In the next two days, Japan's new round of interest rate hikes is basically entering the implementation stage. The direct impact of Japan's interest rate hikes on prices may be limited, because the size of BTC in the global financial system is still relatively small, making it difficult for the monetary policy of a single country to create a decisive impact.
However, what needs attention this time is the emotional aspect. Recently, the search popularity of keywords related to "Japan's interest rate hike" has reached a new high in nearly a decade, even surpassing the three interest rate hikes in early 2024, indicating that current market sentiment is exceptionally sensitive, and panic has been significantly amplified.
From a historical perspective, after the first three interest rate hikes in Japan, prices during the corresponding time periods mostly remained in a downward or weak state, although other factors were also at play, it is not completely irrelevant.
Currently, the probability of Japan directly raising interest rates is close to 100%, and the only thing left is the official announcement time. What truly needs to be guarded against in the short term may not be the event itself, but the fluctuations caused by emotions.
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