People in the crypto world are currently collectively confused: Is the four-year bull-bear cycle still reliable?
Last bull market, Bitcoin peaked at 126,000 and then stopped; the promised banana-style surge never materialized, and instead it became frustratingly sluggish, with everyone thinking about selling early to lock in profits. It seems the old strategies have truly failed?
But if you take a closer look, this bear market is already different from the previous ones!
In the past, the crypto market wasn't recognized by the mainstream, institutions looked down on it, and it solely relied on retail investors chasing highs and selling lows. The previous drop from 69,000 to 15,000 happened this way. But what about now? Retail investors have figured out the bottom-fishing logic of the bear market, and institutions, listed companies, and sovereign funds are all sitting at the bottom waiting to scoop up chips!
With large funds supporting the market, can it really drop back to previous low levels? According to the patterns of the last two rounds, the bear market's low point should be about 23% lower than the peak of the previous bull market; for the last round, a peak of 69,000 corresponds to a low of 55,000. But given the current situation, the actual low is likely around 60,000, and it can't really drop much further!
A common problem among us retail investors is all too real: when Bitcoin rises to 120,000, we shout every day that we will buy the dip at 90,000; when it really drops to the range of 93,000-95,000, we start to fear it will continue to break down, and we hesitate faster than anyone else!
Don't be foolish! As long as you believe the next bull market can exceed 126,000, buying just 1 coin now locks in a potential profit of 31,000 U. Contract trading can't beat the opposing side, and making price differences can't compete with market makers; for ordinary people, steadily accumulating coins is the way to go!
A market downturn is never a risk; it's a rare opportunity to pick up bargains! Don't be obsessed with catching the absolute bottom; small dips buy small, big dips buy big, and entering in batches is very stable. Right now, large funds are quietly accumulating, waiting for the bear market to end and the long bull to start. Once new investors come in, the chips will only become more expensive!
The bear market is not scary; missing out on low-priced chips is what truly results in big losses! @阿二说币
