区块链分析师

Polymarket New Arbitrage Strategy: 15 Minute BTC Rise and Fall Bot

Recently, many bots have been generating profits in the 15-minute BTC market with almost zero risk.

The core idea is super simple:

Simultaneously buy Up and Down, and only place orders when the combined prices on both sides are <100c.

For example:
Up 23c + Down 70c = Total Cost 93c
Eventually, it must settle at 100c → Lock in 7% profit

Short-term market fluctuations are large, and there are many opportunities for this combination.
Profits are small, but there is almost no drawdown, with stable growth.

There are indeed many low-risk arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket, and if used wisely, one can make money.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor tweeted that he wants to buy more Bitcoin
$BTC

$ETH
$BNB

The cost of Bitcoin mining has reached a historic high

The average cost of mining 1 Bitcoin is now 74,600 USD,
if all costs are included (all-in), it reaches as high as 137,800 USD.

The Bitcoin hash rate has just surpassed 1 ZH/s (a historic high),
which is further compressing miners' income.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

⚠️ Warning: Important on-chain pressure signals are appearing for Bitcoin
• BTC Hash Ribbon has turned bearish
• Short-term holders' NUPL has fallen into negative territory

Miners and short-term holders are showing capitulation selling.
Historically, such situations usually occur near major bottoms.

Be patient.⏳

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Latest news: X has terminated the European Commission's advertising account due to its exploitation of loopholes to "artificially enhance its influence".
$BTC

$ETH
$BNB

After Germany sold all its bitcoins, someone transferred them 1.87 dollars worth of bitcoin and engraved a message in the transaction:

“HFSP German government” (Wish you continue to be poor, German government) 😂👏

If Germany still held those bitcoins, their value would reach 4.86 billion dollars.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Cloudflare is down again

Betting on Cloudflare going down is almost 100% profitable😂
$BTC

A new Polymarket account is frantically buying "Trump elected Time Person of the Year."

If they guess right, they can earn $230,872.

$BTC

Someone is selling a @Polymarket account on Exsaverse.

Something big might be happening.
$BTC

According to exclusive reports from Reuters, China's major state-owned banks have been actively purchasing dollars in the onshore spot market this week and holding them, in an effort to curb the rapid appreciation of the renminbi—one of the strongest intervention actions since 2022. This news was released on December 4, 2025.

$BTC

The possibility of interest rate cuts in December has risen to 88%

Liquidity is about to arrive

$BTC

CZ releases a prediction market native to BNB Chain

Developed by former Binance employees and supported by YZI Labs, Predict.fun aims to challenge Kalshi and Polymarket.

CZ stated that users can earn profits even during the unsettled period of predictions.

$BTC

As Bitcoin mining profits fall to about $35/PH/day, while total costs are around $44, miners are shutting down their mining machines.

In this situation, directly purchasing Bitcoin is more cost-effective than mining.

$BTC

This person on Polymarket made a fortune by buying predictions related to Google searches.

Someone has already found the link to Google's Year in Search in advance.

The Google search rankings have leaked, and all predictions related to Google searches on Polymarket have the answers in advance.

This person on Polymarket made a fortune by buying predictions related to Google searches.

Then someone has already found the link to Google's Year in Search.

https://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/2025/

$BTC

Japan's 30-year government bond yield surges to 3.42%, a historic high!

This is not just a matter for Japan; it's a major earthquake in the global market.

Why is it important?
• Japan ends the "ultra-low interest rate era"
• Global funds begin to withdraw from risk assets
• Yen appreciation → Carry trades forced to close
• Risk assets (US stocks, cryptocurrencies) face short-term pressure
• Altcoins are more dangerous, while BTC remains more stable
• In the long term, high interest rates + global debt pressure = a super positive for Bitcoin

In one sentence: The short term is volatile, but the long term is a great era for Bitcoin.
$BTC

The price of USDT in the Chinese region has dropped to 7

Currently, the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Chinese yuan is 7.07

What does this mean?

$BTC

Good news (BULLISH): The assets of Money-Market Funds in the United States have surpassed $8 trillion for the first time.

As the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates, part of this capital is likely to flow back into the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
$BTC

If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in December while the Bank of Japan raises rates, the interest rate differential between the US and Japan will quickly narrow.

A stronger yen and a weaker dollar will suddenly make the arbitrage trades that have relied on the "cheap yen" for years become expensive, significantly increasing carrying costs.

This will force investors to close their positions: sell assets and cover yen positions.

Japan has long been the easiest source of cheap funding globally, but it may now become the trigger point for global volatility.

The last time yen carry trades unwound on a large scale, Bitcoin formed a significant bottom against the backdrop of liquidity being pulled from risk assets.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Vanguard has added BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) to its tradable list.

Vanguard's clients can now buy BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF on Vanguard's platform.

Previously, Vanguard prohibited clients from purchasing any Bitcoin ETF (they believed that cryptocurrencies were too volatile and did not align with the "long-term value investment" philosophy).

Now they have changed their policy, adding IBIT to the tradable list, meaning:
• Vanguard users can buy IBIT like they buy stocks
• Bitcoin ETF trading is no longer prohibited
• The platform will start supporting trading tomorrow

This is a significant policy reversal.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB