【Core view】: The platform coin's halo has completely faded, the bearish arrangement is perfect, and any rebound is a chance to escape.
The current trend of BNB is highly synchronized with the overall market, presenting an ugly 'stair-step decline' pattern. From 12H to 1H, all moving averages are completely under pressure, with no signs of bullish resistance in sight. The current strategy is simple: do not have faith in it; any rebound is an opportunity for the bears to increase their positions, with no bottom in sight.
_____________
📊 Long-term trend: Moderate bearish (12H)
Current situation interpretation:
The closing price continues to be constrained by the EMA9 and EMA21 dual moving averages, with the price being held below the critical watershed of 921.01. Bullish momentum has dissipated, and the overhead trapped positions are heavy; this is a typical bearish continuation structure.
[12H Swing Strategy]
• Key Operation: Go with the trend, patiently wait for the price to rebound to the resistance area to layout short positions.
• Defense/Boundary: 921.01 (If the close returns to this level, the bearish scenario temporarily fails.)
🛑 Short Position Layout:
• Rebound Short (Order): 921.01 ~ 1,051.23 (Suggested fund ratio 70%)
• Break Down Short (Chasing Price): Break below 745.09 (Suggested fund ratio 30%)
• Take Profit Target (TP): 614.87, 438.95
• Stop Loss: 1,051.23
_____________
📉 Mid-term Trend: Strong Bearish (4H)
Current Situation Interpretation:
The bearish momentum at the 4H level is continuing, with the closing price below 888.27, and the moving averages diverging downwards. This is not a fluctuation; it is a characteristic of the main downtrend, and any weak support appears fragile.
[4H Short Position Strategy]
• Defense/Turning Point: 917.00 (If the close returns, the scenario fails)
🛑 Short Position Layout:
• Rebound Short (Order): 888.27 ~ 917.00 (Suggested to patiently place orders with 60% position)
• Break Down Short (Chasing Price): Break below 848.54 (Can chase 40% position)
• Take Profit Target (TP): 819.81, 780.08
• Stop Loss: 956.73
_____________
⚡ Short-term Trend: Mild Bearish (1H)
Current Situation Interpretation:
The short-term cycle is similarly weak, closing below 864.92. Market sentiment is extremely pessimistic, causing rebounds to be quickly met with selling pressure. Short-term operations should not go against the trend.
[1H Ultra Short-term Strategy]
• Key Operation: The short-term rebound momentum is extremely weak, and once met with pressure, short.
• Defense Point: 889.10
🛑 Short Position Layout:
• Rebound Short (Order): 864.92 ~ 889.10 (Suggested Order 70%)
• Break Down Short (Chasing Price): Break below 834.43 (Chase Price 30%)
• Take Profit Target (TP): 810.25, 779.76
• Stop Loss: 919.59
_____________
📝 Summary and Operational Suggestions
BNB is currently in a 'no defense to hold' state. Please remain calm in operations:
1. For those holding short positions: Your direction is completely correct, please move the stop loss according to the defense point, let the profits run.
2. For those not holding positions: Do not try to catch a bargain just because the price has dropped. It is recommended to adopt a strategy of '70% of funds placed as orders in the 888 - 921 range' + '30% of funds to chase prices after breaking 834 or 848'.
3. Points of Concern: If it breaks below 745, the downside will be the ocean, and panic selling may accelerate.
