Will Bitcoin reach 100K before 2026?
The answer is not in technical analysis but in: inflation, Federal Reserve decisions, and ETF fund flows.
So let's talk numbers
• The current price of Bitcoin is around $86,000 (today's movements reached approximately between 85K and 90K).
• The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates on December 10, and this means the market is watching: Are we going to continue with cuts or enter a phase of stabilization or a halt?
• The last official reading published for inflation (CPI) was 3.0% annually in September 2025 (and the Core was also 3.0%) — and any surprise in the upcoming readings could change the market direction quickly.
• ETF Flows =
Institutional mood: In the last 10 announced trading days, there was a net positive flow of about +212.5 million dollars… but with very strong volatility, one day up and one day down.
So… what could bring 100K before 2026?
1. If inflation continues to stabilize → the market will likely increase its risk appetite.
2. If the Federal Reserve sends a clear signal that tightening is over → liquidity breathes… and Bitcoin loves that.
3. If ETF flows remain continuously positive → this means that demand is increasing.
4. And if a strong news/motivator occurs (approvals, clearer regulations, greater institutional liquidity) → 100K turns from a psychological number to a price movement.
What could disrupt the scenario?
• Any sudden return in inflation
• A hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve
• Or a significant reversal in ETF flows (outflows instead of inflows)
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #ETF #Macroeconomics
