result was always buying at the peak of emotions and selling at the bottom of panic.

I told him: when the market hasn’t developed, staying out is the best solution.

If it doesn’t rise, don’t chase; if it doesn’t fall, don’t speculate.

Wait until emotions are suppressed before discussing the next step: rebuilding positions.

I set a strict rule for him: the maximum for a single trade is 300U, just to keep 'one mistake' within a manageable range.

In the past, he could lose 2000 in a day, but now even if he makes a few mistakes in a row, his account can still remain stable.
Gradually, he began to consistently earn 300, 500—profits that are not exciting but are real.
The significance of this step is not the money but the return of confidence.

The third thing is something he had never taken seriously before: reviewing trades.

Not in a formal way, but after each trade, he has to answer three questions:

Did I follow my plan?

Did emotions interfere?

If I could do it again, would I make the same decision?

At first, he doubted: "Can it really turn around this slowly?"

I only replied with one sentence: How did being fast work out for you before?

So far it has been 17 days, and his account can't be called a 'turnaround' yet, but one thing has already changed: he is no longer led by emotions in the market.

And this, precisely, is the starting point of all real turnaround stories.

So, follow my lead, and I'll help you turn your account around! #ETH走势分析
#ETH（二饼）

Eight years of cycles: From being liquidated to the moment of survival

In my eighth year in the market, I increasingly confirm one thing:
They lose not because of skills, but because of wrong trading habits being amplified time and time again.

1. You often can't make money because you are "spreading too thin"

In the small capital stage, the most fatal thing is not making wrong calls, but wanting everything.
The account is not large, yet you hold a bunch of coins,

The result is: when the market rises, it's not your turn, and when it falls, you can't escape at all.
The truly effective approach is always to concentrate your firepower.

2. The market obeys trends, not your logic

Many people are keen on studying news, patterns, and indicators, but ignore a cruel fact:
Once a trend is formed, logic is left with execution only.

Rebounds during a downtrend are mostly for escaping; pullbacks during an uptrend are the real entry windows.
You can make a wrong call, but you can't go against the trend stubbornly.

3. When there is no market, trading is chronic suicide

The crypto market does not provide opportunities every day.
Most of the time, the market is either directionless or lacks space.

But the problem is: when people are idle, they want to trade.

4. Losing money holding positions and being soft-hearted when making profits is a common ailment among retail investors

Almost all accounts that have been liquidated have gone through the same process:
Imagining reversals during losses and rushing to cash out during profits.

The result is: the more you hold losing positions, the bigger they become, and the smaller your winning positions get.

5. The rhythm of buying and selling determines what kind of person you are

Hesitant when opportunities arise, procrastinating when risks come, this is the most typical "money-giving operation".

6. Adding to positions is not a lifeline, it's amplifying judgment

Many people add to losing positions,
Saying they are "lowering costs", but they are actually avoiding mistakes.

There is only one premise for correct position adding: even if you are currently flat, you are still willing to buy back at this level.
Otherwise, that is not trading, it is emotional self-rescue.

7. Those who are obsessed with short-term trades find it hard to last till the end

Staring at the market, frequent operations, pursuing excitement, seem like hard work, but actually consume judgment.

8. Bottom-fishing is the most expensive belief for retail investors

"It has dropped so much, it should bounce back, right?" This phrase has buried countless accounts.

The bottom is not guessed; it is confirmed by trends.

The more anxious people are to catch the bottom, the more likely they are to die halfway up the mountain. #加密市场观察

#美国非农数据超预期