Looking t year-end closing prices gives a clearer picture of long-term market behavior than short-term volatility. Instead of chasing hype cycles, this approach focuses on structure, trend stability, and realistic expectations.
📈 Year-End Closing Prices Snapshot
2020: ~$0.22
2021: ~$0.83
2022: ~$0.34
2023: ~$0.62
2024: ~$0.61–0.63
2025 (Base Case): ~$0.75–1.00
🔍 What the Data Is Telling Us
Despite major market cycles, the asset has shown progressive higher closes after the 2022 reset. The 2024 close near $0.62 confirms that price held structure rather than collapsing into a long-term downtrend.
This behavior suggests accumulation and slow re-rating, not speculative mania.
🧠 2025 Outlook: Slow Re-Rating, Not Euphoria
The base-case expectation for 2025 sits between $0.75 and $1.00, driven by:
Gradual capital rotation
Improving market structure
Reduced downside volatility
This is a controlled growth scenario, not a parabolic move. Sustainable trends tend to build quietly before attracting broader attention.
🟢 Key Levels That Define the Thesis
Above 2024 close (~$0.61): Market structure remains intact
Below ~$0.45: Long-term thesis breaks and trend reassessment is required
These levels act as decision points, helping investors manage risk with clarity.
🧩 Final Thoughts
Markets don’t need hype to move higher — they need structure, patience, and time. As long as price holds above key support levels, the long-term narrative remains constructive, with 2025 shaping up as a year of steady revaluation rather than emotional excess.
Smart money builds quietly. Structure always comes before mania.
