📍#SOL Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/18)
【Core View】: The daily line has established a major bearish trend, with no bottom in sight. The target price is shockingly 39, and the end of the bullish phase has arrived.
Solana's trend has completely collapsed, with the daily level confirming entry into a 'major bearish' cycle. Prices are firmly suppressed below 148, with RSI and MACD both indicating bearish sentiment, suggesting that this decline is far from over. Any rebound now is merely to lure in buyers, allowing the bears to enter at better prices. The first target below is 80, and the ultimate target even points to 39, which is absolutely devastating for believers. Don't harbor any illusions; entering now is akin to being crushed to pieces.
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📊 Long-term trend: Major bearish (1D)
Current situation interpretation:
The daily chart is extremely ugly, with the price running below the key level of 148.09, and the bearish structure is unbreakable. The MACD dead cross continues to widen, and the RSI shows no improvement; this is a standard 'main decline phase'. The main force has already abandoned ship, and once it breaks below 107, it will directly trigger a chain liquidation, heading straight for 80 or even 39.
[1D Swing Strategy]
• Key operation: A rebound near 148 is the last chance to escape; breaking below 107 confirms the start of a major crash.
• Defense/bull-bear dividing line: 148.09 (trend reversal point)
🛑 Short position layout:
• Short-selling rebound (limit order): 107.05 ～ 148.09 (recommended capital 60% to ambush)
• Chase price on breakouts: 107.05 (recommended capital 40%)
• Take profit target (TP): 80.62, 39.58 (don't be shocked by this number; this is the cruelty of the bears)
• Stop loss (SL): 148.09
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📊 Medium-term trend: Moderate bearish (4H)
Current situation interpretation:
The 4-hour level is also weak, and a rebound near 134 encounters strong selling pressure. All rebounds are defined as 'weak corrections', merely to fix the deviation rate, after which it will continue to drop.
[4H Swing Strategy]
• Key operation: Short in the direction of the trend; do not try to catch the bottom during the decline.
• Defense/bull-bear dividing line: 140.23
🛑 Short position layout:
• Short-selling rebound (limit order): 117.15 ～ 134.10 (recommended capital 70%)
• Chase price on breakouts: 117.15 (recommended capital 30%)
• Take profit target (TP): 106.33
• Stop loss (SL): 140.23
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📊 Short-term trend: Minor bearish (1H)
Current situation interpretation:
Although there is slight rebound momentum in the short term, the overall structure remains under 126.21. This is just a consolidation in the downward trend; once it breaks below 118.42, the short-term support will instantly collapse, accelerating the decline.
[1H Day Trading Strategy]
• Key operation: Patiently wait for confirmation of the breakout; do not rush to enter the market.
• Fund recommendation: Patiently place limit orders 80% + chase price on breakouts 20%
🛑 Short position layout:
• Short-selling rebound (limit order): 118.42 ～ 126.21
• Chase price on breakouts: 118.42
• Take profit target (TP): 113.58, 105.79
• Stop loss (SL): 131.05
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📝 Summary and operational suggestions
• For holders: The daily target price of 39 has been lit, this is not a joke. If you are still holding SOL hoping for a return to glory, it's time to wake up. Take advantage of the rebound to reduce your position, keep cash, and don't let your assets shrink by 70%.
• For those with no positions: This is a feast for the bears. Focus on the short-selling opportunities in the 134-148 range, or chase short positions after breaking 107. Go with the trend and let profits run below 80.
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