The Institutional Domino: why the Magnificent 7 might end up stacking Bitcoin!
We may be witnessing the beginning of a silent shift. Bank of America is leading the way for cryptos. Vanguard, the temple of financial conservatism, is changing its doctrine and finally listing Bitcoin. Grayscale predicts a broken cycle and new peaks.
• Bank of America
BoA now allows certain clients to allocate up to 4% of their portfolio to digital assets. For a bank that spent 10 years repeating that 'Bitcoin has no intrinsic value', this is a total turnaround.
The market sentiment following the rate cut is mixed.
Markets are relieved in the immediate term with a "hawkish cut" (25 bps as expected), but the ultra-restrictive dot plot (only 1 cut in 2026) and the 3 dissenters dampen the euphoria.
Stocks are moderately up, the 2-year rate is down, the dollar is stable.
Investors are digesting a Fed that is more hawkish than expected, data-dependent, in the face of stubborn inflation and tariff risks.
In the short term: moderate optimism on risky assets. The Fed indicates it will buy $40 billion$ of Treasury bonds and that these purchases will start from December 12.
Key highlights of the December 2025 FOMC decision:
Rate cut: The Fed has reduced the benchmark rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range of 3.50% - 3.75%. This is the third consecutive cut in 2025.
Divided vote: Decision adopted by 9 votes to 3 dissenting (the largest number since 2019), reflecting disagreements on the priority between employment and inflation.
Future projections (Dot Plot): Forecast of one additional cut in 2026, then another in 2027, before a long-term rate around 3%. Seven officials do not anticipate any cuts in 2026.
Balance sheet and liquidity: Announcement of the resumption of Treasury securities purchases to manage reserves; end of balance sheet reduction since December 1.
Economic outlook: Moderate growth, slowdown in employment, persistent inflation above 2% (influenced by tariff rates). The Fed takes a cautious approach, assessing data on a case-by-case basis.
A thread to understand the explosive escalation of these last 7 days ACT I: The bomb of December 5th 120 million euros. That's the fine that the European Commission has just imposed on X (formerly Twitter) for violating the Digital Services Act. Musk's reaction? A simple word: "Bullshit" But that was just the beginning of a storm that would shake the internet for 48 hours. THE EXPLOSION: More than 25 posts in 48 hours What follows is not just a simple regulatory dispute. It's an ideological declaration of war.
Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, states that sovereign funds are already accumulating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.
Among the notable examples on the list of involved sovereign funds, the one that stands out is the Luxembourg Sovereign Investment Fund (FSIL), which has explicitly allocated 1% of its assets (approximately 7 million euros) to Bitcoin for its national reserve.
8 reasons that mark the end of the 4-year cycle for Bitcoin
We are witnessing a historic turning point. For over 15 years, Bitcoin has been trapped in a simple narrative: a halving every four years, a bull run, then a bear market.
But this pattern is starting to crumble, and signals are multiplying at an unprecedented speed. Jerome Powell himself dropped the phrase that no one was expecting:
“Bitcoin is like gold.” When the chairman of the Fed officially compares Bitcoin to gold, it is no longer a speculative asset: it is an asset
The crypto market is bleeding, everyone swears that $BTC is entering a bear market.
What if Bitcoin is setting a monumental trap?
In the next 3 months, it could BREAK the infamous 4-year cycle that everyone believes is immutable.
Here’s my scenario…
The factors that will decide everything:
- liquidity returning in waves, - rates preparing something, - geopolitics ready to flip the market in 48 hours, - invisible crypto signals for 95% of the market.
Many are looking at the wrong indicators… and are missing the real movement.
Do you want to understand what could really move Bitcoin by March, without spending your evenings sifting through news and charts?
I filter every week.
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I see way too many people on X spouting nonsense about how Bitcoin is about to collapse.
Here’s why I am extremely optimistic:
- The US money supply M2 continues to grow each month - The QT officially ends next week (December 1). - Several rate cuts already priced in for 2026 - The gold/BTC correlation will only strengthen from now on
→ $BTC embarks on a direct trajectory towards over 140,000.
I had suggested that 80k would be the low point, and the market has just confirmed it.
If you want to learn how to read macro, catch the signals that matter, and develop a true investment psychology, my short videos and my newsletter provide the help you need.
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Nicolas Samui
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