I came through as a small player, having seen people around me get rich overnight and also seen them return to zero in an instant. There is no myth of 'stable profit' in the crypto world, but using the right methods can help you capture certainty amidst risks. My core logic is summed up in one word: 'roll'—not blindly going all in, but allowing profits to compound under the premise of controlling risks.
1. The essence of rolling positions: using profits to seek returns, not gambling your entire fortune
Many people think of 'rolling positions' as a high-leverage liquidation, which is a misconception. The true essence of rolling positions is to operate with zero risk on the principal and only roll profits.
My iron rule: The initial capital must always be isolated, and additional funds can only come from realized profits.
Example: For instance, if using 10,000 USDT as capital, only open 5% (500 USDT) for the first position, set a 2% stop loss (exit if losing 100 USDT). If the direction is correct and the floating profit reaches 50%, add 50% of the profit to the position while keeping the original capital unchanged.
Why can it reduce risks? Even if the trend reverses, the worst result is just a profit surrender, which won't harm the capital.
Emotional management is more important than technology: the market specializes in defiance. Once the mindset is unbalanced, even the best strategy becomes worthless. I trade no more than 3 times a day, and after a loss, I take a mandatory half-hour break to avoid revenge trading.
Two, the golden timing for rolling positions: Three high-win-rate patterns.
Rolling positions are not done every day; I only take action in three high-certainty market conditions:
1. Breakthrough after long-term consolidation.
Characteristics: Bitcoin's volatility hits an all-time low (like consolidating for over a month), and trading volume shrinks to the extreme.
Action: Go long when breaking through the upper edge of the range, set stop loss at the lower edge of the range. Once this trend starts, it often leads to a trend wave.
2. Stabilization rebound after a sharp decline.
Case: In 2024, Bitcoin fell from 60,000 USDT to 30,000 USDT. After consolidating between 30,000-35,000 USDT for three weeks, the weekly chart showed a long lower shadow, and I decisively went long, benefiting from the subsequent doubling trend.
Key: The price must go through a significant drop → low-volume consolidation → sudden high-volume surge to confirm a bullish reversal.
3. Breakthrough at key weekly levels.
For example, Bitcoin breaking previous highs and Ethereum upgrades are major events that, combined with increased trading volume, have a very high win rate.
Three, technical assistance: I use 'wedge patterns' to filter out noise.
The wedge is the most commonly used pattern tool for me, especially the descending wedge, used to capture reversal signals:
Descending wedge (bullish): The price fluctuates and narrows during a decline, with lows gradually dropping but at a slowing slope. Buy when breaking through the upper edge, and add positions if it retraces without breaking.
Note: Trading volume must accompany breakouts; otherwise, it may be a false signal.
Four, fund allocation: Three amounts of money determine how far you can go.
My account is always managed in three parts:
Aggressive position (10%): Used for rolling strategies, only pursuing high returns.
Regular investment (20%): Invest in BTC/ETH spot weekly, accumulate chips in bear markets, and take profits in bull markets.
Stable investment (70%): Keep in USDT savings (annualized 5%-10%), staking mining (like ETH2.0 staking), and other low-risk channels.
Why keep stable investments?
90% of the time in the crypto market is spent in consolidation or bear markets. Investment returns can cover daily expenses, stabilizing your mindset.
Five, heartfelt words for beginners.
Don't mythologize contracts: Contracts are tools, but 90% of people lose due to greed and uncontrolled positions.
Small funds first practice mindset: Use 1,000 USDT to test the waters, the goal is not to double, but to learn stop-loss and patience.
Beware of the 'get rich quick trap': All strategies that claim 'guaranteed profits' are scams; the only certainty in the crypto market is uncertainty.
The last harsh word.
The essence of rolling positions is to harvest the emotions of those who lose control. The market always has opportunities, but your capital only has one chance. If you can't achieve 'no frenzy in profit, no panic in loss', it's better to invest in mainstream coins steadily—slow, but it allows survival.
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