EMA日报 _ EMA Daily

Today's one-line summary: All 4 coins are in bearish daily structures; all are also bearish on the 1H, so the short-term and broader trends are aligned. Volatility is normal today (each coin's intraday range is 78%–81% of its usual level).

EMA Structure Daily Report | 2026-11-09 21:00 Beijing Time
Binance USDT perpetuals | Based on the structure panel formula
Structure observation only, not a complete engine entry signal.

$BTC | 1H bearish | 4H bearish | Daily bearish
1H close 74895.8; 4H EMA20 75689.2
Daily ADR 2.91% | Volume ratio 0.68
Daily distance from SMA50: -2.92×ADR; upside extension reference 81557.3
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 81.0%

$ETH | 1H bearish | 4H bearish | Daily bearish
1H close 2121.5; 4H EMA20 2207.7
Daily ADR 4.18% | Volume ratio 0.84
Daily distance from SMA50: -3.43×ADR; upside extension reference 2442.5
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 80.8%
Daily price is below SMA50/200

$SOL | 1H bearish | 4H bearish | Daily bearish
1H close 86.58; 4H EMA20 89.06
Daily ADR 4.50% | Volume ratio 0.94
Daily distance from SMA50: -4.30×ADR; upside extension reference 100.48
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 77.7%
Daily price is below SMA50/200

BNB | 1H bearish | 4H bearish | Daily bearish
1H close 687.44; 4H EMA20 693.38
Daily ADR 3.36% | Volume ratio 0.65
Daily distance from SMA50: -2.34×ADR; upside extension reference 749.5
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 77.8%

Closed data as of (Beijing Time): 1H 11-09 21:00; 4H 11-09 20:00; Daily 11-09 08:00
Methodology: EMA10>EMA20 is bullish; otherwise, classified as bearish according to the original panel. This does not constitute entry authorization. Daily ADR is the average of recent ranges and includes the latest closed daily candle; the daily volume ratio is likewise based on closed daily data.
Today's range accumulates only closed 1H candles. The UTC day starts at 08:00 Beijing Time. The range ratio can exceed 100%; this does not indicate remaining room for movement. An extension reference level does not mean an exhaustion event has been triggered, and moving averages are not guaranteed support or resistance.
Charts: BTC/ETH daily structure charts; BTC 1H structure chart and 1H trend color-band chart. Dashed bands indicate extension levels; panel readings are based on closed candles.

BTC is bearish across the 1H/4H/daily timeframes, and is still some distance from the daily SMA50 (81781.6). What do you think are the odds it first reclaims 74791.1 (1H EMA20) this week?
#EMA #MarketWatch
Not investment advice.

With the Nvidia story, first separate the facts into three layers, then consider what it means for us.

【Confirmed】
At the end of October, The New York Times reported that U.S. intelligence agencies believe Huang Le, an executive at Singaporean customer Megaspeed, is a Chinese intelligence operative. Huang Renxun said at the time that their dealings were normal and that the company had checked and found no improper exports.
On November 8, he posted an apology on the company website, admitting to an extramarital affair. The board launched an investigation under the conflict-of-interest clause in its code of conduct.

【Not yet confirmed】
Whether chips actually made their way to China, whether Megaspeed received its allocation because of a personal relationship, and whether there will be hearings or shareholder lawsuits—all of these are still speculation.

【My take】
Admitting to the affair effectively means giving up the “purely business dealings” line of defense. From a PR perspective, it halted the “spy” narrative; legally, though, it nailed down the issue of “undisclosed conflicts of interest.” It’s a case of taking a definite small loss to avoid a major, uncertain risk. Whether that’s worth it depends on the investigation’s findings.

【What this has to do with crypto】
NVDA is an anchor for sentiment across AI and risk assets. Over the past year, the daily correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq has been between 0.3 and 0.6 most of the time. On days when NVDA plunges, BTC rarely rallies on its own.
So what matters to us isn’t the gossip, but this: if an expanded investigation weighs on NVDA, it’ll be harder for BTC’s daily bearish structure to recover; if the market digests the news and nothing comes of it, that could instead release some pressure on AI-themed coins.
I’m focused on the chart structure: when BTC’s daily EMA10 gets back above its EMA20 will be more useful to watch than guessing whether Huang Renxun will step down.

Do you think this could spark the current pullback in the AI sector?

$NVDA $BTC #NVDA #BTC
This is not investment advice.

$SNDK SanDisk is as shown below. Let’s see whether the support can hold; if it does, that would mean a bottom is forming.
$BTC 1h and 4h timeframes are seeing a rebound. Let’s see whether it can break through the resistance above.

The shady bookmaker really likes to trigger a sudden price spike around 4–5 o’clock.
That’s too late for people who stay up late.

And too early for those who don’t.
$BTC $ETH $SOL

Can BTC reclaim the EMA20 on the daily chart next week?

EMA Structure Daily Report | 2026-11-08 21:01 Beijing Time
Binance USDT Perpetuals | Based on the structure panel formula
Structure observation only; not a complete engine entry signal.

$BTC | 1H Long | 4H Short | Daily Short
1H close 75944.9; 4H EMA20 76385.8
Daily ADR 2.81% | Volume ratio 0.24
Daily distance from SMA50 -2.64×ADR; upper extension reference 81930.3
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 17.0%

$ETH | 1H Short | 4H Short | Daily Short
1H close 2238.4; 4H EMA20 2256.2
Daily ADR 3.85% | Volume ratio 0.27
Daily distance from SMA50 -2.64×ADR; upper extension reference 2458.2
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 15.6%

$SOL | 1H Short | 4H Short | Daily Short
1H close 89.51; 4H EMA20 90.57
Daily ADR 4.32% | Volume ratio 0.37
Daily distance from SMA50 -3.86×ADR; upper extension reference 101.52
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 25.4%

BNB | 1H Long | 4H Short | Daily Short
1H close 699.59; 4H EMA20 698.31
Daily ADR 3.26% | Volume ratio 0.28
Daily distance from SMA50 -2.01×ADR; upper extension reference 752.17
Today's range / average range over the previous 20 days: 34.0%

Closed data as of (Beijing Time): 1H 11-08 21:00; 4H 11-08 20:00; Daily 11-08 08:00
Methodology: EMA10>EMA20 is Long; otherwise, classified as Short according to the original panel. This does not constitute permission to enter a trade. Daily ADR is the average of recent ranges and includes the most recently closed daily candle; the daily volume ratio likewise uses closed daily data.
Today's range accumulates only closed 1H candles; the UTC day starts at 08:00 Beijing Time. The range ratio can exceed 100%; this does not indicate remaining room. An extension reference level does not mean an exhaustion event has been triggered, and moving averages are not guaranteed support or resistance.
#EMA #Market Watch
Not investment advice.

$BNB ｜Structure Watch 11-08 17:15 Beijing Time
1H long｜4H short｜Daily short
1H close 699.38; 4H EMA20 698.17; Daily SMA50 745.59
Daily ADR 3.26%｜34% of the day's range used｜Volume ratio 0.28
My view: 1H is rebounding, but 4H is still bearish. The area around EMA20 698.17 is a level to watch for resistance; only a 4H close above it would signal a bullish shift. Until then, treat it as a rebound.
Verification: I'll review this on Wednesday (11-11). A close below the 4H EMA20 means the bearish structure remains intact; otherwise, the structure is invalidated. I'll share the results.
Based on the OKCPA v38.6 base panel metrics; this is a structure watch, not an entry signal.
#EMA #MarketWatch
This does not constitute investment advice.

EMA Long/Short Daily Report | This Week’s Strategy Tracking

Reporting period: November 2, 2026, 00:00–November 8, 13:58, Beijing time. This week is not yet over; statistics are based on exit time.

【Long B4+S1R】
0 trades closed this week, so no win rate can be calculated. Note: No closed trades does not mean no positions were opened or that there are no current positions.

【Short SD+S1R】
5 trades closed: 3 wins, 2 losses; win rate 60.0%.
Cumulative P&L: +2.75R.

Individual results:
$XLM: -1.23R, hard stop-loss hit intraday
$ICP: -0.40R, engine-driven exit at close
$TRUMP: +1.41R, exited after intraday stop-loss was triggered
$HUMA: +2.13R, exited after a three-candle reversal
$IRYS: +0.85R, exited under the maximum pain rule

This week’s observation: A triggered stop-loss does not necessarily mean a loss. For example, the TRUMP trade was recorded as a profitable exit in the ledger. Both losing trades are also included; only winning trades are not shown.

There are currently only 5 closed short trades in the sample, which is not enough to conclude that the strategy has a consistent edge. We will continue tracking the same ledger and recording P&L and exit reasons.

#EMA #TradeReview
This is not investment advice.

EMA Long/Short Daily Report | EMA Daily: Connection and currency tag test. EMA structure observations are planned to be updated at 21:00 Beijing time, with live and simulated trading recorded separately. This post contains no trading signals.$BTC $ETH #EMA

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