These days, a simple-looking image has been circulating quite strongly in the crypto community, consisting only of numbers and timestamps, but the more you look at it, the more familiar it appears. Especially for those who have experienced several cycles of $BTC

BTC
BTCUSDT
90,082.7
+0.18%

The image indicates a fairly regular repeating pattern in BTC history:

  • From ATL to ATH takes about 1064 days

  • From ATH back to ATL takes about 364 days

and this cycle has occurred:

  • ATL 2015 → ATH 2017

  • ATL 2018 → ATH 2021

If everything continues to repeat exactly like that, then the ATH of the current cycle will fall on 6/10/2025.

It sounds very coincidental, even a bit like a conspiracy theory, but what draws many people's attention is: Bitcoin has repeated this pattern many times, not just once by chance.

Of course, no one dares to assert that the market will repeat history exactly. Each cycle has new variables, different macro contexts, and different cash flows. But the reality is that the market often continues to repeat until it no longer does.

The most frightening thing is if this scenario is correct, then Bitcoin's familiar 4-year cycle may have ended around October of this year. The consequences of this will be something many will notice:

  • For newcomers, this may be a stage that opens up many opportunities.

  • For those who have been stuck for a long time and hope for an altcoin season, it is indeed fragile.

In the end, whether to believe or not is up to each person. However, it is clear that this image is touching on something that the crypto community is very sensitive to: the trust in the cycle.