📍#ETH Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/22)

【Core Viewpoint】: The short-term revival has surpassed 3,000, and the bulls are attempting to break through, but the weekly cap remains, so do not be blindly optimistic.

Ethereum's current trend has shown a phenomenon of "long and short cycle divergence." Although the 4-hour and 1-hour charts have turned into a bullish arrangement and have stabilized above the 3,000 mark, indicating that short-term funds are returning. However, at the daily and weekly levels, the pressure zone from 3,031 to 3,222 remains heavy. This wave of increase can only be defined as a "bounce within a range"; for the bulls to truly reverse the situation, they must strongly break through 3,222. Now is a party for short-term traders, and swing traders should stay alert, ready to take profits in the pressure zone.

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📊 Long-term Trend: Consolidating Bearish (1W)

Current Situation Interpretation:

Weekly level is still constrained by the long-term pressure of 3,222 and 3,416. Although there is a short-term rebound, the overall structure has not escaped the consolidating bearish pattern. 3,181 is key for whether the bulls can maintain their momentum; if the weekly close cannot hold this level, this rebound could easily turn into a 'fakeout'.

【1W Swing Strategy】

• Key Operation: Wait and see with full positions. Only if it stands above 3,222 can the trend reversal be confirmed; dropping below 2,255 would indicate a major crash.

• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 3,181.86

🛑 Wait and See Zone:

• Resistance Above: 3,222.37

• Support Below: 2,255.92

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📊 Mid-term Trend: Consolidating (1D)

Current Situation Interpretation:

The daily chart shows prices trapped in a narrow range between 2,981 and 3,031. This is a state of buildup. Bulls are trying to break through the lid at 3,031; if successful, it will drive the daily level to turn bullish. Conversely, if it drops below 2,984, the short-term rebound will be declared a failure.

【1D Swing Strategy】

• Key Operation: Wait for breakthrough confirmation. If it closes above 3,031, go long; if it drops below 2,984, switch to short.

• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 2,984.90

🛑 Wait and See Zone:

• Breakthrough Observation Point: 3,031.35

• Weakening Observation Point: 2,984.90

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📊 Short-term Trend: Small Bullish (4H) / Medium Bullish (1H)

Current Situation Interpretation:

Short-term is currently the strongest timeframe for ETH. 4-hour and 1-hour charts are bullish, with prices holding above 3,000 and moving averages showing a bullish arrangement. This provides excellent operating space for day traders and short-term traders. As long as 2,984 holds, the short-term trend remains upward towards 3,194.

【4H/1H Comprehensive Strategy】

• Key Operation: Go long in the direction of the trend; enter when support holds, targeting the upper pressure level.

• Fund Suggestion: Patiently place orders 60% + chase price on breakout 40%

🟢 Long Position Layout:

• Pullback Long (Pending Orders): 3,009.86 ~ 3,019.23

• Chase Price on Breakout: 3,028.95 (1H) / 3,194.62 (4H)

• Take Profit Target (TP): 3,055.87 / 3,098.35 / 3,194.62

• Stop Loss (SL): 2,962.02 (4H Defense Level)

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📝 Summary and Operation Suggestions

• For holders: 3,000, recovering losses is good, but don't forget that 3,222 above is a major resistance. It is recommended to gradually reduce positions as the price approaches 3,200 to lock in profits.

• For those with no positions: Short-term 1H/4H has potential, you can try to go long on pullbacks. But please strictly set stop-loss below 2,984; if it breaks, the bullish scenario fails, avoid fighting the market.