Trading is not metaphysics; it's a game of probabilities. Protecting your capital and managing risks is far more important than predicting price movements. Here are three practical strategies to help you avoid most traps:

First Layer: Profit Halving Method — Secure your profits

Set clear take-profit and stop-loss levels. When profits reach 10% of your capital, immediately transfer half of the profits to an 'offline wallet' (for safe storage), while the other half can continue to roll. This way, you can enjoy potential compound interest while ensuring that most of your profits are secure. During a market peak, many people lose profits due to greed; this method can prevent 'paper wealth'.

Second Layer: Dislocated Position Building Across Three Cycles — Capture opportunities in volatility

Use multiple time frame analysis: Daily chart for trend, 4-hour chart for range, and 15-minute chart for entry points. You can simultaneously place two orders:

1. Trend Order: Follow up after breaking a key level, setting the stop-loss below the previous low.

2. Counter Order: Place limit orders in the overbought/oversold zones on the 4-hour chart to capture retracement profits.

Key: Keep the stop-loss for each order within 1.5% of your capital, and set the take-profit target at more than 5 times the stop-loss. Even if the directional judgment is not completely accurate, you may still profit in a volatile market.

Third Layer: Compensate Low Win Rate with High Risk-Reward Ratio — Pursue 'big wins and small losses'

There is no need to pursue a high win rate. Set the risk-reward ratio at 5:1 (i.e., the profit target is five times the loss amount); even with a win rate of only 35%, you can still be profitable in the long run.

Discipline of Operation:

· Position Management: Divide your funds into 10 parts, use 1 part for each trade, and hold at most 3 positions simultaneously.

· Emotion Control: Stop immediately after two consecutive losses, stay away from the market, and avoid 'revenge trading'.

· Profit Realization: After doubling your account, withdraw 20% to allocate to stable assets to lock in some gains.

Core Summary

The essence of trading is risk management and long-term survival. There's no need to watch the market or chase insider information; just strictly adhere to discipline: timely lock in profits, flexibly respond to the market with multi-cycle strategies, and balance win rates with a high risk-reward ratio system. Opportunities in the market are always available, but the prerequisite is that you can stay at the table.

The market is always present, but opportunities do not wait for anyone; follow Brother Le to make your arrangements! #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息