ANALYSIS $OM USDT (16/02/2025)
Price: $7.581 | RSI: 77.37 | MACD: +0.704
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
- Trend: BULLISH (MA7 > MA20 > MA50)
- Momentum: Strong but overbought (RSI: 77.37)
- Volume: Low (5.75M vs avg 15.27M)
- Order Book: Light buying pressure (+0.024)
- Funding Rate: 0.00005 (neutral)
2. 4-12H FORECAST
a) Main scenario (60%): Continuation upwards
- Target: $7.85-8.00
- Confirmation: Increasing volume, RSI > 60
- Condition: Break $7.65 with volume
b) Alternative scenario (30%): Correction
- Target: $7.35-7.45
- Confirmation: Break MA7, RSI < 70
- Potential accumulation zone: $7.45-7.50
c) Sideways scenario (10%)
- Range: $7.45-7.65
- Volume gradually decreasing
3. TRADING RECOMMENDATION
- Type: Futures (2x leverage)
- Risk level: Medium-High (RSI overbought)
Entry 1 (60% position):
- Zone: $7.58-7.62
- SL: $7.35
- TP: $7.75(40%), $7.85(40%), $8.00(20%)
Entry 2 (40% position):
- Zone: $7.45-7.50
- SL: $7.35
- TP: Sync with Entry 1
Position management:
- Risk/trade: 2%
- Size: 5-7% portfolio
- DCA: $7.45, $7.40
- Move SL to BE after TP1
4. IMPORTANT LEVELS
Resistance:
- Major: $7.85
- Minor: $7.65
Support:
- Immediate: $7.52 (MA7)
- Strong: $7.35
- Major: $7.20
5. MAIN RISKS
- RSI overbought
- Low volume
- Potential selling pressure at $7.65
6. CANCELLATION CONDITIONS
- Break under $7.35
- Volume spike on selling
- Order book imbalance < -0.05
Success Rate: 65%
R/R Ratio: 2.5:1
NOTE: The market is in overbought territory, need to manage risk carefully and wait for volume confirmation before entry. Prioritize limit orders and monitor order book fluctuations.
