橙子研究院
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橙子研究院
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2015 年入圈｜10年Crypto资深投资者｜擅长大趋势研判，主打中长线布局、波段锁利｜推特 X：@chengzi866｜币安 20 % 返佣邀请码：ZXZ4BNM3｜感谢关注，投资路上并肩前行！
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【Don't rush to get in! The real big opportunity might still be between $54,000 and $58,800】
Successfully shorted at $82,000 → Bought the dip at $62,000 → Reduced positions again around $68,000, the next opportunity is still waiting
After the weekly close on Monday, we clearly provided our analysis:
The weekly chart formed a small engulfing bearish candle, and the MACD is still in a death cross below zero, indicating that mid-term bearish sentiment continues to dominate; however, since the MACD is quite far from the zero line, a direct continuous crash isn't realistic. Meanwhile, the daily and 4-hour timeframes are still trapped between resistance and trendline angles, with dense resistance above and support below, suggesting a higher probability of range-bound movement rather than a one-sided trend.
The price action over the last couple of days has largely validated this analysis.
The downward retracement has completed, Bitcoin found support after dipping to its lowest, and we are currently in a consolidation phase. As I've repeatedly emphasized, this kind of market won't drop smoothly or in a straight line; it will inevitably involve back-and-forth movements and shakeouts.
Therefore, the current strategy remains unchanged:
In the short term, both upside and downside potential aren't too great, making trading opportunities limited.
Downward, pay close attention around $61,000; if it breaks below effectively, then consider shorting for lower positions; upward, focus on the $64,000 resistance area, and if a rebound occurs near that zone, watch closely for short signals.
As for the mid-term strategy, we maintain our previous viewpoint.
The truly noteworthy opportunities still lie below $60,000, especially in the $57,700-$58,800 range. If the market can drop back to that area, both the margin of safety and potential rebound space are clearly superior to chasing prices from the current position.
Trading advice: At this stage, the most important thing is not to trade frequently; continue to wait and scale in between $54,000-$58,800, and consider building short positions near $64,000 in batches.
#SpaceX蒸发$6000亿 $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Successfully shorted at $82,000 → Bought the dip at $62,000 → Reduced positions again around $68,000, the next opportunity is still waiting
After the weekly close on Monday, we clearly provided our analysis:
The weekly chart formed a small engulfing bearish candle, and the MACD is still in a death cross below zero, indicating that mid-term bearish sentiment continues to dominate; however, since the MACD is quite far from the zero line, a direct continuous crash isn't realistic. Meanwhile, the daily and 4-hour timeframes are still trapped between resistance and trendline angles, with dense resistance above and support below, suggesting a higher probability of range-bound movement rather than a one-sided trend.
The price action over the last couple of days has largely validated this analysis.
The downward retracement has completed, Bitcoin found support after dipping to its lowest, and we are currently in a consolidation phase. As I've repeatedly emphasized, this kind of market won't drop smoothly or in a straight line; it will inevitably involve back-and-forth movements and shakeouts.
Therefore, the current strategy remains unchanged:
In the short term, both upside and downside potential aren't too great, making trading opportunities limited.
Downward, pay close attention around $61,000; if it breaks below effectively, then consider shorting for lower positions; upward, focus on the $64,000 resistance area, and if a rebound occurs near that zone, watch closely for short signals.
As for the mid-term strategy, we maintain our previous viewpoint.
The truly noteworthy opportunities still lie below $60,000, especially in the $57,700-$58,800 range. If the market can drop back to that area, both the margin of safety and potential rebound space are clearly superior to chasing prices from the current position.
Trading advice: At this stage, the most important thing is not to trade frequently; continue to wait and scale in between $54,000-$58,800, and consider building short positions near $64,000 in batches.
#SpaceX蒸发$6000亿 $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
[65600 FOMO completed! Those who stick to not chasing highs have once again dodged a bullet; 58800 USD is the target!]
Yesterday's perspective remains valid and has been revalidated by the market.
From the day before yesterday to yesterday, many friends in the community kept asking whether to chase longs or enter the market, but our stance has always been very clear: the current price-to-value ratio isn’t high, the risks outweigh the rewards, and it’s not worth chasing.
We repeatedly emphasized that even if BTC rebounds, the key resistance above is still in the previously analyzed 68000-69000 USD range. Until there's a clear breakout, recklessly chasing highs isn’t a good move. For short-term trading, the profit potential upwards is limited, while the risk downwards is not small.
As everyone saw, BTC rebounded to around 65600 USD and then began to drop quickly, a classic FOMO scenario replayed. Every time the market has such a rebound, some people think the bull market is back and can’t help but jump in, often becoming targets for the major players to harvest.
That’s why I’ve always stressed that the most important thing in trading isn’t participating in every uptrend but learning to let go when the risk and reward aren’t balanced. If you don’t understand it, don’t do it; if the price-to-value isn’t high, don’t do it; if the opportunity isn’t big enough, don’t do it.
Looking back at this round's rhythm:
Warning of risks above 82000 USD and liquidating → Gradually bottoming out near 62000 → Reducing positions again near 68000 to lock in profits → Clearly advising against chasing highs during the rebound.
No matter how the market fluctuates, we always execute according to our established plan, rather than getting carried away by emotions.
Moving forward, we maintain our previous viewpoint, continuing to patiently wait for opportunities between 54000-58800 USD. This range has far more appeal in terms of safety margin and future rebound potential than chasing highs now.
Trading has never been about who makes the most moves, but about who can act at the key positions. Friends who follow our perspectives will at least not lose their way in the big picture and won’t easily fall into the emotional traps created by the market.
#BTC走势分析 $BTC #SpaceX将纳入彭博全球大盘指数 $SPCXB
Yesterday's perspective remains valid and has been revalidated by the market.
From the day before yesterday to yesterday, many friends in the community kept asking whether to chase longs or enter the market, but our stance has always been very clear: the current price-to-value ratio isn’t high, the risks outweigh the rewards, and it’s not worth chasing.
We repeatedly emphasized that even if BTC rebounds, the key resistance above is still in the previously analyzed 68000-69000 USD range. Until there's a clear breakout, recklessly chasing highs isn’t a good move. For short-term trading, the profit potential upwards is limited, while the risk downwards is not small.
As everyone saw, BTC rebounded to around 65600 USD and then began to drop quickly, a classic FOMO scenario replayed. Every time the market has such a rebound, some people think the bull market is back and can’t help but jump in, often becoming targets for the major players to harvest.
That’s why I’ve always stressed that the most important thing in trading isn’t participating in every uptrend but learning to let go when the risk and reward aren’t balanced. If you don’t understand it, don’t do it; if the price-to-value isn’t high, don’t do it; if the opportunity isn’t big enough, don’t do it.
Looking back at this round's rhythm:
Warning of risks above 82000 USD and liquidating → Gradually bottoming out near 62000 → Reducing positions again near 68000 to lock in profits → Clearly advising against chasing highs during the rebound.
No matter how the market fluctuates, we always execute according to our established plan, rather than getting carried away by emotions.
Moving forward, we maintain our previous viewpoint, continuing to patiently wait for opportunities between 54000-58800 USD. This range has far more appeal in terms of safety margin and future rebound potential than chasing highs now.
Trading has never been about who makes the most moves, but about who can act at the key positions. Friends who follow our perspectives will at least not lose their way in the big picture and won’t easily fall into the emotional traps created by the market.
#BTC走势分析 $BTC #SpaceX将纳入彭博全球大盘指数 $SPCXB
橙子研究院
·
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Bearish【 Weekly Weakening, Heavy Resistance Above, Where's the Next Opportunity for BTC?】
The weekly close came in on Monday, and from the weekly structure, we see a small engulfing bearish candle, while the MACD has formed a death cross below the waterline, signaling a bearish dominance. However, since the MACD is still quite far from the zero line, the probability of a continuous nosedive in the short term isn't high; a more significant possibility remains a sideways decline.
Looking at the daily and 4-hour charts, Bitcoin is still operating within the upper resistance of the box and the angle formed by two trend lines, with layers of resistance piling up above. Even if there are some positive news from the US-Iran talks, it’s likely just a short-term emotional spike, hard to change the overall structure, which aligns with our prior predictions.
In terms of trading strategy, we maintain our previous rhythm. We cleared out above 82000 USD and began to accumulate spot around 62000, then reduced positions again near 68000 to lock in profits. For now, we continue to exercise patience, waiting for the next more certain opportunity to arise.
The core viewpoint remains unchanged: we still lean bearish in the medium term, focusing on the area below 60000, with special attention to the support zone around 57700-58800. If the market further releases risks, 54000-58800 remains my favored range for gradual accumulation. For spot players, instead of chasing short-term bounces, it’s better to wait for genuinely high-value positions to present themselves.
Next, we will continue to observe the evolution of the market, patiently waiting for opportunities to come our way.🎯📉
#BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析 C
The weekly close came in on Monday, and from the weekly structure, we see a small engulfing bearish candle, while the MACD has formed a death cross below the waterline, signaling a bearish dominance. However, since the MACD is still quite far from the zero line, the probability of a continuous nosedive in the short term isn't high; a more significant possibility remains a sideways decline.
Looking at the daily and 4-hour charts, Bitcoin is still operating within the upper resistance of the box and the angle formed by two trend lines, with layers of resistance piling up above. Even if there are some positive news from the US-Iran talks, it’s likely just a short-term emotional spike, hard to change the overall structure, which aligns with our prior predictions.
In terms of trading strategy, we maintain our previous rhythm. We cleared out above 82000 USD and began to accumulate spot around 62000, then reduced positions again near 68000 to lock in profits. For now, we continue to exercise patience, waiting for the next more certain opportunity to arise.
The core viewpoint remains unchanged: we still lean bearish in the medium term, focusing on the area below 60000, with special attention to the support zone around 57700-58800. If the market further releases risks, 54000-58800 remains my favored range for gradual accumulation. For spot players, instead of chasing short-term bounces, it’s better to wait for genuinely high-value positions to present themselves.
Next, we will continue to observe the evolution of the market, patiently waiting for opportunities to come our way.🎯📉
#BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析 C
【 Weekly Weakening, Heavy Resistance Above, Where's the Next Opportunity for BTC?】
The weekly close came in on Monday, and from the weekly structure, we see a small engulfing bearish candle, while the MACD has formed a death cross below the waterline, signaling a bearish dominance. However, since the MACD is still quite far from the zero line, the probability of a continuous nosedive in the short term isn't high; a more significant possibility remains a sideways decline.
Looking at the daily and 4-hour charts, Bitcoin is still operating within the upper resistance of the box and the angle formed by two trend lines, with layers of resistance piling up above. Even if there are some positive news from the US-Iran talks, it’s likely just a short-term emotional spike, hard to change the overall structure, which aligns with our prior predictions.
In terms of trading strategy, we maintain our previous rhythm. We cleared out above 82000 USD and began to accumulate spot around 62000, then reduced positions again near 68000 to lock in profits. For now, we continue to exercise patience, waiting for the next more certain opportunity to arise.
The core viewpoint remains unchanged: we still lean bearish in the medium term, focusing on the area below 60000, with special attention to the support zone around 57700-58800. If the market further releases risks, 54000-58800 remains my favored range for gradual accumulation. For spot players, instead of chasing short-term bounces, it’s better to wait for genuinely high-value positions to present themselves.
Next, we will continue to observe the evolution of the market, patiently waiting for opportunities to come our way.🎯📉
#BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析 C
The weekly close came in on Monday, and from the weekly structure, we see a small engulfing bearish candle, while the MACD has formed a death cross below the waterline, signaling a bearish dominance. However, since the MACD is still quite far from the zero line, the probability of a continuous nosedive in the short term isn't high; a more significant possibility remains a sideways decline.
Looking at the daily and 4-hour charts, Bitcoin is still operating within the upper resistance of the box and the angle formed by two trend lines, with layers of resistance piling up above. Even if there are some positive news from the US-Iran talks, it’s likely just a short-term emotional spike, hard to change the overall structure, which aligns with our prior predictions.
In terms of trading strategy, we maintain our previous rhythm. We cleared out above 82000 USD and began to accumulate spot around 62000, then reduced positions again near 68000 to lock in profits. For now, we continue to exercise patience, waiting for the next more certain opportunity to arise.
The core viewpoint remains unchanged: we still lean bearish in the medium term, focusing on the area below 60000, with special attention to the support zone around 57700-58800. If the market further releases risks, 54000-58800 remains my favored range for gradual accumulation. For spot players, instead of chasing short-term bounces, it’s better to wait for genuinely high-value positions to present themselves.
Next, we will continue to observe the evolution of the market, patiently waiting for opportunities to come our way.🎯📉
#BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析 C
【82000 topside exit, still waiting! 54000 range is the ultimate hunting zone】
Clear out above 82000, scoop back around 62000, then short again near 68000, currently just waiting for the next opportunity.
From a structural perspective, the chance of the BTC retracement ending and hitting another bottom is still quite high, so keep a close eye on the 54000-58800 range.
This level might not be the absolute bottom, but it's definitely a price area that will look like a steal when we look back in time.
Instead of chasing the bounce, better to wait for the market to hand you the chips.
54000-58800, I’ll continue to stack spot in batches, and once it finds support here, the potential bounce could exceed most people's expectations.
#日本企业年金拟配1%加密资产 $BTC #BTC $ETH
Clear out above 82000, scoop back around 62000, then short again near 68000, currently just waiting for the next opportunity.
From a structural perspective, the chance of the BTC retracement ending and hitting another bottom is still quite high, so keep a close eye on the 54000-58800 range.
This level might not be the absolute bottom, but it's definitely a price area that will look like a steal when we look back in time.
Instead of chasing the bounce, better to wait for the market to hand you the chips.
54000-58800, I’ll continue to stack spot in batches, and once it finds support here, the potential bounce could exceed most people's expectations.
#日本企业年金拟配1%加密资产 $BTC #BTC $ETH
橙子研究院
·
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Bearish【63500 lost, bears reclaiming the market! 54000-58800 might be the ultimate accumulation zone】
🚨 82000 peak exit → 62000 accumulation → locking in profits near 68000 again!
In this round of trading, our core strategy has been fully realized. In May, we led the community to exit at over 82000 USD, then waited for the market to tank; when BTC dipped to around 62000, we started gradually stacking spot; after rebounding to the resistance zone near 68000, we advised reducing positions to secure profits.
All insights and actions are documented in posts for reference.
The market is showing new changes again.
After Bitcoin fell below the 63500 support, it continued to drop until it found stability at 62272 and started to bounce back.
Breaking below our previously estimated key support level has altered the market structure.
First, let's look at why 63500 is crucial.
This level is where the lower trendline of the ascending channel since the rebound from 59130 is located; breaking below here means the current rebound structure has been compromised, possibly signaling an end.
Current situation:
📉 Daily chart has effectively broken the trendline;
📉 We are in the process of a retest to confirm the breakdown;
📉 Bears have regained control【Chart 1】
From a technical standpoint, the higher probability is that after the rebound ends, we will continue to explore lower levels.
Upper resistance is first focused around 64100.
This area also overlaps with:
🔺 Upper resistance of a small range;
🔺 Trendline resistance from the breakdown;
This constitutes a quite evident pressure zone.
Of course, there’s a variable in the market, which is the recent progress in US-Iran talks.
If an agreement can be smoothly reached within two days and normal passage through the Strait of Hormuz is restored, then under this news stimulus, Bitcoin may see a rapid spike, testing around 65200 before weakening again.
Lower support remains focused around 60800.
However, the area that deserves more attention is:
🎯 57700—58800 range
This is not only an important historical support zone but also a convergence of several medium to long-term trendlines, expected to show significant resistance【Chart 2】
If the market reaches this level, we will combine trading volume, market sentiment, and high-level indicators to comprehensively assess whether to add positions
#比特币连跌4日STRC跌破面值 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
🚨 82000 peak exit → 62000 accumulation → locking in profits near 68000 again!
In this round of trading, our core strategy has been fully realized. In May, we led the community to exit at over 82000 USD, then waited for the market to tank; when BTC dipped to around 62000, we started gradually stacking spot; after rebounding to the resistance zone near 68000, we advised reducing positions to secure profits.
All insights and actions are documented in posts for reference.
The market is showing new changes again.
After Bitcoin fell below the 63500 support, it continued to drop until it found stability at 62272 and started to bounce back.
Breaking below our previously estimated key support level has altered the market structure.
First, let's look at why 63500 is crucial.
This level is where the lower trendline of the ascending channel since the rebound from 59130 is located; breaking below here means the current rebound structure has been compromised, possibly signaling an end.
Current situation:
📉 Daily chart has effectively broken the trendline;
📉 We are in the process of a retest to confirm the breakdown;
📉 Bears have regained control【Chart 1】
From a technical standpoint, the higher probability is that after the rebound ends, we will continue to explore lower levels.
Upper resistance is first focused around 64100.
This area also overlaps with:
🔺 Upper resistance of a small range;
🔺 Trendline resistance from the breakdown;
This constitutes a quite evident pressure zone.
Of course, there’s a variable in the market, which is the recent progress in US-Iran talks.
If an agreement can be smoothly reached within two days and normal passage through the Strait of Hormuz is restored, then under this news stimulus, Bitcoin may see a rapid spike, testing around 65200 before weakening again.
Lower support remains focused around 60800.
However, the area that deserves more attention is:
🎯 57700—58800 range
This is not only an important historical support zone but also a convergence of several medium to long-term trendlines, expected to show significant resistance【Chart 2】
If the market reaches this level, we will combine trading volume, market sentiment, and high-level indicators to comprehensively assess whether to add positions
#比特币连跌4日STRC跌破面值 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
【63500 lost, bears reclaiming the market! 54000-58800 might be the ultimate accumulation zone】
🚨 82000 peak exit → 62000 accumulation → locking in profits near 68000 again!
In this round of trading, our core strategy has been fully realized. In May, we led the community to exit at over 82000 USD, then waited for the market to tank; when BTC dipped to around 62000, we started gradually stacking spot; after rebounding to the resistance zone near 68000, we advised reducing positions to secure profits.
All insights and actions are documented in posts for reference.
The market is showing new changes again.
After Bitcoin fell below the 63500 support, it continued to drop until it found stability at 62272 and started to bounce back.
Breaking below our previously estimated key support level has altered the market structure.
First, let's look at why 63500 is crucial.
This level is where the lower trendline of the ascending channel since the rebound from 59130 is located; breaking below here means the current rebound structure has been compromised, possibly signaling an end.
Current situation:
📉 Daily chart has effectively broken the trendline;
📉 We are in the process of a retest to confirm the breakdown;
📉 Bears have regained control【Chart 1】
From a technical standpoint, the higher probability is that after the rebound ends, we will continue to explore lower levels.
Upper resistance is first focused around 64100.
This area also overlaps with:
🔺 Upper resistance of a small range;
🔺 Trendline resistance from the breakdown;
This constitutes a quite evident pressure zone.
Of course, there’s a variable in the market, which is the recent progress in US-Iran talks.
If an agreement can be smoothly reached within two days and normal passage through the Strait of Hormuz is restored, then under this news stimulus, Bitcoin may see a rapid spike, testing around 65200 before weakening again.
Lower support remains focused around 60800.
However, the area that deserves more attention is:
🎯 57700—58800 range
This is not only an important historical support zone but also a convergence of several medium to long-term trendlines, expected to show significant resistance【Chart 2】
If the market reaches this level, we will combine trading volume, market sentiment, and high-level indicators to comprehensively assess whether to add positions
#比特币连跌4日STRC跌破面值 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
🚨 82000 peak exit → 62000 accumulation → locking in profits near 68000 again!
In this round of trading, our core strategy has been fully realized. In May, we led the community to exit at over 82000 USD, then waited for the market to tank; when BTC dipped to around 62000, we started gradually stacking spot; after rebounding to the resistance zone near 68000, we advised reducing positions to secure profits.
All insights and actions are documented in posts for reference.
The market is showing new changes again.
After Bitcoin fell below the 63500 support, it continued to drop until it found stability at 62272 and started to bounce back.
Breaking below our previously estimated key support level has altered the market structure.
First, let's look at why 63500 is crucial.
This level is where the lower trendline of the ascending channel since the rebound from 59130 is located; breaking below here means the current rebound structure has been compromised, possibly signaling an end.
Current situation:
📉 Daily chart has effectively broken the trendline;
📉 We are in the process of a retest to confirm the breakdown;
📉 Bears have regained control【Chart 1】
From a technical standpoint, the higher probability is that after the rebound ends, we will continue to explore lower levels.
Upper resistance is first focused around 64100.
This area also overlaps with:
🔺 Upper resistance of a small range;
🔺 Trendline resistance from the breakdown;
This constitutes a quite evident pressure zone.
Of course, there’s a variable in the market, which is the recent progress in US-Iran talks.
If an agreement can be smoothly reached within two days and normal passage through the Strait of Hormuz is restored, then under this news stimulus, Bitcoin may see a rapid spike, testing around 65200 before weakening again.
Lower support remains focused around 60800.
However, the area that deserves more attention is:
🎯 57700—58800 range
This is not only an important historical support zone but also a convergence of several medium to long-term trendlines, expected to show significant resistance【Chart 2】
If the market reaches this level, we will combine trading volume, market sentiment, and high-level indicators to comprehensively assess whether to add positions
#比特币连跌4日STRC跌破面值 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
📢 The 30% ETH spot position we set up earlier has already exited.
Entry cost was $1730, and we took profit at $1725, a slight pullback of $5.
Currently, we're choosing to shrink our position and wait for further confirmation on the market direction. I'll share the specific logic and our next steps with the crew later. 👀
#BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析
Entry cost was $1730, and we took profit at $1725, a slight pullback of $5.
Currently, we're choosing to shrink our position and wait for further confirmation on the market direction. I'll share the specific logic and our next steps with the crew later. 👀
#BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析
橙子研究院
·
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Bullish[All views are recorded! 82000 liquidated → 62000 positioned → 67100 reduced, now 63500 presents another opportunity]
🚨 In this round of the market, we basically captured all the major waves.
Back at over 82000 USD, we repeatedly warned about risks and led the community to exit at the highs; then, as the market dropped, we started gradually accumulating spot in the 62000-64000 range.
When BTC bounced back to around 67100, we once again clearly reminded everyone to reduce their positions. The reason is simple: previous articles have repeatedly emphasized that the 68100-69700 range is the most important resistance zone for this round of rebound, gathering Fibonacci 50% resistance, weekly EMA pressure, and prior platform sell-off pressures. With multiple factors converging, the difficulty of breaking through on the first attempt is immense.
As it turns out, the script ran according to expectations once again.
Last night, after the speech by Fed official Waller, the market's expectations for further rate hikes heated up, putting pressure on risk assets, and Bitcoin also saw the anticipated pullback. But in reality, news often serves merely as a catalyst; the real movement has long been reflected in the technical structure.
Currently, BTC has retraced to the support area around 63500 that we predicted in advance.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has completed a golden cross, but the RSI has not quickly entered the high territory. Based on historical experience, during a moderately strong rebound, the RSI typically runs above the mid-high level, and there is still significant space to reach this position.
Therefore, I still maintain the previous viewpoint:
📌 The probability of directly starting a new round of significant decline here is low;
📌 The likelihood of continuing to rebound after some consolidation is greater;
📌 Subsequent flag consolidation structure cannot be ruled out.
In terms of operations, I just re-accumulated 30% of my spot position around ETH 1730.
The follow-up plan is also very straightforward:
✅ If BTC continues to retrace to around 60800, I'll add another 30%;
✅ If the market stabilizes and rebounds ahead of time, I will reduce positions based on the strength of the rebound;
✅ When approaching the strong resistance zone of 68000-70000 again, I will closely observe; once a topping signal appears, I will prioritize taking profits and wait for further larger-scale second bottoming opportunities.
The overall mindset remains unchanged:
82000 was a sell, 62000 was a buy, 67100 was a reduction, and now at 63500, it’s time to reposition.
This way, we can attack when we need to and defend when necessary
#美联储四度维持利率不变 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
🚨 In this round of the market, we basically captured all the major waves.
Back at over 82000 USD, we repeatedly warned about risks and led the community to exit at the highs; then, as the market dropped, we started gradually accumulating spot in the 62000-64000 range.
When BTC bounced back to around 67100, we once again clearly reminded everyone to reduce their positions. The reason is simple: previous articles have repeatedly emphasized that the 68100-69700 range is the most important resistance zone for this round of rebound, gathering Fibonacci 50% resistance, weekly EMA pressure, and prior platform sell-off pressures. With multiple factors converging, the difficulty of breaking through on the first attempt is immense.
As it turns out, the script ran according to expectations once again.
Last night, after the speech by Fed official Waller, the market's expectations for further rate hikes heated up, putting pressure on risk assets, and Bitcoin also saw the anticipated pullback. But in reality, news often serves merely as a catalyst; the real movement has long been reflected in the technical structure.
Currently, BTC has retraced to the support area around 63500 that we predicted in advance.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has completed a golden cross, but the RSI has not quickly entered the high territory. Based on historical experience, during a moderately strong rebound, the RSI typically runs above the mid-high level, and there is still significant space to reach this position.
Therefore, I still maintain the previous viewpoint:
📌 The probability of directly starting a new round of significant decline here is low;
📌 The likelihood of continuing to rebound after some consolidation is greater;
📌 Subsequent flag consolidation structure cannot be ruled out.
In terms of operations, I just re-accumulated 30% of my spot position around ETH 1730.
The follow-up plan is also very straightforward:
✅ If BTC continues to retrace to around 60800, I'll add another 30%;
✅ If the market stabilizes and rebounds ahead of time, I will reduce positions based on the strength of the rebound;
✅ When approaching the strong resistance zone of 68000-70000 again, I will closely observe; once a topping signal appears, I will prioritize taking profits and wait for further larger-scale second bottoming opportunities.
The overall mindset remains unchanged:
82000 was a sell, 62000 was a buy, 67100 was a reduction, and now at 63500, it’s time to reposition.
This way, we can attack when we need to and defend when necessary
#美联储四度维持利率不变 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
[All views are recorded! 82000 liquidated → 62000 positioned → 67100 reduced, now 63500 presents another opportunity]
🚨 In this round of the market, we basically captured all the major waves.
Back at over 82000 USD, we repeatedly warned about risks and led the community to exit at the highs; then, as the market dropped, we started gradually accumulating spot in the 62000-64000 range.
When BTC bounced back to around 67100, we once again clearly reminded everyone to reduce their positions. The reason is simple: previous articles have repeatedly emphasized that the 68100-69700 range is the most important resistance zone for this round of rebound, gathering Fibonacci 50% resistance, weekly EMA pressure, and prior platform sell-off pressures. With multiple factors converging, the difficulty of breaking through on the first attempt is immense.
As it turns out, the script ran according to expectations once again.
Last night, after the speech by Fed official Waller, the market's expectations for further rate hikes heated up, putting pressure on risk assets, and Bitcoin also saw the anticipated pullback. But in reality, news often serves merely as a catalyst; the real movement has long been reflected in the technical structure.
Currently, BTC has retraced to the support area around 63500 that we predicted in advance.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has completed a golden cross, but the RSI has not quickly entered the high territory. Based on historical experience, during a moderately strong rebound, the RSI typically runs above the mid-high level, and there is still significant space to reach this position.
Therefore, I still maintain the previous viewpoint:
📌 The probability of directly starting a new round of significant decline here is low;
📌 The likelihood of continuing to rebound after some consolidation is greater;
📌 Subsequent flag consolidation structure cannot be ruled out.
In terms of operations, I just re-accumulated 30% of my spot position around ETH 1730.
The follow-up plan is also very straightforward:
✅ If BTC continues to retrace to around 60800, I'll add another 30%;
✅ If the market stabilizes and rebounds ahead of time, I will reduce positions based on the strength of the rebound;
✅ When approaching the strong resistance zone of 68000-70000 again, I will closely observe; once a topping signal appears, I will prioritize taking profits and wait for further larger-scale second bottoming opportunities.
The overall mindset remains unchanged:
82000 was a sell, 62000 was a buy, 67100 was a reduction, and now at 63500, it’s time to reposition.
This way, we can attack when we need to and defend when necessary
#美联储四度维持利率不变 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
🚨 In this round of the market, we basically captured all the major waves.
Back at over 82000 USD, we repeatedly warned about risks and led the community to exit at the highs; then, as the market dropped, we started gradually accumulating spot in the 62000-64000 range.
When BTC bounced back to around 67100, we once again clearly reminded everyone to reduce their positions. The reason is simple: previous articles have repeatedly emphasized that the 68100-69700 range is the most important resistance zone for this round of rebound, gathering Fibonacci 50% resistance, weekly EMA pressure, and prior platform sell-off pressures. With multiple factors converging, the difficulty of breaking through on the first attempt is immense.
As it turns out, the script ran according to expectations once again.
Last night, after the speech by Fed official Waller, the market's expectations for further rate hikes heated up, putting pressure on risk assets, and Bitcoin also saw the anticipated pullback. But in reality, news often serves merely as a catalyst; the real movement has long been reflected in the technical structure.
Currently, BTC has retraced to the support area around 63500 that we predicted in advance.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has completed a golden cross, but the RSI has not quickly entered the high territory. Based on historical experience, during a moderately strong rebound, the RSI typically runs above the mid-high level, and there is still significant space to reach this position.
Therefore, I still maintain the previous viewpoint:
📌 The probability of directly starting a new round of significant decline here is low;
📌 The likelihood of continuing to rebound after some consolidation is greater;
📌 Subsequent flag consolidation structure cannot be ruled out.
In terms of operations, I just re-accumulated 30% of my spot position around ETH 1730.
The follow-up plan is also very straightforward:
✅ If BTC continues to retrace to around 60800, I'll add another 30%;
✅ If the market stabilizes and rebounds ahead of time, I will reduce positions based on the strength of the rebound;
✅ When approaching the strong resistance zone of 68000-70000 again, I will closely observe; once a topping signal appears, I will prioritize taking profits and wait for further larger-scale second bottoming opportunities.
The overall mindset remains unchanged:
82000 was a sell, 62000 was a buy, 67100 was a reduction, and now at 63500, it’s time to reposition.
This way, we can attack when we need to and defend when necessary
#美联储四度维持利率不变 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
橙子研究院
·
--
[All strategies documented! 82000 exit → 62000 buy-in → 67100 partial sell, fully transparent verification!]
🚨 82000 top-out → 62000 bottom-fish → 67100 partial sell again!
In this round of trading, we basically captured most of the swings.
As early as above 82000 USD, we clearly signaled the risks and led the community to exit; then, as the market plummeted, we started to gradually scoop up spot in the 62000-64000 range.
And just this morning:
📍 BTC 67100
📍 ETH 1830
I remind everyone again:
68100-69700 is one of the key resistance zones for this rebound, consider taking partial profits on spot.
This judgment has proven to be spot-on once again.
Looking back, from topping out to bottoming in, then reducing at the rebound highs, the entire trading logic has remained consistent:
👉 Reducing risk at highs
👉 Gradually accumulating at lows
👉 Realizing profits in resistance zones
This is also why many people experience rollercoasters while we have been actively managing the rhythm.
#BTC $BTC #美国战略石油储备创1983年来新低
$SPCXB
🚨 82000 top-out → 62000 bottom-fish → 67100 partial sell again!
In this round of trading, we basically captured most of the swings.
As early as above 82000 USD, we clearly signaled the risks and led the community to exit; then, as the market plummeted, we started to gradually scoop up spot in the 62000-64000 range.
And just this morning:
📍 BTC 67100
📍 ETH 1830
I remind everyone again:
68100-69700 is one of the key resistance zones for this rebound, consider taking partial profits on spot.
This judgment has proven to be spot-on once again.
Looking back, from topping out to bottoming in, then reducing at the rebound highs, the entire trading logic has remained consistent:
👉 Reducing risk at highs
👉 Gradually accumulating at lows
👉 Realizing profits in resistance zones
This is also why many people experience rollercoasters while we have been actively managing the rhythm.
#BTC $BTC #美国战略石油储备创1983年来新低
$SPCXB
【We not only caught this UNI rally, but we also successfully took profits at the highs】
On June 17th at dawn, the community signaled to enter UNI around $3.123, when market attention was low and most were still on the sidelines.
As UNI continued to pump, we held strong, keeping an eye on on-chain burn data, rising protocol income, and capital movements.
When UNI hit around $3.6, given that Bitcoin had entered the strong resistance zone we repeatedly emphasized between 68100-69700, overall market risk began to rise significantly. Therefore, for risk management reasons, we promptly notified the community to take profits in batches.
From $3.123 to $3.6, we achieved over 15% gains on the single coin, successfully cashing out.
The market is always full of opportunities, but not many have the guts to buy low and sell high.
This time, we did it again
#UNI涨22%至3.28美元 $UNI
On June 17th at dawn, the community signaled to enter UNI around $3.123, when market attention was low and most were still on the sidelines.
As UNI continued to pump, we held strong, keeping an eye on on-chain burn data, rising protocol income, and capital movements.
When UNI hit around $3.6, given that Bitcoin had entered the strong resistance zone we repeatedly emphasized between 68100-69700, overall market risk began to rise significantly. Therefore, for risk management reasons, we promptly notified the community to take profits in batches.
From $3.123 to $3.6, we achieved over 15% gains on the single coin, successfully cashing out.
The market is always full of opportunities, but not many have the guts to buy low and sell high.
This time, we did it again
#UNI涨22%至3.28美元 $UNI
橙子研究院
·
--
Bullish【Just yesterday, I had the community set up for UNI, and today I stumbled upon some shocking data: someone is going crazy with chip destruction!】
🚨 Behind the UNI pump, there might be something the market hasn’t grasped yet.
Everyone’s buzzing about Standard Chartered’s bullish stance on UNI.
But what really raised my eyebrows isn’t the research report, but the on-chain anomalies.
In the last 3 days, over 6 million UNI have been burned in total.
Especially around 4 PM yesterday, there was a small-scale concentrated destruction on-chain.
Currently, that address holds:
🔥 110 million UNI
🔥 About 10.6% of the total supply
You’ve got to understand, burning means a permanent exit from circulation.
This isn’t just a simple transfer; it’s a real reduction in supply.
Meanwhile, Uniswap's own data remains strong:
📈 Annualized fee income of $856 million
📈 DEX trading volume for the past 30 days of $42.4 billion
📈 Annualized income for holders of $47.54 million
📈 Treasury reserves nearing $900 million
In other words:
What the market sees is Standard Chartered’s call;
But what on-chain funds see might be an asset with real cash flow, ongoing profitability, and reducing circulating chips.
Is it just a coincidence?
Or does someone know something in advance?
The answer remains a mystery.
But the moves of on-chain funds are always worth keeping an eye on.👀
#UNI涨22%至3.28美元 $UNI
🚨 Behind the UNI pump, there might be something the market hasn’t grasped yet.
Everyone’s buzzing about Standard Chartered’s bullish stance on UNI.
But what really raised my eyebrows isn’t the research report, but the on-chain anomalies.
In the last 3 days, over 6 million UNI have been burned in total.
Especially around 4 PM yesterday, there was a small-scale concentrated destruction on-chain.
Currently, that address holds:
🔥 110 million UNI
🔥 About 10.6% of the total supply
You’ve got to understand, burning means a permanent exit from circulation.
This isn’t just a simple transfer; it’s a real reduction in supply.
Meanwhile, Uniswap's own data remains strong:
📈 Annualized fee income of $856 million
📈 DEX trading volume for the past 30 days of $42.4 billion
📈 Annualized income for holders of $47.54 million
📈 Treasury reserves nearing $900 million
In other words:
What the market sees is Standard Chartered’s call;
But what on-chain funds see might be an asset with real cash flow, ongoing profitability, and reducing circulating chips.
Is it just a coincidence?
Or does someone know something in advance?
The answer remains a mystery.
But the moves of on-chain funds are always worth keeping an eye on.👀
#UNI涨22%至3.28美元 $UNI
Partly True
【Just yesterday, I had the community set up for UNI, and today I stumbled upon some shocking data: someone is going crazy with chip destruction!】
🚨 Behind the UNI pump, there might be something the market hasn’t grasped yet.
Everyone’s buzzing about Standard Chartered’s bullish stance on UNI.
But what really raised my eyebrows isn’t the research report, but the on-chain anomalies.
In the last 3 days, over 6 million UNI have been burned in total.
Especially around 4 PM yesterday, there was a small-scale concentrated destruction on-chain.
Currently, that address holds:
🔥 110 million UNI
🔥 About 10.6% of the total supply
You’ve got to understand, burning means a permanent exit from circulation.
This isn’t just a simple transfer; it’s a real reduction in supply.
Meanwhile, Uniswap's own data remains strong:
📈 Annualized fee income of $856 million
📈 DEX trading volume for the past 30 days of $42.4 billion
📈 Annualized income for holders of $47.54 million
📈 Treasury reserves nearing $900 million
In other words:
What the market sees is Standard Chartered’s call;
But what on-chain funds see might be an asset with real cash flow, ongoing profitability, and reducing circulating chips.
Is it just a coincidence?
Or does someone know something in advance?
The answer remains a mystery.
But the moves of on-chain funds are always worth keeping an eye on.👀
#UNI涨22%至3.28美元 $UNI
🚨 Behind the UNI pump, there might be something the market hasn’t grasped yet.
Everyone’s buzzing about Standard Chartered’s bullish stance on UNI.
But what really raised my eyebrows isn’t the research report, but the on-chain anomalies.
In the last 3 days, over 6 million UNI have been burned in total.
Especially around 4 PM yesterday, there was a small-scale concentrated destruction on-chain.
Currently, that address holds:
🔥 110 million UNI
🔥 About 10.6% of the total supply
You’ve got to understand, burning means a permanent exit from circulation.
This isn’t just a simple transfer; it’s a real reduction in supply.
Meanwhile, Uniswap's own data remains strong:
📈 Annualized fee income of $856 million
📈 DEX trading volume for the past 30 days of $42.4 billion
📈 Annualized income for holders of $47.54 million
📈 Treasury reserves nearing $900 million
In other words:
What the market sees is Standard Chartered’s call;
But what on-chain funds see might be an asset with real cash flow, ongoing profitability, and reducing circulating chips.
Is it just a coincidence?
Or does someone know something in advance?
The answer remains a mystery.
But the moves of on-chain funds are always worth keeping an eye on.👀
#UNI涨22%至3.28美元 $UNI
橙子研究院
·
--
[All strategies documented! 82000 exit → 62000 buy-in → 67100 partial sell, fully transparent verification!]
🚨 82000 top-out → 62000 bottom-fish → 67100 partial sell again!
In this round of trading, we basically captured most of the swings.
As early as above 82000 USD, we clearly signaled the risks and led the community to exit; then, as the market plummeted, we started to gradually scoop up spot in the 62000-64000 range.
And just this morning:
📍 BTC 67100
📍 ETH 1830
I remind everyone again:
68100-69700 is one of the key resistance zones for this rebound, consider taking partial profits on spot.
This judgment has proven to be spot-on once again.
Looking back, from topping out to bottoming in, then reducing at the rebound highs, the entire trading logic has remained consistent:
👉 Reducing risk at highs
👉 Gradually accumulating at lows
👉 Realizing profits in resistance zones
This is also why many people experience rollercoasters while we have been actively managing the rhythm.
#BTC $BTC #美国战略石油储备创1983年来新低
$SPCXB
🚨 82000 top-out → 62000 bottom-fish → 67100 partial sell again!
In this round of trading, we basically captured most of the swings.
As early as above 82000 USD, we clearly signaled the risks and led the community to exit; then, as the market plummeted, we started to gradually scoop up spot in the 62000-64000 range.
And just this morning:
📍 BTC 67100
📍 ETH 1830
I remind everyone again:
68100-69700 is one of the key resistance zones for this rebound, consider taking partial profits on spot.
This judgment has proven to be spot-on once again.
Looking back, from topping out to bottoming in, then reducing at the rebound highs, the entire trading logic has remained consistent:
👉 Reducing risk at highs
👉 Gradually accumulating at lows
👉 Realizing profits in resistance zones
This is also why many people experience rollercoasters while we have been actively managing the rhythm.
#BTC $BTC #美国战略石油储备创1983年来新低
$SPCXB
[All strategies documented! 82000 exit → 62000 buy-in → 67100 partial sell, fully transparent verification!]
🚨 82000 top-out → 62000 bottom-fish → 67100 partial sell again!
In this round of trading, we basically captured most of the swings.
As early as above 82000 USD, we clearly signaled the risks and led the community to exit; then, as the market plummeted, we started to gradually scoop up spot in the 62000-64000 range.
And just this morning:
📍 BTC 67100
📍 ETH 1830
I remind everyone again:
68100-69700 is one of the key resistance zones for this rebound, consider taking partial profits on spot.
This judgment has proven to be spot-on once again.
Looking back, from topping out to bottoming in, then reducing at the rebound highs, the entire trading logic has remained consistent:
👉 Reducing risk at highs
👉 Gradually accumulating at lows
👉 Realizing profits in resistance zones
This is also why many people experience rollercoasters while we have been actively managing the rhythm.
#BTC $BTC #美国战略石油储备创1983年来新低
$SPCXB
🚨 82000 top-out → 62000 bottom-fish → 67100 partial sell again!
In this round of trading, we basically captured most of the swings.
As early as above 82000 USD, we clearly signaled the risks and led the community to exit; then, as the market plummeted, we started to gradually scoop up spot in the 62000-64000 range.
And just this morning:
📍 BTC 67100
📍 ETH 1830
I remind everyone again:
68100-69700 is one of the key resistance zones for this rebound, consider taking partial profits on spot.
This judgment has proven to be spot-on once again.
Looking back, from topping out to bottoming in, then reducing at the rebound highs, the entire trading logic has remained consistent:
👉 Reducing risk at highs
👉 Gradually accumulating at lows
👉 Realizing profits in resistance zones
This is also why many people experience rollercoasters while we have been actively managing the rhythm.
#BTC $BTC #美国战略石油储备创1983年来新低
$SPCXB
橙子研究院
·
--
[82000 Successfully Escaped the Peak and Issued a Warning: BTC Approaching the Strong Resistance Zone at 69700, Focus Here Next!]
As Bitcoin steadily climbs, influenced by the news of a ceasefire between the US and Iran, the momentum has further strengthened. It has completely broken away from the 64000 resistance range and is heading towards our estimated key resistance zone from 68100 to 69700!
Once the price enters this zone, everyone should pay close attention, as this could be the first target for this wave of rebound. Here we have the pressure from the Fibonacci 50% retracement level, the weekly EMA6 line's resistance, and our repeatedly emphasized platform resistance level. Each resistance level alone is quite formidable, let alone when they converge in one spot. The pressure here is immense, so the probability of breaking through on the first touch is minimal. Bitcoin has already rebounded by 10%, which is quite significant. Considering everything, this is a very reasonable defensive position for the bears. Keep this in mind, don’t hesitate to buy when it drops, and don’t get tempted just because it looks like it’s going up! For those holding assets, you might consider doing some trading (T), waiting for a pullback before re-entering.
Support levels below are at 63500 and 60800. We will notify you immediately about the specific positions for re-entry based on market conditions, just be patient!
#美国伊朗终战协议 $BTC #BTC $SOL
As Bitcoin steadily climbs, influenced by the news of a ceasefire between the US and Iran, the momentum has further strengthened. It has completely broken away from the 64000 resistance range and is heading towards our estimated key resistance zone from 68100 to 69700!
Once the price enters this zone, everyone should pay close attention, as this could be the first target for this wave of rebound. Here we have the pressure from the Fibonacci 50% retracement level, the weekly EMA6 line's resistance, and our repeatedly emphasized platform resistance level. Each resistance level alone is quite formidable, let alone when they converge in one spot. The pressure here is immense, so the probability of breaking through on the first touch is minimal. Bitcoin has already rebounded by 10%, which is quite significant. Considering everything, this is a very reasonable defensive position for the bears. Keep this in mind, don’t hesitate to buy when it drops, and don’t get tempted just because it looks like it’s going up! For those holding assets, you might consider doing some trading (T), waiting for a pullback before re-entering.
Support levels below are at 63500 and 60800. We will notify you immediately about the specific positions for re-entry based on market conditions, just be patient!
#美国伊朗终战协议 $BTC #BTC $SOL
[82000 Successfully Escaped the Peak and Issued a Warning: BTC Approaching the Strong Resistance Zone at 69700, Focus Here Next!]
As Bitcoin steadily climbs, influenced by the news of a ceasefire between the US and Iran, the momentum has further strengthened. It has completely broken away from the 64000 resistance range and is heading towards our estimated key resistance zone from 68100 to 69700!
Once the price enters this zone, everyone should pay close attention, as this could be the first target for this wave of rebound. Here we have the pressure from the Fibonacci 50% retracement level, the weekly EMA6 line's resistance, and our repeatedly emphasized platform resistance level. Each resistance level alone is quite formidable, let alone when they converge in one spot. The pressure here is immense, so the probability of breaking through on the first touch is minimal. Bitcoin has already rebounded by 10%, which is quite significant. Considering everything, this is a very reasonable defensive position for the bears. Keep this in mind, don’t hesitate to buy when it drops, and don’t get tempted just because it looks like it’s going up! For those holding assets, you might consider doing some trading (T), waiting for a pullback before re-entering.
Support levels below are at 63500 and 60800. We will notify you immediately about the specific positions for re-entry based on market conditions, just be patient!
#美国伊朗终战协议 $BTC #BTC $SOL
As Bitcoin steadily climbs, influenced by the news of a ceasefire between the US and Iran, the momentum has further strengthened. It has completely broken away from the 64000 resistance range and is heading towards our estimated key resistance zone from 68100 to 69700!
Once the price enters this zone, everyone should pay close attention, as this could be the first target for this wave of rebound. Here we have the pressure from the Fibonacci 50% retracement level, the weekly EMA6 line's resistance, and our repeatedly emphasized platform resistance level. Each resistance level alone is quite formidable, let alone when they converge in one spot. The pressure here is immense, so the probability of breaking through on the first touch is minimal. Bitcoin has already rebounded by 10%, which is quite significant. Considering everything, this is a very reasonable defensive position for the bears. Keep this in mind, don’t hesitate to buy when it drops, and don’t get tempted just because it looks like it’s going up! For those holding assets, you might consider doing some trading (T), waiting for a pullback before re-entering.
Support levels below are at 63500 and 60800. We will notify you immediately about the specific positions for re-entry based on market conditions, just be patient!
#美国伊朗终战协议 $BTC #BTC $SOL
橙子研究院
·
--
🔥 Successfully shorted at 82000, averaging back in at 62000-64000! We've pretty much cashed in on this whole rhythm!
Looking back over the past month’s posts:
✅ Cleared out early on May 12th
✅ Set a target of 73000 on May 18th
✅ Warned about real BTC risk coming on May 21st
✅ Stuck to a bearish outlook until around 66000 on May 30th
✅ Clearly stated limited bounce potential on June 2nd, with the target still at 66000
Then BTC dropped from 82000 to around 60000, dodging over a 20000 dollar drop almost entirely. 📉
While the market was in panic mode, we started executing the spot plan we laid out earlier:
🔹 ETH: Positioned around 1736 dollars
🔹 DOGE: Positioned around 0.0866
🔹 SOL: Positioned around 62 dollars
Averaging in at the 62000-64000 range, currently holding about 60% of our total position.
All analysis, all trades, all timeframes are fully documented and accessible.
📊 Predictions don’t matter; taking action in advance is what counts.
Feel free to join the discussion! 🤝
#bStocks正式上线 $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Looking back over the past month’s posts:
✅ Cleared out early on May 12th
✅ Set a target of 73000 on May 18th
✅ Warned about real BTC risk coming on May 21st
✅ Stuck to a bearish outlook until around 66000 on May 30th
✅ Clearly stated limited bounce potential on June 2nd, with the target still at 66000
Then BTC dropped from 82000 to around 60000, dodging over a 20000 dollar drop almost entirely. 📉
While the market was in panic mode, we started executing the spot plan we laid out earlier:
🔹 ETH: Positioned around 1736 dollars
🔹 DOGE: Positioned around 0.0866
🔹 SOL: Positioned around 62 dollars
Averaging in at the 62000-64000 range, currently holding about 60% of our total position.
All analysis, all trades, all timeframes are fully documented and accessible.
📊 Predictions don’t matter; taking action in advance is what counts.
Feel free to join the discussion! 🤝
#bStocks正式上线 $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
🔥 Successfully shorted at 82000, averaging back in at 62000-64000! We've pretty much cashed in on this whole rhythm!
Looking back over the past month’s posts:
✅ Cleared out early on May 12th
✅ Set a target of 73000 on May 18th
✅ Warned about real BTC risk coming on May 21st
✅ Stuck to a bearish outlook until around 66000 on May 30th
✅ Clearly stated limited bounce potential on June 2nd, with the target still at 66000
Then BTC dropped from 82000 to around 60000, dodging over a 20000 dollar drop almost entirely. 📉
While the market was in panic mode, we started executing the spot plan we laid out earlier:
🔹 ETH: Positioned around 1736 dollars
🔹 DOGE: Positioned around 0.0866
🔹 SOL: Positioned around 62 dollars
Averaging in at the 62000-64000 range, currently holding about 60% of our total position.
All analysis, all trades, all timeframes are fully documented and accessible.
📊 Predictions don’t matter; taking action in advance is what counts.
Feel free to join the discussion! 🤝
#bStocks正式上线 $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Looking back over the past month’s posts:
✅ Cleared out early on May 12th
✅ Set a target of 73000 on May 18th
✅ Warned about real BTC risk coming on May 21st
✅ Stuck to a bearish outlook until around 66000 on May 30th
✅ Clearly stated limited bounce potential on June 2nd, with the target still at 66000
Then BTC dropped from 82000 to around 60000, dodging over a 20000 dollar drop almost entirely. 📉
While the market was in panic mode, we started executing the spot plan we laid out earlier:
🔹 ETH: Positioned around 1736 dollars
🔹 DOGE: Positioned around 0.0866
🔹 SOL: Positioned around 62 dollars
Averaging in at the 62000-64000 range, currently holding about 60% of our total position.
All analysis, all trades, all timeframes are fully documented and accessible.
📊 Predictions don’t matter; taking action in advance is what counts.
Feel free to join the discussion! 🤝
#bStocks正式上线 $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Maintaining a bullish outlook, but be cautious about chasing highs
Since we advised to exit above $82,000, we've positioned some spot.
From the price action, BTC has consolidated for a week and has formed and broken through a 4-hour triangle convergence structure; at the same time, the daily MACD is about to create a bullish crossover underwater, and short-term rebound momentum is gradually strengthening.
Short-term key focus:
📍 First target: around $68,100
📍 Second target: around $69,700
📍 Strong target: around $72,000
However, the logic of the larger cycle bottoming has not completely ended, so the rebound is more suitable to be viewed as a swing trading opportunity.
📌 Current operational plan remains unchanged:
• Start taking profits on spot in batches above $68,000;
• Wait for further confirmation of a second bottom before re-entering positions;
• Continue executing the strategy of cashing out at highs and buying back at lows.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
Since we advised to exit above $82,000, we've positioned some spot.
From the price action, BTC has consolidated for a week and has formed and broken through a 4-hour triangle convergence structure; at the same time, the daily MACD is about to create a bullish crossover underwater, and short-term rebound momentum is gradually strengthening.
Short-term key focus:
📍 First target: around $68,100
📍 Second target: around $69,700
📍 Strong target: around $72,000
However, the logic of the larger cycle bottoming has not completely ended, so the rebound is more suitable to be viewed as a swing trading opportunity.
📌 Current operational plan remains unchanged:
• Start taking profits on spot in batches above $68,000;
• Wait for further confirmation of a second bottom before re-entering positions;
• Continue executing the strategy of cashing out at highs and buying back at lows.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
橙子研究院
·
--
BullishAfter topping out above $82,000, I’ve already set up my spot positions recently【as shown in charts three and four】
Currently, my overall spot allocation is around 60%:
✅ ETH average holding price: $1,736
✅ DOGE average holding price: $0.0866
✅ SOL average holding price: $62
I’m holding the remaining 40% for now, planning to wait around $54,000 to consider adding more positions, as the current market seems to be leaning towards the $68,000-$72,000 range.
To briefly talk about the market, Bitcoin has emerged from a week of consolidation and formed a triangle pattern. From the 4-hour timeframe, it has now broken above the triangle's upper boundary, but since it’s the weekend, liquidity is low, so it hasn't completely left the previous resistance level of $64,200 that we discussed【as shown in chart one】.
From the daily perspective, the MACD is about to give a bullish crossover under the water; the only issue is that it’s too far from the surface, making the breakout strength relatively weak. The likelihood of a choppy upward movement is high. I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward rebound trend on Monday, targeting the $68,100 to $69,700 range. Optimistically, returning to $72,000 isn’t out of the question【as shown in chart two】.
For those holding positions, pay close attention to resistance around $68,100; the downward trend isn’t over yet, so continue focusing on swing trading.
Trading strategy: Once BTC exceeds $68,000, gradually take profits on the spot positions that were entered earlier, and wait for a larger second dip to buy back in.
#SpaceX首日开盘超IPO价格29% $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Currently, my overall spot allocation is around 60%:
✅ ETH average holding price: $1,736
✅ DOGE average holding price: $0.0866
✅ SOL average holding price: $62
I’m holding the remaining 40% for now, planning to wait around $54,000 to consider adding more positions, as the current market seems to be leaning towards the $68,000-$72,000 range.
To briefly talk about the market, Bitcoin has emerged from a week of consolidation and formed a triangle pattern. From the 4-hour timeframe, it has now broken above the triangle's upper boundary, but since it’s the weekend, liquidity is low, so it hasn't completely left the previous resistance level of $64,200 that we discussed【as shown in chart one】.
From the daily perspective, the MACD is about to give a bullish crossover under the water; the only issue is that it’s too far from the surface, making the breakout strength relatively weak. The likelihood of a choppy upward movement is high. I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward rebound trend on Monday, targeting the $68,100 to $69,700 range. Optimistically, returning to $72,000 isn’t out of the question【as shown in chart two】.
For those holding positions, pay close attention to resistance around $68,100; the downward trend isn’t over yet, so continue focusing on swing trading.
Trading strategy: Once BTC exceeds $68,000, gradually take profits on the spot positions that were entered earlier, and wait for a larger second dip to buy back in.
#SpaceX首日开盘超IPO价格29% $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Partly True
$sa1t
What the market is lacking isn't just another token launch platform. What we need is a platform that "structurally eliminates the potential for bad actors".
pump.fun has shown that the bonding curve launch model can generate incredible trading volume and user engagement. However, pump.fun's liquidity pool (LP) has always been manageable, with migration processes presenting arbitrage opportunities, and the tokenomics being pretty standard.
sa1t.fun has done three key things:
First, it has completely sealed off the "migration gap from curve to DEX"—the curve is the V4 pool, with no second venue.
Second, it has upgraded LP locking from a mere "commitment" to a "mathematical impossibility"—the code level is non-extractable.
Third, it has expanded the "tokenomics" from a single option to 10 different plays—every token is a standalone on-chain game.
The SA1T platform token itself has a fixed supply of 1 billion, no inflation, 8% already burned, and LP locked until 2036. With 662 holders, the fully diluted valuation (FDV) is under 900k. This size is extremely early-stage for a big narrative.
A ten-year lock-up is "time's best friend"—the moment the tokens are locked, the project team and holders are on the same side. No exit mechanism means the only strategy is to push forward. This structural alignment is worth more than any promises in a whitepaper.
#sa1t 欢迎加入社区
What the market is lacking isn't just another token launch platform. What we need is a platform that "structurally eliminates the potential for bad actors".
pump.fun has shown that the bonding curve launch model can generate incredible trading volume and user engagement. However, pump.fun's liquidity pool (LP) has always been manageable, with migration processes presenting arbitrage opportunities, and the tokenomics being pretty standard.
sa1t.fun has done three key things:
First, it has completely sealed off the "migration gap from curve to DEX"—the curve is the V4 pool, with no second venue.
Second, it has upgraded LP locking from a mere "commitment" to a "mathematical impossibility"—the code level is non-extractable.
Third, it has expanded the "tokenomics" from a single option to 10 different plays—every token is a standalone on-chain game.
The SA1T platform token itself has a fixed supply of 1 billion, no inflation, 8% already burned, and LP locked until 2036. With 662 holders, the fully diluted valuation (FDV) is under 900k. This size is extremely early-stage for a big narrative.
A ten-year lock-up is "time's best friend"—the moment the tokens are locked, the project team and holders are on the same side. No exit mechanism means the only strategy is to push forward. This structural alignment is worth more than any promises in a whitepaper.
#sa1t 欢迎加入社区
After topping out above $82,000, I’ve already set up my spot positions recently【as shown in charts three and four】
Currently, my overall spot allocation is around 60%:
✅ ETH average holding price: $1,736
✅ DOGE average holding price: $0.0866
✅ SOL average holding price: $62
I’m holding the remaining 40% for now, planning to wait around $54,000 to consider adding more positions, as the current market seems to be leaning towards the $68,000-$72,000 range.
To briefly talk about the market, Bitcoin has emerged from a week of consolidation and formed a triangle pattern. From the 4-hour timeframe, it has now broken above the triangle's upper boundary, but since it’s the weekend, liquidity is low, so it hasn't completely left the previous resistance level of $64,200 that we discussed【as shown in chart one】.
From the daily perspective, the MACD is about to give a bullish crossover under the water; the only issue is that it’s too far from the surface, making the breakout strength relatively weak. The likelihood of a choppy upward movement is high. I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward rebound trend on Monday, targeting the $68,100 to $69,700 range. Optimistically, returning to $72,000 isn’t out of the question【as shown in chart two】.
For those holding positions, pay close attention to resistance around $68,100; the downward trend isn’t over yet, so continue focusing on swing trading.
Trading strategy: Once BTC exceeds $68,000, gradually take profits on the spot positions that were entered earlier, and wait for a larger second dip to buy back in.
#SpaceX首日开盘超IPO价格29% $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Currently, my overall spot allocation is around 60%:
✅ ETH average holding price: $1,736
✅ DOGE average holding price: $0.0866
✅ SOL average holding price: $62
I’m holding the remaining 40% for now, planning to wait around $54,000 to consider adding more positions, as the current market seems to be leaning towards the $68,000-$72,000 range.
To briefly talk about the market, Bitcoin has emerged from a week of consolidation and formed a triangle pattern. From the 4-hour timeframe, it has now broken above the triangle's upper boundary, but since it’s the weekend, liquidity is low, so it hasn't completely left the previous resistance level of $64,200 that we discussed【as shown in chart one】.
From the daily perspective, the MACD is about to give a bullish crossover under the water; the only issue is that it’s too far from the surface, making the breakout strength relatively weak. The likelihood of a choppy upward movement is high. I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward rebound trend on Monday, targeting the $68,100 to $69,700 range. Optimistically, returning to $72,000 isn’t out of the question【as shown in chart two】.
For those holding positions, pay close attention to resistance around $68,100; the downward trend isn’t over yet, so continue focusing on swing trading.
Trading strategy: Once BTC exceeds $68,000, gradually take profits on the spot positions that were entered earlier, and wait for a larger second dip to buy back in.
#SpaceX首日开盘超IPO价格29% $SPCXB #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Partly True
The implications of SpaceX's successful IPO are far more noteworthy than Musk's personal wealth surpassing $1 trillion.
From the chart, it's clear that Musk's wealth structure has undergone a fundamental shift. SpaceX's valuation contributes a whopping $765 billion, accounting for over 70% of his total wealth; while the once-core asset Tesla now contributes only $279 billion. Neuralink and The Boring Company together make up less than 1%.
This means that the capital market's pricing logic for Musk has completely switched from the "electric vehicle revolution" to the "space infrastructure revolution."
In the past, the market assigned Tesla a high valuation primarily betting on the increase in EV penetration; whereas now, giving SpaceX a nearly $2 trillion valuation is a bet on Starlink, low Earth orbit satellite communications, space transport, and the long-term growth potential of the global space economy.
More importantly, SpaceX is becoming the most monopolistic commercial space platform globally, with its business model, technological barriers, and strategic value far exceeding those of traditional tech companies.
One could say that the biggest factors influencing Musk's wealth fluctuations in the future won't be Tesla's sales but rather SpaceX's launch capabilities, the speed of Starlink's expansion, and the development cycle of the global space industry.
An era belonging to electric vehicles is maturing, while a new cycle tied to the space economy may just be beginning.🌎🚀
$SPCX
#SpaceX #ETH #elon #MUSK
From the chart, it's clear that Musk's wealth structure has undergone a fundamental shift. SpaceX's valuation contributes a whopping $765 billion, accounting for over 70% of his total wealth; while the once-core asset Tesla now contributes only $279 billion. Neuralink and The Boring Company together make up less than 1%.
This means that the capital market's pricing logic for Musk has completely switched from the "electric vehicle revolution" to the "space infrastructure revolution."
In the past, the market assigned Tesla a high valuation primarily betting on the increase in EV penetration; whereas now, giving SpaceX a nearly $2 trillion valuation is a bet on Starlink, low Earth orbit satellite communications, space transport, and the long-term growth potential of the global space economy.
More importantly, SpaceX is becoming the most monopolistic commercial space platform globally, with its business model, technological barriers, and strategic value far exceeding those of traditional tech companies.
One could say that the biggest factors influencing Musk's wealth fluctuations in the future won't be Tesla's sales but rather SpaceX's launch capabilities, the speed of Starlink's expansion, and the development cycle of the global space industry.
An era belonging to electric vehicles is maturing, while a new cycle tied to the space economy may just be beginning.🌎🚀
$SPCX
#SpaceX #ETH #elon #MUSK
📊 The current market has hit the short-term resistance zone.
Looking closely at the structure, you'll notice that the upper boundary of this small range's resistance aligns almost perfectly with the lower boundary of the larger box resistance above. With these two resistance levels stacking up, it's going to be tough for the price to break through in one go.
On top of that, the 4-hour MACD is gradually approaching the zero line, and the short-term technicals are starting to face some pressure. So, I believe it's highly likely we'll see a secondary test of this resistance before breaking out.
📉 In other words, the odds of a straight shot to above 68000 are pretty slim. More likely, we'll see a pullback first to clean up the market before deciding on the next direction.
The pullback target is tentatively set near the 4-hour trend line, around 61500.
As for the spot strategy, no changes:
✅ Scale out in batches between 68000-71000, or even go full exit;
✅ If we pull back to around 54000, fill the remaining position.
We're not far from the bottom zone now. Just stick to the plan and don't let short-term fluctuations mess with your rhythm. 🎯
#币安钱包推出SPCXxIPO $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
Looking closely at the structure, you'll notice that the upper boundary of this small range's resistance aligns almost perfectly with the lower boundary of the larger box resistance above. With these two resistance levels stacking up, it's going to be tough for the price to break through in one go.
On top of that, the 4-hour MACD is gradually approaching the zero line, and the short-term technicals are starting to face some pressure. So, I believe it's highly likely we'll see a secondary test of this resistance before breaking out.
📉 In other words, the odds of a straight shot to above 68000 are pretty slim. More likely, we'll see a pullback first to clean up the market before deciding on the next direction.
The pullback target is tentatively set near the 4-hour trend line, around 61500.
As for the spot strategy, no changes:
✅ Scale out in batches between 68000-71000, or even go full exit;
✅ If we pull back to around 54000, fill the remaining position.
We're not far from the bottom zone now. Just stick to the plan and don't let short-term fluctuations mess with your rhythm. 🎯
#币安钱包推出SPCXxIPO $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
橙子研究院
·
--
【60k Lost! BTC Hits 59080, Where is the Real Bottom?】
【1】 With the big drop in US stocks, Bitcoin is taking a nosedive wave after wave, breaking through the previous low at 60k and hitting 59080 before a slight bounce back. 📉
We've been stressing that if 66k broke, then the 60k support wouldn’t hold either, and I didn't expect it to happen this quickly...
Thinking back to last October when we persistently warned against chasing the bull tail around 120k, and now here we are with Bitcoin below a 50% drop, it feels like just yesterday. Those who were loudly proclaiming the four-year cycle theory being invalid are now silent. The market always teaches those who don't respect its inherent rules; going with the flow is the only way to last long-term 【as shown in the chart】
We've been stressing that if 66k broke, then the 60k support wouldn’t hold either, and I didn't expect it to happen this quickly...
Thinking back to last October when we persistently warned against chasing the bull tail around 120k, and now here we are with Bitcoin below a 50% drop, it feels like just yesterday. Those who were loudly proclaiming the four-year cycle theory being invalid are now silent. The market always teaches those who don't respect its inherent rules; going with the flow is the only way to last long-term 【as shown in the chart】
Partly True
A lot of folks were worried about whether the Liv Foundation would take off.
Well, the answer is in: Rebecca's Liv Foundation has officially launched and is now accepting a variety of crypto donations.
What does this mean?
It means that Rebecca not only supports the foundation's direction but is also actively embracing the power of cryptocurrency.
And the biggest advantage of Bags version #ASTEROID lies right here:
It's not just borrowing Liv's story; it's creating ongoing value for the original narrative through a royalty mechanism.
Liv, Rebecca, the foundation, the community, cryptocurrency, royalty returns.
This chain is slowly coming full circle.
Many see just the price.
What I see is an increasingly complete ecosystem.
🚀❤️🐶
欢迎加入 Asteroid 大家庭
#Asteroid #SpaceX #太空狗
Well, the answer is in: Rebecca's Liv Foundation has officially launched and is now accepting a variety of crypto donations.
What does this mean?
It means that Rebecca not only supports the foundation's direction but is also actively embracing the power of cryptocurrency.
And the biggest advantage of Bags version #ASTEROID lies right here:
It's not just borrowing Liv's story; it's creating ongoing value for the original narrative through a royalty mechanism.
Liv, Rebecca, the foundation, the community, cryptocurrency, royalty returns.
This chain is slowly coming full circle.
Many see just the price.
What I see is an increasingly complete ecosystem.
🚀❤️🐶
欢迎加入 Asteroid 大家庭
#Asteroid #SpaceX #太空狗
BTC's outlook remains consistent with what I mentioned a few days ago.
The important support level around 57500 is still holding strong, and the short-term bounce has reached the pressure zone near 64200 as expected.
From the current market action, Bitcoin is still in a consolidation phase without a clear direction, so the focus now isn't on predicting up or down, but rather executing your trading plan effectively.
Currently, my spot position is around 60%, primarily allocated to ETH and DOGE.
✅ If BTC bounces above 68000, I will consider scaling out in batches to lock in profits.
✅ If it doesn’t continue upward and instead retraces again, I’ll hold onto my existing 60% position, waiting to fill the remainder near 54000.
Overall, the bottom region is getting closer, and there's no need to stress over short-term fluctuations. Just stick to your plan and execute the corresponding actions when the target levels are reached.
#cpi $BTC #SpaceX IPO获机构多倍超额认购 $ETH
The important support level around 57500 is still holding strong, and the short-term bounce has reached the pressure zone near 64200 as expected.
From the current market action, Bitcoin is still in a consolidation phase without a clear direction, so the focus now isn't on predicting up or down, but rather executing your trading plan effectively.
Currently, my spot position is around 60%, primarily allocated to ETH and DOGE.
✅ If BTC bounces above 68000, I will consider scaling out in batches to lock in profits.
✅ If it doesn’t continue upward and instead retraces again, I’ll hold onto my existing 60% position, waiting to fill the remainder near 54000.
Overall, the bottom region is getting closer, and there's no need to stress over short-term fluctuations. Just stick to your plan and execute the corresponding actions when the target levels are reached.
#cpi $BTC #SpaceX IPO获机构多倍超额认购 $ETH
橙子研究院
·
--
【60k Lost! BTC Hits 59080, Where is the Real Bottom?】
【1】 With the big drop in US stocks, Bitcoin is taking a nosedive wave after wave, breaking through the previous low at 60k and hitting 59080 before a slight bounce back. 📉
We've been stressing that if 66k broke, then the 60k support wouldn’t hold either, and I didn't expect it to happen this quickly...
Thinking back to last October when we persistently warned against chasing the bull tail around 120k, and now here we are with Bitcoin below a 50% drop, it feels like just yesterday. Those who were loudly proclaiming the four-year cycle theory being invalid are now silent. The market always teaches those who don't respect its inherent rules; going with the flow is the only way to last long-term 【as shown in the chart】
We've been stressing that if 66k broke, then the 60k support wouldn’t hold either, and I didn't expect it to happen this quickly...
Thinking back to last October when we persistently warned against chasing the bull tail around 120k, and now here we are with Bitcoin below a 50% drop, it feels like just yesterday. Those who were loudly proclaiming the four-year cycle theory being invalid are now silent. The market always teaches those who don't respect its inherent rules; going with the flow is the only way to last long-term 【as shown in the chart】
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