BitcoinDay

The drop from #Bitcoin to USD 91,000 might be finding technical gravity, as an unfilled gap in the CME remains just below current prices. The gap or GAP was created over the weekend, after CME bitcoin futures closed on Friday around USD 90,600 and reopened on Sunday night around USD 91,600.

A CME gap refers to a price range without trading activity that forms when BTC moves while the CME futures markets are closed from Friday to Sunday.

Institutions with #Bitcoin bought more BTC than miners added to the supply in the first week of 2026, which is a classic bullish signal for BTC price. Sustained net buying has led to an average BTC price increase of nearly 110% since 2020. Since 2020, the average increase has been 109%, and the previous change caused a 41% rise.

A new gap in the CME futures and the liquidations of long positions provide reasons for a price drop of #Bitcoin . The price tends to rise or fall to fill the newly formed gaps within days or even hours after the reopening of the futures.

Amid the new January highs, the trading platform TheKingfisher warned that prices could drop to eliminate late long positions of BTC around US$88,000.

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According to CryptoQuant, the #Bitcoin is likely to continue moving within a range as the market enters 2026, without a clear structural signal pointing to a sustained bullish or bearish trend.

The assessment comes from a new research note that analyzes macroeconomic conditions, activity in derivatives, and key on-chain indicators. According to the analysis, BTC continues to trade within a high volatility range.

Although long-term adoption themes remain intact, the short-term price direction lacks confirmation. Analysts described the current scenario as conditionally neutral to slightly bearish.

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An analysis of the annual graph of #Bitcoin indicated that, although a new test of US$93,500 could still occur at the end of the year, a red candle in 2025 would jeopardize the four-year cycle theory. BTC has decreased by 6% so far this year, which could mean a bearish record after the halving.

This led some analysts to argue that the concept of BTC's price moving in four-year cycles no longer fit reality.

The expiration of options of #Bitcoin on December 26 marks an unprecedented milestone in the derivatives markets. This Boxing Day event not only closes the month but also the quarter and the year, amplifying its potential impact.

BTC concentrates over US$23 billion in expiring options. Call options clearly dominate the market, surpassing puts in a ratio close to 3:1, reflecting a bullish inclination in the prior positioning.

According to the CEO and co-founder of DMND Pool, Alejandro de la Torre, they remain relevant, although with a more mature focus. For institutional miners, the halving of #Bitcoin acts as a supply shock that imposes natural selection, forcing the upgrade of fleets and optimizing costs.

This pattern, according to De la Torre, is divided into three phases: a post-halving purge, where operators with high costs and obsolete equipment exit the market; a consolidation phase, with more efficient networks in terms of joules per terahash; and an expansion phase, where the survivors reinvest.

The Federal Reserve of the US approved a 25 basis point interest rate cut yesterday, the third this year and in line with market expectations. Given the restrictive label associated with this week's rate cut, it is possible that the price of #Bitcoin may sell off with the news and remain within a range until a new momentum driver emerges.

According to Glassnode, Bitcoin remains trapped in a structurally fragile range below IS$100,000, with price action limited between the short-term cost basis at US$102,700 and the True Market Mean at US$81,300.

According to the Korbit Research Center in Korea, the #Bitcoin could reach between US$140,000 and US$170,000 by 2026. This projection challenges the traditional halving cycle model and bets on an explosive combination of U.S. fiscal policy and massive institutional adoption.

The center anticipates a consolidation of Bitcoin between US$100,000 and US$120,000 until the end of 2025, followed by a second significant peak in 2026 if liquidity returns to the markets. High rates and the current restrictive monetary policy slow down the rally but create the conditions for a more powerful and lasting explosion in 2026.

The fall of #Bitcoin shook the market again after dropping below US$90,000, a psychological level that triggered a wave of liquidations. The movement occurred minutes after the PCE inflation data generated an initial spike, creating the illusion of a bullish continuation before violently and unexpectedly reversing.

For analyst Ash Crypto, this was a colossal manipulation, where in just 30 minutes, nearly US$100 million in long positions were liquidated. As is often the case in these situations, forced liquidations generated additional spot sales, amplifying the fall of Bitcoin and increasing the bearish pressure.

Two old Bitcoin whales with 1,000 BTC each have been reactivated for the first time in over a decade. The transactions were valued at over US$89 million. Throughout 2025, several wallets from the so-called Satoshi era have awakened after long periods of inactivity. For example, an unknown whale moved a total of 50 BTC this week that had not been touched in over fifteen years.

The company Strategy's wallet recorded 9 outgoing transactions yesterday worth over US$1.000 billion. Speculation of a possible liquidation caused a pullback in the price of Bitcoin. Arkham's data showed that the largest treasury of #Bitcoin transferred 11.642 BTC from its holdings to a Fidelity custody wallet.

Strategy has moved more than 177.351 BTC worth US$16.500 billion from its wallet in 48 hours.

The #Bitcoin rose to US$93,000 after a leverage sweep on Sunday when the price plummeted to US$83,000. Some analysts now predict that favorable macroeconomic winds could push the cryptocurrency above US$100,000 in the coming months. It is worth noting that at this moment the price is in the same range as on 01/01/2025.

According to analyst Danicrypto7, accumulating 0.21 #Bitcoin could reach a significant value in the 2030 cycle. The analyst states that you do not need 1 BTC to benefit from the growth cycle.

Historical records show that holding BTC for 4 to 6 years reduces the probability of loss to a minimal range of 0% to 0.2%. This consistency makes the asset an anomaly within financial markets.

Under this scenario, even those who hold 0.05 BTC or 0.1 BTC can greatly outperform traditional portfolios simply by maintaining their positions.

The weekend Bitcoin rally collapsed classically, forming a Bart Simpson reversal that wiped out gains and drained over US$600 million in leveraged positions in 24 hours. Several analysts believe that the damage is not over yet.

The veteran trader of a thousand battles, Peter Brandt, revived the possibility of a pullback below US$40,000, warning that the recent BTC bounce may have been nothing more than a dead cat bounce.

The Technical Strategy of Scalping is usually based on Technical Analysis in very short time frames, and for this, a combination of indicators must be used to have multiple confirmations.

✅️Exponential Moving Averages: Used to identify the direction of the trend in the very short term and crossing points.

✅️RSI, Stochastic, and MACD Oscillators: Help identify overbought or oversold conditions, or changes in price momentum, seeking reversals or continuations.

✅️Bollinger Bands: Measure volatility and can be used to look for entries when the price touches or breaks the upper or lower band, expecting a retracement towards the mean.

✅️Risk and Benefit Management: Since you seek small profits, your ratio can be adjusted, but it is crucial that your profits are frequent and disciplined to overcome commissions and losses.

Bitcoin will close today 145,482 contracts, equivalent to more than US$13 billion in options. The spot price is near US$91,100, while the maximum pain level is at US$100,000, a reference that has historically influenced the price stabilization before the cut.

This volume greatly exceeds previous weekly expirations due to the monthly rollover, which accumulates larger positions and more complex strategies. With a mix of bullish bets, defensive hedges, and advanced spreads, this expiration has the potential to generate abrupt fluctuations before and after liquidation.

According to Forbes, President Donald Trump's net worth has decreased by US$1.100 million since last September to US$6.200 million. The decline in fortune occurs while shares of his family company, Trump Media and Technology Group, are trading near a historic low, amid a drop in the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.