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Lorenzo Found the Arbitrage Everyone Missed
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Bitcoin's standoff before the $90,000 mark is becoming increasingly evident. The bulls' attacking power is clearly waning, shifting from the previous impulsive "buy on dips" sentiment to a cautious calculation of liquidation risks. This change in mindset indicates the market is cooling down. Coupled with weakening positive signals in the broader environment, short-term resistance is locked in the $91,000 to $92,000 range. $BTC What will happen if it truly weakens? First, it will retest the central support zone at $88,000 to $89,000 to find confidence. If this line also fails to hold, the downward space will be fully opened. Traders will then focus on the support line at $85,500 to $87,500, and further down is the critical neckline at $85,000āthese points are important references for subsequent rebounds. Ethereum's situation is similarly awkward. $ETH Trapped within the strong resistance zone of $3,180 to $3,200, the hourly bearish trend line continues to be effective, and buying pressure has yet to turn the situation around. The nearest support below is in the $3,050 to $3,080 range. Once broken, the $3,000 psychological level will come under pressure. Honestly, both of these assets are currently stuck in front of key resistance levels, with market sentiment leaning bearish, and the probability of testing support levels downward is increasingāthis is a trend worth paying more attention to right now.$BTC
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The Federal Reserve Injects $23 Billion in Liquidity, Market Landscape May Face Changes Breaking news The Federal Reserve confirms a liquidity injection of $23 billion next week. This is not a rumor; itās an actual policy action. From last year to this year, the market was once caught in tightening expectations. But reality is often more complex than expectations. When the central bank presses the release button, various assets are watching the flow of this money. Stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate⦠plus the cryptocurrency market, all could become vessels for this wave of liquidity. Historical experience is harsh. Whenever major economies release large-scale liquidity, wealth distribution undergoes dramatic changes. Some benefit from this process, while others are marginalized. Where exactly? It depends on whether you understand the true flow logic of funds. $ETH and $BTC , as representatives of risk assets, often exhibit excess returns during liquidity expansion periods. High-volatility assets like $DOGE become even more attractive targets for capital chasing profits. But be aware this isnāt simply a "print money and it goes up" scenario. Market sentiment, policy expectations, macro fundamentals⦠these factors intertwine to determine the final price trend. If you havenāt prepared for these changes yet, the window of opportunity is shrinking. The market always rewards those who are prepared.
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A top-tier whale is paying a painful price for chasing the high of a leading DEX coinsuffering a 580% loss. On November 11th, a governance proposal involving a certain DEX sparked a storm, pushing the token price to $10, and retail investors flooded in. At the peak of market enthusiasm, a bold whale took a heavy long position at $8.5, investing as much as $3.31 million. Now? The unrealized loss is $1.93 million, a 580% decline. This whale remains the largest long position holder in that coin, and another order ( $MON ) also has an unrealized loss of over 250%. Quite ironic. This is not just a personal failure; it reflects the marketās return to reality after a period of euphoria. No matter how glamorous the narrative, it cannot prevent a reevaluation of value after short-term emotions fade. The lessons are clear First, never go all-in during a news surge or when the market is at its hottest. Chasing highs at critical moments is essentially betting on the last straw. Second, to analyze whales, you need insight. In the past month, large amounts of various tokens have been continuously flowing into exchanges this is distribution, not accumulation. Donāt blindly follow the trend; distinguish whether whales are building positions or distributing to cash out. Third, return to the intrinsic value. The status of a certain DEX as a leading industry platform and the upcoming real protocol revenue are what support its long-term trajectory. Is the current $5 price fully digesting this long-term value? Thatās the key question. If you missed the November frenzy, congratulations you avoided the 580% killer move. True opportunities are often hidden after the hype fades. When everyone is panicking over whale liquidations, some people have already started to calmly reassess the projectās value. In this market, those who last the longest are always those who understand reverence and patience.
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