天运众智

#SOL走势分析 $SOL as of January 31, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8, Binance SOL/USDT), core conclusion: linked to BTC's low volatility, weak rebound unlikely to break $118, weekend liquidity low, priority on position control.

Core Market Information

- Current Price: $116.8, 24H Change **-0.8%**
- 24H Range: $112.6-$118.2, volatility converging
- 24H Trading Volume: approximately **$5.6B**, decreased by about 22% compared to the previous day
- Market Cap: approximately **$66.0B**, ranked #7

Today's Market Review

1. Early Morning: impacted by the gold crash + hawkish expectations from Waller, SOL hit a low of **$112.6**, total contract liquidations exceeded **$820M** (predominantly long positions)
2. Daytime: consolidated in **$115-$117 with reduced volume; 4H RSI rose from 29 to 34**, MACD green bars narrowing, selling pressure marginally weakened
3. Drivers: convergence of precious metal volatility, slight pullback of the dollar bringing in tentative capital; however, SOL is strongly correlated with BTC, confidence among bulls is insufficient, rebound is weak

#以太坊走势 $ETH as of January 31, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8, Binance ETH/USDT), key conclusion: Follow BTC's low-level fluctuations; weak rebounds struggle to break $2700, with poor weekend liquidity, prioritize position control.

Core Market Overview

- Current price: $2658, 24H change **-2.5%**
- 24H range: $2606-$2688, fluctuations converging
- 24H trading volume: approximately **$93.2B**, down about 18% from the previous day
- Market cap: approximately **$320B**, firmly at #2

Today's Market Review

1. Early morning: Impacted by the gold crash + hawkish expectations of Waller, ETH hit a low of **$2606**, with over **$2.1B** in liquidations across the network (mainly long positions)
2. Daytime: Consolidating volume between **$2620-$2660; 4H RSI rebounded from 27 to 33**, MACD green bars narrowed, selling pressure weakened
3. Drivers: Convergence of precious metals fluctuations and slight pullback of the dollar attracted tentative capital; however, ETH/USD has strong correlation, and bulls lack confidence, leading to weak rebounds

Key Levels and Trading Strategies (Binance Futures + Spot)

- Key Levels: Strong support at **$2600**, short-term dividing line at **$2700**, resistance at **$2750**
- Futures (USDT-denominated):
- Long: Light position between $2605-$2620, stop loss at **$2580**, take profit at **$2670-$2700**
- Short: Small position short if encountering resistance between $2690-$2710, stop loss at **$2730**, take profit at **$2630**
- Risk Control: Single product ≤10% of total funds, no heavy positions on weekends to avoid liquidity risk
- Spot: Mainly wait and see; wait for stability around **$2600** or positive fundamentals (such as obstacles to Waller's nomination) before gradually building positions

Short-term Forecast

- 1-2 days: High probability of fluctuating between **$2600-$2700; if it breaks below $2580, look for $2500**; if it stabilizes above **$2700, then a rebound towards $2750**
- Core Variables: Progress on Waller's Senate nomination, statements from Federal Reserve officials, capital flow into crypto ETFs, BTC price trends

#比特币今日走势 $BTC as of January 31, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8, Binance BTC/USDT), core conclusion: low-level fluctuation, weak rebound difficult to break $85,000, low liquidity on weekends, priority on position control.

Core Market

- Current Price: $82,990, 24H Change **+0.2%**
- 24H Range: $81,880-$84,630
- 24H Trading Volume: approximately **$12.8B**, decreased about 20% compared to the previous day
- Market Cap: approximately **$1.66T**, firmly at #1

Today's Price Review

1. Early Morning: Dragged down by the gold crash and hawkish expectations from Waller, BTC hit a low of **$81,000**, with total network contract liquidations exceeding **$1.4B** (predominantly long positions)
2. Daytime: Low-level fluctuation, consolidating with decreased volume in the **$82,000-$83,000** range, 4H RSI rebounded from oversold (28) to 35, MACD green bars narrowed, selling pressure weakened
3. Short-term Drivers: Convergence of precious metal volatility, slight retreat of the US dollar index, funds tentatively flowing back, but long positions lack confidence, weak rebound

Key Levels and Trading Strategy (Binance Contracts + Spot)

- Key Levels: Strong Support **$80,600** (previous low), Short-term Boundary **$85,000**, Rebound Resistance **$88,000**
- Contracts (USDT based):
1. Long Trial: Light position $81,000-$81,800, stop loss **$79,800**, take profit **$84,500-$85,000**
2. Short Selling: Small position short at $84,800-$85,200 on resistance, stop loss **$86,000**, take profit **$82,000**
3. Risk Control: Single variety ≤10% of total funds, no heavy positions on weekends to avoid liquidity risk
- Spot: Mainly wait and see, waiting for stabilization near **$80,000** or favorable fundamentals (e.g., Waller's nomination encountering resistance) before building positions in batches

Short-term Forecast

- 1-2 Days: High probability of fluctuation in **$80,000-$85,000**; breaking below $79,800 looks to $75,000; stabilizing above **$85,000** then rebounds towards $88,000
- Core Variables: Progress of Waller's Senate nomination, statements from Federal Reserve officials, flow of funds into crypto ETFs

#黄金爆跌 As of January 31, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8), gold experienced an epic plunge, marking the largest single-day drop in 40 years. The core data and analysis are as follows:

Core Market (Spot Gold, USD/Ounce)

- Current Price: $4,880, single-day drop of 9.25%
- 24H Range: $4,682-$5,334, maximum drop of 12.92%
- Key Gap: January 29 high point **$5,598 → January 31 low point $4,682**, a drop of nearly $670 in 30 hours
- COMEX Gold Futures: closed at **$4,907.5**, down 8.35%, falling below the **$5,000** mark

Main Reasons for the Plunge (Multiple Resonances)

1. Policy Expectation Reversal: Trump nominated hawk Waller as chairman of the Federal Reserve, advocating for balance sheet reduction + monetary discipline, leading to cooling interest rate cut expectations, a stronger dollar, and pressure on gold.
2. Overbought + Leverage Crush: The previous surge caused severe overbuying, with high leverage and margin increases triggering a cycle of “liquidation - drop - further liquidation,” with algorithmic trading amplifying volatility.
3. Liquidity Collapse: Thin trading at night and the loss of key levels triggered concentrated algorithmic stop-losses, exacerbating the waterfall decline due to missing buy orders.
4. Safe-Haven Premium Erosion: Easing geopolitical tensions led to capital withdrawal from gold, compounded by a rebound in the dollar index suppressing gold prices.

Key Levels and Strategies

- Key Level: $5,000 serves as the short-term bullish-bearish divide; strong support at **$4,700**, resistance at **$5,200**.
- Trading Strategies:
- Futures: rebound **$4,950-5,000 light short, stop loss at $5,080**; pullback **$4,700-4,750 stabilization can test longs lightly, stop loss at $4,650**.
- Spot: mainly wait and see, waiting for stabilization after a volume decrease to gradually position, avoiding early bottom fishing.

Impact on the Crypto Market

- The gold crash triggered collective pressure on risk assets, with BTC hitting a low of **$81,000**, and over **$1.68B** in total network contract liquidations in 24H, primarily among longs.
- Future attention should be on the confirmation of Waller's nomination, the dollar index, U.S. Treasury yields, and the volatility of precious metals affecting the crypto market.

#因沃什获提名比特币跌至82000美元 As of January 31, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8), Binance BTC/USDT current price **$83,880**, daily +2.2%; On January 30, due to Trump nominating Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chairman, BTC hit a low of **$81,000**, with over **$1.68B** in contracts liquidated across the network in 24 hours, predominantly long positions.

Key Events and Impact

- On January 30, Trump nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh (an inflation hawk) to replace Powell, advocating for balance sheet reduction and monetary discipline. The market expects liquidity tightening, a stronger dollar, and collective pressure on risk assets.
- Warsh has referred to cryptocurrencies as "speculative assets," rather than inflation hedges, which conflicts with the narrative of BTC.
- Coupled with the collapse of precious metals and excessive leverage in the crypto space, this triggered a chain sell-off.

Key Levels and Strategies

- Key levels: $82,000 is the short-term bullish-bearish dividing line, $80,000 is strong support, with upper resistance at **$85,000**.
- Contract strategy: Short lightly at the rebound to **$84,500-85,000, stop loss at $85,800**; if it stabilizes after a pullback to **$82,000-82,500, a light long position can be attempted, stop loss at $81,500**.
- Spot strategy: Mainly observing, waiting for stabilization after a decrease in volume before gradually positioning.

Subsequent Focus

- Progress of Senate confirmation for Warsh's nomination, policy statements, and balance sheet reduction path.
- The impact of the dollar index, U.S. Treasury yields, and precious metal volatility on the crypto market.
- Movements of crypto whales and ETF fund flows to guard against liquidity risks.

#市场低迷之际HYPE激增 31%$HYPE

As of January 31, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8), the Binance HYPE/USDT market is as follows:

- Current price: $29.22
- 24H change: -9.3%
- 24H highest: $33.70, 24H lowest: $28.33
- 24H trading volume: approximately **$789.26M**
- Circulating market cap: approximately **$8.61B**, ranked #24
- Circulation: 339,347,639 HYPE, circulation rate 35.29%

Trends and Strategies

- Trend: Affected by the collapse of precious metals and the overall decline in the cryptocurrency market, HYPE has adjusted in the last 24 hours and is under short-term pressure.
- Key level: $30 is the short-term boundary between bulls and bears; if it holds, look for **$35**; if it breaks, watch for support at **$28**.
- Strategy: Contract users can try to go long with a small position in the range of **$28.5-29**, stop loss at $27.8; if there is a rebound, a small position can be shorted at **$30-30.5**, stop loss at $31**. Focus on spot trading and wait for stabilization signals.

#vanar $VANRY Family! The Web3 circle finally has a pragmatic group that doesn't just "talk the talk"—VANRY's recent actions have directly rubbed the stereotype of "blockchain = incomprehensible, unaffordable" into the ground!

Imagine this: with a cost of just 0.01 USDT, you can game in the metaverse, and game equipment can be directly exchanged for physical goods; with 100 USDT, you can invest in a solar power station and earn dividends from electricity while lying down; you can even buy tokens directly with a credit card without messing with exchanges, available in 146 countries!

This is not a fantasy! VANRY has secretly partnered with NVIDIA, maximizing computing power to make the metaverse run smoothly; it has also connected physical assets on-chain, turning power stations and farmland into investable "digital cakes." The most amazing part is its "universal profit-sharing" model—83% of tokens are used to reward users, and you can earn rewards by playing games, using applications, and sharing data, truly a Web3 version of "working is not as good as lying down"!

Binance's current quote is 0.007183 USDT; can this "potential stock" make a comeback? At least 120,000 people have already reserved its Web3 hardware, following the big crowd is definitely better than chasing after air coins~ After all, Web3 projects that are fun, profitable, and easy to use are very rare!

#plasma $XPL XPL: Not just payments, but the 'zero-friction engine' of the stablecoin era

When USDT transfers are still deterred by gas fees and delays, XPL has already made on-chain payments 'perceptually seamless'——
Sub-second confirmations are faster than a blink, zero gas fee transfers ensure that every cent of USDT is not wasted, BTC anchored for safety + fully EVM compatible, both stable and seamlessly integrated with mainstream ecosystems.

It does not aim to be an 'all-purpose public chain', but rather serves as a 'dedicated express lane' for stablecoins:
One-click cross-chain USDT transfers, zero-cost DeFi transactions, even offline consumption can earn 4% cash back with the Plasma debit card, cementing 'payment equals profit' within the ecosystem.

Binance funds continue to experience net inflows, with a destruction mechanism combined with speed barriers, XPL leverages 'extreme segmentation' to generate growth, serving as both a frictionless payment tool for the average person and a potential target for investors betting on the stablecoin track——
After all, making crypto payments as simple as sending a message is the true revolution in demand.

#dusk $DUSK : Privacy Compliance + RWA, Unlocking New Paths in Encryption

DUSK is not an ordinary privacy coin, but a Layer 1 disruptor anchored in compliance and real-world assets, continuously breaking out in the Binance track due to its differentiated advantages.

Innovative zero-knowledge KYC + regulatory disclosure on demand balances privacy and compliance, adapting to mainstream global regulatory frameworks, easily opening up channels for institutional entry; the core focus is on RWA tokenization, carrying traditional assets worth trillions such as securities and bonds on-chain, with licensed trading platforms imminent, enabling on-chain compliant trading with instant settlement and low barriers.

On the technical side, it achieves financial-grade security and efficiency through exclusive consensus, while on the ecological side, intensive institutional cooperation is being established, with token burns + dual empowerment of staking. The Binance market has surged strongly, with continuous capital inflows, and the scarcity of privacy compliance + the dividends of the RWA track make DUSK possess both short-term explosive potential and long-term imagination space.

#walrus $WAL : The Lightweight Value Engine of the Cross-Chain Era

WAL has never been a token that follows the trend; it is a lightweight solution that directly addresses the pain points of Web3, establishing a foothold in the Binance market with its core advantages, making it a potential target favored by investors and the community.

It achieves second-level transactions and ultra-low gas fees through a modular architecture, leveraging the IBC protocol to connect mainstream public chains such as ETH, SOL, and BSC without the need for third-party bridging, ensuring safe and efficient cross-chain asset transfer; the PoS+DPoS hybrid consensus allows token holders to participate in node elections and vote on the ecological direction, making the token a real right.

The core ecosystem WAL DEX covers spot, contracts, and liquidity mining, providing dual profits from trading commissions and mining rewards, with 24-hour trading volume steadily increasing; it also penetrates all DeFi scenarios, integrating dozens of lending and wealth management protocols, and can anchor traditional assets like gold, bridging crypto and traditional finance.

In the Binance market, WAL's spot performance is strong, with continuous net inflows into contracts, increased institutional holdings, and a growing number of whale positions. The destruction mechanism continues to reduce volume, combined with regulatory compliance and the implementation of cross-chain cooperation, offering both current circulation value and long-term ecological imagination space. With a lightweight structure, it conceals great energy.

#vanar $VANRY VANRY: AI + Game + RWA Triple Buff, a New Dark Horse Breaking into Web3

(Binance Data: Current Price 0.0069 USDT, Circulating Market Cap 8.42 Million USDT, 24H Transaction Volume 830,000 USDT)

VANRY is not an ordinary token; it is the core fuel of the Vanar Chain, the "AI-native L1 public chain". It doesn't rely on conceptual hype but follows the path of "technical implementation + user expansion" to bring new excitement to Web3!

There are three core highlights, each addressing industry pain points:
✅ AI-native buff fully loaded: Comes with the Kayon on-chain inference engine + Neutron ultra-compression technology, binding NVIDIA computing power, making AI agents and RWA assets go on-chain quickly and cost-effectively, while ensuring privacy compliance, leaving ordinary public chains far behind;
✅ Game-breaking bomb: Partnering with Viva Games to onboard over 100 million Web2 players, ensuring game assets are certified on-chain and freely circulating, bidding farewell to "zero value after play"; earning while playing is now a reality;
✅ RWA hardcore monetization: Adapting to Dubai regulations, bringing 230 million USD of physical assets on-chain, facilitating fiat currency deposits in 146 countries, allowing ordinary people to invest in physical assets with low barriers, avoiding castles in the air.

The token design is exceptionally considerate: a total supply of 2.4 billion, no team reserves, 83% allocated for ecological incentives, slowly released over 20 years, with early selling pressure fully absorbed; VANRY can be staked for dividends, used for governance voting, and can also pay ecological fees, the more it is used, the more stable its value.

Currently, VANRY is in a low-position layout period. In the short term, it is looking at AI function upgrades + new RWA projects coming to fruition, in the medium term, it is relying on millions of players flooding in to boost the ecosystem, and in the long term, it bets on Web3 exploding from a niche to 3 billion users, a small yet beautiful potential stock worth keeping an eye on!

#plasma $XPL : Compliance stablecoin track core infrastructure, value potential highlighted

Binance data shows that the current price of XPL is 0.1238 USDT, with a circulating market value of 223 million USD, a 24H transaction volume exceeding 100 million, and an on-chain TVL reaching 98 million USD, making it the core token of a compliant Layer-1 public chain focused on stablecoin scenarios.

XPL's core advantages address industry pain points: it uses PlasmaBFT consensus technology, with sub-second confirmation and a throughput of 5000 TPS, compatible with EVM and supports stablecoin transfers with zero gas fees, anchored by Bitcoin's security base, balancing efficiency and security; in terms of compliance, it fits seamlessly into the EU MiCA framework, obtaining a regulatory pass across the EU, becoming the preferred infrastructure for institutional entry, and has attracted over 20 European financial institutions, with leading stablecoins planning to launch exclusive versions.

In terms of token economics, XPL has a total supply of 10 billion tokens, with over 50% of tokens locked to control selling pressure, combining staking mining, ecological fuel, and governance voting as multiple utilities, with a burning mechanism to promote deflation; on the ecological end, the Plasma One digital bank card is being implemented, and cross-chain protocol integration is imminent, with clear growth potential for TVL.

In the short term, the ecological implementation and cross-chain liquidity injection drive the market, in the medium term, benefiting from MiCA compliance dividends and institutional collaboration expansion, and in the long term, as the stablecoin track explodes and releases value, it currently holds layout cost-effectiveness under the correction, requiring attention to subsequent unlocking rhythms and competitive risks from rival products.