🎯 The event that may shake the markets
❌ U.S. unemployment rises to 4.6% against expectations of 4.5%
⬅️ A clear signal of a weak labor market
The sensitive equation now:
🔻Weak employment ➜ puts pressure on growth
But it ➜ enhances the chances of interest rate cuts
⬅️ All eyes on Thursday… Inflation data (CPI)
🔻 Scenarios:
Lower than expected inflation ➜ A strong boost for the markets
Higher than expected inflation ➜ A headache for the Fed
#الفيدرالي in a bind:
Cannot curb inflation and protect a collapsing labor market at the same time
🔻 If CPI comes in higher than expected…
Prepare for a violent downward move in the markets
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