晴天886

$BTC
From the overall direction of Bitcoin (BTC), this bull market will ultimately end with a significant large-scale deep crab pattern. At this stage, the market is in the B wave rebound, after which it will enter the C wave ending phase.
In terms of time scale, it will take about 30-60 days to complete the B wave, and then the C wave will start.
The structure of this B wave is very difficult to trade in contracts; the operators can create wide fluctuations. The 80,000 position can be tested twice, or a secondary low can be made, then pushed higher, with the high points being tested twice or three times to trick you into exiting, and finally unloading for distribution.

Although the target of 13.2 has not been fully achieved, the height of 12.6 has been reached.
For spot costs above 70,000, it is advisable to reduce positions in batches during rebounds for risk aversion.
The B wave is meant for survival, not for chasing high patterns.
For specific exit points and short-selling strategies, please refer to chart analysis.

This large-scale pattern resonates with the previously analyzed small-scale patterns.
Chart 2-3: June prediction 12.5/12.6, there will be a secondary level pullback here, using 93588 as the spot defense, hoping for a 5 wave derivative upward expectation of 13.2; if it breaks below, the wave structure will fail.
Chart 4: The final plunge of BTC to the starting point of 80,000 began at 104,000; within this is a standard butterfly, and the PRZ landing point of the butterfly is 93588. From large-scale to small-scale patterns.

$ETH

ETH volume has surged to 3383, which is also the upper boundary of the left-side short position zone mentioned last week. Now that the orders at 3383 have been filled, place a breakeven stop-loss. Currently, shorting is on the left side; entering a market order at 3330 for the initial short position should result in a small loss. I didn't catch the short order at 3360 on Binance, but I just reached that level and caught it at an average price around 3345. Set your stop-loss at 3384. If the stop-loss isn't triggered, just hold on. You can also consider reducing your position between 3120 and 3080. My profit target is 2480, which is the target after two box movements downward! If your position is light, you can trade back and forth to lock in profits. If the price exceeds 3384, this structure will no longer be valid. The next short order can be placed near 3570 for a pullback opportunity. From 2480, reverse and go long to catch a weekly rebound up to 3850, then start positioning for a long-term short. If this rebound directly reaches 3870, start positioning for long-term shorts right from here! Post-event commentary is always simple, but the present moment is the hardest. I'm sharing my trades and thoughts—not claiming to be a perpetual winner. I'm just 'simulating a perpetual winner!'

For BTC, don't go short for now. If you must short, place long-term shorts at 98200 or 99500. The structures of BTC and ETH are different. Last year, ETH peaked on August 24, while BTC peaked on October 6. Markets are unpredictable—no one can be right all the time. For safety, always remember to use stop-losses. Only by being cautious and steady can we achieve long-term success!

$ETH
ETH 3330 market price short entry directly, add position at 3360-70 (take profit first for added positions) 3384 stop loss, no take profit set yet. Previous order at 3383 with cost protection in place

$ETH
ETH maintains its previous view unchanged
The only update today is using harmonic patterns to refine the bearish breakout structure

Key support zone for ETH on the daily chart: 3050-3080
If price stabilizes in this area, it will offer a light long position opportunity on the left side.
If price breaks below this range, be cautious of further downside risks.
For a bullish trend to resume, a clear black impulse wave pattern must emerge.
Current correction period has been sufficiently prolonged.
Market should avoid getting trapped in a second-wave zigzag correction with repeated oscillations,
or the probability of a second bottom will significantly increase.
Today, on the weekend, let's do a harmonic review and statistics~
After all, Ethereum's ABCD patterns are very intricate and cyclical.

$ETH

Since we haven't stabilized at 3130-50 yet
then continue being short tonight, more upside?
Ultra-short simulation account short until daily MA20: 3040, also the 0.5 Fibonacci level
Brothers, what do you think?

$ETH

Woke up and my position was gone
Yesterday in the group, it was said that the dog gangs would sweep the liquidity of 3088
So short down, go long again at 3056
This large-scale B-wave structure is really hard to play,
Hold above 3080, and it will still take out the 3440 high point. Then, a new high point would trigger a violent C-wave crash?
If next week's weekly candle closes above 3080, ETH's structure will match my expectation. From time and space perspective, how far it can go up, and where to expect a pullback. Spend the weekend carefully mapping it out. Since 2770, there has been a motive wave structure forming, now in an ABC correction of the motive wave. The cycle constructs a large-scale 4950 high point reversal wave BC correction, and then it ends—just like ZEC's mission.

$ZEC
ZEC doesn't need further explanation—short, short, short
Short at 548, first target 480,
Rebound to 520, 515 add short
Break below 480, continue rolling short
Long-term view: 404-388
All targets reached, right?
Then the long at 388 has also been entered! Just defend at 375
Haha
This is exactly the script I've been talking about since last month
Many people said it was caused by news of ZEC team dissolution
Did I know last month that the ZEC team would dissolve?
Isn't this derived purely from chart pattern analysis?

$ETH
Yesterday's market was bearish, with plans to short in the 3240-60 range. However, after rebounding to 3228 overnight and failing to sustain, the price continued to decline, so the short position was not entered. This morning, the price stabilized at 3120, but volume first contracted then expanded. A market buy order was placed at 3155, but the rebound lacked strength, forcing an exit. Then, a short position was taken, but the price quickly dropped to 3086 without reaching the profit target, ultimately manually exited at 3210. If 3080 is not broken, the market still shows an uptrend, but I remain cautious about chasing long positions. Planning to observe for a second test near 3080 tonight to re-enter if possible; otherwise, short at 3194, near the upper edge of the range, to capture a pullback, followed by a long position.

I cannot determine whether the break below 3080 or the breakout above 3303 will occur. Only the eternal profit master can be 100% certain. I'm just a simulation master—act according to what the market signals. Once a breakout happens, replicate the box pattern with an expected height. Once a breakdown occurs, replicate the box pattern with a left-side bottom entry point for catching a rebound.

Figure 2 shows 10 short positions entered just now when posting, with entry at 3132—exactly the previous pullback's support level. After breaking down, this level transformed into minor resistance. The post wasn't even finished, but this short position had already reached profit target, gaining $150. I can enjoy a delicious pork knuckle meal this weekend!

Why choose to short at 3132? My logic is simple: the essence of trading is analyzing market patterns. When a key support level breaks, it often signals either continuation or reversal of the existing trend. The breakdown at 3132 is a concrete manifestation of this pattern.

$ETH
ETH does not meet expectations, the bottom has not yet been reached~ 3180 is not achievable~
It's still safer to open a simulated account and go short~
Even a small loss of $200 on the long position of BTC is enough to exit

$ZEC
What does ZEC mean?
I'll speak once it breaks 480, wait for 548!
Empty, empty, empty!
What do those who said they'd crush me have to say?
The rebound at 520, 515 also offered multiple opportunities to add short positions
Is it from the upper channel to the lower channel?

How to look at Ethereum? Have you checked the analysis in this post a few days ago? A 3120 support level with decreasing volume followed by a rebound and increasing volume bullish candlestick, go long! What else do you want 😳

$BTC
BTC senior structure is too standard, go long at 9.1 without position, defend at 9.05
Betting on a 5th wave rally, target pending, only with defense

$ETH
ETH short position
Short in the 3245-3266 range, with a stop loss at 3290, wide stop-loss at 3308, cautious of sudden spikes
Target 3108 -3088-2910
The last position is left as a residual仓位 to gamble on, observe the candlestick pattern around 3100-3088, could also take a long position on a rebound

$ZEC
Unwind~
Become a simulated eternal master

$ETH
How much can be done?
I'll open a simulation warehouse to learn as well

$ZEC
Lost a lot
Those who started accumulating from 548 have been holding for almost a full week
They only reduced their position once during the downturn

$ETH
This pull-up, I only gave two short entry points: 3193 and 3266
Why?

First wave of pull-up: 2772-3077 range (gain of 305 points)
Retracement phase: 3077-2888 (loss of 189 points), forming a 305-point rebound height and a 189-point retracement.

3193 short entry: Based on the principle of equal-length red solid lines in the chart, 2888 low point + 305-point rebound height = 3193 resistance level
3266 short entry: Calculated via projection distance, 3077 high point + 189-point retracement = 3266 pressure level

Breakout strategy
If the key resistance at 3266 is broken with volume, switch to a long position on the right side, targeting 3383?
Why 3383? If 3266 cannot hold as a central pressure, it means a breakout from the range. Breakouts from ranges often replicate the height proportionally. If 3383 cannot hold, then next target is 3688?

$ETH
Is ETH in a corrective wave 3-3-5 structure during a downtrend, or a double zigzag correction?

During the decline from 2620 to 3440, only three segments of structure were formed with the black dashed line, and no impulse wave appeared. Therefore, after reaching the high of 3440, it continued to adjust to 2790. This is a signal given by the market, not a personal judgment.

From 2790 to the current 3266, it also shows a three-segment structure. If 3266 retraces to the support around 3080-3100 and digests, it indicates the end of the adjustment, and the subsequent movement will follow the purple solid line to rise and continue adjusting. If the 3080 level is broken, the second adjustment will continue along the red dashed line, targeting a lower level.

So how to open positions and how to defend? How to intervene on the left side and right side?
Why short at 3266?
The position of 3266 was projected and calculated in the previous two days. Here, it is close to resistance and making a correction. First, observe the support situation around 3080-3100.

Woke up from a deep sleep, and my position is gone
It turns out it was automatically stopped out ah ah ah
The simulated eternal earning master has been forcibly offline
Ethereum short position has been entered
This big pie wants to short one more time at the market price now

$BTC
After the simulated stop loss is triggered, can I have another simulated short opportunity?
I want to hold the title of "Simulated Eternal Master" for a few days
🐶 Can you give me a favor?