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US Equities December Rate Expectations and Bitcoin Outlook
According to CME FedWatch data, US equities markets are now pricing in a 86% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in December, with Bitcoin potentially benefiting from this stability. The revised expectations suggest the Fed will likely maintain its current stance.
On December 10, the FOMC meeting concluded with a 25 basis-point rate hike probability standing at 86.4%. By December 11, the outcome was confirmed: rates were held steady. Both outcomes favor a stable market environment heading into year-end, as the broader economic backdrop stabilizes.
Bitcoin Performance Impact
Bitcoin has declined 3.82% amid these rate decisions, reflecting profit-taking and short-term volatility as traders process the Fed's cautious stance. With rate expectations stabilized, the focus shifts to earnings reports and macro data flows to determine the next directional move into the final month of the year.