$BTC $ETH $SOL

šŸšØ **BITCOIN CYCLE MATH ā€“ MOST PEOPLE IGNORE THIS** šŸšØ

šŸ“Œ **BTC TOPS FOLLOW A CLEAR COMPRESSION MODEL BASED ON THE HALVING PRICE**

THIS IS DATA, NOT HOPIUM.

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## šŸ“Š HISTORICAL HALVING ā†’ TOP MULTIPLES

ā›ļø 2012 HALVING ~$12 ā†’ TOP ~$1,150

āž”ļø **~95X**

ā›ļø 2016 HALVING ~$650 ā†’ TOP ~$20,000

āž”ļø **~30X**

ā›ļø 2020 HALVING ~$8,600 ā†’ TOP ~$69,000

āž”ļø **~8X**

šŸ‘‰ EACH CYCLE = LOWER MULTIPLE

šŸ‘‰ BITCOIN IS MATURING

šŸ‘‰ NO MORE X50 / X100 FANTASIES

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## ā›ļø 2024 HALVING PRICE

šŸ”„ **~$63,000** šŸ”„

BASED ON HISTORICAL COMPRESSION šŸ‘‡

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## šŸŽÆ NEXT CYCLE TOP ESTIMATES

šŸ”µ CONSERVATIVE SCENARIO

āž”ļø **X2.5**

šŸ“ **$150K ā€“ $170K**

šŸŸ¢ MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO

āž”ļø **X3 ā€“ X3.5**

šŸ“ **$190K ā€“ $220K** ā­ļø

šŸŸ£ VERY STRONG CYCLE

āž”ļø **X4**

šŸ“ **~$250K**

āš ļø ABOVE $300K = HISTORICAL BREAK / EXTREME LIQUIDITY EVENT

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## šŸ“Œ SMART DISTRIBUTION ZONES (FUTURES / SPOT)

šŸ’° ZONE 1: **$150K ā€“ $170K**

āž”ļø TAKE 20ā€“30% PROFITS

šŸ’° ZONE 2: **$190K ā€“ $220K**

āž”ļø MAIN DISTRIBUTION (40ā€“50%)

šŸ’° ZONE 3: **$230K ā€“ $260K**

āž”ļø FINAL EXIT / POTENTIAL SHORT SETUPS

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## šŸ§  KEY TAKEAWAY

āŒ TOPS ARE NOT RANDOM

āŒ BITCOIN IS NOT A CASINO

āœ… HALVINGS DEFINE THE STRUCTURE

LOWER MULTIPLES.

HIGHER PRICE FLOORS.

CLEAR DISTRIBUTION ZONES.

šŸ“ˆ **TRADE THE CYCLE ā€” NOT THE NOISE** šŸš€

āš ļø **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO