Crypto friends, I am Zhao Gongming. Today, a message more important than the interest rate cut is spreading through the market: The Federal Reserve plans to inject about $35 billion per month starting next year! This means that there could be over $400 billion in liquidity injected into the market within a year. Historical experience tells us that when the faucet is turned on, Bitcoin is often the first 'pool' to be filled. However, the market is currently hesitating at high levels; what secrets lie behind this contradiction? Follow Zhao Gongming, and I will help you clear the fog and see the true direction of Bitcoin.
News Analysis: Epic Liquidity is About to 'Open the Floodgates'
The core of this news is two words: printing money. The Federal Reserve's end of balance sheet reduction and preparation for expansion equals new "fuel" for the global market. For Bitcoin, an asset extremely sensitive to liquidity, this is a long-term fundamental benefit. It means that any short-term decline may be seen as a "discount" opportunity by the incoming funds. What major institutions are thinking about now is probably not whether to sell, but at what price to accumulate.
Technical Analysis: Short-term pressure, but key defense lines are strong.
The 1-hour chart indeed shows signs of short-term fatigue: prices are hovering below the key level of 92240, and MACD has formed a death cross below the zero line, indicating insufficient upward momentum. This is normal; after a rise, there needs to be a breather. Please keep an eye on two areas:
Key fortress above: Breaking and stabilizing above 92240, hitting 94000 or even higher will become a high probability event.
Strategic Depth Below: 89000 is the recent strength and weakness lifeline, while 86540 is the deeper support for this upward trend. A pullback to this level will be a rare "golden pit".
Daily sharing from Zhao Gongming. If this helps you, you can follow Zhao Gongming to get first-hand news and entry points in the chat room!
Zhao Gongming's Views and Strategies: Why do I remain "bullish and see pullbacks as opportunities"?
Combining macro waves and technical currents, I remain bullish. The Federal Reserve's expectation of expanding its balance sheet lays the foundation for a long-term bull market for BTC. Short-term fluctuations are just for washing out positions and building strength.
Advice for positions: Hold your base position well; this is your "ticket" to cope with future major waves. If your position is too heavy, you can reduce it appropriately near 91000 during a rebound and wait for a pullback to around 89626 or lower support to replenish and optimize your holding costs. Don't be easily shaken out.
Advice for observers: Avoid chasing highs. The market is giving you a better entry opportunity. Use a "staggered layout" strategy; if it pulls back to around 89626, you can start with a small position to test; if you see strong support areas at 89000 or even 86540, it will be a good opportunity to increase focus. Patience is the most valuable quality right now.
Every pullback in a bull market is a gift from fate. If Zhao Gongming's analysis helps you understand the current "risks" and "opportunities" in the market, follow Zhao Gongming. Together, we will verify whether the market will advance in the direction guided by liquidity and trends.#美联储降息
