Bitcoin has officially slipped under $90,000, pulling back nearly 30% from the October ATH above $126K. A big move, but not a surprising one.
🔍 Key Levels I’m Watching
Support Zone:
Right now, the real battle is happening in the $75K–$90K range — this is where buyers must show up.
Resistance Ahead:
On the flip side, the heavy wall sits between $119K–$125K — the same zone that previously rejected the market.
📉 Technical Structure
We were forming a potential double-bottom around $106K–$108K, but the break under $90K is putting serious pressure on that bullish setup.
If bulls don’t reclaim levels fast… structure breaks.
📊 Momentum Check
MACD is giving a slight bullish lean, but nothing explosive. A cautious signal — momentum isn’t fully here yet, traders are waiting for confirmation.
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🌐 Macro & On-Chain Reality (My Breakdown)
🏦 Macro Pressure
Uncertainty around U.S. interest-rate cuts and rising global volatility is pushing investors into safety mode. Risk assets are feeling it — including $BTC .
📈 ETF Flows
Institutional interest is still mixed. Some weeks show strong inflows, others show eyebrow-raising outflows. This is a key catalyst for volatility right now.
🔗 On-Chain Strength
Despite the dip, long-term holders continue to accumulate.
This is one of the most important signals — it means the base is getting stronger even while price is correcting.
🎯 Market Catalysts Ahead
Traders are closely watching:
• Any dovish hint from the Fed
• Any relief on geopolitical tensions
Both could flip sentiment fast.
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🔮 My Scenarios Going Forward
🟥 Bearish Case
If BTC can’t reclaim momentum soon, we could see a slide toward $75K, especially if macro conditions stay ugly.
🟩 Bullish Case
A strong rebound is possible if BTC pushes back above $100K.
In a full bullish breakout, models still point toward $130K+ as a realistic upside target.
🟦 Sideways Chop
We could also see BTC stuck in a rough $85K–$105K range while markets digest data, ETF flows, and macro noise.
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