Long-Term Holder (long-term investor) stops selling, a good signal for the market?
1ļøā£
#LTH has stopped selling ā the key point of every major bottom
The chart shows Long-Term Holders (LTH) have just shifted from distribution to net accumulation after several months of heavy selling
š This is the largest selling pressure from LTH since 2019, and it has just ended
In BTC history:
Tops form when buyers are enthusiastic
Bottoms form when sellers disappear
Currently, long-term sellers have withdrawn
2ļøā£ This does NOT mean that the price will pump immediately
When LTH stops selling:
Supply pressure gradually decreases
Volatility shrinks
Prices often move sideways ā building a base
š Prices do not āripā immediately, but a price floor begins to form.
3ļøā£ Adding the remaining pieces
The current context is extremely characteristic:
ETFs are still absorbing supply
Treasury businesses buy when prices drop
Retail stands on the sidelines
Fear is still high
š This combination rarely appears at the top but is often seen around the bottom/medium-term bottom.
4ļøā£ The practical significance
Downside risk decreases significantly
Upside has not exploded yet because liquidity has not turned
Suitable for:
DCA
Patient accumulation
Avoid leverage
Straight conclusion
The market reverses when sellers disappear, not when buyers are loud.
LTH has stopped selling ā a base is being built.
The larger cycle has not ended, but the most painful point may have passed.
$BTC is preparing for a year of explosion.