Non-farm data explodes tonight! On December 16, the financial market faces the ultimate test, an essential operation guide for investors 📊
December 16 at 21:30! The wave of US non-farm data is coming in heavily 🔥 Unemployment rate, non-farm payroll, retail sales, and wage data will be released collectively (confirmed by Jinshi data calendar), directly related to the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Gold, forex, and the stock market are all set to face a 'big shakeup', and ordinary investors must not miss this guide to avoid pitfalls and seize opportunities!
First, understand: how important are these data?
- 🌟 Core dual kings: November unemployment rate (expected 4.4%) + non-farm payroll (expected 40,000) — directly reflects the warmth of the US job market; strong employment = the Fed may continue its 'hawkish' stance (interest rate hike expectations increase), weak employment = possible loosening (interest rate cut expectations rise), gold and the dollar index will jump directly!
- 🛒 Consumer barometer: October retail sales month-on-month (expected 0.1%) — How willing are Americans to spend? Directly reflects economic vitality; poor data may trigger recession concerns!
- 💰 Inflation key: November wage growth rate (annual rate expected 3.6%/month rate 0.3%) — If wages rise too quickly = inflation cannot be suppressed, the Fed may be 'tougher'; conversely, it may ease up～
Investors must remember the 4 iron rules of operation ⚠️
1. Don't go heavy! After the data is released, gold and the dollar will fluctuate wildly in a short time. Reduce positions in advance to avoid risks and prevent being 'stopped out' by market movements.
2. Watch the deviation! Only when the actual data is significantly better or worse than expected will the trend change. Don’t focus solely on individual data to draw conclusions; a comprehensive judgment is necessary.
3. Keep an eye on policy expectations! The data will change the market's bets on Fed rate hikes/cuts. We also need to watch how Fed officials respond later to confirm whether the trend can be sustained.
4. Strictly control risks! Don’t operate recklessly before the announcement; wait for the data to come out and for key price levels to break before positioning. Stop losses must be set properly to prevent losses from widening!
Tonight, the global financial market is waiting for this wave of data to 'set direction'. For ordinary investors, rationality and strict risk control are the way to go ～ While seizing opportunities, it is even more important to protect your principal!