“Interest rate cut expectations have reversed dramatically! The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January has suddenly dropped to 19.9%, has the market sentiment changed again?” #热门话题

Yes, the sentiment has indeed changed. The narrative logic of the market has shifted from “inflation rapidly declining → the Federal Reserve will quickly and significantly cut rates” to “the economy is remarkably resilient → the Federal Reserve has the capacity to remain patient, rate cuts will be slower and initiated later.” #美联储降息

For investors, this means that market volatility in the coming months will heavily depend on economic data (especially employment and inflation reports) and every speech by Federal Reserve officials. “Data dependence” is no longer just empty talk, but the core trading logic of the current market. Although the rate cut is delayed, it has not disappeared; the path has just become more rugged and uncertain. #加密市场观察

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