Currently we have two order-trading accounts, each targeting a different market:
① The Never-Ending Dream We mainly trade crypto assets, primarily cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH. We also participate in crypto futures copy trading. The 7-day staged return is 53%.
② Orange Research Institute We mainly trade U.S. stock assets, focusing on U.S.-stock-related instruments. At present, we have one live account for copy trading with about a month of track record, and the staged return is approximately 40%.【Trade frequency: 2–5 entries per month】
Private-domain copy-trading invite code: 8W14NPoX
The two accounts have different philosophies, but they share one common point: controlling drawdowns and trading steadily and prudently. We don’t pursue reckless, all-in gains.
If you haven’t copied our trades before, you can first use a small amount of $100–$1,000 to experience our strategy for a period of time, then decide whether to increase funds based on your own situation.
Returns will fluctuate, and drawdowns may occur as well. Validating your confidence with small capital is more important than going heavy from the very start.
Understanding Bitcoin in One Article: Short-term Trading Logic + Medium-term Risks + Long-term Opportunities
Bitcoin's recent decline has been rapid and fierce. The first strong support we anticipated at 69000 was only slightly resisted before being broken. The trend then continuously fell below the second strong support at 63000, plunging to 60000 before rebounding and beginning to stabilize. 69000 This area is the shallow bear position we defined, and we had high hopes for it, but faced with a reality as fragile as paper, we need to update our thoughts on the upcoming market. The trend has formed, the shallow bear is unlikely, and the deep bear has become a reality! Looking back at 2025, the most common phrase we hear is that the four-year cycle of Bitcoin has failed, but the market in the past few months has given us a loud slap in the face with reality. As we said, the cycle may be weakened, but it will never fail!
【 Big Cake 85600 surged and then pulled back—does the short-term need to dip again? Above 87,000, there’s only one thing to do: take profit in batches!】
Yesterday’s $BTC was pushed up by the PCE news and briefly surged to around 85,600, but after the spike there wasn’t an effective breakout. Today it has returned to around 83,600.
The market is still in a consolidation-and-adjustment phase. The short-term trend is relatively weak, but for now the overall structure hasn’t shown any clear breakdown.
From the 4-hour chart, I actually hope it will make another new low here to form a bottom-divergence structure, and then work together with a rebound in volume—this way, the following rise will be more solid.
So whether BTC chooses to bounce directly or continues to probe lower, the overall approach remains unchanged.
Keep watching the 82,200—81,000 area below. This is still an important support zone.
As long as there’s no effective breakdown, there’s no need to panic too much about the adjustment.
But the plan for the upside operations also stays the same:
Start reducing positions in batches above 87,000—sell more as it rises.
Because this leg of the market is already in the later stage, the higher it goes, the greater the risk.
There’s no need to rush to guess the top, and there’s no need to chase every bounce.
Wait for structure, wait for opportunities—buy low and sell high.
First round of dip-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65, total about 40% position【❤️ as shown in Figure 2】
Second round of dip-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, MSTRB157.6【❤️ as shown in Figures 3 and 4】
[【 BTC82563 rebound failed; 4-hour bottom divergence is waiting for a new low: can 81000 be held? 】]
$BTC The price dropped to 82563, then saw a slight rebound. However, during the rebound there was no clear accompanying volume, so it stalled below the smaller dense liquidity zone at 85000, and then fell again. It is still continuing to search for a low.
From the 4-hour chart, a bottom divergence is in the process of forming, but it still needs a new low to confirm. Therefore, for now it’s not appropriate to quickly judge that the selloff has already bottomed out.
So the overall view remains the same as before:
Keep an eye on the 82200—81000 area; sell in batches above 87000 USD【❤️ as shown in Figure 1】
Even though the market is in a corrective phase now, overall it’s still relatively healthy, and there’s no need to overpanic due to a short-term pullback.
Instead, what matters most right now is not to chase after pumps.
Especially for altcoins: the recent downward move has been clear. In a weak and choppy environment, coins that surge strongly today may completely experience a sharp downside gap tomorrow. So the current risk coefficient remains fairly high.
At this stage of the market, it’s no longer the kind of phase where you can just blindly go all in.
The further it goes, the more patience you need.
Wait for the pullback to reach key levels, then look for low-buy opportunities; if the rebound reaches a resistance area, continue taking profit at high points.
The current plan to exit in batches above 87000 for BTC is still unchanged. The higher it goes, the higher the risk.
First round of bottom-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65, total about 40% of the position【❤️ as shown in Figure 2】
Second round of bottom-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, MSTRB157.6【❤️ as shown in Figures 3 and 4】
【 Monthly MACD is about to form a golden cross, but the daily chart shows a top divergence! Can BTC still surge to 90,000 next?】
$BTC declined as expected, once again pulled back to the 83,000 range. The trend is a bit weak, but it’s still within a normal pullback category.
On the weekly chart, a small bullish candle closed—fairly straightforward. What’s especially worth noting is that in two days the monthly candle will close. If the current pattern holds, the MACD will continue to rise from the 0-axis and head toward a golden cross. This indicates that the market has already entered the early stage of a shift from bearish to bullish—so there’s no need to overthink it anymore!
As for the daily chart, the MACD is about to produce a death cross. This will confirm the daily top divergence and may act as a catalyst pushing prices downward in the future. However, since the larger trend has already changed, the total downside potential will be limited, so there’s no need to be overly anxious.
Also, after a death cross, pullback-and-rally moves (a fake-out to lure longs) usually appear. By using multiple top divergences to build the top, opportunities for some trades may actually show up here!
To sum up: the view remains the same. First, keep watching for the pullback. Look for the 82,300 to 81,000 range—there’s a high probability it will stop falling there. Then it should move upward to test the 87,000 to 89,000 range. It’s allowed to spike close to around 90,000, then the first phase of the rally ends and the official correction begins!【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Don’t rush to worry about the exact correction location yet. We need to calculate it based on the final peak price of this round of rally. We’ll notify everyone as soon as it’s time!
Earlier, the main position was built in two rounds:
First round of dip-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65, total about 40% of the position【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
Second round of dip-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, CRCLB 85.5【❤️As shown in Figure 3】
For execution: if the selloff does not break below 81,000 effectively, friends with a smaller position can add some back. When price rises into the space above 87,000, the higher it goes, the more you should sell to lock in profits—just that.
【 BTC82563 accurately hits expectations! 84000 nearby may see a bottom, but above 87000, the higher it rises, the more you should sell 】
$BTC Yesterday’s low was 82563 USD. It was only a bit more than 200 USD away from the 82300 area we had been emphasizing earlier—basically within the expected range.
Right now BTC is back around 84000. In the short term, there’s a good chance that this area completes a round of pullback. But whether it will be the final low still can’t be fully confirmed.
We also mentioned yesterday that the daily MACD is about to form a death cross. A bearish divergence will put pressure on the subsequent upside. However, the monthly MACD is still hovering near the 0-axis and curling upward. The overall big trend has already changed, so short-term pullbacks don’t need to be overly feared.
Next, the viewpoint remains the same:
If it directly stops falling and continues upward, then the key level to watch is 87000—89000. If it pulls back again, still focus on the 82300—81000 zone 【❤️ as shown in Figure 1】
But no matter which scenario plays out, our strategy will not change:
Start scaling out in batches above 87000 dollars—sell more as it keeps rising.
Because at this level, the risk-reward ratio becomes increasingly unattractive.
The earlier market move has already allowed us to capture the profits that could be taken. Next is not about guessing the exact top, but about managing positions properly.
First round of dip-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65, total about 40% of the position 【❤️ as shown in Figure 2】
Second round of dip-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, MSTRB157.6 【❤️ as shown in Figures 3 and 4】
It’s best if it can keep rising. But the higher it goes, the more you should start defending—don’t let the profits you worked so hard to earn end up giving them back.
【 Monthly MACD is about to form a golden cross, but the daily chart shows a top divergence! Can BTC still surge to 90,000 next?】
$BTC declined as expected, once again pulled back to the 83,000 range. The trend is a bit weak, but it’s still within a normal pullback category.
On the weekly chart, a small bullish candle closed—fairly straightforward. What’s especially worth noting is that in two days the monthly candle will close. If the current pattern holds, the MACD will continue to rise from the 0-axis and head toward a golden cross. This indicates that the market has already entered the early stage of a shift from bearish to bullish—so there’s no need to overthink it anymore!
As for the daily chart, the MACD is about to produce a death cross. This will confirm the daily top divergence and may act as a catalyst pushing prices downward in the future. However, since the larger trend has already changed, the total downside potential will be limited, so there’s no need to be overly anxious.
Also, after a death cross, pullback-and-rally moves (a fake-out to lure longs) usually appear. By using multiple top divergences to build the top, opportunities for some trades may actually show up here!
To sum up: the view remains the same. First, keep watching for the pullback. Look for the 82,300 to 81,000 range—there’s a high probability it will stop falling there. Then it should move upward to test the 87,000 to 89,000 range. It’s allowed to spike close to around 90,000, then the first phase of the rally ends and the official correction begins!【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Don’t rush to worry about the exact correction location yet. We need to calculate it based on the final peak price of this round of rally. We’ll notify everyone as soon as it’s time!
Earlier, the main position was built in two rounds:
First round of dip-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65, total about 40% of the position【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
Second round of dip-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, CRCLB 85.5【❤️As shown in Figure 3】
For execution: if the selloff does not break below 81,000 effectively, friends with a smaller position can add some back. When price rises into the space above 87,000, the higher it goes, the more you should sell to lock in profits—just that.
【 Monthly MACD is about to form a golden cross, but the daily chart shows a top divergence! Can BTC still surge to 90,000 next?】
$BTC declined as expected, once again pulled back to the 83,000 range. The trend is a bit weak, but it’s still within a normal pullback category.
On the weekly chart, a small bullish candle closed—fairly straightforward. What’s especially worth noting is that in two days the monthly candle will close. If the current pattern holds, the MACD will continue to rise from the 0-axis and head toward a golden cross. This indicates that the market has already entered the early stage of a shift from bearish to bullish—so there’s no need to overthink it anymore!
As for the daily chart, the MACD is about to produce a death cross. This will confirm the daily top divergence and may act as a catalyst pushing prices downward in the future. However, since the larger trend has already changed, the total downside potential will be limited, so there’s no need to be overly anxious.
Also, after a death cross, pullback-and-rally moves (a fake-out to lure longs) usually appear. By using multiple top divergences to build the top, opportunities for some trades may actually show up here!
To sum up: the view remains the same. First, keep watching for the pullback. Look for the 82,300 to 81,000 range—there’s a high probability it will stop falling there. Then it should move upward to test the 87,000 to 89,000 range. It’s allowed to spike close to around 90,000, then the first phase of the rally ends and the official correction begins!【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Don’t rush to worry about the exact correction location yet. We need to calculate it based on the final peak price of this round of rally. We’ll notify everyone as soon as it’s time!
Earlier, the main position was built in two rounds:
First round of dip-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65, total about 40% of the position【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
Second round of dip-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, CRCLB 85.5【❤️As shown in Figure 3】
For execution: if the selloff does not break below 81,000 effectively, friends with a smaller position can add some back. When price rises into the space above 87,000, the higher it goes, the more you should sell to lock in profits—just that.
【 Whether the BTC pullback is over is still unknown, but above 87,000 you must start selling: the higher it rises, the higher the risk 】
$BTC is currently around 86,000. Whether the short-term pullback has ended is still unclear, but based on the order-flow structure, there is still a very good chance of another rebound trying to challenge the previous high.
After 87,395 was rejected earlier, BTC surged again to 87,287; the 4-hour chart formed a small double top. Then it dropped to the low of 82,874. The 82,000–83,000 region turned from resistance into support and successfully absorbed a wave of sell pressure.
When this level was previously broken through, the volume was very strong, and the bullish candle bodies were also large—so the support strength is still relatively solid.
However, the current rebound is rather weak, with only a 1-hour bullish divergence so far. For now, it still can’t confirm that the selloff has truly ended.
So the next two scenarios are both acceptable:
If it continues to pull back, pay special attention to 82,000—allow for a wick near 81,000; if it rebounds directly, then watch 87,000, or even 89,000【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
But no matter which scenario plays out, there is only one thing about my operations:
Sell the more it rises.
As long as BTC again attempts to break above 87,000, I will start exiting in batches.
Because the higher the price moves from here, the risk will only keep increasing.
This round’s first phase of the uptrend has gradually entered its tail end. Next, the approach must shift from bold to cautious.
First dip-buying: ETH 1556, SOL 65—total about 40% position【❤️Shown in Figure 2】
Second dip-buying: ETH 2400, SOL 98, CRCLB 85.5.【❤️Shown in Figure 3】
The earlier profits have already been taken in. For the remaining “fish tail,” you can take a bit here and there—there’s no need to give back the earlier profits just for the very last bite.
【 Three-Wave SUI All Go for Meat 】0.75→0.93, 0.8→1, 0.942→1.17!
This time, no analysis—just straight up show the trading record.
$SUI All the Three-Wave operations are recorded here:
📌 First Wave|Aug 23 0.75 entry → 0.93 exit Locked in about 26% profit [as shown in Figure 1]
📌 Second Wave|Aug 25 Enter around 0.8 → exit at 1 dollar for everything Locked in about 27% profit [as shown in Figure 2]
📌 Third Wave|Sep 24 0.942 entry → exit at 1.17 for everything Locked in about 24% profit [as shown in Figure 3]
All three waves were set up in advance. Once it reached the target zone, we took profits—no lingering.
After trading for so many years, I’ve come to feel more and more that the truly comfortable part isn’t buying at the lowest and selling at the highest every time, but being able to carry out the trading plan you’ve set for yourself.
This SUI run really gave us full respect.
After three waves, SUI has basically fed us to the point of satisfaction 😂🍊
Posting another round of these moves—same old saying: don’t make predictions after the fact. Put the buy/sell points right on the table.
$SUI : 1.07 exited at the high point → yesterday, re-entered near 0.94 This trade is currently +15% Plus the previous round’s +35% 👉 This SUI run has accumulated about 50% profit
$SOL : 116 exited at the high point → yesterday, re-entered near 113 This trade is currently +8% Earlier, the 65 USD SOL is still being held
Actually, this is the exact approach we’ve been doing:
Take profits first—don’t drag it out at the highs. When a pullback creates an opportunity, then bring the chips back.
The market won’t keep rising in only one direction forever. A truly comfortable trade isn’t necessarily holding from the very beginning to the end—it’s selling when you should, and buying back when you should.
Right now, both SUI and SOL positions that were re-entered have good unrealized gains. Next, we’ll keep watching how the market moves.🍊
[ ONDO 0.4 entry has already risen to 0.57—up 40% in profit! The first wave of BTC’s rally is entering its final stretch; 82000 and 89000 are key turning points ]
After $BTC met resistance at 87395 and pulled back, it surged up again, hitting 87287 on a second retest. Over the past 4 hours, a small double-top structure formed, and then it accelerated into a drop—once again perfectly fulfilling our earlier prediction.
Currently, the big BTC has dipped to 82874. It has already entered the pressure-to-support zone we mapped out—82000 to 83000. Because when this area was previously broken through, the volume was strong and the bullish candle body was huge, the support strength here is relatively solid. As expected, BTC organized a small rebound from here.
However, in terms of rebound strength, it’s rather weak, and only an hour-level hidden bullish divergence has appeared—so we still cannot fully confirm the selling has ended.
A more ideal scenario would be for price to form another low, producing a higher-level hidden bullish divergence, and then rebound up—this would be much more reliable.
We still expect 82000 as the key level, allowing for a wick down to around 81000.
If it can go straight up from here, even better. Anyway, we already filled our positions back in. If it rises, it will either form another double top around 87000, or make a new high near 89000. No matter where it goes, in terms of execution we continue the strategy of selling more as it rises—locking in profits in a timely manner. After the rally is over, we’ll need to prepare for the next round of pullback [❤️ as shown in Figure 1]
The first wave of the rally has already reached its tail end. In terms of trading, we should shift from being bold to being cautious.
ONDO previously guided the community to enter around 0.4. Now it’s already around 0.57—up about 40%. This profit can also be considered securely taken. [❤️ as shown in Figure 2]
[ 83000 is holding steady and there could be another push higher! If BTC reaches 87000—89000 again, I’ll start exiting in batches ]
$BTC The lowest pullback should be around 83500. This price action basically matches our prior short-term expectations.
Yesterday, BTC surged to more than 87000. I said that there would be a pullback need here in the short term—so now when it returns to around 83500, it’s not necessarily a bad thing.
On the contrary, from the current structure, as long as this level can hold, Big Cake still has a chance to push higher again.
The next focus is still on 87000—89000 [❤️ As shown in Figure 1, the neckline resistance at 89000 from the huge head-and-shoulders top from the last bull market].
But I need to make this clear in advance:
If BTC again pushes into 87000—89000 this time, I won’t act the way I did near 75000—I won’t be aggressively going all in again.
Back near 75000, we were bold enough to heavily position in ETH and SOL because the entry was low enough and the odds were comfortable.
Now Big Cake has already risen so much and entered a higher-level resistance zone. The risk-reward for chasing higher is completely different.
So if it goes up again, my strategy will be:
Sell as it rises—exit in batches.
It’s not that this must be the top, and it’s not that BTC can’t continue rising. But when it reaches this area, the first thing to consider is locking in profits.
Right now, what I mainly hold is ETH, SOL, CRCL, and quite a few altcoins. Yesterday I also refilled some positions and exited certain targets that were sold off at high levels.
So going forward, there’s no need to guess the top every day.
If it can hold around 83000, continue observing the strength of the rebound. If BTC again charges to 87000—89000, then follow the plan and gradually reduce positions.
This round, you’ve already eaten the main meat. The remaining tail-end could be eaten too, but really there’s no need to stretch yourself to the limit just for the last little bit.
[ 83000 is holding steady and there could be another push higher! If BTC reaches 87000—89000 again, I’ll start exiting in batches ]
$BTC The lowest pullback should be around 83500. This price action basically matches our prior short-term expectations.
Yesterday, BTC surged to more than 87000. I said that there would be a pullback need here in the short term—so now when it returns to around 83500, it’s not necessarily a bad thing.
On the contrary, from the current structure, as long as this level can hold, Big Cake still has a chance to push higher again.
The next focus is still on 87000—89000 [❤️ As shown in Figure 1, the neckline resistance at 89000 from the huge head-and-shoulders top from the last bull market].
But I need to make this clear in advance:
If BTC again pushes into 87000—89000 this time, I won’t act the way I did near 75000—I won’t be aggressively going all in again.
Back near 75000, we were bold enough to heavily position in ETH and SOL because the entry was low enough and the odds were comfortable.
Now Big Cake has already risen so much and entered a higher-level resistance zone. The risk-reward for chasing higher is completely different.
So if it goes up again, my strategy will be:
Sell as it rises—exit in batches.
It’s not that this must be the top, and it’s not that BTC can’t continue rising. But when it reaches this area, the first thing to consider is locking in profits.
Right now, what I mainly hold is ETH, SOL, CRCL, and quite a few altcoins. Yesterday I also refilled some positions and exited certain targets that were sold off at high levels.
So going forward, there’s no need to guess the top every day.
If it can hold around 83000, continue observing the strength of the rebound. If BTC again charges to 87000—89000, then follow the plan and gradually reduce positions.
This round, you’ve already eaten the main meat. The remaining tail-end could be eaten too, but really there’s no need to stretch yourself to the limit just for the last little bit.
【 BTC越涨越卖!86000—89000 enters a de-risking area, ETH +74%, SOL +82%, UNI +345% 】
$BTC Today the high went over 87,000, and it’s currently ranging between 83,000—87,000.
Looking back at yesterday’s viewpoint, we defined 86,000—89,000 as a key observation zone in advance, and now the market has entered this range.
So next, there’s no need to guess “whether BTC is at the top.” My strategy is just four words: sell as it rises.
In the short term, the big cake does have a need for a pullback, but when it will pull back and where it will pull back to don’t need to be guessed in advance—just follow the plan.
Exit in batches between 87,000—90,000.
If BTC continues pushing higher, keep reducing position; if it pulls back near 83,000, watch to see if resistance can turn into support. If support holds, altcoins still have opportunities for waves.
Right now, what I mainly hold is ETH, SOL, CRCL, as well as a good number of altcoins. My overall position is still at 80%, and I already cut 20% earlier the day before yesterday.
Why dare to heavily position around 75,000? Because at that time the odds were good enough.
Now adding blindly when BTC is above 87,000 is a different story. The higher the price rises, the more you need to recalculate the risk-reward.
After two rounds of dip-buying, the returns are also right here:
First round: ETH 1556→2745, +74% SOL 65→112, +82% UNI 2.98→10.3, +345% 【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Second round: ETH 2400→2745, +15% SOL 98→118, +21%【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
So it’s not that I’m completely bearish right now—rather, it’s gradually switching from offense to defense.
If later it pushes up to 89,000—90,000, I’ll continue cutting positions and lock in profits little by little; if there’s a pullback, I’ll look for opportunities again.
The biggest mistake that people make in a bull market is that they’ve already made a lot up front, and in the end, just to grab a bit more tail-end fish, they sit all the profits back down.
When you need to attack hard, attack hard; when you need to defend, defend.
As for the remaining tail-end fish—if you can catch it, eat it; if you can’t, no regrets.
This round entered at 0.00753 with the community. Now it’s already around 0.011, with a profit of 46%+.
The community here is holding steadily. Meanwhile, me—this little newb—starts getting itchy again 😂
I T’d back and forth. Around 0.009, I chased and bought another small order. That one is also up about 20%.
I have to say: in the crypto world, the hardest part isn’t choosing the right coin—it’s after you’ve picked the right one, not letting yourself get “handsy” and mess around.
【 BTC越涨越卖!86000—89000 enters a de-risking area, ETH +74%, SOL +82%, UNI +345% 】
$BTC Today the high went over 87,000, and it’s currently ranging between 83,000—87,000.
Looking back at yesterday’s viewpoint, we defined 86,000—89,000 as a key observation zone in advance, and now the market has entered this range.
So next, there’s no need to guess “whether BTC is at the top.” My strategy is just four words: sell as it rises.
In the short term, the big cake does have a need for a pullback, but when it will pull back and where it will pull back to don’t need to be guessed in advance—just follow the plan.
Exit in batches between 87,000—90,000.
If BTC continues pushing higher, keep reducing position; if it pulls back near 83,000, watch to see if resistance can turn into support. If support holds, altcoins still have opportunities for waves.
Right now, what I mainly hold is ETH, SOL, CRCL, as well as a good number of altcoins. My overall position is still at 80%, and I already cut 20% earlier the day before yesterday.
Why dare to heavily position around 75,000? Because at that time the odds were good enough.
Now adding blindly when BTC is above 87,000 is a different story. The higher the price rises, the more you need to recalculate the risk-reward.
After two rounds of dip-buying, the returns are also right here:
First round: ETH 1556→2745, +74% SOL 65→112, +82% UNI 2.98→10.3, +345% 【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Second round: ETH 2400→2745, +15% SOL 98→118, +21%【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
So it’s not that I’m completely bearish right now—rather, it’s gradually switching from offense to defense.
If later it pushes up to 89,000—90,000, I’ll continue cutting positions and lock in profits little by little; if there’s a pullback, I’ll look for opportunities again.
The biggest mistake that people make in a bull market is that they’ve already made a lot up front, and in the end, just to grab a bit more tail-end fish, they sit all the profits back down.
When you need to attack hard, attack hard; when you need to defend, defend.
As for the remaining tail-end fish—if you can catch it, eat it; if you can’t, no regrets.
【 83000 breakout playbook confirmed again! ETH +70%, SOL +71%, UNI +300%! The tail-end rally is here, and this time we’re preparing to sell more as it rises】
$BTC A strong bullish candle with volume blasted through heavy resistance at 83000 and surged all the way to 87395, entering the target zone of 86000 to 89000 that we mentioned multiple times. The earlier forecast has once again been perfectly fulfilled. The levels were fully disclosed in the previous article, and the results can be verified, so there’s no need to say more!【❤️as shown in Figure 1】
If our previous strategy was mainly offensive, then the next strategy should gradually shift toward defense. BTC has now entered a major strong-resistance zone. This area is stacked with a large amount of trapped supply, and above it lies the neckline at 89000 from the huge head-and-shoulders top of the last bull market. For that reason, we do not expect it to break through directly. There is a chance of a spike above, but more likely it is a bull trap. The probability of a valid breakout is very small, so do not chase the rise!【❤️as shown in Figure 2】
BTC bottomed at 57800, then launched a violent rebound from 63000, and the overall gain has already exceeded 50%. So this is no longer a place to act on emotion. Instead, it is very likely the first terminal zone of the first major upward leg. The most profitable part has already been perfectly captured, and now we are back to the tail-end phase where we keep reminding everyone: sell more as it rises!
First round: ETH 1556→2660, +70% SOL 65→112, +71% UNI 2.98→9.2, +300%【❤️as shown in Figure 3】
Second round: ETH 2400→2660, +10% SOL 98 →112, +14%【❤️as shown in Figure 4】
For the trading plan going forward: if price first pulls back to the 82000 to 83000 area, which has turned from resistance into support, there may be a swing-trading opportunity, and we can take advantage of it again, since altcoin activity is still decent.
If price goes straight up, then we need to consider exiting, lock in profits, and let someone else eat the tail end.
BTC has not yet seen a strong correction in this round of gains, and sharp pullbacks are a normal feature of bull markets. Better safe than sorry—don’t end up working for nothing again!
Trading suggestion: take profits in batches at 87000-89000. Personally, I have already taken profit on 20% of my position, with 80% still remaining
【 All buy prices公开 】ETH +75%, SOL +78%, UNI +300%. This round was really a great ride.
Let me show you this round’s spot trading results. No boasting—just look at the buy price and the current price.
Round 1:
ETH 1556 → 2710, +75% SOL 65 → 116, +78% UNI 2.98 → 8.7, +300% AAVE 84 → 141, +67% HYPE 65 → 95, +46% 【❤️ As shown in Figure 1】
Round 2:
ETH 2400 → 2710, +13% SOL 98 → 116, +18.2%【❤️ As shown in Figure 2】 SUI 0.8 → 0.98, +23% CRCLB 85.5 → 96, +12% 【❤️ As shown in Figures 3 and 4】
The biggest difference between these two rounds is this: Round 1 was for daring to buy at lower prices; Round 2 was for buying again on the pullback.
Now looking back, ETH 1556, SOL 65, and UNI 2.98 really were great prices.
But back then, the number of people who truly dared to place orders wasn’t that many.
So a lot of the time trading is like this: when an opportunity appears, it’s usually accompanied by panic; by the time everyone feels comfortable, the price is already up.
My spot holdings are already heavily positioned. I’ll keep walking and watching from here.
No need to brag about results—just show the buy price and the current price, and everyone can judge for themselves. 🍊
Right now I’m just waiting to take partial profits in batches once it’s above 86000.
【 680000 and 75000 heavily loaded ETH、SOL have already made big profits; BTC next level is 83000, start being careful from 89000 】
$BTC saw a rebound all the way from around 75000 to 81952. As it stands now, I’m actually less worried than I thought.
Why? Because 82000—83000 is itself a prior high resistance zone. It’s normal to stall and consolidate when it meets resistance here.
At the moment, the BTC chart hasn’t shown any obvious large-scale divergence, and the overall structure is still healthy. So this pullback, in my view, won’t go too deep. It feels more like consolidation and building energy for the next push.
Next, the most important level is 83000.
83000 has been tested repeatedly, and resistance is indeed still there. But when a level is hit over and over again, the available supply (chips) keeps getting consumed. As long as the next attempt can come with enough momentum/volume, I still lean toward expecting a breakout.
After a break above 83000, what really needs to be watched is 86000—89000.
From late November 2025 to late January 2026, BTC traded sideways in this area for more than two months. Afterwards, it broke down and fell, accumulating a lot of trapped positions. Above that, around 89000, there’s also the neckline resistance formed by the composite head-and-shoulders top structure from the previous bull cycle. 【❤️ as shown in Figure 1】
So my plan is very clear:
83000—look for a breakout; 86000—watch for resistance; 89000—watch for risk.
This is also why I’ve kept emphasizing that being bold enough to go heavily long near 75000 is completely different from mindlessly chasing at highs.
Near 75000, we went heavy into ETH and SOL, and we’re already at a significant profit. SUI was also clearly suggested by the community to enter around 0.8, and at about 0.97 now, it has likewise already captured a big chunk of profit 【❤️ as shown in Figure 2】
The market won’t give opportunities every day. What matters is waiting for the right levels in advance—when the opportunity comes, you dare to get on the train. After profits come out, you also need to know how to take them.
First round: ETH 1556→2660, +70% SOL 65→112, +71% UNI 2.98→9.2, +300% 【❤️ as shown in Figure 3】
Second round: ETH 2400→2660, +10% SOL 98 →112, +14% 【as shown in Figure 4】
【 Two-round dip-buying is near the lowest point! UNI is up 300%, and after BTC breaks 83,000, will it target 86,000—89,000?】
$BTC Strong rebound surged to 81,952, then met resistance and entered a period of consolidation. The prior high area of 82,000 to 83,000 is a very strong resistance zone, making it difficult to break through in one go. Hitting resistance and then pulling back was in line with expectations.
From the current market situation, the big BTC ("da bing") trend looks healthy and hasn’t shown major-level divergence, so this pullback won’t go very deep. After building momentum, it still has the drive to push up to new highs.
Next week’s main focus is on two things. First, can 83,000 break through? On this point, I’m still slightly optimistic. That level has been tested many times; the pressure is gradually weakening. Also, the rebound has started with a pretty fierce burst. So as long as there’s sufficient volume when it attacks again, the probability of breaking through remains very high.
Second, where will it go after it breaks out? Let’s look back. From 2025-11-22 to 2026-01-29, BTC spent more than two months consolidating, and then only after that did it break down and fall rapidly. That means a lot of trapped positions accumulated here. When BTC breaks upward and enters the zone above 86,000, resistance will increase quickly. 【❤️ As shown in Figure 1】
Above that, it will face the top structure built during the previous bull cycle—namely, the neckline pressure of a huge complex head-and-shoulders pattern at 89,000. This pressure will feel extremely heavy. If it can reach there, it might well be the top point of the first round of the rally after BTC’s行情 (market phase) begins. Therefore, we treat the 86,000 to 89,000 area as the key observation zone. Once it gets there, the trading style should shift toward being more conservative!【❤️ As shown in Figure 2】
First round: ETH 1556→2660, +70% SOL 65→112, +71% UNI 2.98→9.2, +300%【❤️ As shown in Figure 3】
Second round: ETH 2400→2660, +10% SOL 98 →112, +14%【As shown in Figure 4】
In short, the market still hasn’t finished running. Hold onto the positions you have!【❤️ Both the community and my spot holdings are heavily weighted】
【 Two-round dip-buying is near the lowest point! UNI is up 300%, and after BTC breaks 83,000, will it target 86,000—89,000?】
$BTC Strong rebound surged to 81,952, then met resistance and entered a period of consolidation. The prior high area of 82,000 to 83,000 is a very strong resistance zone, making it difficult to break through in one go. Hitting resistance and then pulling back was in line with expectations.
From the current market situation, the big BTC ("da bing") trend looks healthy and hasn’t shown major-level divergence, so this pullback won’t go very deep. After building momentum, it still has the drive to push up to new highs.
Next week’s main focus is on two things. First, can 83,000 break through? On this point, I’m still slightly optimistic. That level has been tested many times; the pressure is gradually weakening. Also, the rebound has started with a pretty fierce burst. So as long as there’s sufficient volume when it attacks again, the probability of breaking through remains very high.
Second, where will it go after it breaks out? Let’s look back. From 2025-11-22 to 2026-01-29, BTC spent more than two months consolidating, and then only after that did it break down and fall rapidly. That means a lot of trapped positions accumulated here. When BTC breaks upward and enters the zone above 86,000, resistance will increase quickly. 【❤️ As shown in Figure 1】
Above that, it will face the top structure built during the previous bull cycle—namely, the neckline pressure of a huge complex head-and-shoulders pattern at 89,000. This pressure will feel extremely heavy. If it can reach there, it might well be the top point of the first round of the rally after BTC’s行情 (market phase) begins. Therefore, we treat the 86,000 to 89,000 area as the key observation zone. Once it gets there, the trading style should shift toward being more conservative!【❤️ As shown in Figure 2】
First round: ETH 1556→2660, +70% SOL 65→112, +71% UNI 2.98→9.2, +300%【❤️ As shown in Figure 3】
Second round: ETH 2400→2660, +10% SOL 98 →112, +14%【As shown in Figure 4】
In short, the market still hasn’t finished running. Hold onto the positions you have!【❤️ Both the community and my spot holdings are heavily weighted】
【 Dare to buy at low levels, and that's how today's profit is made 】 UNI +191%, AAVE +60%, SOL +63%
First round of bottom-picking:
ETH 1556 → 2487, profit 59.9% SOL 65 → 106, profit 63.1% UNI 2.98 → 8.7, profit 191.9% AAVE 84 → 135, profit 60.7% HYPE 65 → 88, profit 35.4%【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Second round:
ETH 2400 → 2487, +3.6% SOL 98 → 106, +8.2%【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
In the first round, several of the assets were basically bought around the stage lows. In the second round, we also kept jumping in during the pullbacks.
When setting up positions at low levels, no one feels comfortable. Only after the price really rises do you realize how sweet the buy points were back then.
Right now, the spot holdings are heavily weighted. This round is temporarily a pretty decent report card for us.🍊
【 UNI already 300%!BTC next target 83000, second target 89000!】
$BTC 81300, the pullback to 75000 is already a thing of the past. Now the market is starting to validate our previous judgment.
If the CLARITY bill fails, it will fall; if the Fed news provides a stimulus, it will fall again. But both times the selloff didn’t manage to break to new lows—ultimately, the big pie (BTC) stabilized and completed a rebound around 75000.
Back then, we saw the 4-hour bullish divergence, the MACD golden cross, the daily MACD returning to the 0-axis, as well as the support at 74749’s 0.382 and 73530’s EMA52. Looking back now, basically all of it has played out.
And the two rounds of bargain hunting are also already starting to pay off:
First round: ETH +70%, SOL +71%, UNI +300%. Second round: ETH +10%, SOL +14%【❤️ As shown in Figures 1 and 2】
Now BTC has reached 81300—what comes next isn’t complicated.
First target: 83000 Second target: 89000
If 83000 can’t break through effectively, the short term may continue to range and consolidate; if it breaks upward with increased volume and holds, then 89000 will be the key focus for the next stage.
Although the US stock market still carries the risk of dragging things down, the crypto market has already adjusted ahead of time. What we need to watch next is not blind panic, but the possibility of range volatility amplifying.
So the two most important words in this stage are still: patience.
Don’t be afraid to get in near 75000, only to start chasing like crazy when it reaches 83000.
【 Dare to buy at low levels, and that's how today's profit is made 】 UNI +191%, AAVE +60%, SOL +63%
First round of bottom-picking:
ETH 1556 → 2487, profit 59.9% SOL 65 → 106, profit 63.1% UNI 2.98 → 8.7, profit 191.9% AAVE 84 → 135, profit 60.7% HYPE 65 → 88, profit 35.4%【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Second round:
ETH 2400 → 2487, +3.6% SOL 98 → 106, +8.2%【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
In the first round, several of the assets were basically bought around the stage lows. In the second round, we also kept jumping in during the pullbacks.
When setting up positions at low levels, no one feels comfortable. Only after the price really rises do you realize how sweet the buy points were back then.
Right now, the spot holdings are heavily weighted. This round is temporarily a pretty decent report card for us.🍊
【 Dare to buy at low levels, and that's how today's profit is made 】 UNI +191%, AAVE +60%, SOL +63%
First round of bottom-picking:
ETH 1556 → 2487, profit 59.9% SOL 65 → 106, profit 63.1% UNI 2.98 → 8.7, profit 191.9% AAVE 84 → 135, profit 60.7% HYPE 65 → 88, profit 35.4%【❤️As shown in Figure 1】
Second round:
ETH 2400 → 2487, +3.6% SOL 98 → 106, +8.2%【❤️As shown in Figure 2】
In the first round, several of the assets were basically bought around the stage lows. In the second round, we also kept jumping in during the pullbacks.
When setting up positions at low levels, no one feels comfortable. Only after the price really rises do you realize how sweet the buy points were back then.
Right now, the spot holdings are heavily weighted. This round is temporarily a pretty decent report card for us.🍊
The daily MACD first returns to the 0 axis, with a bullish divergence and a golden cross appearing—will the next wave push toward 83,000?
After news confirmed that Bitcoin’s vote on the CLARITY Act failed, it was sold aggressively. It rebounded modestly, then fell again on the stimulus effect of the Fed’s rate hike being carried out, but the drop was small—so small, in fact, that it didn’t even manage to break below the recent lows. Overall, the market structure is still relatively strong. We previously analyzed the expected price action over the past few days. Looking back now, it’s clear to everyone how precisely the timing and pacing of each move was controlled. There’s no need to go into further detail here. Bitcoin is currently very cooperative, reaching the entry target around 75,000 that we repeatedly emphasized. Judging from the four-hour chart, an obvious bullish divergence (bottom divergence) has already appeared. The MACD has also crossed upward and been confirmed. In the short term, the probability of a rebound is very high.